Page 19 | Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — Australia — TradingView

Bearish potential detected for AGL Entry conditions: (i) breach of the lower confines of the Darvas box formation for ASX:AGL - i.e.: below low of $9.84 of 7th April, and (ii) swing increased bearishness of indicators such as DMI/RSI along with a test of prior level of support of $10.02 from 11th March. Stop loss for the trade (based upon the Darvas box formation) would be: (i) above the high of 10th April (i.e.: above $10.89), or (ii) above the prior support level from the open of 10th January (i.e.: above $11.15), depending on risk tolerance.

Bullish potential detected for ORG Entry conditions: (i) breach of the upper confines of the Darvas box formation for ASX:ORG - i.e.: above high of $11.69 of 16th June (most conservative entry), and (ii) swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI. Stop loss for the trade (based upon the Darvas box formation) would be: (i) below the support level from the low of 26th June (i.e.: below $10.62).

DAILY TRADER’S PLANNER 🌅 MORNING PREP ⏰ 6:00 a.m. – 6:45 a.m. | Ground the Mind Light movement / stretching / walk 20–25 min mindfulness meditation 5 min breath journaling: My emotional tone this morning Any lingering bias, fear, or excitement from yesterday? What does a calm, rule-following day look like? 🧠 Anchor Phrase: “I will execute my edge with clarity, not with hope.” 🧠 MARKET PREP 🕕 6:45 a.m. – 7:30 a.m. | Systems First Review open trades: still valid per system? Check watchlist: any potential setups for today? Pre-calculate entry, stop, and position size for each If in drawdown: confirm size adjustment without changing rules 📚 PRE-MARKET NOURISHING TIME 🕖 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 a.m. | Detach Before the Storm No charts, no news, no Twitter Read non-market material (Zen, philosophy, biography) Eat a light, mindful breakfast. 2-minute breath anchor before charts 📊 FINAL SCAN & ORDER PREP 🕣 8:30 a.m. – 9:15 a.m. Check for overnight/pre-market price shifts. Finalise trade orders: entries, stops, position sizes Place limit/stop orders or set alerts Mentally commit to no improvising. 🔔 NYSE OPEN – CONTROLLED EXECUTION 🕤 9:30 a.m. – 10:00 a.m. | First 30 Minutes Monitor for order fills or open adjustments per rules Avoid impulsive trades — wait for planned triggers Log trades immediately if filled ⏳ MID-SESSION CHECKS 🕛 12:00 p.m. | Halfway Through Scan for stops hit / targets reached Adjust only per system rules Breathing reset before clicking anything 📉 MARKET CLOSE REVIEW 🕓 4:00 p.m. – 4:15 p.m. End-of-day close review for signals Record trades and update journal (R-multiples, emotional state) Note any pending setups for tomorrow 🛑 POST-MARKET DECOMPRESSION After 4:15 p.m. – until next morning All trading screens off by 6:00 p.m. Movement or nature time Dinner without market talk or news Fiction reading or creative time Gratitude journaling 🌀 WEEKLY REVIEW (Saturday Morning) R-multiples gained/lost Did I follow the system in all trades? Any emotional overrides? Any refinements needed for execution or prep?

ASM -Australian Strategic Materials Promising. Now word to say yet but very promising. This is the key and solution to get away from China and balance the supply of Lithium and Rare Earth Materials. ASM have signed production with Korea. Korea has a significant influence in production of Samsung phone and EV cars around the world. all we need is first production and BOOM

BRN - brainchip BRN have been a problem child for many traders and investors after it surge on price its now down to ground. Don't get your hope disappear yet as things about to change and happen very rapidly. Wit the development of AI. Akida is BRN flagship which may contribute to enhance security by using this on their defense in Drones. This is also important in ensuring low cost energy as its using efficient energy. Things will change just hang on there and everything will become bullish.

