Page 9 | Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — Australia — TradingView

ASX LONG TERM TREND CONTINUATION Hey peeps, I’m calling this a completed monthly running flat on the ASX. Price has fully retraced back to the long-term trendline and is now reacting and reversing from that level, opening the door for further upside. We’re not only seeing clear divergence between the higher-timeframe A wave and C wave, but also internal divergence within the lower-timeframe c wave. This confluence significantly strengthens the case for a full corrective completion and a broader trend resumption. Whether you’re entering early via indicator-based signals or waiting for price action to form a clear, level-to-level structural entry, the path of least resistance from here appears to be higher — making this the most probable next move for the ASX. #ASX #STOCKS #EQUITIES #TRENDCONTINUATION #SHORTERMTRENDREVERSAL #TRADEINTHEDIRECTIONOFTHETREND #RUNNINGFLAT #FRACTALNATURE

by Trading_Matrix

Woodside Energy - 7 to 10 year buy and hold G'day. Thanks for viewing. They are repositioning as more Nat Gas focussed. Some major investments coming online in the next few years. Pricing assumptions are based on low prices for Natural Gas, which can easily run higher. It is a bridging fuel, between Asia Pacific nation's huge use of coal and a less carbon intensive future. I feel the net zero dreams are at least being pushed further into the future a bit. They forecast a 50% increase in dividends, which would imply a 50% price increase at a minimum. Potentially more if crude and or nat gas prices re-rate higher. US crude reserves are way down and traditional shale natural gas fields in the US have apparently peaked. New supply is needed and it takes a long time to come online. They are paying more in dividends now than when they were at $65 a share. Buy and hold. Will review on an ongoing basis, but will need to see how things go until 2032 to really get a good view. Good dividend policy; 50% of Net Profit paid to shareholders. Peak to trough, down over 75%. A sequence of higher lows being set which suggests that the downtrend has completed. Next move; probably a 30% spike after the nearby price peak of $26.925 is exceeded. Taking a position early next week.

Potential outside week and bullish potential for GLN Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:GLN above the level of the potential outside week noted on 23rd January (i.e.: above the level of $0.47). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 19th January (i.e.: below $0.33), should the trade activate.

Potential outside week and bullish potential for PMT Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:PMT above the level of the potential outside week noted on 19th December (i.e.: above the level of $0.595). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 15th December (i.e.: below $0.49), should the trade activate.

APP is at the double bottom support zone.APP Appen is at the double bottom support zone as seen. This is only a Technical Analysis, as this is an AI Ticker, but is currently showing a serious weak Trend despite other positive movers. In my opinion is oversold and ripe for the risky buyer as the potential upside could be +35% As you should know - please consult with your personal Investment Advisor before using any suggestions seen here, as this is mostly 1-5 years speculation. However, should you consider my chart study helpful, smash the like button. It is only a click away.

Stair Step Structure with LPS Reload in Play INA continues to show strength with a classic stair step formation. Price has already printed a clear Sign of Strength (SOS), followed by a clean pullback on declining volume. The overlapping candles into the Equilibrium (EQ) of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) suggest absorption, not weakness. Price then formed another higher low in the zone, printing a fresh Last Point (LPS) of Support. Trade Scenario Entry: Price has pulled back into a key zone after hitting the original minimal range target. This could be another LPS setup with continuation potential. Stop Loss: Since there is no weekly swing low, use the $5.06 swing low as the stop. We do not want price to re-enter the FVG region—it has been tested multiple times, and another visit could signal structural failure. If price breaks and closes above $5.70, consider moving the stop to the newly formed swing low for better protection and dynamic risk management. Targets: Initial target near the all-time high Beyond that, trail the stop to capture extended upside

Bullish Reversal Signals at Harmonic Support CRD is showing multiple bullish signals suggesting a significant low may be forming. Scenario 1 — Weekly low volume Spring Confirmation If the weekly candle closes in its current position, it strengthens the case for a spring out of the Wyckoff range. In this scenario, an entry on next week’s open is justified. with a clear invalidation under the spring. The trade-off is that the major resistance cluster sits relatively close overhead, so the risk‑to‑reward isn’t ideal for short‑term traders. However, for a longer‑term position, the structure supports the idea that this could be the beginning of a larger reversal. As Always, there are no guarantees and must adapt to the chart as it unfolds. Scenario 2 — Throw-under Into S1 Pivot Price may continue to pull back into the new yearly S1 pivot, creating a throw-under of the wedge structure. A close back inside the range after this throw-under would significantly improve the risk‑to‑reward, as it would confirm a deeper spring and clear out remaining weak hands. This scenario offers a cleaner entry and a more defined invalidation level. *arrows are not time-based analysis just overall pathing

Fenix resources This might be a good opportunity. A company with nice assets. The dividend is quite solid as well. Some technical resistance coming. Always do your own research!

