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With Data Centers Back in Focus, MAQ Could Be Setting UpMAQ continues to show a constructive technical setup after spending an extended period building a base between roughly $58 and $72 before breaking through major resistance around the $72 level. Since the breakout, price has successfully retested the old resistance zone as support, with buyers stepping in around the breakout area. The 50-day moving average is now rising underneath price, helping support the broader bullish structure. Bullish scenario: The $71–72 support zone continues to hold. Price clears and holds above the 0.50 Fibonacci level. Buyers push through the recent swing highs around $77–78. Momentum then targets the 0.618 retracement zone around $81–82, with the potential for a move back toward the previous highs and eventually the psychological $100 level. Bearish scenario: Price fails to reclaim the 0.50 Fibonacci level. Momentum stalls and falls back below the breakout zone. A decisive break below $71–72 would place the stock back inside the prior trading range and invalidate the breakout thesis. The technical picture remains constructive, with the breakout retest holding, rising moving averages and improving momentum indicators. However, the next test for MAQ is clear: bulls need to prove they can convert the current Fibonacci resistance zone into support before the next leg higher can develop. Good luck and happy trading 🍀
ASX:MAQLong
by jason_rpprt
BRN / BrainChip: Macro accumulation at demand?ASX:BRN BrainChip is sitting in a macro demand zone where a potential large accumulation model could be forming. For context, BrainChip develops Akida, a neuromorphic edge-AI chip designed to process sensor data locally with low power, instead of relying fully on cloud AI. If this model confirms with a clean HTF bullish close / structural shift, I believe BRN can start a macro reversal and eventually push back toward ATH — and potentially beyond.
ASX:BRNLong
by Kingsii13
Bullish potential detected for TEAEntry conditions: (i) retracement back to short-term moving averages (8/15 daily EMAs), and (ii) observation of market reaction at potential support area of $4.81 (from the open of 17th September 2025). Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the rising 150 day moving average (currently $4.44), or (ii) below the rising 200 day moving average (currently $4.25), or (iii) below the rising VWAP (currently $4.12).
ASX:TEALong
by Ivory_Wolf
CSL Grand Supercycle Correction Over?They used to say "never sell CSL", they were right up until it peaked on March 2020. This was at the height of the Covid dump, whilst other stocks crashed; CSL was putting in a supercycle top. If you didn't sell the top, you are now down 72% since the all time high. Ouch! CSL is not any old stock, this is a leader in the ASX, one of the greatest businesses out of Australia. I was closely looking at this stock less than a year ago, fortunately I only purchased a tracker share and didn't pull the trigger for a bigger order, as it didn't have any positive momentum. Little did I know that management would fall apart and the business would have a $5 billion non cash impairment charge scheduled across FY26 and FY27. This triggered a massive sell off event, the stock capitulated to levels not seen since 2016. Yikes! This used to be a growth stock, now I am looking at it as a turnaround play. This requires patience and belief, I think the market is over reacting here and this business presents an opportunity. If you have 1-2 years and can stomach volatility, this stock may be for you. I consider CSL a wide moat business. It is split between CSL Behring (plasma, 70% revenue), CSL Seqirus (flu vaccines, 20% business), and CSL Vifor (10% of business). Trading at $97 AUD against a $3.1 billion cash profit run rat puts CSL at an implied forward multiple of 10.1x NPATA. I think patient investors are getting a 50% margin of safety at current levels. The technicals suggest a complete flush out of sellers, an RSI of 16 on the weekly completely resets the RSI from the previous cycle low. This is a rubber band setup that value investors look for, to ensure sellers have completely exited. My technical analysis has so far caught the exact love of the move, but I would like to see it reclaim $100 AUD and show some positive momentum. If it fails to hold $94, this could head down another 50%, I don't think that will happen but anything is possible given how badly this business has been managed in recent years. Whilst the world clamours over AI stocks, and tech puts in a euphorics high, I am looking at deep value plays in dividend compounders - CSL ticks the box. Keep a close eye on this, not financial advice.
