Weekly Outlook on Guardian Metals (GMET)Weekly outlook on Guardian Metals LSE:GMET
Took an initial position recently and added again the other day. Looking for GMET to be in the process of breaking out of the current consolidation in a wave (3) or (C).
More comments on the chart.
A few caveats:
1. Some of the projections I have put forward are based on estimates of uncompleted waves, once I feel I can anchor the next wave I will update the chart and recalculate the levels for the next wave, the chart is an evolving puzzle and there is only so much we can determine based on the information we have.
2. I put more emphasis on price levels as opposed to time, dependent on volatility the waves could play out quickly or prolonged, I do factor in an element of 'the right look' in terms of wave proportionality, but also want the patterns I am projecting to be easily visible on the outlook, so bear that in mind.
Note: I create my outlooks with the browser tabs hidden (F11) so if they look squashed, that is why.
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ANIC: price driven lower, buyers stepped inNegative sentiment is in full swing here, and Agronomics has been selling off hard since June. Very complicated one to get your head around, it’s an ‘investment company backing cellular agriculture and alternative protein businesses’ cultivated meat and precision fermentation’, just rolls off the tongue.
Worth noting the strong uptick in volume at the end of last week. Friday in particular, price sold off hard intraday only to retrace back near the open, a deep wick with a very clear rejection candle. That has the look of a classic tree shake, price driven lower to shake out weak hands before a larger buyer steps in, freeing up liquidity in the process.
TR-1 notices are thin on this one, but the director dealings are worth a look. Jim Mellon has taken his stake from roughly 15% to 18.3% over the past six months. Some of that’s been straightforward open market buying, but the bulk came via a direct, privately negotiated purchase from BlueNalu, one of Agronomics’ own portfolio companies, rather than anonymous sellers in the market.
Either way, it’s meaningful insider conviction from the man running the show. Whether this price level marks an early sign of a reversal is another question entirely, one I’d want more evidence for before calling it.
Shell quick 18% to sell off back to 200 EMA and to 61.8 FibAs Oil is weak bearish case for Shell to sell back to its 200 EMA and then just fake out below this level to reach the 61.8 Fib retracement of the recent move up
Shell looks like it just broke is support trendline
Other points Oil has broken out of a wedge and appears to be moving lower
BP and Shell move together and BP has made ATH at round number 500 and made triple top at this level and has already broken lower.
If you pair trade these two stocks there is now a relative of up to say a potential of 25% to be captured if the two companies prices move back to relative parity to each other
25% sell Shell and buy BPBP and Shell move together and BP has already lead the way lower
If Shell moves back to relative parity there is a 25% poss move
Shell moves back to EMA 200
Shell moves back to 0.618 fib retracement of prior move
This could be start of much larger move lower
Most MSM are claiming inflation trade that oil will move higher but TA price chart shows breaking out of a wedge lower
Shell just broke it trendline support
Good luck no matter which way the market moves if these prices come back to parity over maybe quick snap back or longer term 3-6 months you can pick up 25%
With Sept here and markets closer to top than bottom it safer as your money is hedged
BP triple top at 500
Shel topped out at approx 3000 round number
As both of these moved up hugely over past few years on back of oil price if their prices break the 200 EMA then the banks and other market holders may sell and get out of the long term trend ie bank their profits which could cause swift market moves
USA numbers are weaker than expected, also if the Fed cuts and markets tank following fed announcement which is lead by the bond market which is already lowerer. So it all points to lower shell price.
Also Trump promised to reduce the cost of energy for USA so he wants lower oil prices to reduce the cost of manufacture of goods in USA to make them more competitive
Also with JPYUSD the last time the carry trade got into trouble was due largely in part of the high oil price. Which caused liquidity crisis, hence as they central banks are buying now due to the past months JPYUSD mess up. Historically having a lower oil price helps the JPYUSD situation.
Plus ATM Dollar is strong and emerging markets are relatively weak so having lower oil price may result as Dollar weakens and the emerging markets strengthen over the next couple of years.
