Pero Trading Plan - 25 February 2026The gold market is currently trading near the 5,204 level, arriving at a critical inflection point within its broader ascending structure. The price action is compressing, and the charted projections present two highly distinct structural paths for today's sessions, demanding a patient, reactive approach.
On the 2-hour chart, the market is positioned just below a pivotal upper boundary. If the bullish momentum persists, the blue projected path outlines a classic breakout scenario. A decisive push above the 5,219 level (labeled as the Support Zone), followed by a successful retest of this base, will validate trend continuation. This would open a clear upward trajectory targeting the liquidity pool at 5,250.
Conversely, the red path highlights a bearish rejection scenario. If the price fails to conquer the upper boundary and breaks below the immediate structural pivot at 5,174, the short-term bias will shift. A definitive breakdown here would trigger a deeper corrective sweep toward the 5,128 - 5,142 Resistance Zone (acting as a downside target in this context), with a potential extended flush reaching down to the 5,084 level. Traders should wait for a clear directional confirmation before committing capital.
๐ข BUY XAUUSD PRICE 5126 - 5128โก๏ธ (Bullish breakout & retest - Blue Path)
โ โ Stop Loss 5118
โ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
โ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
โ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
๐ด SELL XAUUSD PRICE 5218 - 5220โก๏ธ (Bearish breakdown - Red Path)
โ โ Stop Loss 5228
โ Take Profit 1 : 50 ~ 100 pips
โ Take Profit 2 : 200 pips
โ Take Profit 3 : 500Pips - Open
โก๏ธPsychology, discipline and capital management are the three factors that make victory possible.โก๏ธ
Don't give up. Might be just getting started.I published this idea before the pop. Now, it's corrected and may be just be getting started. Look at the fractal pattern. You cam even make a case this is wave 5 of wave 1. Time will tell and if just wave 1 there is always a chance to get in at the bottom of major wave 2 but wave 5 tend to be larger than wave 3 and wave 5 may be just getting started. GL
minera alamos weeklyless downside at lower gold prices according to analysts
looks like gold chart itself before the big breakout
enter at support?
M
(AAV)Fast Bounce Setup | Price:$ 11.11โ Target:$11.66(+ 5 %)โก๐ AAV โ Pullback at Trendline with Strong Fundamentals ๐โก
AAV continues to look interesting both fundamentally and technically ๐๐.
๐ฐ๐ฐ Fundamental Outlook
Revenue forecasts remain very positive for the coming years ๐, and the company maintains solid fundamentals, providing a strong long-term backdrop ๐งฑโ
.
๐๐ Momentum Check (RSI)
On the daily timeframe, RSI recently pulled back from the oversold area, moving from around 34 to 39 over the past week ๐๐. This signals improving momentum after a cooldown phase.
๐๐ Price Action Perspective
From a price action angle, the $11 zone is acting as a key pullback area ๐งฒ. Price has once again touched the ascending trendline, showing respect for structure ๐โ๏ธ.
โ
๐ Technical Confirmation
This pullback is supported by RSI confirmation on the daily chart, increasing the probability of a potential bounce from this zone โก๐ฏ.
โ ๏ธ๐ Note
This looks like a technical pullback within structure, not a breakdown.
STND โ Macro Compression at HTF Resistance (Break or Reject?)High Timeframe Context (Weekly)
Price pressing into long-term downtrend PF UML
200W MA at ~0.235 (macro target if breakout confirms)
This is a **macro decision point**
Bias: Neutral until confirmation.
---
Primary Scenario โ Confirmed Breakout (Bullish)
Conditions Required:
Strong 4H close above **0.135**
Clear break of HTF descending resistance
Follow-through candle (no immediate rejection)
Volume expansion on breakout
Entry Plan:
Wait for breakout
Prefer retest of 0.135โ0.14 zone
Enter on LTF higher low confirmation
Invalidation:
Breakdown back below 0.135 with weakness
Loss of breakout structure
Targets:
0.17โ0.19 (measured triangle move)
0.235 (200W MA macro target)
Philosophy: Let structure prove regime shift. Sacrifice first 10โ20% for confirmation.
---
Secondary Scenario โ Breakdown to LTF Support (High R:R Zone)
Trigger:
Breakdown below 4H MA confluence
Loss of LTF uptrend PF LML
Weak reaction at 0.11โ0.10
Accumulation Zone: **0.085โ0.090**
Entry Method:
Wait for flush into zone
Look for reclaim / spring behavior
Enter on confirmed bounce
Philosophy: Buy fear at structural support, not mid-range.
