GPAC vs Gold This stock continues to get brought down with no end in sight.
The stock will outperform only if/when it escapes the upper part of this channel.
fortune bayhow does a 40 million market cap company fund a 300 million capex? (Saskatchewan)
solution: they sell off their other projects, royalty deals, JVs...
From Collapse To Accumulation?Following a Cycle impulse, with a sharp rejection from the high of 2021 (Adam) and a slow multi year recovery from 2022-2025 (Eve).
This could be the final accumulation before the start of a wave (III) Impulse. Very ambitious i know, but worth a place on your watch list never the less.
Warbs
Long
Reverse H&S?This can go any direction. If the PM bull market goes higher, expect this producer to join the party.
Largo Inc. (LGO) – A High-Risk Bet on a Vanadium RecoveryThe chart does not look bullish yet. The stock remains in a long-term downtrend and the company continues to report losses.
However, the reason I am watching Largo is not because of its current earnings. It is because of where the company sits within the vanadium cycle.
Largo is one of the largest and highest-grade vanadium producers outside China and Russial. The company is essentially a leveraged play on vanadium prices. When vanadium prices are weak, Largo struggles. When vanadium prices recover, operating leverage can work dramatically in the other direction.
That is why I believe the commodity itself is currently more important than the latest quarterly loss.
After a prolonged decline, vanadium prices appear to be stabilizing and showing signs that the bottom may be behind us. The market has spent years pricing in oversupply, weak steel demand and disappointing battery adoption. Today, expectations are extremely low. Historically, those are often the conditions from which commodity recoveries begin.
What makes the setup interesting is that the stock is already trading as if very little will improve.
Price/Sales (TTM): 0.64
That is an exceptionally low valuation for a company controlling a strategic mineral asset. The market is effectively saying that either vanadium remains depressed for years or that Largo will fail to generate attractive returns even if prices improve.
I am not convinced that pessimistic scenario is guaranteed.
Management has outlined a multi-year strategy focused on operational improvements, production stability, cost discipline and positioning the company to benefit from future vanadium demand growth. The long-term investment case is not limited to steel production. Vanadium remains a critical material for aerospace, industrial alloys, defense applications and potentially for large-scale energy storage through vanadium redox flow batteries.
The battery story has disappointed investors for years, but it has not disappeared. Any meaningful increase in adoption could have a significant impact on future vanadium demand.
Technically, the stock is approaching a major support and accumulation zone that has been tested multiple times. Volume has started to increase around these levels and RSI is sitting near historically depressed territory. The trend is still down, so I am not calling a bottom. But from a risk/reward perspective, the setup is becoming more interesting than it was six or twelve months ago.
The key question is simple:
Has vanadium already bottomed?
If the answer is no, Largo may continue to struggle and the stock could remain trapped in a downtrend.
If the answer is yes, and vanadium is entering a new cycle higher, then the market may be significantly underestimating Largo's future earnings power.
This is not a quality compounder. This is not a safe investment.
It is a cyclical turnaround opportunity tied directly to the future direction of vanadium prices.
For investors willing to accept commodity-cycle risk, Largo may be one of the more interesting speculative setups in the sector today.
GPAC vs GoldThis has been a surprising bear market for GPAC (a stock that has fallen from $5.00 and stayed below 50 cents during much of this gold bull run.
There were no major fundamental reasons why it fell so much... outside of the fact it's an explorer.
This chart may not resolve anytime soon... but could be good to watch for those following this stock.
AEM PnF Point and Figure targetsThere are now two weekly vertical downside counts triggered giving 155 downside targets on this instrument. This would fit with a silver and gold sell off and give you the level to get back in at.
There is also a higher bullish target horizontal count not shown here approx 450 ish can be updated once the price breaks out of the bearish trend line shown in red
Short
Falco Resources (TSXV) | Volume Expansion + Pennant SetupTSXV:FPC
One of the more interesting junior mining charts developing right now.
After a multi-year accumulation phase, FPC has constructed a clear bullish fan pattern. Each successive trendline break has resulted in a steeper rate of ascent, signaling increasing demand and strengthening market participation.
What's particularly notable is the volume profile.
The current advance has generated approximately 116M shares traded versus roughly 65M shares during the previous comparable period — an increase of nearly 80% . Rising volume accompanying a rising trend is often a sign that institutional and speculative interest is beginning to build beneath the surface.
Price is now compressing between a rising support trendline and declining resistance, creating the framework for a potential bullish pennant . The pattern is not yet complete, but continued consolidation above the rising trendline could set up a breakout attempt in the months ahead.
