Microcap Coil: MSV Poised for a Spring UnwindMSV is shaping up beautifully — potential spring in play. Price action suggests a classic Wyckoff Phase C moment, with signs of absorption and a possible reclaim on deck. But let’s be clear: this is a microcap, and that means elevated risk.
High caution required — thin liquidity, fast moves, and headline sensitivity make this one a sniper’s game, not a swing-for-the-fences setup. If the spring confirms, it could offer a sharp asymmetric move — but only if you’re disciplined with size and execut
NEM ASX - breakout weeklyNEM now breaking out hard.
target is $74 AUD.
gold miners have yet to move but spot price of gold has already
started accelerating higher.
Bonds yields are still negative in real terms.
equities are overvalued. BTC is in a bubble. Gold is stability.
US empire wants to initiate more Wars. China will be the next to be
invaded. They will instigate something in Taiwan as they did in Ukraine.
Prospect to ride copper train up to 0.35 (66% gain)?Prospect Resources (PSC) classic cup and handle, showing extension to around 0.35, coinciding with parallel channel.
Switching to the weekly and looking further back since the Arcadia lithium mine was sold in July 2022, there is also a double bottom / W.
Fundamentals pretty strong being a copper explorer with substantial Maiden Resource Estimate, extensive drilling programme and strong track history.
Dead Cat or Last Breath? RHC’s Pivot Trap LoomsRHC is sitting at a pivotal moment. For the bullish case to stay alive, we need to see price swiftly reclaim and close above ~$43 — that’s the line in the sand.
However, I’m leaning toward Scenario 1, which suggests a short-term push up to the yearly pivot and macro 50% retracement level, followed by a rejection and sharp move lower.
Bearish Pathway
Initial Bounce: Push toward ~$43 could trap late longs.
Rejection Zone: Yearly pivot and macro 50% level act as resistance.
Downside Targets:
F
COL Bullish Blueprint: $20 or $18.93 — Which Launchpad Wins?Coles is setting up for a sustained move higher. The structure is clean, and two key scenarios are worth tracking:
Scenario 1:
Shallow Pullback to ~$20
LVN Zone: Low Volume Node suggests weak price acceptance — price may dip but not stay.
Fib Confluence:
50% retracement from the recent 1-month 2-bar swing low aligns with this zone.
Yearly R1 Pivot:
Adds structural weight to the $20 area.
Expectation: Quick dip, then bounce — ideal for aggressive entries with tight invalidation.
Scenario 2:
Two Ranges, One Breakout: TCL’s Wyckoff-Gann ConfluenceCurrently tracking two distinct Wyckoff ranges on TCL, each color-coded for clarity. The structure is clean despite a few lines—each range tells a story.
Accumulation Zones
Key buying opportunities are emerging at the LPS (Last Point of Support), marked by higher lows. These are classic signs of strength and absorption.
Resistance & Breakout Potential
Expect notable resistance around $15.55, but a breakout is likely. We’re approaching a Gann 4th-time breakout setup, which historically carrie
Another Microcap ready to pop? Overall liking the structure with current PA. Granted could see a bit more of a pullback as volume is quite high relative to up bars over the past 3 months. Would target the supply structure
*note arrows not indicating time analysis
BLong
JIN Rallies into the Trap: Retail Shakeout or Reload?Jumbo Interactive (JIN) – Pre-Earnings Setup
JIN is primed for a classic retail shakeout, with the 26 August earnings release likely acting as a volatility catalyst. However, price action suggests the reaction could come ahead of the announcement, given the confluence of technical exhaustion signals.
Price Structure: Price has rallied for 9 consecutive bars, aligning with Gann’s reversal zone (7–10 bar swing rule). This rally is occurring on declining volume, into:
The yearly S1 pivot
A weekly
Strategic Reaccumulation Zone – NXT’s Next Move Is CriticalNXT is at a pivotal level and shouldn’t be overlooked. Price has rallied strongly off a clean April hammer, which aligned with:
Yearly S1 pivot
Macro 50% level (projected from ATL to ATH)
High volume confirmation
This confluence marked a powerful reversal. Price has now reached the 50% resistance zone from the ATH and April low. What happens next will likely define the longer-term trajectory.
