Long
Long
WA INC - 7683 JPY - Trend Value Trigger=============================TRADE LAYOUT============================
1. IDENTIFY THE TREND
a) Series of new higher high swing and higher low swing: YES
b) 10 EMA > 30 EMA > 50 EMA: YES
c) EMAs pointing upwards: YES
d) Output: UPTRENDING MARKET
e) Bias: LOOKING FOR LONG OPPORTUNITIES CLOSE TO VALUE AREAS
2. IDENTIFY THE VALUE AREA
a) 10 EMA: OFFERING SUPPORT SINCE END OCTOBER, 2022
b) 50 EMA: -
c) Support area: -
d) Demand area: -
e) Trendline: -
3. LOOK FOR A TRIGGER IN THAT AREA
a) Candlestick pattern: BULLISH MARUBOZU
b) Break of structure in the lower timeframe: -
4. SET A STOP LOSS
a) 1 average bar size (14 periods) below the value are: 3100 JYP (10 EMA - 87 JPY)
b) 1 ATR below the value area: -
5. SET A TARGET
a) Resistance area:
b) Supply area: JPY 4200 - JPY 4400
c) 10 EMA: -
d) 50 EMA: -
e) Trendline: -
6. POSITION SIZE / RISK MANAGEMENT:
a) No more that 1% of your total equity at risk on an single trade, therefore: (Stop Loss (set logically as per above) / Entry Point) x 100 / Total Equity < 1
b) No more than 30% of your total equity at risk at any given moment
=============================WHY?===================================
Put simple (and it is):
WHY TRADING WITH THE TREND?
The trend is your friend. Trends do bend, but until that unavoidable moment comes, the odds get tacked on your side if you trade in the same direction of the trend.
WHAT IS A VALUE AREA?
Just an area where the odds are, the bulls will step up and support the price, or the bears will step up and stem a sell off.
WHAT MAKES YOU THINK YOU CAN IDENTIFY THEM?
Rational behavior from big institutions, herd behavior, quantitative anchors, qualitative anchors from other traders. These are usually translated into price movements, price movements that leave traces, even patterns.
Let me give you a couple of examples for argument's sake:
a) You want to fly to Japan, so you jump into your flight tickets' website to purchase your tickets. Today you see that the price of a ticket is 500$. You think it is too expensive, so you decide to wait for tomorrow to check if the price decreases. Tomorrow you check again, and now the price is 600$. What do you do next? Perhaps you wait another day, and then you see the price getting back to 500$, those 500$ now look cheap to you so you buy (support). Or perhaps then it becomes 700$ and the FOMO kicks in and you buy because tomorrow it might as well be 800$.
b) Investment Fund Warren Buffet and Co has done their due diligence, applied their fundamental assessments and decided stock X is cheap at 10$ and purchased stock X, which happened to be trading at 10$. Like a ton of stock, billions worth of it. A month later, after stock x rallied, it got back to trading at 10$. Unless the macro situation has dramatically changed, what do you think Hedge Fund Warren Buffet and Co will do now?
c) Richcoin is trading at all time highs. Everyone in your neighborhood holds richcoin. The cab drivers are thinking of quitting their jobs because they hold richcoin. Are you really going to be the only loser who does not buy richcoin? - Herding.
d) Investment Fund Jesse Livermore and Co has stacked loads of shares of stock Y. It has already started to conduct a marketing campaign. Since it is necessary for the public to buy and price up their stock, they can risk having an early sell off in their stock hampering their campaign. So they can't risk having the public panicking with sharp price declines … yet. So what happens when the price touches key EMAs like the 10 and the 50 (w), they support the price and the uptrend.
Behaviors like these echo through the markets. And they leave traces.
WHY DO YOU NEED TO IDENTIFY THESE AREAS?
Because you want one of two things:
1. Your idea is supported by the team you chose to support.
2. Your idea is not supported but in any case you get the chance to know that immediately and not waste further time and money with your idea
HOW ABOUT THE TRIGGER? WHY DO YOU NEED IT?
