Page 23 | Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — Egypt — TradingView

EGTS Valuation The Reality: I see a "Recovery Play" that is currently trading at its maximum fundamental temperature. 🌡️ After reporting a massive turnaround in late 2025 (EGP 1.05B net profit), the stock has become a momentum favorite. However, with the price at 15.10 EGP, you are paying for every bit of that recovery—and then some. 🏛️✨ 🔢 Relative Valuation (Earnings Model):TTM EPS: 0.96 EGP 💵 Growth Multiplier: 14x P/E applied (above the 13x peer average due to a strong 31% growth rate and tourism recove

by mnmabroukw36ix

ACAMD – Premium Valuation vs. Support Levels ACAMD – Premium Valuation vs. Support Levels 📉🏢 The Reality: I see a "Land Bank" play where the chart and the balance sheet are speaking two different languages. 🗺️ While the 1.88 EGP Fair Value reflects the mathematical reality of its current operations, the market price of 2.23 EGP is fueled by a 18.6% speculative premium. This is a stock where investors aren't buying the "company" they are buying the land in Zefta and the Delta region as an inflation hedge. 🌾🏙️ The Treasury Trap: I recogn

by mnmabroukw36ix

OIH – Betting on the Brand vs. the Cash Burn OIH – Betting on the Brand vs. the Cash Burn 📉🏛️ The Reality: I see a "Speculative Magnet" that has successfully detached from its financial gravity. 🎈 OIH is the ultimate volume king on the EGX, but the numbers tell a story of "Paper Profits." While it reports a net income of EGP 412M, the negative EGP 164M operating cash flow reveals that the business is struggling to turn its EGP 3.5B revenue into actual liquid cash. 📉💸 The FX Mirage: I recognize that many investors treat OIH as a "Synthe

by mnmabroukw36ix

GGRN – Descending Channel & Liquidity Warning GGRN – Descending Channel & Liquidity Warning 📉🌿 The Reality: I see a high-ambition "Food Security" play currently trapped in a technical storm. 📉 While GGRN is a pioneer in land reclamation (jojoba and olive oils), the low liquidity of the SME market is a double-edged sword. You're right to be cautious agricultural cycles mean cash is often locked in "biological assets" (growing trees) long before it ever hits the bank. 🌳💸 The Export Drain: I recognize that the export push is a double-edge

by mnmabroukw36ix

SVCE – Momentum vs. The 10.15 Resistance SVCE – Momentum vs. The 10.15 Resistance 📉🧱 The Reality: South Valley Cement has shifted from a distressed asset into a high-volume speculative favorite on the EGX. The core story revolves around the EGP 2.4B capital hike (doubling issued capital to EGP 4.82B), which is a "survival lifeline" designed to wipe out long-standing debt. ⚓💸 The Cash Flow Struggle: I find the fundamentals still "in the ICU." 🏥 Despite EGP 2.76B in sales, the company is burning cash with a CFO of around -EGP 60M. I

by mnmabroukw36ix

CRST Parabolic Run Meets the Cash Flow Wall CRST – Parabolic Run Meets the Cash Flow Wall 📉🎢 The Reality: I see a classic "Turnaround Trap" in the making. 🪤 While CRST has finally posted a "clean" net profit of EGP 77.7M (EPS 0.14) driven by core contracting and tunneling, the underlying mechanics are alarming. I find the negative free cash flow (-EGP 9.1M) to be a major red flag the company is reporting profits on paper but is physically losing cash to sustain its operations. 📉💸 The Cash Crunch: I recognize that CRST has less than a

by mnmabroukw36ix

MPRC Fib level breakout For MPRC, price tried to break the 61.8% Fib level at $32.17 today 📈. Next week I want to see strong volume and a daily close above $32.17 before turning positive ✅. The stock is still trading below the major support / resistance zone around $34.2–34.3, so I can’t recommend it yet ⚠️. Investing.com considers the stock at fair value, but I see fair value closer to the ATH around $37, with a technical target at $40 based on the downtrend channel breakout 🎯. For now, I will stay out until pri

