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Government bonds

US 10Y TREASURY: Will the Fed cut?Regardless of a relative volatility between levels of 4,02% and 3,94%, the 10Y US Treasury yields managed to sustain the 4% level during the previous week. The markets were mostly focused on US inflation data which were posted on Friday. The figures show that the inflation currently manages to sustain relatively lower levels, although still elevated from Fed's target of 2% y/y. The inflation in September was standing at 0,3% for the month and 3% y/y. Stable inflation and weakening jobs market ha
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US10Y Bonds Signal Bullish Reversal Toward 4.08%US10Y Bonds Signal Bullish Reversal Toward 4.08% US10Y Government Bonds formed a bullish reversal pattern and is showing signs of bullish momentum. The price is up nearly +1.25% over the past 6 hours. This can be considered a strong momentum considering the economic calendar is empty. I expect the price to go up to 4.08% at the moment. The first and strongest target will be found near 4.02%. Once the price moves above the pattern, it should continue to rise higher to the second targets of 4
TVC:US10YLong
by KlejdiCuni
7
The Refi Setup: 10-Year Yield Compression📉 10-Year Yield Compression = Refi Setup The 10Y is coiling inside a descending wedge around 4.00%, signaling upside exhaustion. A break below 3.90% → 3.66% is the key trigger — that’s the rate-relief zone. Macro backdrop (credit stress, weak growth, liquidity preference) tilts odds downward. Yield compression = rate repricing = higher refi probability. 🧭 Key Levels 4.18% → Resistance ceiling 3.90% → Battleground (break = downside momentum) 3.66% → Breakdown confirmation Measured mo
TVC:US10YShort
by TheAlphaView
Europe’s Risk Map Has Flipped — France Replaces GreeceA decade ago, Greece symbolized the eurozone’s sovereign crisis — junk-rated, under bailout supervision, and trading with spreads above 3,000 bps vs the German Bund. France, meanwhile, was near AAA, considered the cornerstone of European credit stability. Today, that map has flipped. 🔹 Greece now sits in the middle of the pack — its spread has collapsed to ~70 bps, after years of fiscal reform and ECB backstops. 🔹 France, once a core safe haven, is now the worst-rated among the major euro econ
TVC:FR10Y
by OrbisInvestment
US 10Y TREASURY: Treasury market holds the line? Unlike US equities, crypto or gold markets, the US Treasury yields were relatively keeping their grounds during the previous week. Still, some concerns regarding the potential impact of US-China tariffs were at least for now resolved when the US President commented on social networks that they are not sustainable. The US Government is still in official status of “shutdown” so relevant macro data are lacking. At the same time, a new potential banking crisis was emerging in the news, through so-ca
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US 10Y TREASURY: tariff shock sends yields lowerTreasury yields dropped further as markets reacted to the sudden escalation in U.S.–China trade tensions, after U.S. President’s announcement of a 100 % tariff on Chinese imports. The move deepened fears of economic disruption and amplified uncertainty around trade policy. This came in addition to already increased uncertainty considering that the U.S. Government is already 10 days in the state of “shutdown”. The U.S. benchmark 10Y bond yields dropped from the level of 4,15% down to 4,03%. They
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Global Market Analysis: Dynamics of the World Economy1. The Structure of the Global Market The global market isn’t a single entity but rather a network of interconnected sub-markets—each influencing the other. These include: Equity Markets: Stock exchanges across the world like NYSE (USA), LSE (UK), NSE (India), and Nikkei (Japan) where investors buy and sell company shares. Bond Markets: Governments and corporations issue bonds to raise capital, influencing global interest rates and credit flows. Foreign Exchange (Forex) Markets: The largest
TVC:US02YEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
US10YUS10Y TECHNICAL DETAILS 4.193% A KEY RESISTANCE TO UPSWING 4.088% DEFENDED SUPPORT CURRENTLY 3.996 % LOW RECOVERED AND TESTED TWICE.ANY ATTEMPT ON THIS ZONE WILL BE A TECHNICAL DOWNSLIDE. The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.125% This yield represents the return investors expect for lending to the US government for 10 years and is a key benchmark influencing financial markets. Dollar Index (DXY) The DXY measures the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of major currencies ,
TVC:US10Y
by Shavyfxhub
US 10Y TREASURY: Shutdown fuels rate-cut speculationThe US Treasury bond market was focused on the US government “shutdown” during the previous week, estimating the implication which this shutdown could have on the macro segment on the US economy. The 10-year Treasury yield rose slightly to 4.154%, but reverted back as of the end of the week toward the 4,08%. Yields are closing the week at 4,119%. The shutdown, which began on October 1, resulted from a failure by lawmakers to agree on a temporary spending bill. This impasse has led to the suspen
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
US10Y & DXY downward trend continues. US10Y 4% triggers DXY 96.TVC:US10Y has been in a downward trend despite of US Fed holding the rates stable. In this blog space I have been following the downward sloping channel since Jan 2025. Since our May 2 prediction of a 4% in %US10Y we are very much on that glide path to lower low. TVC:US10Y making new lows. 4% upcoming. 3.5% target low. for TVC:US10Y by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView And then we add TVC:DXY into the mix which is also making lower lows and lower highs. I had a near term target of 96 on T
TVC:US10Y
by RabishankarBiswal
Bond Market Whiplash: September Ends with Yields Under PressureSeptember was a month of sharp swings for U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield started strong near 4.4% but lost momentum as political gridlock and growing bets on Fed rate cuts fuelled a flight to safety. Traders shifted from fearing inflation to bracing for slower growth and a possible government shutdown, sending yields drifting lower into month’s end. What began as a hawkish month ended with markets pricing in caution — and the bond market once again reminding everyone that fear moves faster
TVC:US10Y
by ClosingTicks
US30Y pattern support breachAs can be seen from the chart below, price action continues to respect resistance between 4.792% (1Y) and 4.770% (1W), which has also seen flow move below the neckline of a double-top pattern at 4.712%. With the close below a notable pattern neckline, additional underperformance towards 1Y support at 4.640% (which held on two occasions in April and September this year) might unfold. A leg below 4.640% also unearths another layer of nearby 6M support at 4.577%. Written by the FP Markets Resear
TVC:US30YShort
by FP Markets