Japanese Interest rates clearly follow the 2 year Looks bullish on rates to me
Central banks tend to just fall in line with the bond market
LongGovernment bonds
Long
10Y BOND Expectation:BOND start the up trend and it has open target on 4.554 point, but for this price should win the 4.380 point, 4.2 point is the decision of the up trend and 4.2 point can work as support zone.
When bond is increasing, it means that on the market there is exist the fear, and investors are trying to use safe way and they are buying the bond, until the bond is in the up trend general market, is under the risk!
Long
US 10Y TREASURY: Further easing, but risks holdU.S. 10Y Treasury yields held relatively steady, as markets balanced a shifting macro backdrop with ongoing geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Investors remained cautious, with yields stabilizing after recent volatility driven by energy price swings and changing expectations around inflation and monetary policy. The weekly trading range was between 4,36% down to 4,22%, with a weekly close at 4,24%.
From a macro perspective, the bond market continues to reflect uncertainty around infl
US 10YR Bond Yield Technical Analysis (Daily)US 10YR Bond Yield Technical Analysis (Daily)
The yield is pulling back after hitting major resistance at 4.484%. It is now testing the key daily support at 4.289%, with immediate backup supports at EMA 4.247% and 4.211%. A break below opens the door to 4.143% and longer-term weekly support at 3.932%.
Key resistances above: 4.366% (0.786 Fib) then 4.484%.
Indicators:
* RSI (28) is at 54.01 and sitting above its SMA (51.38) → mild bullish momentum building.
* Price is holding above EMA 200 (
US10Y 3-year Triangle aiming for the top.The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a 3-year Triangle and for the past 2 months it has been on a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) rebound.
Last week's pull-back saw it holding the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and as long as it holds, we expect the final rally towards the top of the pattern (Lower Highs trend-line) as per the very accurate Time Cycles.
Our Target is 4.550%, just below the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which is where the previous Lower High got priced.
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Long
US 10Y TREASURY: Lacks clear directionThe 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained volatile during the week, reflecting continued sensitivity to inflation and potential impact of increased oil prices. Recent economic data, including jobless claims, GDP revisions, and inflation prints, showed a mixed but generally softening growth backdrop, reinforcing expectations that U.S. economic momentum is cooling without a sharp downturn. Inflation indicators suggest price pressures are moderating but not fully anchored, with energy-related compon
US 10YR Bond Yield Update Friday April 10US 10YR Bond Yield Update (Daily)
The yield spiked to test monthly resistance at 4.495%–4.484% but pulled back sharply, now hovering around 4.28%–4.29%.
Key levels:
• Resistance: Still 4.495% (monthly high)
• Support: 4.273% (daily 0.618 fib), 4.143% (0.382 fib), and strong weekly support at 3.932%
Price remains above the orange EMA 50 (~4.23%) and well above the red EMA 200, preserving the longer-term bullish structure. The pullback looks like a healthy rejection from resistance rather tha
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Quite BullishBullish yields here really.
Beautiful Wyckoff bottom here, with a spring through the gap up, completely leading oil as I said, and telling us the truth in markets.
If we see yields hold above these support levels throughout this week, we're really setting up the bullish case. We'd want to see follow-thru, but this is a tell in the market.
(Not financial advice, but despite what Tommy Lee says, I do not believe the bottom of the market is in..)
Long
Bullish unless we close under 3.875%Not financial advice.
Comment if you please.
A new uptrend has been established in bond yields as we look back. The accumulation bottoming pattern is very textbook.
chartschool.stockcharts.com
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays
Long
10Y BOND Expectation:BOND start the up trend and now it open the target 4.75 point, this week BOND can increase till 4.554 point, up trend decision area is 4.2 point, but 4.31 point can work as short term support zone.
When bond is increasing, it means that on the market there is exist the fear, and investors are trying to use safe way and they are buying the bond, until the bond is in the up trend general market, is under the risk!
Long
Treasuries Under Duress AgainWe saw this 1-2 weeks ago around the same time of day.
Large jumps in the treasury bond yields, indicating a lack of liquidity in the overnight markets.
Last time this happened, yields broke out in the day trading sessions and met if now surpassed the max wick.
Even if equities pump a bit more, I am not confident that liquidity is healthy as things stand now.
(Not financial advice)
Comment and Boost if you like.
Long
US 10Y TREASURY: Oil fuels yields The U.S. 10Y Treasury yield moved higher during the second half of the week, as rising oil prices intensified inflation concerns and reshaped macro expectations. Markets are increasingly pricing in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment, as persistent inflation could limit the scope for rate cuts. This shift has led to selling pressure on longer-dated bonds, pushing the 10Y yield upward and tightening financial conditions. Overall, the move reflects growing uncertainty around inflation
Steepening Yield Curve is just a bearish rising wedgeThere are lots of news stories being put out about issues with the various steepening yield curve for US Treasuries they all seem somewhat misguided. I’m just going to focus on the10y and the 2y.
