Systems Ltd: Winter Is Coming — Expect a 50% FallSystems Ltd — Bearish HTF Liquidity Scenario
Systems Ltd is showing a potentially important bearish setup when the Monthly and Yearly structures are viewed together.
Monthly Timeframe
Price has already reacted from the upper supply/imbalance area and is now trading around 130.82 .
The important observations are:
Rejection from the upper monthly imbalance/supply zone
Rising trend-line liquidity sitting below price
Major downside liquidity resting much lower
Bearish RSI divergence developing since 2021 , while price continued making higher highs
The immediate structural reference below price is around 122.97 . A sustained breakdown would strengthen the case for a deeper monthly repricing.
Yearly Timeframe
The yearly chart makes the downside scenario much more significant.
Price is currently trading around 130.82 , while a large unfilled Yearly Imbalance remains below.
The major draw is:
SSL / Main Target: 56.38–56.66
From the current area, this represents approximately a -56.87% move.
Bearish Roadmap
The thesis is based on:
Monthly Supply Rejection → Trend-Line Liquidity → Yearly Imbalance → SSL
The key point is that the downside target is not selected randomly. The 56 area combines the marked sell-side liquidity with the upper boundary of the major yearly imbalance.
Primary Target: 56.38–56.66
If the higher-timeframe bearish structure continues to develop, that remains the ultimate liquidity objective shown on this chart.
THAL LongRetesting and Liquidity sweep events happened in THAL. Successfully retested its breakout level (560), went far below the breakout candle but monthly candle closed just above the breakout level, inside the breakout candle. It was a liqudity sweep event.
Next targets can be 657, 784 and in extreme bull case, it can touch 950 which can be its ultimate target in medium term.
EPS has improved significantly after Thal Nova dividend income started to be received by Thal.
I expect a healthy dividend as well this time but only God knows.
This is not a buy / sell call, just my personal opinion. I've made my position in it.
Fauji Cement Company Limited (FCCL) — Upside Target 88FCCL is presenting a constructive technical setup, with recent price behavior indicating renewed strength and improving buyer participation. The stock appears to be developing a positive structure after holding its important lower levels, creating room for a potential advance toward higher price territories.
The current formation suggests that market sentiment is gradually turning favorable for FCCL.
Continued stability above the key base, followed by a decisive move through nearby resistance, could provide the momentum required for the next upward phase.
For this trade idea, 88 has been identified as the projected upside objective. The journey toward this level may include brief consolidations and short-term retracements, but the overall outlook remains positive while the underlying structure continues to hold.
A sustained expansion above the immediate resistance zone would further strengthen the bullish scenario and could attract additional market participation. Conversely, a significant deterioration in the current structure would require the setup to be reassessed.
The focus remains on confirmation through price behavior, momentum and market participation rather than chasing extended moves.
Trade Bias: Bullish 📈
Projected Objective: 88 🎯
This is a technical trade idea based on chart structure and price action. The projected target is not guaranteed, and appropriate risk management should always be considered.
Allied Bank Limited (ABL) — Downside Risk Toward 130ABL is currently showing signs of weakening price action, with the recent structure indicating that bullish momentum is gradually losing strength.
Price has struggled to maintain higher levels, while repeated rejection around key areas is creating a more cautious outlook for the stock.
The current setup points toward a possible continuation of the downward move if ABL fails to regain its important resistance levels. A decisive break below the established support region could increase selling activity and expose the stock to substantially lower price zones.
Based on the present technical structure, 130 is identified as the projected downside objective for this trade idea. The route toward this level may include short-term recoveries, sideways movement and temporary pauses; however, the broader bearish scenario remains valid while the declining structure stays intact.
Particular attention should be given to failed attempts to recover, rejection from overhead levels and the strength of price movement during any breakdown.
A strong recovery and sustained acceptance above the key resistance area could weaken this bearish thesis and require a reassessment of the setup.
For now, the focus remains on price behavior rather than short-term noise. If sellers maintain control and the structure continues to deteriorate, ABL could gradually move toward the 130 zone.
