aftermath silver - monthlyLooks like we will see $2+ in short order?
Dec 15
Mr. Eric Sprott, through 2176423 Ontario Ltd., has indicated his intention to participate in the 20 million upsized Offering for up to $10,000,000 (at 90 cents per share).
The net proceeds from the Offering will be used to fund further exploration and development at the Company’s Berenguela Silver-Copper-Manganese project in southern Peru (the “Berenguela Project”), completion of a pre-feasibility study for the Berenguela Project, further exploration at the Company’s other mineral projects and for working capital and general corporate purposes
Silver tiger to higher peaksfully permitted, cash in hand. DCA and once silver pulls back to ~$50 USD neighbourhood, load up for the ride til 2032 and/or $200 USD silver
SLong
AUXX.TO — Swing Trade Idea💰 AUXX.TO — Swing Trade Idea
🏢 Company Snapshot
Gold X2 Mining Inc. is a TSXV-listed junior gold explorer with exposure to precious metals.
Why now: gold strength + junior miners showing relative momentum; AUXX is emerging from a multi-month base into a higher-high structure.
📊 Fundamental Context (Trade-Relevant Only)
Valuation: Typical junior explorer — priced on optionality, not earnings; leveraged to gold moves.
Balance Sheet: Low operating leverage; financing risk typical but manageable near-term.
Cash Flow: Pre-revenue; price action is the signal.
Dividend: None.
Fundamental Read: This is a technically driven momentum trade with gold acting as the macro tailwind.
🪙 Industry & Sector Backdrop
Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Gold miners showing improving momentum as gold holds elevated levels.
Medium-Term (1–6 months): Select juniors outperforming TSX on beta expansion.
Macro Influence: Gold bid on rate expectations and risk hedging.
Sector Bias: Bullish
📐 Technical Structure (Primary Driver)
Trend: Price firmly above rising 50-SMA; long-term trend constructive.
Momentum: RSI(2) reset into support zone, consistent with continuation pullbacks.
Pattern: Bullish pullback within an established uptrend; prior breakout above 0.60 holding.
Volume: Expansion on impulse leg; lighter volume on consolidation = constructive.
Key Levels
Support: 0.58 – 0.60
Resistance: 0.70 – 0.74
🎯 Trade Plan (Execution-Focused)
Entry: 0.60 – 0.62 (pullback into prior breakout + 50-SMA confluence)
Stop: 0.56 (loss of structure and trend invalidation)
Target: 0.74 (measured move into prior supply / range extension)
Risk-to-Reward: ~2.5R
Alternate Scenario: If price loses 0.58 on a closing basis, stand aside and reassess near the rising 50-SMA or prior base.
🧠 Swing Trader’s Bias
Price remains in a controlled uptrend above the 50-SMA with momentum resetting, not breaking. Looking for continuation from the 0.60–0.62 demand zone toward 0.74 for a clean 2.5R swing. A daily close below 0.56 invalidates the setup.
Nice Momentum Stock Just Bounced Off Its 50 Day SMA.Badger Infrastructure has been on a tear, putting up a 110% gain over the last year and consistently hitting new highs. The business model is simple but effective: they own the market for safe, non-destructive digging across North America. Right now, the fundamentals are actually keeping pace with the stock price and they’re seeing double-digit revenue growth and expanding their margins because they're getting more work out of every truck they own.
From a technical perspective, the stock is taking a breather, which is exactly what we want to see after a big run. It’s consolidating on low volume just above bouncing off its 50-day moving average, and the RSI has cooled down to a neutral 52. This looks like a classic pullback entry for a momentum trade.
Could be worth a watch.
A massive move for Outcrop may be imminent!This is Outcrop Silver vs spot silver.
As you can see, the breakout has not even come close to starting. This base has been building for more than six years.
The positive divergence on the quarterly RSI charts tell me that IF this breaks out, it will be an EPIC move.
Fundamental Update - Eric Sprott has been buying a lot of shares AND this just graduated from TSX.V to TSX a few weeks ago.
Matador, dumb idea? Matador has reached the point where it’s liquidating almost everyone who made money. Even those who entered early and held strong have lost their gains. I’ve made an update video explaining what’s really happening with those IPOs, so watch it carefully and pay attention to the details.
If you find it useful, give the video 👉 10 likes and I’ll post another update soon. Also, leave a comment on which asset you’d like me to cover next.