Manuka Resources (ASX: MKR) – Australia’s only near-term silver Manuka Resources is positioning itself as the only near-term silver producer on the ASX. The company’s Wonawinta Mine in New South Wales is fully permitted and infrastructure-ready, with a confirmed 10-year mine life and planned output of 13.2 Moz silver. At current silver prices above A$70/oz, and an AISC of around A$31/oz, the project has one of the highest operating margins in the sector. Metallurgical issues from previous operations have been resolved through a new log washer, clearing the way for restart. Manuka recently restructured its debt, replacing a Hong Kong lender with a consortium of existing shareholders — significantly improving financial flexibility. A binding term sheet with non-bank lenders is now in place to fund the restart, targeting first production and cashflow in Q1 2026. Additional leverage comes from the Mount Boppy gold project (feed-ready ore) and the large-scale Taranaki vanadium–titanium–iron sands project in New Zealand, which could become a future growth pillar. With financing near completion and silver momentum building, Manuka stands as a high-leverage, near-term play on rising silver prices. Please, do your own research!

STO building up for a break out OIL price is dead while other commodities are rocketing up. Major disconnect in GOLD and OIL prices. I am overweight on WDS so I think i'll pick up more STO, which also pays a solid dividend. I will average down for more STO and wait for the imminent breakout. I picked up the gold miners when they were unloved over the past decade. Oil should be over $200/Barrel but there is shadow oil being shipped all over which is not counted in the official numbers. Technically STO has formed a nice symmetrical triangle setup. Price breakout showing massive potential for a breakout to the upside. The longer the price congests, the bigger the breakout will be.

SDR | Golden Zone Reload — Bulls Aren’t Done Yet!After reacting beautifully to our prior call near $3.59, SDR has continued to deliver strong bullish structure. Price has now retraced from recent highs, forming a clean re-entry opportunity within the golden zone, perfectly overlapping a daily/weekly fair value gap (FVG). This confluence area could act as a high-probability demand zone, where price may form a higher low before targeting the next liquidity levels. If the zone holds, the next major objectives remain $7.90 and $11.35, aligning with the broader bullish market structure. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR).

by INSIDER_INTEL

Bearish potential detected for AGL Entry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:AGL along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and (ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $9.00 (open of 28th November). Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the declining 200 day MA (currently $9.55), or (ii) above the recent swing high of $9.63 from 3rd December.

Potential outside week and bullish potential for PYC Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:PYC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 16th January (i.e.: above the level of $1.755). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 15th January (i.e.: below $1.595), should the trade activate.

Potential outside week and bullish potential for MYR Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:MYR above the level of the potential outside week noted on 19th December (i.e.: above the level of $0.475). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 18th December (i.e.: below $0.44), should the trade activate.

Potential outside week and bullish potential for HMC Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:HMC above the level of the potential outside week noted on 9th January (i.e.: above the level of $4.14). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 6th January (i.e.: below $3.73), should the trade activate.

MNB = Must Not Bust Up up and away. This stock has disappointed hard, but the cycle is here to save the day. Give it half a year and you may get 1x. If not, I will delete this post like it never happened. The arc will save the day though, so I threw away the delete key.

by StockTrades12345

INCOMING BULL RUN ON #DMP Price is at discount on the higher timeframe, 12month. investors are accumulating longs which is evident with that wick printed. it's even leaving a balanced price range on the lower timeframe.

04:01

Breakout Retest With Upside Potential NMR is shaping up as a high‑risk, high‑reward opportunity. After the strong impulse to $0.225, price has retraced nearly 80% back into the breakout zone. This reinforces why risk management matters and why chasing vertical moves is never the play. The week ending 21 December printed a clean weekly hammer right above key support. There’s no guarantee the pullback is finished (there never is), but the demand that stepped in is notable. Price also swept the monthly FVG on solid volume, a move that likely flushed late longs and trapped fresh shorts on the breakdown. It is also worth noting that we will be getting new yearly pivots in the new year, therefore need to treat the current pivots as weaker support/demand since it's near the end. Trade Scenario (Aggressive) Entry: • Current levels are valid since price has already broken above the weekly hammer high. Stop‑loss: • Just below the hammer low. Take‑profit: • Just under the 50% range level, which aligns with a small LVN, a logical area for first reaction. Further targets can be trailed with subsequent higher lows Trade Scenario (Conservative) • Look for a rally from here, followed by a pullback and breakout that forms a new higher low. • Depending on how strong the initial push is, the same targets from Scenario 1 can be used. • his approach trades a bit of profit for clearer confirmation and a more structured trend shift.

APZ (Australia) - The Affordable Housing Trend Setter Aspen Group has had a really solid run over the last year, putting on a gain of roughly 140% . Based in Australia, they operate in the affordable accommodation sector, managing residential communities, retirement villages, and holiday parks. It isn’t the flashiest business model, but the trend has been incredibly consistent. They have quite a few places that specialise in over 55 living with less than $90k annual salaries and with Australia's rapidly aging population and some of the highest real estate prices in the world, these guys are doing pretty well with lots of demand now and into the future. Fundamentally, this momentum is being driven by the tight housing market down here. There is a genuine shortage of affordable options, and Aspen fills that gap nicely with lower-cost rentals and homes. Revenue and earnings have generally tracked well because the demand is so sticky. Technically, the chart structure is very clean. You can see it trading inside a well-defined rising channel. The price has pulled back slightly but is holding up well above the trend support even with todays pullback - caused by the overall market dropping on Greenland tensions. The RSI has cooled down to around 55, which resets the momentum without signaling a reversal. The MACD is flat, which suggests the selling pressure is minimal. Need to make sure it heads back up before any entry, but certainly might be worth a watch. .................................................. PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world. ..................................................