Ok, the price is trading in a value area. But can you really tell in which direction it is moving now? Well, you never, but if you identify a directional pattern springing in that area, then once again you stack the odd on your side if you just follow that direction, even though shakeout will sooner or later knock on every trader's door.
AND POSITION SIZING?
This should even have been rule number zero. Nobody, and I mean, nobody knows the future. No technical analysis or fundamental or whatsoever, will ever save you from the uncertainty of the future and the complexity of reality. That means that this is a game of stacking odds in your favor, not aiming at certainties. That means that this is a game of guaranteeing your survival in the markets each day, to make sure you have an everlasting exposure to favorable odds and positive black swans.
====================================================================
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If that's the stage where you're at, then feel free to drop by my store for backtested, quantified trading strategies across all markets and asset classes.
Cheers,
Tenacious Tribe - Back Tested, Quantified Trading Strategies & Studies
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Long
Long
Fujitsu Limited WCA - Symmetrical TriangleCompany: Fujitsu Limited
Ticker: 6702.T
Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange
Sector: Technology
Introduction:
Hello and welcome to our technical analysis session! Today we are focusing on Fujitsu Limited as observed on the weekly chart on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. An intriguing symmetrical triangle formation has caught our attention, which may act as a bullish continuation.
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern:
A symmetrical triangle is a price pattern characterized by converging trend lines and oscillating price within the pattern. It can serve as a continuation or a reversal signal. The breakout direction tends to predict the subsequent trend direction.
Analysis:
Preceding this consolidation phase, Fujitsu's price exhibited a clear uptrend. The ongoing consolidation phase, shaped as a symmetrical triangle, has been forming for 616 days. There are three points of contact with the triangle's upper boundary and two with its lower boundary.
Notably, this consolidation phase takes place above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. If we see a weekly candlestick close above 18400, it could serve as an opportune moment for a long position entry.
Assuming a valid breakout, our projected price target is at 26025, translating into a potential price rise of approximately 41.33%.
Conclusion:
The weekly chart of Fujitsu Limited presents a potential bullish continuation pattern in the form of a symmetrical triangle. A confirmed breakout above the triangle's upper boundary could offer a promising long position entry.
As always, please perform your own due diligence and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing. Not financial advice!
Thank you for joining this analysis. If you found it useful, please like, share, and follow for more insightful market updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh Mitsubishi Heavy Industries WCA - Rectangle PatternCompany: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Ticker: 7011
Exchange: Tokyo Stock Exchange
Sector: Industrial
Introduction:
Hello and welcome to this week's technical analysis. We're focusing on Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, as represented on the weekly chart of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The company's stock has formed an interesting rectangle pattern over the past 378 days, acting as a potential bullish continuation.
Rectangle Pattern:
A Rectangle pattern can act as a continuation or reversal signal, formed when price oscillates between two parallel lines—support and resistance. The eventual breakout direction might determine the continuation or reversal of the current trend.
Analysis:
Previously, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' price has been on an upward trend, and this Rectangle pattern might signal a bullish continuation. The price has been moving within two clearly defined boundaries—upper at 5650 and lower at 4476. Both these boundaries have experienced two touch points each.
Significantly, this consolidation is occurring above the 200 EMA. Presently, we have seen a fresh breakout above the upper boundary, and we're patiently awaiting the weekly candle's close to plan a potential long entry.
Assuming the breakout is valid, our projected price target is at 6826, indicating a potential price rise of about 20.74%.
Conclusion:
The weekly chart of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries presents a possible bullish continuation pattern in the form of a Rectangle. A confirmed breakout above the upper boundary could offer a promising long entry opportunity.
As always, conduct your own research and consider appropriate risk management strategies when investing.
Thank you for joining this analysis session. If you found it valuable, please like, share, and follow for more market insights. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh 
Long
Long
9202 - Bullish ReversalCompany: ANA Holdings Inc.
