The End of Bakrie Euphoria? $IDX:BUMIDespite the MSCI candidate euphoria and several significant corp action, IDX:BUMI D1 chart has shown an important warning to all of its Investor. If we use the classic price action frame work, there should be new higher high to confirm that BUMI is in an uptrend. In this case, I've done several backtest with the EMA13. Whenever the chart failed to create a new higher high below the EMA13, especially when it combines with high selling pressure there's a chance for an equity to experience a dump.
Please be mindful that this is not a financial advice and all I want to do is just sharing my thoughts. Do Your Own Research
IMPCSkenario 1: Auto Buy Breakout (Momentum)
This aims to catch the stock as it clears the recent lower-high resistance to confirm a trend reversal.
Entry (Buy Stop): 3,660 (Clearing the recent minor peak of 3,650).
Stop Loss (SL): 3,390 (Below the recent consolidation base).
Target Profit (TP): 4,100 (Retesting the previous major high).
Skenario 2: Buy on Support (Set and Forget)
This strategy buys into the current "bottoming" attempt near the recent low.
Entry (Limit Order): 3,410 - 3,450 (Near the recent support zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 3,290 (Strict exit if it breaks the recent low of 3,300).
Target Profit (TP): 3,900 (Intermediate resistance level).
AADI (Adaro Andalan Indonesia)1. Auto Buy Breakout (Momentum Strategy)
Best used if the price continues to show immediate strength.
Entry (Buy Stop): 8,575 (1 tick above the recent high of 8,550).
Stop Loss (SL): 7,950 (Placement below the recent breakout candle's body).
Target Profit (TP): 9,825 (Approaching the 10,000 psychological resistance).
2. Buy on Support (Retracement Strategy)
The "Set and Forget" approach, waiting for a retest of the breakout zone.
Entry (Limit Order): 8,050 - 8,150 (Targeting the value area of the breakout).
Stop Loss (SL): 7,450 (Below the minor swing low/support base).
Target Profit (TP): 9,350 (Previous historical peak area).
$INTP (VCP - 15W 20/4 4T)Position update: December 31, 2025.
Key factors:
1. The stock is in a confirmed Stage 2 uptrend.
2. A quintessential VCP breakout with a clearly defined, low-risk entry point.
3. A breakaway move marking the first breakout within a confirmed Stage 2 advance.
4. Exhibits strong relative strength.
5. Volume has dried up, indicating less supply coming to the market.
6. The breakout was accompanied by substantial volume expansion.
Considerations:
While the breakout occurred on exceptional volume, disciplined risk management remains essential given the potential for short-term volatility.
Conclusion:
This remains a classic VCP setup with a clean pivot reset and favorable risk profile. I’ll be watching closely to see whether it can hold key levels and deliver meaningful follow-through from here.






