Trade Bias: Bearish 📉
Projected Downside: 130 🎯
This is a technical trade idea based on price structure and market behavior.
The projected level is not a guaranteed outcome, and proper risk management remains essential.
National Bank of Pakistan (NBP) — Eyeing 420NBP is presenting a constructive upside setup, with the price structure indicating renewed buying interest and improving upward momentum. The current configuration suggests that buyers are attempting to establish stronger control, creating the potential for a broader advance if the stock continues to hold its key technical levels.
The setup favors an expansion toward higher price zones as momentum develops. A sustained move through the relevant resistance areas could attract further participation and strengthen the path toward the 420 level, which is the projected objective for this trade idea.
The bullish thesis remains valid while the stock preserves its underlying structure and avoids a decisive loss of its major support zone. Interim consolidations should be viewed as part of the normal price-discovery process rather than automatically interpreted as a trend reversal.
Market Bias: Bullish 📈
Projected Target: 420 🎯
This is a chart-based trade idea; the 420 level is a projected objective, not a guaranteed outcome. Proper position sizing and risk management remain important.
Nishat Mills Limited (NML) — Setting Up for 280NML is developing an attractive upside structure, with price action showing signs of renewed strength after spending time within a broader consolidation phase. The current setup suggests that market participants are gradually repositioning toward the upside, creating the possibility of a more extended appreciation if the stock sustains its positive trajectory.
The key feature of this setup is the potential transition from accumulation into expansion. Once price establishes stronger acceptance above its immediate supply zones, the stock could begin attracting additional participation and accelerate toward higher technical levels.
For this trade idea, 280 has been identified as the projected upside destination. Reaching this area would represent a substantial move from the present trading zone, so the journey should be expected to include periods of consolidation and short-term retracement.
The bullish thesis remains valid while NML maintains its constructive structure and avoids a decisive breakdown of the levels supporting the current setup.
Traders should focus on confirmation through price behavior, momentum and participation rather than chasing extended candles.
Bias: Bullish 📈
Projected Target: 280 🎯
This is a chart-based trade idea and the projected level is not a guaranteed outcome. Risk management and confirmation remain essential throughout the setup.
MLCF — Upside Path Toward 170MLCF is presenting an interesting accumulation-driven setup, with price action attempting to establish a stronger base after the recent correction.
The stock has shown renewed participation from buyers, while the recovery from lower levels indicates improving demand around the current zone.
The broader structure remains constructive as long as the price continues to defend its important support areas. A sustained move through the recent resistance region could provide the required momentum for a larger upward leg and potentially shift the stock toward higher valuation zones.
For this trade idea, the 170 level is identified as the projected upside objective. The path toward this zone may not be linear, and interim pullbacks or consolidation phases should be considered normal within an upward market structure.
Fundamentally, MLCF also reported a 15% YoY increase in first-half FY26 profit to Rs5.85 billion, while the company has expanded its strategic footprint through its acquisition of Pioneer Cement.
Market Bias: Bullish 📈
Projected Objective: 170 🎯
This analysis represents a technical trade idea, not a guaranteed outcome. Price behavior around key resistance and support levels should remain the primary guide for managing the position.
POL — Buyers Eyeing 870POL is showing strong upside momentum as price continues to trade near its recent highs with buyers maintaining a firm grip over the structure. The recent price action indicates sustained demand and an absence of meaningful weakness, suggesting that the stock may have further room to appreciate if the current momentum remains intact.
From a technical perspective, POL has established a positive price structure, with buyers repeatedly defending higher levels. Instead of anticipating a major retracement at the current stage, the setup favors staying aligned with the prevailing upward move and allowing price to develop toward the next projected objective.
The 870 level represents the key upside objective for this trade idea. A decisive move above the recent high would further strengthen the bullish outlook and could open the way for another leg higher.
As long as the structure remains constructive and selling pressure does not result in a meaningful breakdown, the bias remains bullish. Traders should continue monitoring price acceptance above key levels, volume behavior, and any signs of exhaustion before considering a change in direction.
