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Government bonds

Why are Interest rates falling? Time to buy? We have seen an amazing fall in interest rates. Bonds have looked to put in a local bottom. Why are bonds showing signs of accumulation? Is the bond market pricing in a recession? I believe the recent decline in yields is due to commodity weakness. Yields have soften because energy & base metals have become cheaper. This drives the disinflationary narrative. I think its to early to tell whether this decline is from demand or global weakness.
TVC:US10Y
by Trading-Capital
US 2-Year T-NoteHey Traders We have US 2-Year T-Note, all my weekly fundamentals are showing a nice drop from from supply zone bounced out and is looking strong to sell down, I will be waiting for a pullback to my sell limit marked off on chart. When I am lining up a set up I always use the daily TF to place a sell limit or buy limit from supply zone or demand zone. Please like comment and follow cheers This chart material is for education purposes only / Demo account should be traded only
2Short
by Costy13
4
Rate Cut? Big Disappointmenting, Unlikely!US10Y Yield Drama: The US 10-Year Yield has been on a rollercoaster—recently dipping, then bouncing back like it’s trying to make up its mind. But let’s be real, being around 4% isn't exactly an invitation to rate cuts. History’s Not on Your Side: Sure, the Fed has cut rates before without a crash, but that was when inflation wasn't hanging around like an uninvited guest. Remember 1998 or 2001? Yeah, those were different times. Now, we've got inflation breathing down our necks. What’
TVC:US10YLong
by Saver0
Critical Resistance Ahead for US 10-Year Yield: Key LevelsWe've observed an impressive corrective rebound in the US 10-year yield chart. However, we are now approaching a significant resistance zone between 4.06% and 4.09%. This area marks the point where the yield previously broke out of its channel, aligning with the highs seen in March and July of 2023. Additionally, this zone represents the 38.2% retracement of the entire decline from the April 2024 peak to the August low. With this confluence of resistance levels, we will be closely monitoring for
TVC:US10YShort
by The_STA
Inverted Yield curve re-inversion vs SPYSince 1990, there has been a 4/4 probability of market declines and recession proceeding the re-inversion. For data not shown on Tradingview, there were 2 outliers in 1980 and 1982 where the market nearly bottomed as it re-inverted (fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2Y) However, the last two re-inversions still had the market increase for the proceeding 24 weeks (5-6 months). This is very important information. If this cycle plays out like the last 2, the markets might still crawl higher until Jan
TVC:US10YLong
by SolenyaResearch
Yield curve re-inversion vs GoldAs the yield curve re-inverts, it presents an opportunity for safe haven assets like gold to outperform. The only outlier was 1980 and 1982 when gold had already increased 800% in the few years prior due to Fed Volcker's era of runaway inflation. Evidenced by the inverted yield curve's track record of predicting recessions, the Sahm Rule was also triggered on Friday's unemployment data. Since 1950, the Sahm Rule was able to predict a recession 10/11 times (91% chance). Every time it did predict
TVC:US10Y
by SolenyaResearch
US10Y Government Bond Yield Could Test 3.9% SoonUS10Y Government Bond Yield Could Test 3.9% Soon The price is showing the completion of a complex pattern that could push the price further. A very strong resistance area over the previous weeks is found near 4.48% dating back almost 1 month Also considering overall market expectations, US CPI data on Thursday could help this bearish move. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your
TVC:US10YShort
by KlejdiCuni
3
Yield CurveThe 2/10 treasury yield spread is quickly flattening and an inversion could happen soon. All of the previous yield curve inversions are associated with memorable market sell-offs and recessions. I believe the ripple effect of the ongoing financial and economic sanctions against Russia will end up being the catalyst for the next meltdown. The market conditions have been favorable to a disaster by many measurements for some time now. Again, there are many unknown cross-currents beginning to wo
TVC:US10Y
by The_Arena_Trader
11
Market topping or not stopping?? Little bit of Macro1. Stocks are fundamentally overvalued. 2. The macro (yield curve and unemployment rate) I'm monitoring is at its peak/low and could be at potential turning point. 3. We need technical analysis to enter this trade and time the short if there is any at all. These are some extremes I'm looking for that can either enrich you if you're right or make you poor if you lack risk managment skills. I'm talking Michael Burry 2008 trade if history repeats itself.
TVC:US03MYShort
by Robert077
1
Yield Curve touched the 0% - Will it continue up?US10Y-US02Y = Yield Curve. The Yield Curve has predicted each of the previous market crashes. The markets are crashing now but is it really the beginning of a bigger market crash? OR are the markets just very volatile and have more last push up? Maybe yes for the US Markets. In 2000, the market peak was when the yield curve was still negative (-0.3%). In 2007, the market peak was when the yield curve was at 0.5%. Is 2024 more like 2000 or 2007?
TVC:US10YLong
by brian7683