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Organigram: Upside Attempt FailsOrganigram has recently initiated an attempt to move higher but had to abandon it due to renewed selling pressure. As a result, price slipped back toward the support at C$1.73. In our primary scenario, the ongoing upward move should gradually guide the stock to the upside, allowing it to form a top above the resistance at C$2.89. Alternatively, OGI could face another stronger sell-off, breaking below the support at C$1.73. In that case, a lower corrective low would likely form there before we would expect fresh upward momentum to emerge (probability: 37%).
TSX:OGI
by HKCM_Global
MDA Space: when orbit is no longer a dream, but a trajectoryMDA Space is one of those companies that doesn’t just participate in the space industry - it quietly builds its backbone. Canadarm on the ISS, satellite constellations for Telesat Lightspeed and Globalstar, advanced Earth observation radar systems - this is not a startup story, this is 55 years of engineering discipline scaling into a new cycle of global demand. With headquarters in Brampton, over 4,000 employees, and deep integration into both commercial and defense ecosystems, MDA is positioning itself at the intersection of two accelerating forces: space infrastructure and geopolitical rearmament. The numbers confirm the shift. The company reported on March 4, 2026, delivering 51% revenue growth to CAD 1.63B, with adjusted EBITDA reaching CAD 324M and GAAP net income at CAD 108.5M. Free cash flow came in at CAD 165M. Q4 alone delivered CAD 499M in revenue (+44% YoY), marking a record quarter. More importantly, backlog expanded to $4B, while the five-year pipeline now stands at an impressive $40B, providing long-term visibility that most companies in the sector simply don’t have. Growth is not abstract - it is concentrated and operational. The satellite systems segment surged 85.5% to CAD 1.1B, driven by large-scale constellation builds. The company is preparing to scale production up to two digital satellites per day at its new Montreal facility, effectively transitioning from project-based execution to industrial-scale manufacturing. At the same time, MDA is strengthening its strategic positioning. In March 2026, the company completed its NYSE listing, raising $300M, unlocking access to U.S. capital markets and expanding its M&A flexibility. Government demand continues to accelerate: partnerships with the Canadian government and Telesat for Arctic defense communications, agreements with South Korea’s Hanwha Systems, and a $32M contract from Canada’s Department of National Defence. Notably, all five major U.S. defense contractors source satellite components from MDA - a signal of deep integration into Western defense supply chains. The launch of its subsidiary 49North further reinforces its focus on national security priorities, while the acquisition of SatixFy adds vertical integration in space-grade semiconductor technology. Now to the technical structure - and this is where things align. On the daily chart, a classic head & shoulders pattern has already played out. The neckline break was confirmed, followed by a clean retest, and price is now transitioning into a continuation phase. This is not a speculative setup - this is a completed structure moving into trend expansion. Momentum indicators support the move. ADX at 39.54 confirms a strong, established trend, while DI+ (24.45) significantly exceeds DI- (16.28), indicating clear bullish control. CCI (20) at 65.06 shows upward momentum without entering overbought territory, leaving room for continuation. BBP (13) at 0.092 suggests price is positioned within the upper range of Bollinger dynamics but not overheated, which is typical for sustainable trends. Price remains above key moving averages, reinforcing structural strength. The risks are real, but they are structural rather than immediate. The business remains exposed to government contract cycles, capital expenditures are expected to increase to CAD 225–275M in 2026, potentially pressuring short-term free cash flow, and insider selling has been present in recent months. However, these factors are typical for companies transitioning into expansion phases rather than signals of deterioration. On the other side, the opportunities are asymmetric. A $40B pipeline, expansion into U.S. markets, vertical integration through semiconductor capabilities, and rising defense budgets across North America create a multi-year tailwind that is difficult to ignore. MDA is currently riding two macro waves simultaneously: the militarization of space and the commercialization of orbital infrastructure. Revenue is growing above 50%, backlog provides forward visibility, and the technical structure confirms continuation rather than exhaustion. The head & shoulders pattern has completed its cycle, the retest has held, ADX confirms trend strength, CCI shows no overheating, and BBP suggests the move is still developing, not ending. As one aerospace engineer once said: “A satellite doesn’t forgive mistakes. But once it reaches orbit, no one remembers the launch tension.” Right now, MDA looks less like a launch and more like a trajectory already locked in.