Beach Energy (BPT.ASX): Long-Term Compression Near Historical Su 📚 Description This monthly chart of Beach Energy (BPT.ASX) reveals a multi-decade compression pattern forming near historical support levels. With price currently at 1.140 AUD, the setup invites a macro-technical perspective for long-term positioning. 🔍 Key Observations • Historical Range: Since 1991, BPT has oscillated between deep cyclical lows and explosive rallies, often tied to oil price cycles and domestic energy policy. • Compression Zone: Price action since 2011 shows tightening volatility, forming a descending triangle with support around 1.10–1.15 AUD. • Volume Profile: Recent monthly candles show declining volume, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. • Oscillators:• Momentum indicators (values: 50.97, 44.32, 15.76) show divergence — a potential early signal of reversal. • Red and blue lines suggest a crossover setup forming, historically a precursor to trend shifts. 🌏 Macroeconomic Angle Australia’s energy sector is undergoing a structural shift, and Beach Energy sits at the intersection of several key trends: 🛢️ Oil Price Trends • Global oil prices remain volatile, but long-term supply constraints and geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East, Russia) support elevated price floors. • BPT’s historical rallies often coincide with Brent crude surges — a macro tailwind worth monitoring. 🚢 LNG Export Dynamics • Australia is one of the world’s top LNG exporters, and demand from Asia (Japan, South Korea, China) continues to grow. • Beach Energy’s exposure to domestic gas and LNG infrastructure positions it to benefit from rising export volumes and favorable pricing contracts. • Government policy shifts toward energy security and decarbonization may further support domestic producers. 📈 Inflation & Rate Cycles • As central banks pivot from tightening to neutral or easing, energy equities often outperform due to their inflation-hedging characteristics. • BPT’s low valuation and asset base make it a potential beneficiary of capital rotation into hard assets. --- 🧠 Educational Insight This chart is a textbook example of long-term compression in commodity-linked equities. Traders and investors can use this to: • Understand how macro cycles (e.g., oil prices, energy demand) reflect in equity price structure. • Apply monthly timeframe analysis to filter out noise and identify strategic entry zones. • Combine volume, oscillator divergence, and price structure for higher conviction setups. 🛠️ Potential Strategy • Watch for breakout above descending resistance (~1.20 AUD) with volume confirmation. • Risk management: Stop below historical support (~1.05 AUD). • Target zones: 1.40 AUD (swing), 1.80 AUD (macro breakout). Not financial advice.

buy the lower bound support levels VAU has been trading in a range and has formed a rising wedge pattern as shown by the trend lines I have drawn. Resistance level is clearly defined with 3 tops and the lower band is not as clear but take a punt on the support level holding. Gold miners have sold off in the last months while gold has gone sideways. Gold Silver ratio showing a breakout is imminent and the bank shares look overstretched. More loans need to be taken out therefore more migrants are required to take out loans. Loans for speculation always leads to the same result. This Mississippi bubble will dwarf the one in France.

Bullish potential detected for TLC Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:TLC along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing up of the RSI indicator, and (ii) observation of market reaction at the support/resistance level at $5.31 (from the open of 12th May). Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent of risk tolerance (once the trade is activated): (i) below the support level from the open of 21st November (i.e.: below $5.05), or (ii) below the recent swing low of 3rd June (i.e.: below $4.96).

Potential outside week and bullish potential for CXO Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:CXO above the level of the potential outside week noted on 27th June (i.e.: above the level of $0.1025). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 20th June (i.e.: below $0.083), should the trade activate.

Dronesheild flag DRO is forming higher high and higher low. the price significantly fly and move so far in such away that it cannot stop however like anything it has its end. this DRO will now form a flag. This is the anonymity and uncertainty of the DRO in the future but it will be fueled with war again once its broke out. Be ready and Prepared and always look on the higher time frame

IPH 40% move coming?IPH has recently emerged from a descending wedge pattern, supported by bullish divergences in both the RSI and OBV, along with several divergences observed in shorter time frames. A pullback to the $5 level is anticipated, as the stock appears weaker on these smaller time frames. If IPH can maintain its position above the recent low of $4.40, it will indicate a structural shift, establishing higher highs and higher lows. My initial target is in the $6.50 range, followed by a potential move just above $7, representing a 40% increase. Good luck and happy trading 🍀

Bullish potential detected for WDS Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:WDS along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing up of the RSI indicator, and (ii) observation of market reaction at the support/resistance level at $24.87 (from the open of 14th February). Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent of risk tolerance (once the trade is activated): (i) below the support level from the open of 15th July (i.e.: below $23.95), or (ii) below the recent swing low of 30th June (i.e.: below $23.24). NOTE: Positive momentum move on 23rd July already in play (suggested not to chase this initial move and await a retracement back towards the support/resistance level of $24.87 and observe the market reaction - potentially overbought with resistance above current price area of $26.20 as at 25th July). If the move keeps going, let it go.

Potential outside week and bearish potential for HCW Entry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:HCW below the level of the potential outside week noted on 4th July (i.e.: below the level of $0.72). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the high of the outside week on 30th June (i.e.: above $0.785), should the trade activate.

Bullish potential detected for MTS Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:MTS along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI. Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the recent swing low of 6th May (i.e.: below $3.21), or (ii) a close below the 50 day moving average (currently $3.16), or (ii) below the support level from the open of 11th April (i.e.: below $3.12), depending on risk tolerance.

Bullish potential detected for BOQ Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:BOQ along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI. Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) a close below the 50 day moving average (currently $7.83), or (ii) below previous swing low of $7.69 from the low of 23rd June, or (iii) below previous support of $7.60 from the open of 12th May.