Aurora: PullbackIn the last seven days, Aurora initially saw a significant move upward, but sharp sell-offs at the end of last week erased nearly all of December's gains. These declines are, however, in line with our expectations: We still anticipate new lows within our green Target Zone between C$5.58 and C$3.84. Once the interim correction of the magenta wave (2) is complete, we expect a sustainable continuation of the overarching upward impulse. Wave (3) should then pave the way for gains above the resistance at C$11.97.
5 year Reversal about to happen?Entry is around $0.02, with a potential exit range between $0.10–$0.20.
A reversal that’s been building over the past 5 years could potentially play out within the next 4 months.
Worth keeping on the radar.
This is not financial advice. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Titan Mining Receives $15 Mln to Accelerate U.S Graphite GrowthTitan Mining (TSX:TI) Receives US$15 Million Investment from a leading Institutional Investor to Accelerate U.S Graphite Development in New York.
The investment, together with the previously announced US$5.5 million U.S. EXIM Bank support, positions Titan to fast-track completion of the Kilbourne Graphite Feasibility Study in 2026 and advance the project toward construction.
Highlights
US$15 million strategic investment by way of private placement of Special Warrants from a leading institutional investor at US$2.25/C$3.10 per Special Warrant (the “Offering”).
Accelerates feasibility and development of one of the most advanced U.S. natural graphite projects
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, Titan Mining stock ( NSE:TI ) is up 12% in Friday's premarket trading with the RSI at 51 the stock is set to break out of a bullish flag pattern with eyes on the $10 resistant albeit market conditions.
About Titan Mining
Titan Mining Corporation, a natural resource company, acquires, explores, develops, produces, and extracts mineral properties. The company explores for zinc and graphite, as well as iron-oxide copper gold deposits. Its principal asset is the Empire State Mine project covering an area of approximately 80,000 acres located in the Balmat– Edwards mining district in northern New York.
NVA.TO — Swing Trade Idea💰 NVA.TO — Swing Trade Idea
🏢 Company Snapshot
• NuVista Energy is a Canadian natural gas–weighted E&P with Montney exposure
• Matters now due to sustained uptrend, higher lows, and constructive Energy sector tape supporting continuation setups
📊 Fundamental Context (Trade-Relevant Only)
• Valuation: Trading at a discount to large-cap peers, typical for gas-weighted names
• Balance Sheet: Deleveraging trend, manageable net debt
• Cash Flow: Stable to improving, leveraged to gas pricing
• Dividend: Modest; neutral to supportive
Fundamental Read: Balance sheet stability and cash flow visibility support holding risk through a technical pullback within trend.
🪙 Industry & Sector Backdrop
• Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Energy consolidating but relative strength vs TSX remains intact
• Medium-Term (1–6 months): Uptrend persists with higher highs across Canadian Energy
• Macro Influence: Natural gas volatility, but no immediate macro headwind to trend continuation
Sector Bias: Bullish
📐 Technical Structure (Primary Driver)
• Trend: Above rising 50-SMA, well above 200-SMA
• Momentum: RSI(2) reset into oversold, now stabilizing near trend support
• Pattern: Orderly pullback from recent highs into rising 50-SMA (mean-reversion within trend)
• Volume: No distribution spike; pullback volume contracting vs prior advance
Key Levels
• Support: 17.40 – 17.60 (50-SMA + prior structure)
• Resistance: 18.90 – 19.10 (recent highs / measured move)
🎯 Trade Plan (Execution-Focused)
• Entry: 17.50 – 17.70 on confirmation hold above 50-SMA
• Stop: 17.35 (clean break below trend support invalidates)
• Target: 19.00 (prior high / continuation extension)
• Risk-to-Reward: ~2.4R
Alternate Scenario:
• If price loses 50-SMA, stand aside and reassess near 17.00 for a deeper trend-support reaction.
🧠 Swing Trader’s Bias
Price remains in a controlled uptrend with RSI(2) resetting into a high-probability support zone. Looking for a continuation move back toward recent highs on confirmation strength. A decisive close below the 50-SMA invalidates the setup.
NLong
Bullish Trend
CRT.UN (CT Real Estate Investment Trust) is showing modest upside potential, but analysts currently rate it as a “Hold” rather than a strong bullish buy. Price targets suggest limited growth, supported by stable dividends and defensive retail-linked assets.