I am not so sure retail knows how to hedge any more ? well I am not so sure todays hedge fund mngrs know how to hedge any more they just buy everything and get paid their commissions.
Works fine until theres another liquidity crisis and we are at biblical sentiment indicators so there is a lot of risk out there.
BP / Shell as a pair dont get stretched much apart historically if you have a lot of money and can just sit there with 6,7,8.9,10 figure accounts I think you will do well with this approach
hey we could have banked it together and slept soundly at night! and traded from anywhere in the world with not so much urgency to sit in front of a screen 24/7 - that is this strategy
JUP August volume picking up thanks to the buybackJupiter Fund Management next, lots of choppy sideways action here and not a name I follow closely, but the chart’s telling an interesting story.
What caught my eye is the volume picking up through August, unusual for what’s normally a quiet month. Some of that’s explained by the company’s own buyback, running since April and still active, weekly purchases have been going through at prices up to 164.4p. That gives the stock a steady bid underneath it, worth knowing when you’re reading the volume.
Then Friday delivers a proper bullish engulfing candle, opening below the previous close and closing above the prior day’s high, on strong relative volume. That combination at this price level has my attention from a bullish point of view. Could this be the start of a move back toward the previous highs? Too early to say, but one worth watching.
Price target: 188p
Potential reward: 16.5%
KR1 (LSE: KR1) Bull Case Update
🚀 KR1 (LSE: KR1) Bull Case Update 🚀
What caught my eye today wasn't just the fundamentals... it was the massive bullish candle on the chart. 📈🔥
For me, today's move suggests buyers may finally be starting to recognise the value disconnect between the share price and the underlying assets.
✅ Huge Discount to NAV
KR1 plc recently reported a Net Asset Value of approximately £31.4m compared with a market value of around £18.2m. That's a substantial discount for a company holding a diversified portfolio of digital assets and generating staking income.
✅ Quality Crypto Exposure
Major holdings include:
Ethereum (ETH)
Nexus Mutual (NXM)
Celestia (TIA)
Lido (LDO)
Bittensor (TAO)
Redstone (RED)
These are infrastructure and ecosystem plays rather than speculative meme coins.
✅ Ethereum Remains the Key Driver
With Ethereum accounting for roughly 27% of the portfolio, continued strength in ETH could have a significant positive impact on KR1's NAV.
✅ Income Producing Crypto Portfolio
Unlike many crypto investment vehicles, KR1 earns recurring revenue from staking and infrastructure operations and has recently expanded into additional yield-generating activities via Nexus Mutual.
📈 Technical View
That large bullish candle today could be signalling:
Renewed investor interest
Accumulation after a prolonged consolidation period
Recognition of the NAV discount
Potential start of a broader re-rating if crypto strength continues
One candle doesn't make a trend, but it's certainly the most encouraging price action I've seen for a while.
🎯 My Take
A growing crypto infrastructure portfolio.
Staking income.
Exposure to AI-related crypto through Bittensor.
A significant discount to NAV.
And now a large bullish candle appearing on the chart.
I'm becoming increasingly interested in this one. 🚀
Any fellow KR1 holders on here? I'm also in a Telegram investor group discussing the company and would welcome any views, challenges to the bull case, or alternative opinions. DYOR and good luck all. 📈🚀
#KR1 #LSE #Crypto #Ethereum #Bittensor #Celestia #Investing #SmallCaps #Bullish 🚀🔥
TPFG strong update and heavy volume at a key level.Big fan of this one on fundamentals, Property Franchise Group has grown its market share substantially over the past few years. I held for a while but took some money off the table around a year ago to fund other opportunities.
The recent trading update backs up the story. Revenue and profit both up 7%, with franchising and financial services doing the heavy lifting, licensing holding roughly flat. Solid numbers in a housing market that’s hardly been firing on all cylinders.
Worth noting the white horizontal line on the chart, that marks where the heaviest volume has built up since the end of April. Price has spent months churning around that level. Then Friday brings a real slug of volume, nearly 4x the average, right at that zone. Whether that’s the catalyst to finally break it remains to be seen.
Price target: 520p
Potential reward: 15.8%
MKS - UK Retail store LongPosting this a touch early.