From a measured move perspective, a breakout from the pennant would project toward the $0.60-$0.65 range, representing the next major resistance zone.
Fundamentally, several catalysts could align with the technical structure:
• Horne 5 continues advancing toward the Québec ministerial decree, one of the most significant permitting milestones for the project.
• Updated feasibility study expected in 2026, incorporating substantially higher gold, copper, silver and zinc prices than the 2021 study.
• Horne 5 remains one of Canada's most advanced undeveloped polymetallic deposits, with projected annual production exceeding 220,000 ounces of gold alongside significant copper and zinc exposure.
• Falco recently identified multiple new exploration targets across the Western Noranda Camp, adding district-scale exploration upside beyond the flagship project.
• Detailed engineering, procurement work, and project advancement continue while the company moves toward potential development decisions.
The chart remains constructive as long as the rising support structure remains intact. A confirmed pennant breakout combined with continued fundamental progress could attract significantly more attention to the story.
Long
Double bottom, cycle placement, and fractoral suggest a rally.3 technical triggers and a pause at the 61 fib suggest an incoming rally. Vanadium prices recovering and company's positive outlook also suggest bottom may be in. Lastly, if cycle count correct, this may be the wave 2 low and wave 3 ready to move at anytime. A trade is warranted here with a tight stop and give the trade time as wave 3 should exceed wave 1 top at 2.60. A break above the 20dma at 1.40 and declining should confirm the move but a new low a reassessment of the trade. 3.11 would be my target with some profit taking at 2 and 2.50.GL
$ELD the golden diamond(s)the most significant sum of $ i've put into a single stock was OMXCOP:FOM Foran Mining.
now apart of Eldorado. however the deal went down, the new analysis on the consolidated assets looks like, as Claude put it:
Sum-of-the-parts NAV (after-tax NPV5%, base deck $3,800 Au / $5.00 Cu) $B $/sh
Operating mines (Lamaque, Kisladag, Efemcukuru, Olympias) $5.5b $21
Skouries (100%, gold-copper) $4.5b $17
McIlvenna Bay (100%, copper-zinc-gold-silver) $1.4b $5
Tesla Zone + exploration (risked optionality) $0.5b $2
Pipeline (Perama Hill, Sapes, Stratoni) net of corporate $0.2b $1
Less: net debt −$1.0b −$4
Net asset value $11.1b $42
Current price / implied P/NAV (base deck) $8.8b $33.5 = 0.79x
NAV at spot gold (~$4,450) / implied P/NAV ~$14.2b ~$54 = 0.62x
The thesis is an EBITDA inflection the market isn’t paying for. Eldorado earns ~$1.7b EBITDA in 2026, but Skouries (first concentrate Q3’26, ~140koz Au + 67Mlb Cu/yr at negative AISC) and McIlvenna Bay (commercial Q3’26) roughly double EBITDA to ~$2.8b in 2027 and lift gold output ~40% — the bull rail’s +78% jump in ’27 is that step-change. Reverse-DCF: at $33.5 the EV (~$9.8b, incl. ~$1.0b net debt) implies only ~$1.7b of EBITDA held flat (purple row) — essentially the 2026 trough — so the market gives ~zero credit for the ramp; if 2027 EBITDA lands near base, the same ~5.5x multiple alone re-rates the stock toward the high-$50s. SOTP cross-check (table above): NAV ~$42/sh at a $3,800 base deck (~0.80x), ~$54 at spot gold (~0.62x) — versus the peer ~0.81x P/NAV Eldorado historically traded below. Base FV builds to ~$87 (+10%/yr) as the projects de-risk and FCF (−$0.3b in ’26 → ~$1.8–2.0b/yr) delevers to net cash and funds buybacks; bull ~$180, weighted ~$111. Devil’s advocate: this is a leveraged bet on the gold price — the bear rail (gold fades to ~$2,800) leaves the stock ~flat ($36), and a sharper gold correction would hurt more; Skouries has a history of delays (already slipped a quarter, capital crept to $1.315b) and is only at first-concentrate, not steady-state; the Foran deal diluted existing holders ~24% with nil premium and bolts a copper-zinc VHMS (a metallurgy/jurisdiction ELD has never operated) onto a gold company mid-Skouries-ramp; Kisladag and Efemcukuru sit in Turkiye (FX, inflation, royalty risk); and the out-year net-cash build assumes high metal prices hold. Blue-sky “what has to be true”: the Tesla Zone’s maiden resource (H2’26, 28–45Mt exploration target on existing infrastructure) plus district exploration adds a third growth leg, McIlvenna scales beyond the initial mill, and gold holds $4,500+/copper $6.50+ — turning a two-project re-rate into a multi-decade gold-copper franchise (blue rail ~$289).