Trade Bias: Bullish 📈
Projected Target: 870 🎯
HUBC — Bearish Continuation to 170HUBC is currently trading under a weak price structure, and the recent decline has kept the broader setup tilted toward the downside. Instead of treating the existing fall as the end of the move, the current technical picture suggests that sellers may still have room to extend the decline toward the 170 level.
The key focus of this setup is the continuation of weakness rather than attempting to catch a bottom. When a stock remains unable to establish a convincing recovery and successive price action continues to favor lower levels, the probability of another downside leg can increase. For this trade idea, the expectation is that any unsuccessful recovery attempt may provide an opportunity for the bearish move to resume.
From a fundamental perspective, HUBCO operates across a broad energy portfolio and remains one of Pakistan’s major independent power producers. Its business exposure includes conventional and Thar-based power generation, hydel power, mining, oil & gas initiatives and newer areas such as electric vehicles and charging infrastructure.
At the same time, the company's earnings and cash-flow environment remain closely connected to factors such as power-sector receivables, tariff and contractual developments, fuel economics, financing conditions, energy-sector reforms and the broader circular-debt situation. These variables can materially influence sentiment toward power-sector equities. HUBCO also maintains a dividend-oriented policy, making changes in cash generation and capital allocation particularly relevant for investors.
Technically, however, this trade is driven primarily by the prevailing price behavior. The market has already experienced considerable selling, but the structure has not yet provided the type of reversal confirmation that would invalidate the bearish thesis. Therefore, the focus remains on the possibility of further depreciation, with 170 as the projected downside objective.
📉 Bias: SELL
🎯 Target: 170
🔻 View: Bearish Continuation
⚠️ Focus: Downside Expansion
The idea is not to sell simply because price has fallen. The objective is to recognize whether the existing weakness is capable of developing into another meaningful downward phase. If sellers retain control and recovery attempts continue to fail, HUBC could remain vulnerable to additional downside.
The trend is under pressure. The next objective is 170.
As always, the setup should be managed with defined risk, proper position sizing and confirmation rather than emotional decision-making.
PSO — Bullish Target 415PSO is currently presenting a constructive bullish setup, with price action indicating improving buying interest and the potential for a continued advance toward the 415 level. The broader structure suggests that market participants are gradually becoming more confident on the upside, while sustained demand could provide the momentum required for the next leg higher.
From a fundamental perspective, PSO remains one of Pakistan’s strategically important energy companies, with its performance closely linked to domestic fuel demand, petroleum product volumes, exchange-rate movements, international oil prices, inventory dynamics, and the overall liquidity position of the energy sector. Developments surrounding the circular debt situation, government receivables, working-capital conditions and improvements in cash-flow management can also influence investor sentiment toward the company.
At the market level, improving sentiment toward energy-sector equities can further support PSO when accompanied by stronger participation and constructive price development. However, fundamental factors should always be considered alongside technical confirmation rather than treated as a standalone trigger.
Technically, the current setup is focused on the buy side, with the expectation that sustained demand and a continuation of the prevailing structure can push PSO toward the 415 target zone. The objective is not to chase short-term volatility, but to participate once the price structure provides sufficient confirmation and then manage the position according to the defined risk parameters.
🎯 Target: 415
📈 Bias: BUY
🔥 Focus: Bullish Expansion
🧠 Approach: Structured & Disciplined
📊 Market View: Upside Potential
The key remains simple: identify the structure early, wait for confirmation, define the risk, and allow the market to develop.