Analyst Outlook
Consensus Rating: Analysts overwhelmingly rate CRT.UN as Hold. Out of 6 analysts, none recommend “Buy” and none recommend “Sell”.
Price Targets:
Average 12-month target: C$17.00, representing about 7.26% upside from the current price of ~C$15.85.
Range: C$16.50 – C$17.50, showing limited but steady growth expectations.
Why Investors See Upside
Defensive Portfolio: CRT.UN’s properties are largely leased to Canadian Tire, a stable anchor tenant, which provides predictable rental income.
Dividend Yield: Around 5.95%, which is attractive for income-focused investors.
Recent Performance: Year-to-date change of +11.48%, showing resilience in a volatile market.
Technical Support: Key support levels around C$15.79 – C$16.00 suggest downside protection, while resistance sits near C$16.42
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (CNQ) — Swing Trade💰 CNQ — Swing Trade Breakdown (TSX)
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.
🏢 Company Snapshot
Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) is one of Canada’s largest integrated energy producers, with long-life oil sands, heavy oil, natural gas, and offshore assets. The stock is drawing attention after a sharp pullback into its rising 50-day moving average, aligning with mean-reversion setups in an otherwise intact primary uptrend and continued strength in crude prices.
📊 Fundamentals
Valuation & Profitability
P/E: ~10–11×
Below large-cap North American E&P peers, reflecting disciplined capital returns rather than aggressive growth.
P/B: ~2.0–2.2×
Reasonable for a high-ROE, asset-heavy producer with long reserve life.
ROE: ~25–30%
Strong profitability driven by operating leverage and cost control.
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow
Debt/Equity: ~0.4–0.5
Moderate leverage and steadily improving balance sheet.
Free Cash Flow: Strong and recurring
Supports dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction even at mid-cycle oil prices.
Dividend Yield: ~4.5–5%
Attractive income component with a long track record of dividend growth.
Summary:
High-quality large-cap energy name with strong free cash flow, disciplined capital returns, and a reasonable valuation relative to peers.
📈 Trends & Catalysts
Revenue Growth:
Moderate YoY growth, largely driven by commodity pricing and stable production volumes.
EPS Trend:
Uptrend over the past year, with some quarterly volatility tied to oil price fluctuations.
Cash Flow Trend:
Consistently strong; excess cash increasingly directed toward shareholder returns.
Balance Sheet:
Debt trending lower over time, improving financial resilience.
Catalysts:
Directional move in WTI crude oil
Continued share buybacks and dividend increases
Energy sector rotation during inflationary or risk-off macro phases
Seasonal winter demand and geopolitical supply risks
Risks:
Pullback in crude oil prices
Broad market risk-off environment
Policy or regulatory pressure on Canadian energy producers
🪙 Industry Overview (Energy)
Weekly:
Performance: ▲ modest
Trend: Up
Sentiment: Bullish to Neutral
Monthly:
Performance: ▲
Trend: Up
Sentiment: Rotation back into energy on inflation and geopolitical risk
12-Month:
Performance: Outperforming TSX
Trend: Up
Sentiment: Supported by cash-flow durability and capital discipline
📐 Technicals (Daily Chart)
Price: ~45.4 CAD
50-SMA: ~45.5 CAD
Price pulling back into rising trend support.
200-SMA: Well below current price
Confirms long-term uptrend.
RSI(2): Oversold / deeply compressed
Classic mean-reversion condition within an uptrend.
Pattern: Pullback continuation
Higher-high structure intact despite recent volatility.
Key Levels
Support: 44.5 – 45.0
Resistance: 47.5 – 48.0
Volume:
Recent selloff occurred on elevated but not climactic volume, suggesting profit-taking rather than distribution.
🎯 Trade Plan (Swing)
Entry Zone:
45.0 – 45.5
Pullback into 50-SMA / prior support.
Stop Loss:
~44.7
Below recent swing low and trend invalidation level.
Target:
~47.7 – 48.0
Prior highs / resistance zone.
Risk/Reward:
~2:1
Meets minimum swing-trade criteria.
Alternate Setup:
Bullish continuation on a reclaim and hold above 46.5 with expanding volume.
🧠 My Take
CNQ remains a textbook large-cap energy swing candidate: strong fundamentals, reliable cash flow, and a clean technical pullback into trend support. As long as price holds the 50-SMA, this looks like a mean-reversion long targeting a retest of recent highs, with crude oil acting as the primary accelerator.