Scenario Modeling
Scenario 1 – Most Bullish
Price breaks and holds above $14.48
Reaccumulation abo
LYNAS.ASX - Possible Bearish RetracementA possible return to the major MA's after a break of the bullish parabolic trend fan lines.
An acceptable Risk to Return ratio for a short position.
Await for a break of the previous sessions low before confirmation as Rare Earths are still very much a hot fundamentals buzzword.
Don’t Short It, But Don’t Chase It—TPW’s Setup Demands PatienceTemple & Webster is flashing short-term bearish signals. We've just seen a 7-week rally culminate in a bearish hammer on a volume spike—a textbook exhaustion move. According to the Gann rule, a trend reversal or pause is often expected after 7–10 consecutive bars in one swing, and this setup fits that criteria.
Adding fuel to the bearish thesis:
Bearish divergence on the Stoch RSI
Bearish cross on the RSI
Despite this, I’m not interested in shorting—price is still in a clear uptrend, and I don
HSN Shakeout Play: Smart Money Reloading for ATH Breakout?Hansen Technologies (HSN) — Strategic Long Setup
Hansen Technologies is shaping up as a compelling long-term play. On 20/08/25, a slight earnings miss (−0.07%) triggered a sharp intraday sell-off, with price spiking down to $5.00 before closing at $5.60, forming a bullish hammer. This candle reflects late retail capitulation into aggressive smart money absorption—a classic shakeout signature.
Confirmation Trigger To validate this as a true shakeout, price must close above the 20/08/25 high of
ASX200: Australian Strategic materialsPromising.
Now word to say yet but very promising.
This is the key and solution to get away from China and balance the supply of Lithium and Rare Earth Materials.
ASM have signed production with Korea.
Korea has a significant influence in production of Samsung phone and EV cars around the world.
all we need is first production and BOOM
Update at 15/08/2025
The momentum around building resilient and secure rare earth supply chains is accelerating in the United States.
ASM has been at the hea
ALong
Bearish potential detected for SDFEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:SDF along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $5.89 (open of 20th June).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the potential prior resistance of $6.08 from the open of 4th December 2024, or
(i) above the potential prior resistance of $6.19 from the open of 3rd July 2024, depending on risk tolerance.
Bullish potential detected for QUBEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:QUB along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) a close below the bottom of the formed channel (i.e.: below $4.20), or
(ii) below previous support of $4.11 from the open of 9th May, or
(iii) below the rising 150 day moving average (currently $4.07).
QLong
Potential outside week and bullish potential for CNIEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:CNI above the level of the potential outside week noted on 4th July (i.e.: above the level of $1.795).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the low of the outside week on 30th June (i.e.: below $1.655), should the trade activate.
ASX:STO - 15 AUG, 2025 ELLIOTT WAVE ANALSYSISConclusion: Wave 3))purple continues to move higher.
Key Points: We are in an Extended Wave, specifically the 1)blue of wave 3))purple, which will basically continue to move higher, aiming for the nearest level at 11.32 or higher at 15.00.
In the short term, wave 1)blue may complete, and then wave 2)blue will pull back lower, giving us better trade setups.
So just watch this stock until wave 1)2)blue completes, and price pushes higher above the Confirmation Point (Wave B of wave 2)Blue) at wh
ASX:SGP - 15 AUG, 2025 ELLIOTT WAVE ANALSYSISConclusion: Wave iii))green continues to move higher.
Key Points: We are in an Extended Wave, specifically iii))green of 3-red of 3)blue. But fundamentally, it is likely to move to the nearest level at 6.06, or even higher.
While price must remain above 4.72 to keep this bullish view valid.
©By Hua Chi Cuong (Shane), CEWA-M
ASX:SEK - 15 AUG, 2025 ELLIOTT WAVE ANALSYSISConclusion: Wave B))purple is moving higher.
Key Points: Wave II-green may not be finished, but is moving up with wave B)), then down with C)). However, the important thing is that the price will probably move up around 26.77 - 28.63. I will then look further into the outlook.
On the other hand, if the price moves up to 28.63 quickly and strongly, it may indicate that wave III-green is probably moving up, and wave II-green may have ended earlier than expected.
But the overall result is a cont























