Long
Long
Long
Long
Long
Long
Long 
Long
Long
Long
MATA.V | Long Setup | Bitcoin–RWA Microcap | Sep 11, 2025📌 MATA.V | Long Setup | Capitulation-to-Reversal in Bitcoin–RWA Microcap | Sep 11, 2025
🔹 Thesis Summary
Post-capitulation base within a descending channel is testing a high-volume shelf (~0.44–0.50 CAD). A reclaim/hold above this node plus a channel break unlocks fast air pockets toward 0.95/1.04 and 1.84. Thin float and a BTC-treasury narrative provide torque; invalidation is clean.
🔹Trade Setup
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: ~0.33 CAD (VPVR shelf / channel retest)
Stop Loss: 0.21 CAD (close below prior swing/volume shelf)
Take-Profits:
TP1: 0.55 (prior pivot / labeled partial TP)
TP2: 0.95–1.04 (supply box / breakdown origin)
TP3: 1.84 (mid-range objective)
Max Target: 2.65–2.67 (range high); stretch: 5.55 if momentum regime returns
R:R guide (from ~0.47): to 1.84 ≈ 5:1; to 2.65 ≈ 8:1; to 5.55 ≈ 19:1
🔹Narrative & Context
Structure: Multi-month falling channel following a sharp advance; first impulsive bounce off 0.33–0.35 with demand clustering on the 0.44–0.50 shelf. Clear LVNs above 0.55 suggest gap-like travel into 0.95/1.04 on sustained bids. Marked supply (1.18–1.31) is the next decision zone; acceptance there opens 1.84.
Flow/Liquidity: Float ≈ 17.86M; thin supply can amplify moves once price clears overhead supply. “3mio shares” overhang shown on the chart looks digested.
🔹Sector/Narrative: Bitcoin-native/RWA positioning (treasury BTC + tokenized metals) ties equity performance to BTC trend and tokenization flows. If BTC is stable/up and L2/RWA headlines cycle in, microcaps on TSXV tend to re-rate quickly.
🔹Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, Framed Simply)
Revenue = 0 → vs. sector financials where revenue is positive → pre-revenue optionality story → price driven by treasury value, product progress, and capital access rather than cash generation.
Net Income (FY) = −CAD 4.49M → vs. profitable peers → loss-making, cash burn sensitivity → reinforces the need for tight invalidation.
Quality — ROE: Negative → vs. positive quality screens → capital not yet earning → rallies more dependent on narrative/treasury than fundamentals near-term.
Risk — 1Y Beta: −5.75 (unstable reading) → vs. ~1.0 market beta → expect outsized, non-linear moves → position sizing and staggered TPs matter.
(Market cap provided ≈ CAD 27.66M; no P/E or P/FCF available due to negatives/early stage.)
🔹Contrarian Angle (Your Edge)
Consensus dismisses MATA as too small, pre-revenue, and crypto-tied. The chart shows accumulation at a clean invalidation with multiple fast-travel zones above. If BTC holds bid and the product/treasury narrative advances, the equity can overshoot conservative models—our path maps 0.95 → 1.84 → 2.65 with a momentum extension possible toward 5.55.
🔹Risks
Capital needs / dilution if burn persists or treasury expansion is financed via equity.
BTC drawdown or crypto risk-off (kills the torque).
Regulatory or product-execution slippage in tokenized metals/RWAs.
Macro Considerations
BTC/ETH structure: Maintain longs only while BTC is above its own weekly higher-low and funding is orderly; fade if BTC loses weekly trend.
Flows/vol: TSXV microcap risk appetite, CAD liquidity conditions, and USD/DXY impulses can accelerate or cap breakouts.
Event path: Any treasury updates (BTC adds/sales), app adoption metrics, or financing announcements will likely be gap catalysts.
🔹Bottom Line
MATA is high-beta, pre-revenue, and narrative-driven but the technicals offer defined risk with asymmetric upside. Treat it like a setup, not a balance-sheet long: respect the 0.21 invalidation, scale into strength through 0.55/1.04, reassess at 1.84, and trail for a potential range-high run.
🔹Forward Path
If this post gains traction (10+ likes), I’ll share:
A weekly/H4 alignment map with trigger conditions above 0.55 and 1.04
Updated levels if supply at 1.18–1.31 rejects or accepts
Q&A in comments on sizing, scaling, and alternative invalidations
Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Do your own research. Chart elements may include AI-assisted enhancements.
🔹 Footnote
Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits.
P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency.
FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested.
ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital.
ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge.
Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative.
R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3. 
Long
Bullish ENB, Pump Baby Pump, Tarif free ENB has vertical integration into the USA. Worth looking in the MAGA/Trump economic outlook plan, the "drill baby drill" is in fact what is supporting the ENB price and the expansion in more states. ENB also makes most of there revenue not actually from the sale of Canadian oil/LPG to USA, but from the refining of USA crude drilled domestically in the USA. They act as more of a refining company. LPG(liquid propane gas) is actually there strongest stream of revenue (this is what is used to heat buildings and water, also can be used in electricity generation(not as bad as other non renewables like coal)). Almost every house hold in Canada (and now some in the USA) pays money to ENB. Not to mention they now have new sectors they can expand into, as AI and data center demands are growing it requires North America to expand its power grid, which will have a positive impact for ENB. There is simply not enough electricity being produced to fill the demand at the moment and the growing demands for the future. LPG might be the short term(10-20 years) solution to this, as the next best alternative is Nuclear power generation. Which is more efficient but requires higher start up and maintenance costs. Also takes about 8-10 years to commission and build a nuclear power generator, not to mention the cost.