by mnmabroukw36ix

BONY Fib level breakout.For BONY, I’m treating fair value as a very long-term story, so my focus here is on the short-term technical targets 📊 Price has broken the 50% Fib level with strong volume after two weeks of failed attempts, which is a bullish sign ✅📈 Key resistance levels I’m watching now: Fib 61.8% at $4.64 FVG range around $4.85 If both levels are broken and confirmed, my upside targets are: ATH at $5.15 Breakout target around $5.46 🚀 On the downside, I’m using: Support at $4.48 Stop loss at $4.30 🛑

by mnmabroukw36ix

GSSC – Post-Triangle Retest at Support GSSC – Post-Triangle Retest at Support 📉🌾 The Reality: I see a "Strategic Utility" that serves as the backbone of Egypt’s food security. 🏛️✨ As the primary custodian of the nation’s grain reserves, GSSC operates a high-volume, thin-margin model where performance is tied to government wheat cycles and the modernization of storage logistics. The Cash Engine: I recognize a company with a strong ability to convert operating profits into cash, free from "financial engineering". However, I find th

by mnmabroukw36ix

Technical Update: Resistance Test 🔄 Current Action: The price has reacted from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 30.00 and is now challenging critical resistance at 28.45. 🛡️🔥 📅 Weekly Outlook: Bullish Case: A positive weekly close tomorrow suggests momentum is building for a retest of the 30.00 level. 📈🎯 Bearish Case: If we fail to sustain a breakout above 29.45, expect a deep pullback toward 27.40. 📉🌊 🛡️ Risk Management: Stop-Loss: A decisive break below the 200-period Moving Average (200MA). 🛑🧱 Strategy: Watch the weekly clos

by mnmabroukw36ix

Technical Outlook: RACC (Raya Contact Center)🚀 Recent Price Action: RACC recently executed an extremely bullish wave, nearly testing its All-Time High (ATH) before being met with a significant profit-taking wave. 🌊💰 While the pullback was sharp, the price is currently consolidating above the 38% Fibonacci retracement level a very constructive sign that the primary uptrend is still intact. 🏗️✅ 🚧 The 10.66 Barrier: The stock is currently facing stiff rejection at the 10.66 resistance level. 🛡️ If the price attempts to test this level tom

by mnmabroukw36ix

Technical Outlook: COMI (Commercial International Bank)🔄 Market Structure: COMI is currently maintaining a healthy pullback, but we are approaching a critical inflection point. 🌬️ The price action is currently testing local support, and the next few sessions will be decisive for the medium-term trend. ⏳🏦 ⚠️ Bearish Confirmation: I am closely monitoring the 133.18 level. 🚧 A decisive break below this mark will confirm a Double Top pattern a classic bearish reversal signal. 📉👥 🛡️ Risk Management & Targets: The "Line in the Sand": Our primary sto

by mnmabroukw36ix

Growth Performance 🚀 Growth Performance: The company has delivered exceptional bottom-line growth, reporting a consolidated Net Income of EGP 9.29 Billion (TTM). 🔥 This represents a substantial 65.1% year-over-year increase, signaling strong operational tailwinds! 🌬️🚢 🔢 Current Valuation Metrics: Earnings Per Share (EPS): 84.32 EGP (TTM) 💵 Current P/E Ratio: 8.27x (at 696.99 EGP) 📉 Despite the stock's recent performance, it continues to trade at a significant discount relative to the regional infrastructure

by mnmabroukw36ix

Valuation Methodology: Asset-Rich / Undervalued Real Estate Based on an estimated Earnings Per Share (EPS) of 0.14 EGP, the valuation for ELKA is derived using a peer-comparison multiplier. While the broader EGX Real Estate sector currently trades at an average P/E of 16x, a more conservative multiplier of 10.5x has been applied to ELKA. This discount accounts for the company's slower inventory turnover relative to industry growth leaders. Intrinsic Value Assessment: Estimated EPS: 0.14 EGP Applied P/E Multiplier: 10.5x Base Valuation: 1.47 EGP