Looks like a break out trade, so would be best to only really enter if price break 408.9 and retests it on daily/weekly. Rough example on chart with white squigle.
This chart is monthly so will be slow to start, if it does break out, whilst it reconfirms levels.
Uptrend after bottoming out with double bottom. A strong impulse up, now completing 1.5yrs of re-accumulation tight under a resistance level. Possible absorption of remaining supply.
Monthly MACD hidden bullish divergence, indicating continuation to upside.
In a day or so this could be highest monthly candle close in 10yrs.
If you want, you could enter now, slowly with small DCA buys as long as price remains above stop loss price, whilst keeping an eye on breakout.
Stick to 3 targets to exit and ensure stop loss is set.
GRG - UK Food retail LongMeant to post this before the market opened but missed it.
Only enter if price reaches entry point, to reduce risk.
Weekly chart
Holding a historical price level.
Price broke out of an accumulation range, and back testing the break out. Easier to see on daily chart. Is now entering a fast price action zone.
Similar to Wyckoff Back Up move.
Bullish Divergence on MACD daily.
2 Targets
Stick to stop loss
BOKU breakout into thin air toward 139pBOKU has made a new price move here, pushing the boundaries from the previous gap down back in July.
Volume profile on the right tells you why this move has room to run, there’s very little volume sitting between here and the next resistance zone around 139p. Thin volume above means less selling pressure to work through, so a push toward that level wouldn’t be a huge surprise, though nothing’s guaranteed from here.
Worth flagging too, BlackRock’s been trimming its BOKU position steadily since March, down from just over 10% to around 6% now. Whether that selling is done is anyone’s guess, but it’s a trend worth keeping an eye on.
Price target: 139p
Potential reward: 17.4%
BOWL threeday consolidation on heavy volumeFirst on my radar this week was Hollywood Bowl. A strong and steady performer which caters well to its family audiences, I was a big fan of its competitor years ago, Ten Entertainment, which eventually got bid for.
Notable falls this week on decent volume with no news behind it as far as I can tell, and its the last 3 days which have caught my attention. The volume continues to pile in, yet it would seem the buyers have come steaming in causing the price action to consolidate for a few days. Other points I would note, is that this is very loosely a previous area of support the stock has reversed from in the past.
Also the 1.6% fall on Friday finished the day higher than the previous day on 2.6 x the average volume, Could this be a little accumulation here?
ASHM sharp dip then instant recovery on big volume.A nice looking bowl pattern forming here, price action has been very slowly tracking upwards.
Interestingly, when I added a note on the chart last Friday it looked very much like a tree shake. A large downward lurch in price, only to retrace on really strong volume, right before today’s earnings.
Is it a coincidence the results were so positive? Assets under management up 13%. Gross subscriptions rose 92% and redemptions dropped 20%. Pre-tax profit increased 17% to £126.9m.
Price opened lower at 197, then rallied to close around 12% higher on the day, even though it only shows as a 1% move on TradingView, since that’s measured against Friday’s close rather than today’s open.
Either way, it just goes to show how insiders have been building positions ahead of results. They can try a few tricks with pricing, but they can’t hide the volume.
These anomalies are our opportunities.
Britain Builds Steam Turbines Rolls-Royce Mini-Nuclear ReactorsBritish workers are set to manufacture steam turbines for Rolls-Royce’s planned fleet of small modular reactors (SMRs), in a move that promises to strengthen domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on overseas suppliers for a critical piece of nuclear power equipment. Siemens Energy will produce the huge machines for the new generation of small modular reactors at its factory in Newcastle. The turbines will be used in the three Rolls-Royce-designed SMRs that are being built in Anglesey, as well as in further reactors that are set to be built in the Czech Republic and Sweden.
The decision marks a significant moment for British industry because it will be the first time in more than 20 years that large steam turbines have been made domestically. The expansion of the Newcastle factory will follow an investment understood to be worth tens of millions of pounds, and it is expected to create around 550 jobs. That combination of capital investment and skilled employment gives the announcement considerable weight, especially at a time when policymakers are focused on energy security, industrial capacity, and the resilience of supply chains.
