KEL - Bullish Expanding Triangle breakoutKEL – Monthly Technical Outlook
CMP: ~8.94
Time Frame: Long-Term (Monthly)
Risk Level: Moderate–High
KEL has confirmed a bullish expanding triangle breakout on the monthly structure after a prolonged multi-year downtrend (2017–2023). Price compression between higher highs and lower lows resolved to the upside, backed by expansion in range and momentum.
Structure Breakdown:
Primary Breakout Zone: 7.20–7.60
Immediate Resistance: 10.90–11.00 (recent supply rejection zone)
Base Support (Must Hold): 7.40–7.80
Structural Support: 6.30–6.50
The breakout candle from the 3–4 range marked a regime shift. Current consolidation under 11 suggests digestion before next leg.
Upside Projections (Fibonacci Expansion)
T1: 11.70–12.50
T2: 15.50–16.00
T3: 18.50–21.00
Extended Long-Term Projection: 22+ (if macro + liquidity cycle aligns)
A sustained close above 11 on monthly basis activates the next impulsive leg toward 15–16.
Risk Scenario
Failure to hold above 7.40 would invalidate the breakout structure and drag price back toward 6.30. A breakdown below 6 would negate the bullish thesis.
Bias
As long as KEL sustains above the breakout base (7.4–7.8), structure favors higher highs over time. Volatility will remain elevated due to expanding triangle dynamics, meaning wide swings are normal within bullish bias.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and assess your risk before investing. Market investments carry risk of capital loss.
Long
