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Critical Inflection ZoneREH is pressing into a major decision point. Price has rallied directly into the new Yearly Pivot at $15.98, but the move has occurred on declining volume. That doesn’t automatically imply a reversal, but if the market is going to reject, this is the zone where it would likely happen.
Price is also sitting just beneath the macro 50% retracement (ATL → ATH), and the presence of a local LVN signals weak acceptance in this region. Combined with pivot structure, a rejection here would open the door for a move toward the Yearly S1.
Scenario 1 — Bearish Continuation (Primary Case)
If the monthly candle closes in its current form:
A short entry becomes valid on the open of the new month.
Stop‑loss can be placed just above the February high.
Depending on your risk tolerance, an additional position can be added if price breaks below $10.17.
Targets
Primary TP: Yearly S1 pivot
Extended Target: Trail stops toward $5.83, which aligns with the minimum range extenstion.
This scenario aligns with the broader structural context: price is testing a major pivot cluster with weakening momentum and poor volume support.
Scenario 2 — Bullish Reversal (Low Probability)
For the bullish case to gain traction, the market needs to do significantly more work:
Price must decisively reclaim and hold above $15.98
A period of reaccumulation must form above this level
Structure must shift into a sequence of higher lows, building the base required to challenge the ATHs
Until these conditions appear, upside continuation remains the less likely path. 
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Woodside Energy swing trade entry point and targetsThanks for viewing,
I'm not swing trading this, I'm buying and holding. Although, I have only bought half of my eventual position and am looking for a point to add the other half. This is what I came up with;
The fundamental story of Woodside is very positive; low break-even costs, significant investment in future production, geographically diversified, high dividends, crude oil has been rising recently, and dividends forecast to grow by 50% over the next few years. Woodside pays more in dividends now than it did when the share price was at all-time highs above $60. I always start with fundamentals. Next, find an entry point.
I found an EMA trend-line that fits the price action over the past few years amazingly well. You can see the 144EMA acts as support and resistance (why? I don't know). Back in Jan 2022 price exceeded it, was pushed lower, but failed to close the day much below the trendline forming a dragonfly doji or whatever you call it. It just signifies that selling pressure was unable to over-power the bulls. Once above the trend-line the next trading day, it remained above the trend-line for a number of years.
What I expect, either price pushes above the trend-line and successfully re-tests, pushing up to between $36 and $42 within a few months. Or the price is rejected at the trend-line and is pushed lower. In that case, I wouldn't expect it to go much below $23. But if it goes lower, the trade still has a 2:1 profit to loss set-up if you put a stop at $18.60.
Either I buy on a break-out at approx $26.35 or at or near $23 on a dip. I suspect, it will be in the near-term on a break-out / retest.
I'm buying on a 10 to 20 year time horizon because I expect shares that I buy in early 2026 will return a dividend of around 10 to 12% over the long-term while the share price also appreciates. I am buying oil and gas BECAUSE it is unpopular. If it was popular, the trade would be crowded, I wouldn't be getting a good price, and it wouldn't be attractive.
I don't expect much resistance until above $30 and due to the multi-year share price decline I am hoping that most of the holders who were carrying a loss have already sold or are just going to stay holding.
The "net zero" narrative got ahead of itself. We still need oil and gas for at least the next 30 years, possibly longer. Actually, pushing wind and solar is very positive for Natural Gas as it provides relatively cheap base-load power supply that wind and solar cannot offer. I am assuming that major cities will want to keep the lights on...
That is all 
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