Engine: Fair value = forward Adj EBITDA × EV/EBITDA − net debt, ÷ shares, for four scenarios, cross-checked to a sum-of-the-parts after-tax NAV. Foran Mining acquired Apr 14, 2026 (all-share, 0.1128 ELD + C$0.01/Foran share, ~C$3.8B / ~US$2.8B; Foran holders ~24% of the combined company; ~62M shares issued → ~262M total), adding McIlvenna Bay + the Tesla Zone. Q1'26: 100,358 oz gold, revenue $532M, adj EBITDA $336M, adj EPS $0.95, cash $630M, total debt ~$1.3B, FCF −$129M (Skouries capex). 2026 guidance 490–590koz gold, AISC $1,670–1,870/oz; Skouries first concentrate Q3'26, commercial Q4'26 (94% built, total Phase 2 capital $1.315B), ~140koz Au + 67Mlb Cu/yr LOM at negative AISC; McIlvenna commercial Q3'26 (~41Mlb Cu + 20koz Au + 444koz Ag + 54Mlb Zn/yr, 18-yr life, after-tax NPV7% ~$1.05B at $4.53 Cu). 3-yr outlook 620–720koz (2027), 640–740koz (2028); circular 2027 ~$2.1B EBITDA / ~$1.5B FCF. Spot June 3 2026: gold ~$4,450/oz, copper ~$6.50/lb (both near records; FS decks were far lower). Base deck $3,700–4,200 gold / $5.00–6.00 copper. Sources: ELD Q1'26 results, Feb 2026 guidance, Skouries 2021 FS, Foran/McIlvenna 2025 FS, Mar 2026 circular, June 2026 spot. NAV at spot gold (~$4,450) would be ~$54/sh vs ~$42 at base deck. Dividend ~$0.30/yr. IRR rows price-only. Probabilities are judgment. NOT investment advice.
Long
Canadian Natural: Potential UptrendCanadian Natural Resources broke out to record highs in February, and some traders may see further upside in the oil-and-gas producer.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the 2024 high of $56.50. CNQ bounced above that old peak in mid-April, followed by higher lows in early May and late May. That could mean new support has developed above old resistance. It could also be consistent with bullishness resuming in the intermediate term.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. That configuration, with faster SMAs above the slower, may reflect a bullish long-term trend.
Third, stochastics are turning up from an oversold condition.
Next, CNQ climbed on Monday and Tuesday but remained below last week’s high and above last week’s low. That kind of bullish inside price action could suggest buyers are gaining control.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is nearing a potential cross above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect short-term bullishness.
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Near-Term Producer: Selkirk Copper Minesgreatest opportunity" is the clearest path to cash flow and a re-rating from explorer to producer.
The Asset: They are aggressively advancing the past-producing Minto copper-gold-silver mine in the Yukon, targeting a 2028 mine restart. The Infrastructure Advantage: Unlike pure explorers who have to build from scratch, Selkirk inherited extensive existing infrastructure: a 4,100-tonne-per-day processing plant, underground workings, a 400-person camp, and water treatment facilities. This massively reduces the capital expenditure required to get to production. Fresh Catalysts: The company recently closed a major upsized $35 million bought deal financing and just launched a massive 50,000-meter Phase 2 drill program. They also recently discovered a new mineralized zone (the 117 Lens) right beneath a historical open pit, showing that the asset still has significant exploration upside to expand the mine life.
Accumulate Gold Buyout Dryden Gold corpDryden Gold is practically tailor-made to be bought out, and major producers have already positioned themselves for it.The Strategic Backing: Major intermediate producers Alamos Gold and Centerra Gold have strategic equity stakes in Dryden. Alamos holds a 10.46% stake, while Centerra maintains a 9.9% interest. The "Top-Up" Behavior: Major miners don't just hold these shares passively; when Dryden raised an upsized $9.5 million in financing, both Alamos and Centerra actively exercised their top-up rights to prevent their ownership from being diluted.Why it fits: It is a classic junior mining playbook. Majors take a 10% slice early on, let the junior company take the financial risk of drilling out the asset, and once the resource hits a certain size (typically 1 to 2+ million ounces), one of the majors buys out the remaining 90%.
If you are looking at Dryden Gold ($DRY.V) through the lens of a potential buyout, buying at the current $0.330 price means you aren't paying a premium. You are buying it at a fair, consolidated baseline price before it attempts its next structural leg upward.