PSO is on watch for the next bullish expansion. 🚀
OGDC — Oil & Gas Dev Co · healthy pullback Close: 327.70 | RSI: 56.6 | MACD: bullish (hist +1.57) | Above EMA20 (322)/EMA50 (321.6)
Setup: Buy the fib 0.382 pullback
Entry: 324.50 (pullback to fib 0.382)
Stop: 318.00 (below fib 0.236)
T1: 342.48 (fib 0.786) → R:R 2.8:1
T2: 352.00 (fib 1.0 / HH)
SMC: Bullish OBs at 238.2–272 below
PPL — Pakistan Petroleum · golden-pocket pullbackClose: 241.85 | RSI: 61.2 | MACD: bullish (hist +2.07) | Above EMA20 (233.5)/EMA50 (230.7)
Setup: Buy the fib 0.618 pullback
Entry: 237.21 (pullback to fib 0.618)
Stop: 231.88 (below fib 0.5)
T1: 254.49 (fib 1.0 / HH) → R:R 3.2:1
SMC: Bullish OBs at 181.5–203 below; bearish OB at 250.11–254.49 overhead (the T1 zone)
FCCL — Fauji Cement · pullback buyClose: 57.60 | RSI: 57.5 | MACD: bullish | RelVol: 0.42× (highest) | Above EMA20 (56.3)/EMA50 (55.3)
Setup: Buy the fib 0.236 pullback
Entry: 56.66 (pullback to fib 0.236)
Stop: 55.25 (below HH support)
T1: 59.95 (fib 0.0 / HH) → R:R 2.3:1
SMC: Bullish FVGs at 52.6–55.45 below; bearish OB at 59.5–61.09 overhead
LOTCHEM - Expected Improved FinancialsLOTCHEM
CMP 31.20 (10-09-2026 02:08pm)
Positive Points:
> Hidden Bullish Divergence
> Improved Financials Expected
> Improved EPS Expected
> Analysis shared on 17-04-2026 played perfectly well so far where
suggested entry range was 27 - 29.
> Now Sustaining 31 may lead it towards 33 - 35 initially.
> On the flip side, Important Support seems to be around 28 - 30 now.
> Breaking 26 may bring some more selling pressure.
BOP: Consolidating for a break-outBOP (32.88)
24-08-2024
BOP has already completed its five-waves Elliott wave structure and posted long-term Top (under EW rules) around 41.54 in 3rd week of Oct/2025. Since then it is in ABC correction. It has completed its wave-A. Now there are two possibilities:
1. It is forming sub-wave b of larger B-wave. B.O point is 36. After B.O, it may hit 39.55 min in a speedy move. OR
2. It has already started downward C-wave. Now, it is forming sub-wave 2 of C-wave. Zone of 32.40 - 31.00 may be treated as 'Zone of Danger'. As it gives B.O. of 31, it will be in free-fall like situation and may fall to 21.
Trading strategy:-
No trading zone = 32.40-36
Red Zone = 32.40-31
Buy on B.O of 36 OR
Sell/Exit on B.O of 31
Do Your Own Research
No Claim, No Blame
LSEFSL:- DASHING REVERSAL BY BULLSLSEFSL has been loosing ground since July 2025. In March 2026 it posted a HL. since than it has been gaining strength and with the start of last week it started some positive movement and on friday it hit the upper cap and thus we had a Marubozu candle which is a very strong bullish signal.
Friday also witnessed the volume breakout and this further strenthen the bullish stance.
You may follow the trade plan marked on the chart.
Disciplined trading and due deligence is requested.
Wishing you profitable trading.
SHDT:- BULLS ARE FLEXING Shadab Textile Mills Ltd. is in bullish trend. After making a significant gains it corrected and after hitting the low of Rs.50.01 it is showing a steady uptick and moving in rising channel.
Recent candle is similer to bullish engulfing. Albeit it has retraced intraday gains but still it reflects the bulls strength. If we read the chart with volumes we see in last six trading sessions the volume breakout has been satged and average volume for these days is favouring the bulls.
Strategy here should be to buy on dips than ride it to TP and TP2.
Disciplined trading and due deligence is requested.
Wishing you profitable trading.
AGTL:- BOTTOM FISHING IS SWEET LIKE HONEYIf we look at the chart of Al-Ghazi Tractor Ltd. we see that script is printing higher highs and higher lows. If we further investigate the last candel is Bullish engulfing and the last weekly candle is bullish harami. The weakness of this chart is awaited volume breakout and rise of RSI above 60.
In this scenario our strategy should be buy on dip (BOD). In this case our stop loss is 335 on closing basis. You can book your profit on 416 and at 451.
The cautious traders may waite for the volume breakout.
Disciplined trading and due deligence is requested.
Wishing you profitable trading.






