Supporting material from Google
- A 1,000 megawatt (MW) nuclear power plant can cost between approximately $5 to $10 billion
- A 1,000 MW liquid propane gas (LPG) plant cost estimate is difficult to provide without specific details on the type of technology and location, but for a comparable 1,000 MW natural gas plant, recent estimates suggest costs of roughly $500 to $800 per kilowatt (kW), translating to $500 million to $800 million
Given this info, it is 10X-20X more expensive to build a nuclear reactor power generator then the same scale LPG power generator.
They also have a strong monopoly in the utility sector as they own all the gas infostructure that is required to heat Canada and some areas of the USA. They also expand into the USA strategically, looking for states that have similar climate balance to Canada. IMO they operate similarly to CNR, they have a strong mote and balance sheet with constant and recession resistant cash flow. Great stock to add to a portfolio as risk diversification.
"When the economy is doing good you set the thermostat to XY, when the economy is doing bad you set the thermostat to XY"
"You don't shower less because the economy is doing poorly" 
Long
Ivanhoe Mines - a 50% discount opportunity !The share price of this mining monster has suffered a 50% price decline in the last 6 months.
One of the main reasons for the share price decline is the suspension of underground operations at the Kakula mine due to seismic activity. This suspension has led to a withdrawal of production and cost guidance for 2025, causing investor uncertainty and a subsequent drop in share price 1,2,3 Additionally, the company has faced challenges with its smelter, including a fire that damaged onsite generators and caused a three-month delay in commissioning. These issues, combined with power constraints and grid instability in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), have contributed to a more conservative production outlook.
However there are lots of positive catalysts for Ivanhoe Mines: the upcoming rise in precious metal prices, especially the wake up of the severely undervalued PLATINUM prices.
Platreef PGM project in South Africa contains 7 million ounces of gold (0.25 gpt) and 50 million ounces of AuEq. About 90% of annual production (1 million ounces) will consist of PGMs (platinum group metals), making it the largest PGM mine in the world ! Platreef is expected to have low all-in production costs, though more precise figures will become available after the ramp-up phase, scheduled for the second half of 2025.
Platreef PGM, Kakula-Kamoa (massive copper mine, the largest high grade mine globally) and Kipushi (a high-grade zinc operation); With all three of their mines expected to be in production, 2025 could be a pivotal year for them.
Chart wise, the price is still rising in a long term rising wedge. Price just found support on the lower resistance and is bouncing strongly. OBV on balance volume is still on a steady rise. I own Ivanhoe Mines since I got in at sub 1$ (thanks to Rick Rule's reccomandation - God may bless him). and I am not willing to let go before we reach 50$, which is my long term target. 
Long
Long
GOLD HITS $3,546 ATH - Time to "Swing the Bat" on Juniors Again!With Gold absolutely ripping to fresh all-time highs at $3,546, I couldn't help but dust off one of the old playbooks and revisit TSXV:ALTA .
Got back in at 10c because sometimes the best opportunities are hiding in plain sight while everyone's chasing the shiny new toys.
For those who've been following the flows here, you'll remember this was one of our porphyry plays that we've been tracking since the early days.
The technical setup + what they've built while everyone was sleeping? Chef's kiss 👌
The Setup That Brought Me Back 📈
Current Position: Loaded at 10c
Buy Zone: 12c-16c (on any summer pullback)
Targets: 25c → 40c → 60c
The beauty of this setup is we broke almost 4 year resistance breakout level.
For those asking "but what if gold pulls back?" - and thats when you buy as juniors are about to fly this season,
these guys have production costs around $500/oz, so it's largely irrelevant for the fundamentals.
↳ On the Maria Bonita Discovery...
This isn't the same TSXV:ALTA from years past. They've been grinding away and DOUBLED their resource base with the Maria Bonita porphyry discovery.
We're talking 542,800 oz Indicated + 877,400 oz Inferred total resources now.
But here's the kicker - that latest deep drill hole hit 500 meters of mineralised zone. Five hundred meters! And surface samples pulling 27.5 g/t gold at Tavares Norte.
When you start connecting these alteration zones across 8+ untested targets, you're not looking at a deposit anymore... you're looking at a potential gold camp.
Why Junior Season is Cooking 🔥
Gold hitting $3,546 isn't just a number - it's confirmation that the macro thesis around monetary debasement is playing out exactly as mapped. The flows into private assets we've been tracking?
This is just the beginning.
Junior explorers with legitimate discovery stories are going to get re-rated hard over the coming quarters. TSXV:ALTA porphyry system in Brazil's proven Alta Floresta Belt (6M+ historical oz) positions them perfectly for institutional attention.
The Technical Picture
Clean breakout from that multi-year downtrend ✅
Volume confirming the move ✅
25c will be strong support once we clear current resistance
Quick test back to buy zone likely before the real slingshot begins
For those with patience, this has all the makings of another home-run setup brewing towards
those $2+ targets we used to talk about.
Sometimes the best plays are the ones that have been quietly improving while nobody's watching.
Highly recommend tracking that 12c-16c zone for new entries.
This summer pullback could be the last chance before we start that final slingshot move.
Who else is positioning for junior season? 👇
Not financial advice - I own shares and clearly think this thing's going to the moon 🌙
Also I will be back with more macro, tech, mining, crypto... you name it, the Pig is back from a long break...
#JuniorGold #Porphyry TSXV:ALTA PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD 
Long
P
Long
Long
Long