ACCEPT THE STP LOSS AND WALK AWAYPeople mostly the non traders, always ask how much money do you plan to win before you enter the trade, as soon as they ask this question their novice trading mind is exposed. A good traders always counts meticulously counts how much one is willing to loose on a trade first.
This is not pessimistic sight this is forward deliberate trading shark thinking.
Let me explain, for the sake of this conversation we will refer to a win as Rw *reward* and a loss as Rs *risk*
The Good
longterm chart (W) is in a downtrend, having recently broke and closed below the (W) demand zone
the current chart (D) on the left is running up into a Supply zone SZ,
lots of room for price to run down if SZ holds,
Good Rw to Rs ratio
The Bad
market is bullish
historically bullish stock
The (D) downtrend did not make a Lower Low before the correction to the SZ
The Key point to remember here is the Rw to Rs ratio. The trade did not work out as my tight STP loss was triggered above the SZ(D) yet price continued going down, I did not chase, I did not enter the trade again, I accepted the Stop Loss, know what you are willing to risk before you enter a trade
Short
Long
i say this is a easy hold
with every chart you look at everything is poised for a big move bullish, this has accumulatd for nearly 4 yrs.. and erupted in a bulllish inverse HnS pattern with heavy volume and potential for a squeeze on the monthly to retest old ATH which need i remind you hit when it was just a miner company. this company is slowly becoming an AI play aswell as the added benefit of doubling down on crypto which IYKYK there is speculation of massive bull runs with crypto itself coming and this pumps when its crypto counter part pumps.
has been a fun watch as of late, holding shares. this has given me zero reason to want to sell.. the revenue for Q4 was suppose to be 30 days from now and advanced to june 2nd interesting! TSX:HIVE NASDAQ:HIVE
Long
Are you FROZEN like the deer in the headlights?GOLD & SILVER MINERS.
There are plenty of DIFFERENT story lines, yet very SIMILAR price charts.
When capital flows LEAVE a sector, they DRAG down most.
This is UNFOLDING right now in front of us, with many in STILL denial.
Are you FROZEN like the deer in the headlights?
$Denison talk of tokenization of Uranium? Base Power Renaissance?
Uranium market looking pretty tight says the market watchers.
for the chart watchers. this looks awfully like an accumulation schematic #1
Long
GPAC coiling vs HUIThis downtrend needs to resolve soon.
It's been in a major bear market vs the Gold BUGS Index since it launched in 2020.
Despite finding plenty of gold and copper... the bears aren't giving up this fight.
AVN- not time to shine yet I bought in just to get my toe wet, no patience and now paying the price. Everything is a gamble...waiting on lady luck.
$ELE - Speculative buy but with solid basesomething something $teather related and at it's balance sheet and valuation are telling me it's a buy.
TVC:GOLD & other metal backed valuation (inflection re:inflation), China keeps buying, Poland keeps buying. someone else will probably get their gold sanctioned like Russia did, taking it out of supply, demand continues to go up for the CB monetary asset. the war machine being hooked up to the $petrodollar/ AMEX:USD keeping the hegemony and the TVC:DXY afloat as it weakens afflicted energy starved countries position to the OPOFINANCE:DXY.
AMEX:USD m2m rockets up, equities rocket sideways as they bump the ceiling of acceptable actual EPS% yields with elevated and ramping capexes (esp. in the top 10 SP500 names minus NVDA, hence NVDA is in a league of it's own..., in turn concentrated capexes on certain concentrated materials furthering the inflation of materials and energy infra. and money spent on energy.. and war...
how high this inflation going? long the inefficient money supply.
Long
TOU - Longer Term Target $375TOU Macro Bull Flag: Multi-Year Breakout Imminent for Tourmaline Oil Corp.
(TOU.TO) has spent the last four years consolidating within a massive, textbook bull flag pattern on the weekly chart. After an explosive 2020–2022 rally, this prolonged cooling-off period has coiled the spring for the next major macro leg higher.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only based on technical chart patterns. Trading commodities and equities involves significant risk of capital loss. Always perform your own due diligence, manage your position sizing strictly, and use stop-losses to protect your trading capital.
Long
Bull flag on AI infrastructure stock HIVE continuation of run bull flag creating off of a small cup n handle formed on lower timeframe graphs, last weekend a major gap up happened. i sense the same thing here with thiss weekend. this week had 6-10m in avg volume per day traded (which bulls were rallying behind) up until friday 200k now vvolume to open the day it seems a squeeze is on the rise to 6.90-7.18$ come monday. with trends continuing and the TSX heading towards ATH its almost a no brainer. if this company were still solely a bitcoin miner this wouldnt be the case. SLEEPING GIANT
Long