Ticker: 9202
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Air Transport
Introduction:
Hello and welcome to today's technical analysis. We're turning our attention to the weekly chart of ANA Holdings Inc. (9202) on the TSE, which is demonstrating an exciting Rectangle pattern breakout that could signal a bullish reversal.
Rectangle Pattern:
The Rectangle pattern is a common chart pattern that can act as a continuation or a reversal signal, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout's direction. In this case, the Rectangle pattern is acting as a bullish reversal signal.
Analysis:
Over the past 1155 days, ANA Holdings' price movements have formed a distinct Rectangle pattern. The clear touch points and boundaries define the pattern, with the lower boundary at 2117.5 and the upper boundary at 2989.
The price has successfully moved above the 200 EMA, and for the first time in 1155 days, we've seen a clear breakout above the upper boundary of the Rectangle. This is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Conclusion:
The price target following this breakout is set at 3853, representing a potential rise of 29%. As always, it's crucial to employ risk management strategies and appropriate position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please remember that this analysis should not be taken as financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading or investing.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh 
Long
Bridgestone Corp WCA - Inverted head and shouldersCompany: Bridgestone Corporation
Ticker: 5108
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Automotive & Auto Parts
Introduction:
Greetings, and thank you for taking the time to read this analysis. Today, we are examining the weekly chart of Bridgestone Corp on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE). Our focus is on a classical price pattern known as the inverted head and shoulders, which here manifests as a bullish continuation pattern.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The inverted head and shoulders pattern on this chart has been forming over a 686-day period. This pattern is particularly compelling due to its near-perfect symmetry, represented by the symmetry line. The current resistance, also referred to as the neckline of the price pattern, has seen multiple tests and is sitting at 5468.
Bullish Environment:
Notably, the price remains above the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average), which typically indicates a bullish market environment. Therefore, we are patiently waiting for a clear break of the neckline.
Trade Strategy:
To avoid premature breakouts, we could combine this trade with a breakout filter. Upon successful breakout, the price target stands at ¥6883, representing a potential price increase of approximately 26%.
Conclusion:
The weekly chart analysis of Bridgestone Corp reveals an emerging inverted head and shoulders pattern, suggesting a bullish continuation. As always, when trading based on chart patterns, it is essential to consider risk management and adequate position sizing.
Please note that this analysis does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own thorough research before making investment decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more updates. Happy trading!
Best Regards,
Karim Subhieh Sony Group Corporation DCA - Inverted head and shoulders + C&HCompany: Sony Group Corporation
Ticker: 6758
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Electronics
Introduction:
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the daily chart of Sony Group Corporation, focusing on an interesting combination of two price patterns, an inverted head and shoulders and a cup and handle pattern. This combination provides additional confirmation for classical chart analysts and offers a compelling trading opportunity.
Price Patterns:
Inverted Head and Shoulders: This pattern has been forming for 384 days and features a clear horizontal resistance line at ¥12,380. This serves as our reference point for the pattern.
Cup and Handle: The right shoulder of the inverted head and shoulders pattern contains a 126-day old cup and handle pattern, which provides further confirmation and a second possible price pattern. The same horizontal resistance line at ¥12,380 serves as the reference point for this pattern.
Bullish Environment:
The price has been above the 200 EMA for some time, indicating a bullish environment.
Price Targets:
Inverted Head and Shoulders: The price target for this pattern is ¥15,520, representing a potential price increase of 25%.
Cup and Handle: The price target for this pattern is ¥14,725, representing a potential price increase of 19%.
Trade Opportunity:
A breakout has occurred, making this trade actionable without further observation.
Conclusion:
The Sony Group Corporation daily chart analysis highlights the combination of an inverted head and shoulders pattern and a cup and handle pattern. This provides a compelling trade opportunity with clear price targets. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh 
Long
Toyota Motor Corporation DCA - Rectangle Reversal Company: Toyota Motor Corporation
Ticker: 7203
Exchange: TSE
Sector: Automotive
Introduction:
Hello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze the daily chart of Toyota Motor Corporation, focusing on a potential Rectangle reversal pattern. This pattern may indicate a change in the trend and offers trading opportunities for both short-term gains and long-term positions.