This is important because a yield curve inversion is a highly successful (but not perfect) predictor of upcoming recessions (however we define that these days).
Main Chart
Hopefully the chart is self-explanatory. Beginning with left to right
Our blue support line has ben in play for about a wh
US 10Y Treasury Yield TA Weekly+DailyUS 10Y Treasury Yield TA (as of Apr 4, 2026)
Weekly Chart
Bigger picture shows a longer-term uptrend since late 2025. Yield remains well above EMA50 (orange ~4.21%) and EMA200 (red ~3.84%), confirming the primary bullish structure. RSI (28) at 52.25 — also neutral-bullish.
Daily Chart
Price spiked to ~4.50% in March then pulled back, now hovering around 4.31% near the weekly resistance (blue line at 4.309%).
EMA50 (orange) at 4.222% and EMA200 (red) at 4.201% — price sits comfortably
10Y BOND Weekly ConclusionBOND start the up trend and now it opened the target 4.75 point, up trend decision area is 4.2 point, but 4.32 point can work as short term support zone. 4.554 point target can delay next week.
When bond is increasing, it means that on the market there is exist the fear, and investors are trying to use safe way and they are buying the bond, until the bond is in the up trend general market, is under the risk!
Long
The technical signal to wait for before returning to buyingMilitary operations in the Middle East since Saturday, February 28 have disrupted the global economy and have had a strong impact on international financial markets. The surge in oil and gas prices generated by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a sell-off in global equity markets, and few sectors have resisted except those linked to energy prices and defense.
The mechanism of bearish transmission from the geopolitical situation to global stock markets operates through the disrup
Technical Analysis Report: India 10-Year G-Sec Yield1. Trendline & Structure
The chart shows a long-term descending trendline acting as resistance since the late 1990s.
Current yield: ~6.96%, testing this resistance zone.
Moving averages (short, medium, long) are converging, suggesting a critical inflection point.
2. Momentum Indicators
RSI: Hovering near mid-levels, not overbought yet. A breakout could push RSI into bullish territory.
MACD: Histogram turning positive, signal lines converging → momentum building for a possible breakout.
3. V
US 10-Year Yield Analysis (as of Mar 31, 2026)US 10-Year Yield Analysis (as of Mar 31, 2026)
Quick Chart SnapshotWeekly (1W):
Yield is in a broad sideways range.
Key levels: Resistance: 4.32% (Weekly S&R) and 4.62% (Monthly S&R)
Support: 4.00% (Weekly S&R)
50ema acting as dynamic resistance near current levels (~4.32%).
4H:
Strong recent rally from March lows, riding a clear ascending trendline.
Price just hit the 4.32% horizontal resistance and the 50 EMA. A short-term pullback or consolidation is likely here.
Bullish Scenario
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Why 4,10 Level is Critical?US 10-Year Treasury Yield: As Long as It Stays Above 4.10, Markets Cannot Breathe Easy
What Is a Bond Yield?
The government issues bonds, investors buy them, and in return the government pays interest. The ratio of that interest payment to the bond's price is called the "yield." As yields rise, the government's borrowing cost increases — and that cost spreads across all markets.
How Do Rising Yields Affect Other Assets?
When bond yields rise, a "risk-free" investment becomes more attractive.
UK Gilt buying opportunity comingUk GILT is dropping because of Energy Shock caused by geopolitical tension between us and Iran.
Due to these inflationary pressures, markets have slashed expectations for the Bank of England (BoE) to cut interest rates. Traders now price less than a 20% chance of a rate cut this month, down from 80% just a week ago.
Technically $88-89 is very strong support and we can expect bounce from there.
ULong
10Y BOND Weekly Expectation:BOND start the up trend and now it open the target 4.75 point, this week BOND can increase till 4.554 point, up trend decision area is 4.2 point, but 4.32 point can work as short term support zone.
When bond is increasing, it means that on the market there is exist the fear, and investors are trying to use safe way and they are buying the bond, until the bond is in the up trend general market, is under the risk!
Long
US 10Y TREASURY: Signaling rising risksLong term Treasury yields are not sending a good signal with respect to the US economy at this moment. The 10Y Treasury yields climbed toward 4.48% on Friday, driven by rising inflation expectations amid surging oil prices and escalating geopolitical tensions. Markets are also repricing the Federal Reserve path toward higher-for-longer rates, while weaker demand for Treasuries adds further upward pressure on yields. During the week there have also been a few notes from Federal Governors, noting
The EU is Done.The EU is Done 💀
These patterns were no topping patterns on the yields.
#EU10Y
But 4-year long continuation patterns, now breaking out and ready for expansion.
Get out of government bonds while you can.
Long