The move also follows concerns raised by MPs that SMR components were set to be built abroad. Those concerns reflected a broader anxiety about whether Britain would capture the industrial benefits of its own nuclear ambitions or simply import the key parts from other countries. By choosing to manufacture the steam turbines in Newcastle, Siemens Energy and Rolls-Royce SMR are signalling that at least part of the supply chain will remain on British soil.
Rolls-Royce SMR said the decision by German engineering giant Siemens demonstrated how the company was “delivering its commitment to localisation, driving investment and re-shoring work that would have taken place overseas.” The phrase “re-shoring” is particularly important because it captures the idea of bringing back manufacturing activity that might otherwise have been located in another country. For supporters of domestic industry, that is a central part of the announcement’s appeal.
Rolls-Royce SMR is an independent company. It is majority owned by Rolls-Royce, but its investor base also includes Qatar and France’s Perrodo family. That structure means the business combines the heritage and engineering reputation of Rolls-Royce with additional international investment. The company’s chief executive, Chris Cholerton, framed the turbine decision as part of a longer industrial story. “We are building on a remarkable industrial legacy while creating and sustaining the skills and supply chain needed to deliver clean, secure and affordable energy for decades to come,” he said.
Darren Davidson of Siemens Energy also emphasised the wider significance of the work. “We’re preparing to manufacture the next generation of steam turbines for small modular reactors, supporting energy security, creating skilled jobs and helping power the UK’s future energy mix,” he said. His comments connect the project to three priorities that often appear together in debates about nuclear power: energy security, employment, and the transition to a lower-carbon energy system.
The Government awarded Rolls-Royce a contract to design and develop Britain’s first three SMRs last year. Those reactors will be built in Anglesey, North Wales, in a project aimed at proving the commercial viability of the still-nascent technology by the mid-2030s. Each reactor is expected to generate 470 megawatts of power. If the project succeeds, it could help establish small modular reactors as a viable option for producing reliable low-carbon electricity at a smaller scale than traditional large nuclear plants.
Rolls-Royce selected Siemens Energy as its supplier of steam turbines last year, but until now there had been uncertainty about where the key components would actually be manufactured. That uncertainty mattered because the location of manufacturing determines not only the direct economic benefits, such as jobs and investment, but also the strength of the domestic supply chain. The confirmation that the turbines will be built in Newcastle removes some of that ambiguity and gives the project a clearer industrial footprint.
The British company had faced a backlash earlier this year after it emerged that some other parts would be made overseas. Those parts included reactor pressure vessels that will be imported from either South Korea or the Czech Republic. That disclosure raised questions about how much of the SMR programme would genuinely support British manufacturing and how much would depend on foreign suppliers. The latest announcement does not answer every question about local content, but it does provide a notable counterweight by securing a high-value component for domestic production.
Taken together, the decision to build the steam turbines in Newcastle represents more than a single procurement choice. It is a signal about the kind of industrial ecosystem that Rolls-Royce SMR and its partners hope to create around small modular reactors. The project is still in its early stages, and the technology has yet to be proven commercially at scale. But the investment in the Newcastle factory, the creation of hundreds of jobs, and the return of large steam turbine manufacturing to Britain all suggest that the SMR programme is beginning to generate tangible industrial activity.
For the UK, the announcement touches on several important themes at once: the push to re-shore critical manufacturing, the desire to create skilled jobs in regions with strong industrial traditions, the need to strengthen energy security, and the ambition to develop a domestic nuclear supply chain. Whether those ambitions are fully realised will depend on the project’s execution over the coming years. For now, however, the decision to manufacture steam turbines in Newcastle gives the Rolls-Royce SMR programme a clearer domestic anchor and a more visible role in Britain’s industrial and energy future.
HWDN volume clustering at support makes this interesting.One for the swing traders here. A very long and drawn out trading range between 764p and 847p. Last Thursday was one of the highest volume trading days since May. It just so happens price also touched this previous support level, now the 6th time this year.
