US10Y & SP500 | CRISIS ANALYSIS - BANKING SYSTEM MELTDOWN*From oct 2018 to dec 2019 there is very strong divergence of -42% between falling US10Y and rising S&P 500.(On every falling US10Y there is average of 60% correlation with S&P500).
*Corona virus Activated the convergence process and covered almost +70% to set the overall correlation at +34%.
*There is remaining 30-40% convergence left to align US10Y and S&P500.(Expecting alignment on lower trend channel).
Government bonds
Tough times ahead for Stock Markets?This chart looks at US 10 Year Bond Yield over last 30 years.
The yield was in a downtrend and in a falling channel for 30 years until now where it broke out above the channel. This may signal a near term top on Equity markets.
Purely educational not to be taken as advice
German 10 Yr Yields hit new highs @0.71%Globally the theme of Central Bankers tightening monetary policy is well captured with German yields hitting new yearly highs. Interest rates are rising all across the Globe and emerging markets need to make note of this. Yields could be testing 1% in the coming months if crude continues its upturn.
Indian govt 10y bond yields set to spikeWeekly chart
10 year yield broken 2 year resistance.
It is currently in the middle of the upward channel.
2 year resistance line could possibly act as a support which is at 7.50%-7.52%.
Yields could possibly retest support and then spike towards 8%.
Bond traders should ideally look to go short in price (long in yields at 7.50%) with stop at yield equivalent of 7.29% for a target of a price at yield equivalent of 8%.



