ASX:CSLLong
by NoFOMO_
3
Theta Gold Mines: Nordic Bond at 14-15% with Strong CollateralTheta Gold Mines ASX:TGM is an Australian-listed gold exploration and development company with its primary assets located in South Africa’s historically prolific gold mining region. The company is preparing to issue a four-year Nordic senior secured bond with an expected size of approximately $90 million. Proceeds will be used to restart the brownfield Transvaal Gold Mining Estate (TGME) project near the historic mining town of Pilgrim’s Rest in Mpumalanga province. Commercial production is targeted for 2028, with projected all-in sustaining costs of around $1,200 per ounce - well below the industry average. Project Economics and Financial Outlook According to the company’s financial model , once in full production the project is expected to generate significant free cash flow. In 2029, Theta Gold anticipates free cash flow of approximately $150 million. The low-cost profile, combined with confirmed reserves and existing infrastructure, positions the project to remain viable even at substantially lower gold prices than current spot levels. Bond Structure and Terms The bonds will be issued at the holding company level as senior secured debt. The offering features a fixed quarterly coupon, expected in the region of 15%. The structure includes scheduled amortization of $7.5 million per quarter after the first two years, with the remaining principal due at maturity in 2030. Call options allow early redemption with make-whole protection in the first two years, followed by step-down premiums thereafter. A put option at 101% is available upon change of control or delisting. The documentation also includes an equity claw-back feature permitting the issuer to redeem up to 35% of the principal within six months of a successful IPO. Security and Credit Protection The bonds benefit from strong structural protections. Guarantees are provided by all material group companies, including the South African operating entity. Security consists of pledges over the shares of each guarantor and a first-ranking claim on all subordinated and intercompany debt. The loan-to-value ratio is extremely conservative at approximately 10%, indicating that the debt is significantly over-collateralized. Financial covenants include a minimum liquidity requirement of 10% of outstanding principal and, after the first 30 months, a net debt to EBITDA test capped at 2.0x. Investment Considerations The combination of low production costs, a clear path to substantial free cash flow, and robust security features makes the offering attractive at the indicated yield range of 14-15%. The market appears to be pricing in a highly conservative scenario, while the underlying project economics and collateral package suggest a materially stronger credit profile. For investors comfortable with the South African jurisdiction and gold price exposure, the bond provides a compelling risk-adjusted return in the Nordic high-yield segment.
ASX:TGMLong
by juliakhandoshko
Phase E incomming?AFG is shaping up with a structure that demands attention. Since August 25, price has retraced a clean 25% into the first key area of interest, with subsequent support zones clearly defined on the chart. The ideal scenario is for price to hold above the purple box. Should it pierce that zone, any entry would need to be backed by a compelling signal for example, a bullish doji or hammer candle accompanied by a spike in volume. For now, price remains well above that level, so the focus is on taking it step by step. For those employing a DCA approach, risk management is paramount. The invalidation level is set at the LPS low, which serves as the hard stop. This choice reflects the nature of small caps: price can wick through key zones and trigger stops, so anchoring risk to the LPS provides a more robust safeguard. Once a clear monthly higher swing low is established, the stop can be adjusted and trailed beneath each new monthly swing low. The initial target sits just below the local August high. If price achieves a clean breakout above those highs, stops can be trailed further to capture the bulk of the move.
ASX:AFGLong
by AlvinDeo96
WBT: Semiconductor IP Story Tightening Beneath Breakout ZoneWBT continues to look more like an emerging semiconductor IP platform than a speculative ASX tech stock. The long-term structure remains constructive, but what stands out now is the tightening price action directly beneath the key $5 pivot zone: higher lows forming rising mini-channel intact moving averages stabilising buyers consistently defending the $4.20–4.30 support region The market appears to be reassessing Weebit’s positioning as commercial milestones continue building around ReRAM memory technology, AI edge computing and semiconductor IP licensing. Key levels now: 🟢 $4.20–4.30 = major support 🟡 $5.00 = pivot / momentum trigger 🟣 $5.50–6.00 = major supply zone A clean hold above $5 with expanding volume could open the path toward a retest of the larger supply region where the real institutional battle begins. Still speculative. Still early commercialisation. But technically and thematically, the structure continues improving. Watching closely.