by mnmabroukw36ix

SCEM Resistance Breach SCEM Resistance Breach 🧱🏗️🚀 I am tracking (SCEM) as it hits a major structural milestone. Today's price action marks a significant shift in sentiment for the materials sector, specifically within the cement industry. The Breakout: SCEM has decisively breached the 67.30 EGP resistance level! 🔓✅ This level was a psychological and technical barrier that held back the stock during its previous consolidation. Liquidity Confirmation: The move was supported by strong liquidity, which is essential

by mnmabroukw36ix

GRCA : long (high risk)Breakout candle for a downtrend with ultra volume bullish divergences in MACD histogram Note: low liquidity, apply your risk management

ACTF - major downtrend penetration ACTF successfully penetrated a major downtrend and closed above EMA 200 with a volume exceeding the average 30 days volume. on the short term ACTF is targeting: 2.96 - 3.15 on the medium term: 3.4 - 3.65 Current stoploss: 2.78 "Trailing stoploss is recommended".

by mahmoudhefny89

ELSH is a "Buy the Dips" stock.ELSH as the Egyptian real estate sector continues its post-devaluation re-rating. While the market often chases the explosive growth of "The Big Three" (TMGH, MNHD, ORAS), Al-Shams offers a distinct, lower-beta profile for the cautious investor. The Business Model: Unlike aggressive off-plan developers, Al-Shams operates as a Stability Play. Its revenue mix of residential leasing and strategic land bank monetization provides a defensive "cushion" during periods of high interest rates and constr

by mnmabroukw36ix

GOUR Deep Dive GOUR as it moves through its "post-IPO discovery phase. After a massive debut in early 2026, the stock has become a primary vehicle for investors seeking a "Premium Retail" equity story. However, the gap between price and value is widening! 📉📏 The Fundamentals: GOUR (Gourmet Egypt) 🧀🍷 Performance: Reporting a net profit of EGP 135M for the first three quarters of 2025, with annualized 2026 estimates pushing toward EGP 210M. 📈💰 Revenue Engine: Growth is hitting 40-45% YoY, driven by high-marg

by mnmabroukw36ix

LCSW Breaking the Year-Long Chains LCSW Breaking the Year-Long Chains 🏗️💎🚀 I am tracking Lecico as it finally attempts to wake up from its long slumber! 😴 After a massive period of consolidation, the stock is showing clear signs of a structural shift. 🎢📈 The Ascending Triangle Breakout: LCSW has decisively breached the upper trendline of an ascending triangle! 📐✅ This breakout, coupled with strong liquidity today, suggests that the "smart money" is finally entering the party. 🏛️💸🔥 Crushing Resistance: The stock has cleared t

by mnmabroukw36ix

ASCM Character Change ASCM Character Change 🏗️💎🚀 I am tracking ASCM as it undergoes an undeniable Change of Character (CHoCH)! 📈 The massive liquidity surge today confirms that institutional buyers are finally stepping in. 🏛️💸🔥 The Breakout: Today's volume confirms we are no longer in a consolidation phase. 🌊 This liquidity "fuel" ⛽ is exactly what’s needed to ignite the next leg of the bullish wave! 🐂✨ The Targets: 51.30 EGP: The first major hurdle and a very strong resistance zone. 🧱🎯 54.00 EGP: The previous

by mnmabroukw36ix

ELSH - penetrated downtrend & finished accumulation ELSH successfully penetrated downtrend and started a positive uptrend confirmed by volume figures. - Current resistance: 8.05 - Potential targets on short term "after penetrating current resistance": 8.45 - 8.85 - 9.19 - Current stoploss: 7.5

by mahmoudhefny89

CIRA Long I think its a very good long. Just go for the smallest size until this war ends.

BTFH - penetrated downward price channel BTFH successfully managed to penetrate downward price channel, closing above current resistance level ranged at 3.14 will pave the way to the following targets in the short term: 3.26 - 3.37 - 3. 56. And in the medium / long term BTFH will target the following targets: 3.67 - 4.10 - 4.88 Current stoploss level: 3.01 "Trailing stoploss level is recommended".

by mahmoudhefny89