Note the white line marks the highest concentration of volume over that period. Worth watching how this one develops over the next week or so.
HEX buyers stepping in hard at the key levelI covered this one a couple of weeks ago, when it broke away from a consolidation area around 23p. That move looks like it’s become exhausted.
Since then, as price has approached that key level, we’ve seen buyers step in again. Price was rejected two days in a row as it tried to push below, both on very strong volume.
To add another layer of confluence, volume is heavily concentrated at this level. Some would call this a double bottom, potentially forming a W pattern.
Add it all up, and I think there’s a good probability of a rebound here.
Price target: 36.5p
Potential reward: 50%
KMR repeated tests of 180p look like accumulation?This one could be my favourite setup from last week. I shouldn’t call it a favourite, I don’t like getting attached, but it certainly looks favourable from an accumulation point of view.
Price has tested the 180p level for around the third time now over the past three months. Looking closer at the last few trading days, we can see a few rejection wicks creeping in, with a wave of volume too.
Note how the volume profile is showing the most concentrated areas of volume here too. To me it looks like accumulation, and the top of the range looks like a logical resistance level. I could be wrong, and it may just break down instead. What do we think, any readers out there who are experts in this sector?
Price target: 240p
Potential reward: 24%
BYG price anomaly on strong volume near support.Disclaimer: this is one I actually hold in my own long term SIPP. There was some M&A activity a couple of years back, when Lok’nStore was taken over by Shurgard. I figured Big Yellow looked like decent value at the time too, with solid dividends.
800p looks like a probable support level. There was a slight anomaly in price action last Wednesday. The volume was well in excess of the average, and price action showed a small sign of rejection. Could there be some large long term buyers here mopping up stock?
Housing sector is still a little subdued but this would also be a net beneficiary if that sector picks up because of the nuances involved in moving furniture around. On a PE of 13.7 and a 5.67% yield, it’s not bargain territory, but neither is it expensive.
FRP Tight range suggests buyers quietly building.Next up is FRP Advisory Group. Long drawn out sideways price action, but FRP looks like it’s finally started to squeeze upwards over the past couple of weeks. The price has been flirting along the 120p level for some time, in a very tight range.
Because the price is tightening, I read this as more accumulation than distribution, but nothing is certain.
Looking at the volume profile since the price turned down, it shows the highest frequency of trades has also taken place at the current price. Look above that and volume drops off, a thin line of resistance. This is a little unknown territory, and a large player in the market may be ready to move price back up to the highs.
Price target: 138p
Potential reward: 14.9%
Tesco — Downside Pressure Building Toward 430Tesco is currently displaying a fragile price structure, with the latest movement favoring the bearish side. The market is showing persistent weakness, and the prevailing setup suggests that the stock may have further room to depreciate before reaching the 430 target region.
The current price behavior indicates that upward recoveries are facing resistance, while downward moves are gaining greater traction. This imbalance keeps the selling scenario active and increases the probability of another leg lower if the present structure remains intact.
From the chart perspective, 430 stands out as the primary downside destination. The route toward this level could develop through several stages, with intermittent rebounds possible along the way. However, unless the market produces a meaningful structural reversal, such recoveries may remain limited within the broader bearish framework.
The current formation is particularly notable because sellers are dictating the rhythm of the move. Lower pricing is being accepted by the market, while attempts to regain lost territory have not yet produced sufficient strength to change the overall outlook.
External factors such as UK consumer sentiment, retail-sector conditions, inflation expectations, household spending, currency fluctuations, and company-specific developments can influence Tesco's volatility. Nevertheless, the technical configuration currently keeps attention firmly on the downside.
The projected sequence is:
Existing weakness → renewed selling activity → further price erosion → 430 objective.
📍 Market Bias: Bearish
📉 Trade Direction: Sell
⚠️ Current Condition: Weakness prevailing
🎯 Projected Level: 430
🔻 Scenario: Continued downside
The chart remains under pressure, and 430 is the key level in focus while the bearish formation continues to unfold.
