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$5020.T ENEOS HOLDINGS: REVENUE GROWTH, MAJOR IPO ENEOS HOLDINGS: REVENUE GROWTH, MAJOR IPO & DECARBONIZATION STRATEGY
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Big News: Eneos Holdings ($5020.T) reported ¥14.97T revenue for FY 2024 (+9.8% YoY) thanks to higher oil prices & solid refining demand. They’ve also announced a massive JX Advanced Metals ($JXAM) IPO worth up to ¥460B—Japan’s largest in 7 years! 🏭💥
2/8 – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• FY Net Income: ¥320.5B (↓12% YoY) due to rising costs & green investments 🌱⚡️
• Q3 Net Income: ¥85.4B (+3% QoQ) on cost optimization + refining margin boost
• Dividend: ¥22/share—they’re not skimping on shareholder returns 💹💰
3/8 – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• JXAM IPO coming Mar 19, 2025—selling 50.1–58% stake
• Could raise $2.6– SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B —funding Eneos’ decarbonization pivot & fueling shareholder value 🚀
• Market reacted positively (+1% in Eneos stock), while broader Japanese market stayed flat ⚖️
4/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Valuation: P/E ~8.5 vs. global oil refiners (~10.2) & metals (~12.1) 🔎
• Revenue Growth: +9.8% outpacing Shell (6.2%) & ExxonMobil NYSE:XOM (7.8%), but below BHP (12.4%)
• Undervalued? P/B ~0.9 vs. sector avg. 1.3, EV/EBITDA 6.8 vs. peers at 7.5. Looks attractive! 🔥
5/8 – RISK FACTORS
• Oil Price Volatility: Refining margins can flip on a dime ⛽️💥
• Geopolitical Tensions: Japan relies heavily on energy imports 🌏
• Energy Transition Costs: ¥150B budget for renewables—major capex needed ♻️🔋
• JXAM IPO Execution: A poor market reception = potential stock hit ⚠️
6/8 – REGULATORY & DECARBONIZATION
• Japan targets net-zero by 2050—Eneos faces higher compliance costs 🌐
• Carbon capture & hydrogen investments: Could future-proof Eneos, but short-term margins may tighten 🤖⚡️
7/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
• Strengths: Diversified (refining + metals + renewables), top-tier Japanese refiner 🏆
• Weaknesses: Profit margin (2.1%) lags peers, heavy capex for transition 😬
• Opportunities: JXAM IPO frees capital; renewables & hydrogen for growth 🌱💡
• Threats: Shift away from fossil fuels, market skepticism 🚫⚡️
8/8 Where do you see Eneos in 2025?
1️⃣ Bullish—Decarbonization + IPO = huge upside! 🐂
2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Valuation looks good, but risks are real 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—Oil refining can’t outrun global transitions 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇 
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Corrective downtrend has ended - Upside coming backTSE:6315 Towa Corp's uptrend has been intact since March 2020. Despite a correction since 27 May 2024, the correction has come to an end after the stock broke above the falling wedge. Furthermore, the latest price action shows a closure above the ichimoku Kumo, which confirms the three bullish golden cross.
The latest cross above 1,921 resistance turned support marks the possible start of a renewed uptrend, where higher high and low was spotted.
Momentum is strong across the Long-term MACD, mid-term Stochastic Oscillator, where it has confirmed the oversold crossover. Moreover, 23-period ROC has risen strongly above the zero line.
Volume remain in a healthy expansion and directional movement index is showing strong positive bullish strength.
Hence, we are considering buying on spot or buy on pullback at 1,563. Target will be in different stages. 1st TP is 2,687 and final TP is 6,520 
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Two Types of UptrendsSony Group (6758) - Weekly Chart
There are two types of uptrends within an overall upward trend.
This statement might sound confusing at first.
What I mean is that there are "easy-to-understand" uptrends and "difficult" uptrends.
The chart shows two blue circles.
Which one represents an easy-to-understand chart, and which one represents a difficult chart?
Opinions might differ, but I feel the chart on the left is easy to understand, while the one on the right is more difficult.
The reason is that on the left, the pullback buying (buying on dips) continues, and there are no clear exit points.
On the other hand, the right side ultimately trends upward, but the trend doesn't sustain, making it hard to hold a position.
So, how should we deal with such situations?
Since this is a weekly chart, one option is to monitor it with a swing trading approach using the daily chart.
However, when faced with a difficult chart, you also have the option of walking away from that stock instead of forcing a strategy.
Focusing on finding easy-to-read charts and trading only in straightforward situations can often lead to better results.
Keep in mind that this is one way to think about trading. Education 
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A triangle consolidation should be "followed by a breakout."INPEX Daily Chart
The chart is moving around the 200-day moving average (the gentle red line).
When the price is above the 200-day moving average, buying pressure has been dominant.
When the price falls below the 200-day moving average, selling pressure takes over.
The yellow background on the chart indicates a phase of buying dominance, while the blue background signifies a phase of selling dominance.
Recently, the chart has formed a triangle consolidation pattern.
A triangle consolidation is often described with the phrase "follow the breakout."
This pattern forms when a standoff occurs between buyers and sellers, leading to a state of equilibrium.
Once this equilibrium breaks, a new trend emerges.
Thus, the idea is to follow the direction of the trend once it becomes apparent.
While it's unclear which way the breakout will go, the likelihood of an upward breakout increases when the price is above the 200-day EMA. Conversely, when the price is below the 200-day EMA, the chance of a downward breakout increases.
So, instead of trying to predict whether the price will rise or fall, let's trade in line with the movements of the chart. 
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🇯🇵 Long Nippon Tel & Tel at 152.6For today's international stock hypothetical trade, I'm off to the Asia-Pacific region to visit the Nikkei and attempt to outdo its 20 year average annual return in this trade alone. Since that is -1.1% per year, I think I can clear that bar. Plus, with the US markets closed tomorrow, I need something to entertain me when I wake up.
As you can see, the chart on Nippon isn't particuarly compelling, but my algo and I would have been 20-0 over the time period shown on the chart, so I feel good about it nonetheless.
One of the reasons I chose Nippon (there's lots of stuff down on the Nikkei) is that FPC trades on this name tend to close quicker than most. Overall returns on an absolute level are small (avg. 1.16%) but getting that in an average of 9 days in a market that returns 200ish% less than that a year is pretty good work, I think. I'm sure most Japanese buy and holders would take it, anyway.
I'm obvioulsy not trading this for real from half a planet away, but I'll play it like I am.
Per my usual strategy, once I'm in I'll add at the close on any day it still flashes "buy" and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
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