Bullish Cup and Handle setup for Arafura Rare Earths ARU is setting up beautifully with a classic cup and handle formation on the daily chart. This is a well-defined bullish continuation pattern with strong convergence across technical indicators, price action, and volume structure. Key pattern breakdown : - Rounded cup base formed over April–June. - Price rallied into resistance (~0.22-0.23c AUD), forming the right side of the cup. - Currently in a healthy pullback phase, building the handle. Watching for support at 0.195–0.200 to hold, which aligns with: 38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement Mid-Bollinger Band High-volume node on the visible range volume profile RSI remains in a bullish uptrend, now cooling off and testing trendline support.

by entryspecialist

Buy Idea: CPU.ASX – Earnings Momentum Play Earnings Date: 📅 19 August 2025 📊 Technical Setup • CPU is forming a tight volatility contraction pattern (VCP) near highs, coiling above the 21EMA and 50MA. • Strong bounce off support with increasing volume and bullish momentum crossover. • Setup has clear risk-defined structure and is supported by a solid base breakout. • MACD turning up, and trend indicators flashing early long signals. 💡 Why This Trade • Pre-earnings positioning: CPU tends to trend strongly into earnings — historically sees strength 2–4 weeks out. • Volume confirming the move: Last few candles show institutional footprints with demand near $40. • Fundamental kicker: As a financial services platform, CPU benefits from a rising rate environment and high transaction volumes globally. 📈 Trade Plan • Target 1 (1R): $44.16 – consider trimming 1/3 • Target 2 (2R): $46.81 • Trail remaining if breakout extends into earnings 📌 Risk Note: Trim or reduce if it loses $40.00 on high volume. Will reassess before earnings. DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.

by Gihanhemachandra

AW1 analysis Ignore the below write-up and watch the video. Lorem Ipsum is simply dummy text of the printing and typesetting industry. Lorem Ipsum has been the industry's standard dummy text ever since the 1500s, when an unknown printer took a galley of type and scrambled it to make a type specimen book. It has survived not only five centuries, but also the leap into electronic typesetting, remaining essentially unchanged. It was popularised in the 1960s with the release of Letraset sheets containing Lorem Ipsum passages, and more recently with desktop publishing software like Aldus PageMaker including versions of Lorem Ipsum

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ALLIGATOR the BEAST Hello, good ? It's crypto time, but what happen for alligator energy ? 4 years of consolidation. Bull flag. • Bottom of flag done. • Weekly RSI div • Montly volume increase 1st enter : when arrow break 2sd enter : When bullflag is break in Monthly Target ATH.

by Lucideisrise

ZIM 40% move up ZIM has broken out of a descending wedge with bullish RSI and OBV divergence, also multiple divergences on smaller time frames. On the hourly it's had a pull back and formed a bull flag that it has also broken out of. ZIM looks to have formed a change of structure forming higher highs and higher lows, my first target will be $22.90 a move of 40%. Definitely one to consider. Good luck and happy trading 🍀

Bank share price is the indicator We can use the share price of banks like CBA as the market indicator for the housing crash. Sydney house prices are about $2 million each and higher. I propose 2 targets depending on if the state chooses to continue the asset bubble or allow free markets to operate.

Rising into big selling volume If it holds .60 seems bullish due to selling be absorbed, otherwise looking for it to dip to high volume node at .40 and rise on fundamentals.

FFM -- ASX – Breakout Consolidation in Focus 📝 Description Firefly Metals is setting up a classic breakout continuation scenario after reclaiming the $1.00 psychological level and breaking the long-term trendline resistance. 🔹 Key Observations: • Trendline Break: The descending trendline from the prior high was decisively breached, signaling a structural shift. • Accumulation Zone: Price has consolidated in a tight range above $1.00, forming a bullish flag or box accumulation. • EMA Cluster Support: Both the 15 and 60 EMAs are aligned below the consolidation, providing dynamic support. 🔹 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation: A clean breakout above the top of the blue box could trigger a momentum rally toward $1.30 and ultimately the $1.38–$1.50 resistance levels. ✅ Deeper Pullback: If price loses the $1.00 support decisively, a retracement to retest the breakout base is possible. Trade Plan: I am monitoring for a confirmed breakout candle with volume expansion to validate the continuation thesis. • Entry trigger above the range high ($1.10 area) • Stops below recent swing low / $1.00 level • First target: $1.30 resistance As always, risk management first—no breakout, no trade. #MJTrading #FFM #FireflyMetals #ASXTrading #BreakoutSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingPlan #ChartOfTheDay #AustralianStocks #MomentumTrading #MJTrading