---
Tertiary Scenario โ Deep Capitulation (Heavy Buy Zone)
Conditions:
Failed breakout
Uranium sector weakness
Descending triangle confirmation on HTF
Major selloff
Major Demand Zone: **0.045โ0.055**
This is macro capitulation level. Would require sector stress.
Heavy accumulation only if:
Volume climax
Reversal structure forms
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Risk Scenario โ Fake Triangle โ Descending Triangle
Bias will shift bearish until support breaks or reclaims if:
Price fails at HTF resistance
Forms lower highs against 0.09 support
---
Current Stance:
No position
No anticipation
No chasing
Waiting for confirmation OR structural discount
Discovery Silver Update A 14 x rise since the last update:
Yet, this could be a H&S top, with a sell signal being triggered 3% below the trendline.
DShort
Fast Bounce Setup | Price: 18.53 โ Target: 19.46 (+5%)
Fundamentals ๐๐ผ
TELUS shows stable revenue forecasts and long-term growth in telecom and digital services.
Even during pullbacks, fundamentals remain supportive for short, quick moves.
Repeated Behavior ๐๐โก๏ธ๐
Historically, T reacts with 5%โ20% quick bounces after deep drops or oversold conditions.
Current pattern is similar to previous reversal cycles.
Volume & Price Action ๐ฅ๐
Volume shows buyer interest, and price is sitting at a classic TELUS bounce zone.
Entry: 18.53 ๐ต
Target: 19.46 ๐ฏ
Profit: +5% expected ๐ฐโก
From Discovery to Definition: Aryaโs Next Phase
Arya Resources is currently focused on advancing its Wedge Lake project in Saskatchewan, where recent drilling has confirmed both high-grade gold zones and long, continuous gold-silver mineralization.
The company has identified two distinct systems: a high-grade orogenic gold zone (T-6) and an iron formationโhosted gold-silver zone (Twin), with drilling showing encouraging continuity and scale.
Recent results include wide intercepts, bulk-tonnage envelopes, and silver credits, supporting further resource definition work. A new drilling program is now underway to expand and test these zones at depth and along strike.
In January 2026, Arya raised $1.64M to fund exploration and added an experienced geoscientist with mine development background to its board, strengthening technical oversight and execution capacity.
The company is in the early delineation stage, moving from discovery toward potential resource building, with ongoing catalysts tied to drilling results.
As an early-stage explorer, the stock remains high risk and volatile, but continued technical success could support a re-rating over time.
Technical view:
Price has broken out from a long-term base with strong volume and is now attempting a retest of the former resistance / neckline as support. Structure is shifting to higher highs and higher lows. As long as price holds above the breakout zone, the trend remains constructive. A successful retest would support continuation, with measured-move targets pointing significantly higher over the medium term.
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
APGO - Trend Intact, Pullbacks Are Opportunities!In the previous update, we highlighted APGOโs transition out of long-term accumulation and into early markup.
Zooming into the Daily timeframe, now price is doing exactly what strong trends tend to do next: pause, reset, and offer structure-based entries.
๐ Technical Analysis
TSXV:APGO remains inside a rising price channel , confirming that the long-term trend is still bullish.
โ๏ธThe current retracement is unfolding toward a confluence support zone, what I call โTRIO RETESTโ , where multiple technical factors align:
- The lower boundary of the rising channel
- The rising EMA , acting as dynamic support
- The $5 round-number , now acting as a key structural level
This area represents a classic trend-following zone , where buyers typically look for continuation opportunities rather than reversals.
As long as price holds above channel support and above the $5 level, the technical bias remains to the upside.๐
๐ง Structure Perspective
In strong trends, price rarely moves vertically.
Pullbacks are part of the process, they reset momentum and reinforce structure before the next impulse.๐
๐ Bottom Line
APGO remains in a bullish technical structure , with the current pullback unfolding as a normal correction within an established uptrend.
From a fundamental standpoint, Apollo Silver is directly leveraged to silver๐ฅ , a metal at the core of energy transition, AI infrastructure, and defense applications.
With one of the largest undeveloped silver resources in the U.S. , and additional exposure to critical minerals like barite and zinc๐ป, the company sits at the intersection of macro demand and strategic supply constraints.๐
As long as price holds above key structure, the combination of trend alignment and supportive fundamentals keeps the focus on continuation rather than distribution.
โ ๏ธ Always do your own research and speak with your financial advisor before investing.
๐ Stick to your trading plan, entry, risk management, and execution.
All strategies are good; if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
Disclaimer: I have been paid $900 by CDMG, funded by Apollo Silver Corp., to disseminate this message.






