ASX:WBTLong
by BenAurifex
2
Bearish potential detected for CIAEntry conditions: (i) lower share price for ASX:CIA along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and (ii) observing market reaction around the potential support area of $4.92 from the open of 7th October 2025. Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be: (i) above the quarterly VWAP (currently $5.17), which corresponds well with the potential resistance from the open of 19th February (i.e.: $5.18), or (ii) above the yearly VWAP (currently $5.39), which corresponds well with the open following the gap down on 13th February (open of $5.44).
ASX:CIAShort
by Ivory_Wolf
Spring Retest or Terminal Shakeout LoadingKKO is starting to look interesting again. After trending down consistently since December 2020, the June 2025 low printed what appears to be a low‑volume Spring. Price rallied cleanly into the range highs before supply stepped in, and we’ve since pulled back toward the Spring. Ideally, this pullback would’ve shown declining volume and a quick rejection from the lows. Instead, volume has lifted — but importantly, we’re not seeing wide candle spreads or aggressive selling, which you would expect if this were true distribution. That keeps the re‑accumulation scenario alive. There’s also a realistic chance of a terminal shakeout. For that to confirm, we’d need a sharp push down followed by a fast reclaim back into the range. This aligns with the current structure: price has been moving sideways between the yearly Pivot and S1, and the first test of S1 (Feb 2026) produced a clean rejection. With the current S1 sitting just below the range lows and inside the May 2020 COVID wick FVG, the setup is ideal for a quick liquidity flush before markup. Trade Scenarios Aggressive Entry Enter now since price hasn’t broken the Spring. Stop‑loss: just below the Spring low. If the terminal shakeout plays out, you can always re‑enter with better R. Targets: clearly marked on the chart. If this is true re‑accumulation, the minimum range target is ~$0.28 — but price has a lot of work to do. One step at a time. Conservative Entry Wait for the terminal shakeout and a monthly close back inside the range. Stop‑loss: below the wick of the shakeout. Risk Note This is a speculative setup with multiple moving parts. Manage risk carefully — nothing is guaranteed.
ASX:KKO
by AlvinDeo96
FLT – Testing Key SupportASX:FLT – Key Support Test ASX:FLT is sitting on a key support around 10.00–10.20 after a strong downtrend. This level has held before, so buyers may step in again. Momentum is still weak, but selling pressure is slowing. If support holds, a short-term bounce is possible. If it breaks, the downtrend can continue. Business is still growing, especially in corporate travel. Recent disruptions are short term — people are still travelling, just changing plans, not cancelling. Costs are under control, AI is improving efficiency, and the balance sheet remains strong. Short-term noise. Demand still there.
ASX:FLT
by VMWTrades
1
Controlled Pullback + Spring Structure EmergingALX continues to hold up well. Price has been pulling back in a controlled, overlapping manner since June 2022, with declining volume throughout the entire correction. That behaviour typically reflects a lack of aggressive supply, not distribution. April 2026 printed a clean sweep of the lows with a strong close and strong volume classic signs of buyers stepping in. The only caution flag: the Spring of the local red range shows higher volume than the Selling Climax, which in Wyckoff terms suggests we should expect a Test to confirm demand before any sustained markup. On the larger orange range, April’s candle also looks like a terminal shakeout, potentially clearing the final weak hands before a broader trend transition. Trade Scenario Aggressive entry: Enter now with a stop under the April low. Conservative entry: Wait for a Test of the red range Spring to confirm demand before committing. Both approaches are valid depending on risk tolerance. Targets Respect the range highs as the first major objective. Trail stops using weekly swing lows if price transitions into markup, price can move quickly through the range.
ASX:ALXLong
by AlvinDeo96