UK 10-Year Gilt Yield Update The UK 10-year gilt yield is showing a potentially interesting setup on the chart! A symmetrical triangle pattern appears to be forming, and a weekly close above 4.75% could confirm this formation, with a longer-term target up to 6.60%.
Recently, yields surged to 4.51%, the highest in a year, following reactions to the Labour government’s first budget. Key highlights include:
• 📈 £28 billion in increased borrowing per year across parliament.
• 💰 £297 billion in bond sales this fiscal year—seco
Government bonds
US 10Y TREASURY: FOMC rate decisionSurprisingly low Non-farm payrolls of 12K surprised markets and shaped investors sentiment as of the end of the previous week. The US Treasury yields were heading higher testing shortly the level of 4,3%, however, Friday's noisy NFPs pushed the yields toward the 4,36% level.
The week ahead will be the crucial one of the further courses of the 10Y Treasury benchmark. On November 7th, the FOMC will decide on the further course of US interest rates. It is to be seen how Fed currently perceives th
US10Y Most Deviated in History. Except for the Great DepressionThe percent deviation from model of second order measurements is one of the most useful metrics for timing the Bond Market. Shown here is the percent deviation of the 30 period close Monthly RSI from its 60 Month Simple for the US 10 year Treasury Bond. The only time in history it has deviated this much was the Great Depression.
US 10Y TREASURY: PCE and NFP aheadDuring the previous week there has been a lack of new macro data which would point to markets the course of inflation and potential next Feds move regarding interest rates. Still, the markets are watching closely any statements from Fed officials, and trying to position according to the current sentiment. Considering that statements from Feds officials were pretty cautious regarding the future rate cuts, the markets reacted by increasing yields. The US 10Y benchmark started the week by testing t
German 10 year bund (yield chart) giant HS patternGerman 10 year bund keeps scaling.
Price action is reflected on the charts. On the long term, seems like the german 10 year bund is building a huge Head and Shoulders pattern. That would be consistent with rates going down in the eurozone.
But… if the German bund should spike over 2.50%, that would probably mean that euro rate cuts will be on hold for longer than expected.
IMO, it’s all about geopolitics, as it’s also related to oil/natural gas supply from the east, commercial war with the US
US 10Y Yields - Bullish Rip To PremiumYields opened the week inside a discount price range (below 4.169%) and closed above equilibrium, with the next draw on liquidity being buyside liquidity @ 4.292%.
However, I see the potential for a draw up to buyside 50/50% and will be sitting on my hands awaiting for more data to make a educated decision where the overall direction will be.
US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Analysis(What we need to know)!Today, I want to analyze the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) for you in the weekly time frame . In fact, the US 10-Year Government Bonds shows the yield rate of ten-year US Treasury bonds and is a measure of investors' confidence in the US economy . As such, this index influences capital allocation across various markets and impacts broader financial conditions .
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The US 10-Year Government Bond Yield(US10Y) started
Bearish Divergence in Yield SUN10Y?I foresee Bearish Divergence between TVC:ID10Y and RSI 14
Meaning that the rise of the Indonesia bond yield will reverse, before it touch Resistance.
The rise has been a Pullback (a rise after Breakdown Support, just to test a new Resistance).
The story will be different if Yield successfully Breakout 6.9%
US bond bloodbath powers USD/JPY above key levelHigher US Treasury yields has propelled USD/JPY through the 200DMA and 151.95, the latter an important technical level corresponding with prior episodes of Bank of Japan intervention.
If it manages to hold above 151.95, traders could consider buying the break with a tight stop either below it or the 200DMA for protection. There's little visible resistance evident until above 155, and even then it's minor. 155.40 is one potential target.
Given yield differentials between the US and Japan, you
US 10Y Yields - 2nd Bullish Leg Up To Equalibrium?Based on the last post on Yields, I was projecting a draw towards equilibrium; 4.169% with the possibility for a short term retracement down to the NWOG highly likely.
I would like to see the neighbouring FVG respected with the last line of defence @ 4.026% held throughout next week
US 10Y TREASURY: retail sales eased the sentimentThe US Treasury market was under influence of the posted data for the Retail Sales in the US in September, as a potential add-on to the total inflation in the country. Released data were in line with the market consensus, as the indicator was higher by 0,4% in September, leading to yearly increase of 1,7%. Without other posted data which would add to the potential move of the inflation in the US, the 10Y US yields eased a bit, and tested the 4,0% level. Still, at Friday trading session, yields e
Bond Divergences: ECB Under Pressure from FedThe European Central Bank (ECB) is under pressure to cut interest rates for the third time this year, prompted by the surprise 50 basis point cut announced by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. Although the ECB had planned to wait until December to make another cut, recent economic data, such as weak PMIs and falling inflation in the Eurozone, have forced its hand, making an October cut inevitable. As the Fed slows its cutting cycle, the ECB seems trapped with no choice but to press ah
INCOMING LOWER HIGHS!!When they bring the talking heads on TV and make them say: "we haven't seen anything yet, yields are going higher!", you know it's time to buy them!
Every single time they do this, bonds yields are either making higher highs or very close to those "local tops".
It was identical prior to October 7th of last year. Look it up as a reference.
If you don't like that relation, how about you look up Ray Dalio 'warning us, poor naive investors' to NOT BUY LONG TERM NOTES.
Yields going up is nothi
Why the US 10-Year Yield Deserves Close AttentionThe 10-year US Treasury yield, at its highest since July, has mostly moved sideways this year. However, the weekly chart reveals a potential falling wedge pattern. If yields close above 4.53%, it could signal a push towards new highs. Initial resistance is at 4.18% (200-day moving average) and 4.24% (55-week moving average). Markets expect a 25-basis point Fed rate cut in November, but investors are watching key economic data, and Fed comments for further insights.
Keep this on your radar, bec