Potential buy before more downside.Potential buy before more downside. Head and shoulders forming for further downside.

My Target for MATSA is 10x within 2 years Hi, thanks for viewing. I just added another 12% to my MATSA position today. I'm not ruling out adding more at this stage, but for now I'm quite happy. My valuation of Matsa is simply very different to the market presently, maybe I can get some comments and discussion going. A few months they released a forecast for free cashflow from their Devon open-pit mining operations that is using a third-party mining Company and toll milling. This was in their RIU presentation in May 2025. They are expecting 50,000 ounces of gold at 4.6g/t over 18 months. At AUD5000/oz they project free cashflow at AUD95.5 million. Gold today sits at AUD5165/oz / USD3365 and appears to have strong underlying support. Goldman Sachs is projecting USD4000/oz by mid-year 2026, so in this environment of tail-winds for gold it is difficult to see the Devon open-pit returning less than AUD100mil, in all likelihood it will be substantially more. At 95m over 18 months is AUD5,277,777 per month or AUD63.33mil in 12 months. If the Company was valued at 7.5 times *free cashflow* (a relatively normal valuation in mining - low-side I use a multiple of 5 and high side I use 10) this would potentially put the Market Cap of Matsa at $475mil. Roughly, 475m/ current market cap of 56.2m = 8.45 times upside. This is before considering the sale of the vast majority of their Lake Carey project to Anglo Gold. That deal has had Anglo pay 5m in deposits, has already gone unconditional. There are two more deposit payments of 1.5m coming, but the final decision has not been made on the deal i.e. the exercise price hasn't been 'locked in.' At (1.875 times the gold price) x 936,000 ounces = an additional payment of AUD90,645,750 using todays gold price (plus an additional 'up to' AUD20mil for additional ounces discovered on the tenement (no time limit). Potentially, another 93m will come in from the Anglo deal. How do I adjust my valuation to account for this influx in free cash? Serious question. Absolute worst case scenario is that zero multiple applies (as it isn't actually earnings from operations), so my projected market cap of $475m would just add an additional 93m = 568m / 56.2m = 10.1 upside for Matsa over the next 18 to 24 months. I feel that Anglo is more likely than not to finalise the sale, and do so well within the 18 month window (better to exercise at USD3300 gold than at USD4000 gold - better for Anglo). The only thing that concerns me is that doesn't leave Matsa with much in the pipeline after Devon is depleted. Fortitude North (retained by Matsa) is yet to be defined as an underground resource - despite some rather interesting intercepts. There do appear to be a number of high-grade intercepts adjacent to the Devon pit, with dirt up to 60g/ton just to the north-west and 5g/ton dirt north-east and east of the pit shell. Definite potential for Devon to be expanded. Will it be expanded and by how much is unknown at this stage. However, they appear to be a small resourceful Company that is very good at identifying and developing drilling targets. They will be able to do a lot more when cashed up vs now. So, I am investing for the near-term, with potential for it to become a long-term hold. Thanks for taking the time to read all that. Maybe you get a sense of my disbelief of how cheap Matsa is. Everyone is apparently waiting until the last minute to buy when the big announcement is released. I'm just buying while it is crazy cheap. Best of luck everyone.

How a massive slide in Paladin Uranium ASX, is no more I walk you through here on the monthly chart, for ASX stock Paladin Energy. See what appears as Topping structure 2007, dialing into that pre GFC period reveals a double top & the massive sell off, which is apparent on a Monthly chart & means massive selling and falls of around 2000% top to bottom. But now the tide is rising again for Paladin, we see its bottom April of 2025 when Pres. Trump gave the Tarrifs a reprieve which got a steroid shot into stocks. All smooth sailing as the USD turned down & now of course AUDUSD is bullish on higher time frames and is extending this year to easily tap 0.70. Indicators then indicate the alignment. Simple as that. No, why would I use a stop loss if Im seeing all this upward momentum. But thats me. I pull the trigger when I need to. To stop big losses.

by MusicalNightz

Sideways No More?Waypoint REIT (WPR) has been range bound for nearly six years, but the current structure hints at a potential breakout. Price has retraced to the top of the long-term range and is now finding support at two key 50% levels projected from major swing highs and lows. Trade Scenario 1: Aggressive Entry Entry: Current levels Stop Loss: Just below the bullish engulfing candle from the week ending 19 Oct Target: Initial TP just under the yearly R2 pivot. Beyond that, trail your stop below new swing lows to manage risk. Minimum Range Target: $3.70 This setup favors traders looking to front run the breakout with tight risk control. Trade Scenario 2: Conservative Confirmation Entry: Wait for a clean breakout and hold above the $2.82 high Stop Loss & Targets: Same as above initial TP near R2, then trail stops with structure This approach suits those prioritizing confirmation over early positioning.