Rectangle Reversal Pattern:
The Rectangle pattern is a consolidation pattern that forms when the price is bounded by parallel support and resistance levels. It can act as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. A breakout above the resistance level signals a potential trend reversal.
Analysis:
On the daily chart, Toyota Motor Corp has been in a clear downward trend, as indicated by the blue diagonal resistance line. However, the Rectangle pattern, which has four touch points at the top and five at the bottom, could potentially serve as a reversal pattern.
Currently, the price is attempting to break above the 200 EMA. If a breakout occurs with a candle close above this level, the price target is ¥14550, representing a gain of approximately 7.5%. This setup could also present a good opportunity to build a longer-term position, depending on the trend opportunity and whether the Rectangle pattern truly acts as a reversal signal.
Conclusion:
The Toyota Motor Corp daily chart analysis highlights a Rectangle reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the 200 EMA for any signs of a breakout. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh 
Long
CAPCOM CO LTD: Strong Video Game Success and Financial PerformanCAPCOM CO LTD is a leading Japanese video game developer and publisher. The company was founded in 1979 and has since then created a portfolio of world-renowned titles such as Resident Evil, Monster Hunter, and Street Fighter. As of April 18, 2023, the company's stock, ticker 9697, is trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange at a market capitalization of JPY 2.41 trillion.
From a technical perspective, CAPCOM's stock has been performing well, hitting new all-time highs in recent months. The stock price has been trending upwards since the end of 2021 and has gained over 45% year-to-date. The stock is currently trading above its 50-day moving average (MA) of JPY 6,830, which is above its 200-day MA of JPY 6,375. This indicates that the stock is in an uptrend and has bullish momentum.
In terms of financials, CAPCOM CO LTD has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 37.3, which is higher than the industry average of 30.7. This indicates that the market is willing to pay a premium for the company's earnings. CAPCOM has a dividend yield of 0.7%, which is lower than the industry average of 1.3%. While the dividend yield is lower, the company has consistently increased its dividend payouts over the years, reflecting its commitment to rewarding its shareholders.
CAPCOM has a strong free cash flow of JPY 48.7 billion as of the end of the fiscal year 2022. This represents a significant increase from the JPY 25.8 billion reported in the previous fiscal year. The company's strong free cash flow provides it with the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends, and reduce debt.
The company's current liabilities are JPY 23.3 billion as of the end of the fiscal year 2022, which is significantly lower than its current assets of JPY 114.7 billion. This indicates that the company has a strong ability to meet its short-term obligations.
There are several reasons to consider taking a long position in the company's stock:
1. Strong Technical Performance: The stock has been hitting new all-time highs and has been in an uptrend with bullish momentum. This suggests that the market is positive about the company's growth prospects and future earnings potential.
2. Growing Free Cash Flow: CAPCOM has reported a strong free cash flow, which indicates that the company has the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, pay dividends, and reduce debt. This is a positive sign for investors, as it suggests that the company is well-positioned to generate sustainable long-term growth.
3. Solid Ability to Meet Short-term Obligations: The company's current liabilities are significantly lower than its current assets, indicating that the company has a solid ability to meet its short-term obligations. This provides investors with confidence that the company can manage its cash flow effectively.
4. Strong Portfolio of Successful Titles: CAPCOM has a strong portfolio of successful video game titles, such as Resident Evil, Monster Hunter, and Street Fighter, which have a loyal following and strong brand recognition. This can provide a stable source of revenue and long-term growth potential for the company.
In summary, CAPCOM CO LTD is a solid company with a promising outlook for the future. The company has a strong technical performance, growing free cash flow, solid ability to meet its short-term obligations, and a strong portfolio of successful titles. These factors make it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors looking to gain exposure to the video game industry. 
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