Standard Chartered — Buyers Driving Toward 2627Standard Chartered is currently presenting a favorable bullish setup, with the latest price action indicating that buyers are gaining stronger control and creating scope for a continued advance toward the 2627 target area.
The underlying structure is showing positive development, with upward pressure becoming more prominent across the recent movement. Instead of displaying sustained weakness, price is maintaining a constructive trajectory that can support another leg higher as bullish participation continues to build.
The 2627 region is the principal upside objective for this analysis. A continuation of the current market behavior could allow the stock to progress through intermediate resistance levels and gradually extend its valuation toward the projected destination.
From a technical standpoint, the developing formation favors sustained appreciation. Buyers appear increasingly comfortable at higher levels, while bearish attempts have so far lacked the strength required to change the broader direction. This creates a favorable environment for the bullish scenario to remain active.
Standard Chartered's performance can also be influenced by global banking sentiment, interest-rate expectations, credit conditions, economic growth prospects, currency fluctuations, and developments across international financial markets. These factors may introduce volatility, but the current technical roadmap remains focused on the upside.
The projected progression is:
Positive structure → stronger buyer participation → continued appreciation → 2627 target zone.
📍 Bias: Bullish
📈 Trade Direction: Buy
🚀 Momentum: Positive
🎯 Target: 2627
⚡ Structure: Upside continuation
The chart continues to favor higher ground, with 2627 remaining the key projected destination as buyers attempt to extend the current advance.
Vodafone — Buyers Positioning for a Move Toward 131Vodafone is currently showing a constructive upside formation, with price action indicating that buyers are gradually gaining stronger influence over the market. The recent behavior suggests that the stock has room to develop another upward phase, keeping the immediate outlook tilted toward the buying side.
The 131 level stands as the primary upside objective in this setup. Current momentum provides a basis for a continued advance, with price potentially progressing through intermediate levels as bullish participation strengthens.
From a technical perspective, the market is attempting to establish a healthier upward trajectory. The developing structure indicates that downside pressure is losing its previous influence, while demand is becoming more prominent. Should this character remain intact, the next meaningful expansion could carry Vodafone toward the projected 131 region.
The broader backdrop may also be shaped by telecommunications-sector sentiment, subscriber trends, competitive conditions, regulatory developments, financing costs, and wider equity-market behavior. These elements can affect the pace of appreciation, but the present chart structure remains oriented toward higher levels.
The anticipated progression is:
Current positioning → strengthening demand → upward extension → 131 objective.
📍 Bias: Bullish
📈 Direction: Buy
🚀 Momentum: Improving upside participation
🎯 Target: 131
⚡ Structure: Bullish continuation
The chart is gradually shifting the balance toward the buyers, with 131 remaining the principal upside destination for this setup.
British American Tobacco — Downside Path Toward 3920British American Tobacco is currently developing a bearish setup, with the recent price behavior indicating that the stock remains vulnerable to additional weakness. The prevailing market tone is tilted toward the selling side, while upward attempts appear unable to establish a convincing reversal.
The technical picture points toward a continuation of the downward sequence, with 3920 emerging as the principal objective on the chart. As the current formation unfolds, further depreciation could take place before the market reaches this projected level.
Price action is presently reflecting a lack of sustained upside traction. The inability to regain stronger territory leaves the door open for another extension lower, particularly while bearish participation remains evident. Rather than treating the decline as a short-lived fluctuation, the structure suggests that sellers may continue pressing the valuation downward.
The broader environment can also influence British American Tobacco through consumer-sector sentiment, currency movements, regulatory developments, commodity costs, company-specific news, and changes in international equity conditions. Such factors may affect volatility and timing, while the chart continues to provide a clear downside framework.
The projected sequence is:
Current weakness → continued pressure from sellers → deeper retracement → 3920 target zone.
📍 Market Bias: Bearish
📉 Trade Direction: Selling
⚡ Price Structure: Downward
🔥 Momentum: Seller-led
🎯 Projected Objective: 3920
The market has established a vulnerable formation, and 3920 remains the key downside destination as British American Tobacco continues to face pressure from the selling side.






