TELUS : Oversold Dividend Play Setting Up for a Santa RallyMeow~
TELUS has pulled back nearly 24% in three months, dropping from ~$23 to ~$17.50 and is now sitting at the lower boundary of a multi-year descending channel.
With a strong dividend yield, this level becomes attractive for long-term accumulation, allowing investors to get paid while waiting for a potential mean-reversion and Santa rally bounce.
How Bitcoin Strength Signals a Silver Pullback AG.TO recently made a strong impulsive move to the upside, pushing price into a premium zone while RSI reached overbought conditions on the 4-hour timeframe. After this type of expansion, continuation becomes less likely, and price typically looks to either form a lower-high retest or begin correcting directly as momentum unwinds.
At this stage, I do not expect price to make a meaningful new high. The higher-probability scenario is either a failed retest below the previous high, or a direct rollover as RSI cools off. Both outcomes favor a short, as they suggest exhaustion rather than strength.
I personally entered a short position at 23.3 when RSI first became overbought. However, I do not believe price will necessarily return to that exact level, meaning others may need to look for lower entries if price continues to roll over without a full retest.
My stop-loss is clearly defined on the chart, above the recent highs. Acceptance above that level would invalidate this idea.
From a price-action and liquidity perspective, there is a major liquidity pool around the 20 level, which I expect price to push through rather than hold. While a short-term reaction is possible, my primary expectation is that price continues lower after taking that liquidity. Below 20, the next significant area of interest lies between 15–18, where deeper liquidity and inefficiencies are present.
If price reaches the 15–18 zone, that area provides a logical place to cover shorts, representing roughly a 30% move from the highs, depending on entry.
Because this is a 4H timeframe setup, patience is required. This is not a scalp — the move may take weeks to fully play out, and holding through normal volatility is expected.
From an intermarket perspective, continued strength in Bitcoin can temporarily draw capital away from traditional safe-haven assets such as gold. This rotation often delays upside in silver, reinforcing the case for a corrective phase before any sustained bullish continuation.
For traders concerned about risk or drawdowns, this setup also aligns well with buying put options. A 1–3 month 23-strike put allows participation in the move while clearly defining risk, making it a strong alternative to spot or short selling.
Boyd Group Services Inc. (TSX: BYD) - Swing Trade 2025-12-12💰 BYD.TO — Mean Reversion Swing Setup (RSI(2) + 50-SMA)
Boyd Group Services Inc. (TSX: BYD) continues to behave like a textbook institutional swing name. Despite premium valuation, price action remains highly technical, with repeated respect of the 50-day SMA and strong mean-reversion responses following short-term oversold conditions.
This setup aligns cleanly with a Connors-style RSI(2) pullback within a primary uptrend.
📈 Technical Context
BYD remains in a confirmed long-term uptrend, with price holding above the 200-day SMA and repeatedly finding buyers near the 50-day SMA. The recent pullback brought RSI(2) into deeply oversold territory (<10) — a level that historically precedes short-term bounces in this name.
Volume has contracted on the pullback, suggesting selling pressure is corrective rather than distributive.
Structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 50-SMA zone.
📊 Key Levels
Current Price: ~221.8
50-SMA: ~221–222 (primary dynamic support)
200-SMA: ~210 (trend floor)
Support Zone: 218–222
Resistance Zone: 235–240
This area has acted as a high-probability demand zone multiple times over the past year.
🎯 Trade Thesis (Swing)
Bias: Bullish mean-reversion
Setup Type: RSI(2) pullback within established uptrend
Entry:
Looking for long exposure near the 50-SMA (220–223) following oversold RSI(2) conditions.
Stop:
Below structure and ATR — 213–215 area.
Target:
Prior supply and range highs at 235–240.
Risk/Reward:
Approximately 2.5R, acceptable for a swing trade in a premium-valued name.
⚠️ Risks to Watch
Loss of the 50-SMA on a high-volume close
Broader consumer discretionary weakness
Rate-sensitivity given leverage on the balance sheet
A clean break below the 50-SMA would invalidate the mean-reversion thesis.
🧠 Final Take
BYD isn’t cheap — but price pays. As long as the 50-SMA holds, this remains a repeatable swing structure rather than a long-term valuation play. I favor controlled long exposure here, targeting a rotation back toward the upper range.






