TSX:MDALong
by TotoshkaTrades
Tungsten: gaining exposure to a strategic military metalGeopolitical events in the Middle East have had a strong impact on the commodities market. In particular, the energy sector has experienced a sharp rise in oil and natural gas prices, which may seem quite logical given the disruptions affecting energy supply around the Persian Gulf. However, in the metals segment, the expected movements have not materialized, as precious metals were not the ones supported, since they were already heavily overbought and had been in strong demand for several months due to geopolitical factors. Within the metals segment of the commodities market, the clear leader since the beginning of the military operations on February 28 has been tungsten. This metal, which is not traded on the stock market like gold or silver, has seen its price rise by more than 400%. Tungsten is indeed a strategic military metal because it is used in the manufacturing of many of the most decisive types of ammunition within the global military apparatus. Given the intensity of current military operations as well as those expected in the future, major powers need to rebuild their war reserves, and this will inevitably require strong demand for tungsten. However, tungsten is a rare strategic metal. China is the world’s leading producer and alone accounts for about 80% of global supply. The United States will make every effort to expand its production, but supply constraints will likely persist over the coming years, putting upward pressure on prices. It is not possible to gain direct exposure to tungsten on the stock market as one can with gold or silver. However, the main tungsten producers are listed companies, and the table below shows the top three Chinese companies in tungsten and the top three Western tungsten companies. These companies currently represent the main stock market vehicles for gaining indirect exposure to tungsten price movements. Chinese companies largely dominate the value chain, whether in ore extraction, refining, or industrial processing. This dominance reflects China’s strategic lead in critical metals, a field in which Beijing has invested massively for several decades in order to secure its supply and strengthen its industrial and military influence. On the Western side, several companies are gradually trying to develop alternative production capacities. Although their volumes remain modest compared with Chinese production, these companies are attracting increasing interest from governments and investors, particularly in the context of policies aimed at securing supply chains. Critical metals, including tungsten, are now at the heart of the industrial and defense strategies of major powers. In this context, Western producers could benefit both from a favorable price environment and from supportive public policies. For investors, these companies therefore represent an indirect but potentially effective way to position themselves in a strategic metal whose demand could remain structurally high in the coming years. The chart below shows, for example, the daily Japanese candlesticks of American Tungsten Corp, with an upward trend above the 200-day moving average. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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TEducation
by Swissquote
3
GLobal Atomic Dreams $GLO📊 Where the market is right now Current share price: ~C$0.85–0.95 Market cap: roughly ~C$300–450M Call it: ~C$350M market cap baseline A realistic NAV (sum-of-parts) We’ll split into: Turkey zinc (cash-flow asset) DASA uranium (main value) Apply risk discounts (this is EVERYTHING) 🟢 Turkey zinc (low risk, cash flowing) Rough valuation range: C$50M – C$100M Per share: ~C$0.15 – C$0.35 This is your floor-ish, but not guaranteed ☢️ DASA uranium (NPV vs reality) Headline NPV (from studies / investor decks): ~$900M–$1.1B USD (≈C$1.2–1.5B) Developers NEVER trade at full NPV Apply: Jurisdiction (Niger) discount Financing dilution Construction risk Time delay Apply realistic discounts Bear case (things go wrong / slow) Uranium ~$70–80 Heavy dilution / delays Market applies 0.2x NAV DASA value: ~C$250–300M + zinc: ~C$75M ➡️ NAV ≈ C$325–375M ➡️ Per share ≈ C$0.60 – 0.80 This matches downside trading range pretty well Base case (most realistic IMO) Uranium ~$85–100 Financing happens (with dilution) Execution “okay but not perfect” Market assigns 0.3–0.5x NAV 👉 DASA value: ~C$400–700M 👉 + zinc: ~C$75M ➡️ NAV ≈ C$475 – 775M ➡️ Per share ≈ C$0.90 – 1.50 ✔️ This lines up with: Current price (~0.9) Analyst targets up to ~C$2+ Right now: Market is pricing roughly a conservative base case Bull case (what uranium bulls believe) Uranium $110–140+ Smooth build Re-rating to 0.6–0.8x NAV DASA value: ~C$900M–1.2B + zinc: ~C$100M ➡️ NAV ≈ C$1.0 – 1.3B ➡️ Per share ≈ C$2.00 – 3.50 Reality check Here’s the blunt truth: At ~C$0.90 today: Market is NOT pricing in full success But also NOT pricing in failure It’s basically saying: “We believe DASA probably gets built… but we’re not paying up yet.” The 3 things that will move the stock This matters way more than spreadsheets: Financing terms Equity-heavy → downside Debt/offtake → upside Niger risk perception Biggest discount factor Even if overblown, it matters Uranium price This is the multiplier Changes NAV dramatically Final verdict $0.50 zinc-only argument → slightly optimistic, but not crazy “DASA provides torque” At current price (~C$0.90): You’re paying mostly for: Zinc + partial DASA probability Upside to ~$2–3 if things go right Downside to ~$0.60 if things go wrong
