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Psychology & Market Manipulation - Case StudyGood Day - hope everyone is doing well, and welcome to a brief case study of an Trade Idea we shared with VIP Members earlier this year, and executed for our Fund.
Without repeating what's above - it's clear that the market will give Retail Traders a 'Judas Goat', to induce false positions, early sells and generally spread a feeling of fear & anxiety, clouding judgement, firing up the amygdala, and feasting at an empty table, the liquidity that was so easily given up to the most powerful actors in the market: Banks & Financial Institutions.
By truly understanding liquidity, price action and psychology - you can consistently execute flawlessly, on high-risk-reward opportunities.
And that's all it comes down to, and the end of the day, when we talk about trading.
Do you agree?
Let me know in the comments below. Cheers. 
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BP: Oil on a slippery slope?BP. (BP.) - Short Term - We look to Sell at 382.20 (stop at 404.10)
A bearish Head and Shoulders is forming. An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning. A break of 365.30 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 382.20, resulting in improved risk/reward. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 289.00 and 263.30
Resistance: 408.30 / 419.35 / 456.00
Support: 365.30 / 338.05 / 323.70
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
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BAT (BATS.l) bearish scenario:The technical figure Rising Wedge can be found in the UK company British American Tobacco plc (BATS.l) at daily chart. British American Tobacco plc is a British multinational company that manufactures and sells cigarettes, tobacco and other nicotine products. The company, established in 1902, is headquartered in London, England. As of 2019, it is the largest tobacco company in the world based on net sales The Rising Wedge has broken through the support line on 06/07/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 27 days towards 3 194.00 GBp. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 3 645.00 GBp if you decide to enter this position.
The board of British American Tobacco p.l.c. has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 17th of August to UK £0.54. The announced payment will take the dividend yield to 6.0%, which is in line with the average for the industry. While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. The last payment made up 73% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 11.5%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 69% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
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