TSX:GLO
by PoPnoStyle
1
K92 Mining Inc. (TSX: KNT) — Swing Trade Idea💰 K92 Mining Inc. (TSX: KNT) — Swing Trade Idea 🏢 Company Snapshot Mid-tier high-grade gold producer operating the Kainantu mine in Papua New Guinea, one of the highest-grade underground gold systems globally. Production growth and mill expansion continue to drive strong operational momentum. The stock has been a top relative-strength name among gold miners, recently pulling back after a multi-month trend. 📊 Fundamental Context (Trade-Relevant Only) Valuation Trades at a moderate premium to smaller gold producers due to high grades and production growth visibility. Balance Sheet Debt levels remain manageable with improving liquidity as production scales. Cash Flow Expanding, supported by higher throughput and strong realized prices tied to Gold. Dividend Neutral for the trade — capital allocation prioritizes mine expansion. Fundamental Read Strong production growth combined with elevated gold prices supports the longer-term uptrend, making pullbacks technically attractive for swing entries. 🪙 Industry & Sector Backdrop Short-Term (1–4 weeks) Gold miners experiencing momentum consolidation after a strong run. Medium-Term (1–6 months) Precious metals equities continue outperforming broader indices during risk-off rotations. Macro Influence Gold strength driven by: persistent geopolitical risk central-bank buying interest-rate uncertainty Sector Bias: Bullish 📐 Technical Structure (Primary Driver) Trend Price remains above the 200-SMA (~20.00) confirming primary uptrend. Current pullback testing the daily support cluster near 24.00. Momentum RSI(2) reset / short-term oversold condition, typical of pullback entries in trend systems. Pattern Bullish trend pullback after an extended rally from ~17 → ~32. Price retracing into prior consolidation + moving average support. Volume Declining volume on the pullback suggests profit-taking rather than distribution. Key Levels Support: 23.80 – 24.40 Resistance: 30.00 – 32.50 (recent highs) 🎯 Trade Plan (Execution-Focused) Entry 23.80 – 24.40 Pullback into trend support with momentum reset. Stop 21.07 Below structural support and pullback invalidation. Target 32.50 Retest of recent swing high / trend continuation zone. Risk-to-Reward ~2.6R Alternate Scenario If support fails, watch 21–22 demand zone near the 200-SMA for a deeper trend-continuation setup. 🧠 Swing Trader’s Bias Primary trend remains bullish with price holding well above the 200-SMA. Momentum has reset after an extended run, creating a classic pullback entry within a strong uptrend. Looking for buyers to defend the 24 zone for a move back toward the 30–32 resistance range. A breakdown below 21.07 invalidates the setup and signals deeper correction risk.
TSX:KNTLong
by SwingTraderKev
USGD – Asset-backed copper upsideAt ~C$0.255 (~C$56M cap), USGD holds ~13.9M shares of Vizsla Copper (VCU), worth ~C$25.7M at C$1.85 — ~46% of its market cap backed by liquid equity. Madison (Montana) is a past-producing high-grade copper system, now drilling skarn/CRD targets with upcoming copper porphyry tests as the main catalyst. Project is already permitted (surface + underground). Asymmetry: partial downside protection via VCU stake + cash, with upside driven by copper drilling success and upcoming spin-out. Execution from here matters. Do your own research, please!
CSE:USGDLong
by dimzh
Prince Silver Corp (PRNC)Prince Silver Corp ( CSE:PRNC ) - 1W Price retraced into the 0.618 - 0.786 Fib. support zone of the prior impulse and found support near the 20 & 50 week MA's. Structure remains constructive with price continuing to hold within a broader ascending channel. Near-term resistance sits in the 0.80-0.85 supply zone, but if continuation develops, Fib. extensions project potential levels at the -0.272 (0.92) and -0.618 (1.05). Noticed this setup while watching presentations from @MetalsInvtForum @princesilverco #SilverStocks #JuniorMining
CSE:PRNCLong
by TheDiscoveryDesk
1
Western Exploration Inc. (WEX)Western Exploration Inc (WEX) - 1W / 1D Price retraced to the 0.786 of the broader impulse before breaking sideways out of a descending channel. Weekly structure shows repeated rejection of both the 20MA and 50MA, while price begins to advance along a rising trend line. On the daily timeframe, a double bottom (W pattern) formed with rejection at the 200MA. If continuation develops, Fib extensions project potential levels at -0.272 (1.29) and -0.618 (1.48). @WEXExploration #JuniorMining #GoldSilverStocks
TSXV:WEXLong
by TheDiscoveryDesk
Pirate Gold Corp (YARR) At Trend Line SupportPirate Gold Corp (YARR) - 1W Recently included on Eric Sprott's @SprottMoney Top 30 list. Price has pulled back into rising trend line support and also aligning with the 0.618 retracement (.305) of the previous impulse green candle. Broader structure remains constructive above the 20MA. A deeper retrace toward the 0.786 (.280) remains possible without invalidating the trend. Upside continuation projects -0.272 (.430) / -0.618 (.475) as measured expansion levels. TSXV:YARR @PirateGoldCorp #JuniorMiners #GoldStocks
TSXV:YARRLong
by TheDiscoveryDesk
1