AIH (1D): Major Confluence Points to Massive Wave 3 InitiationEGX:AIH
Elliott Wave Structure: After establishing a Wave 1 peak at 0.410 late last year, the asset underwent a deep, exhausting Wave 2 correction back to the 0.290 level. The current impulsive price action strongly suggests Wave 3 is officially underway.
Harmonic Confluence: The Wave 2 pullback perfectly sculpted the D-leg of a Bullish Harmonic pattern. The price has successfully tested and rejected this Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) around 0.285-0.300.
Classic & VSA: We have a textbook Double Bottom formation at major support. The secondary test of this floor showed classic "No Supply" characteristics, leading to the current bullish momentum crossover on the oscillators. Sellers are exhausted; demand is taking control.
The Plan:
Entry: CMP (0.333) or scale in down to 0.325.
Stop Loss: 0.280 (Invalidation of the Wave 2 low).
Target 1: 0.400 (Previous resistance / Neckline).
Target 2: 0.480 (Wave 3 Fib Extension).
#AIH #EGX #EgyptianExchange #ElliottWave #Harmonics #VSA #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleBottom #Bullish #TradingSetup #Wave3
EAST: Major Deal Reshapes Support! EAST: Major Deal Reshapes Support! ๐จ
A late-week deal has established 37.00 as the new foundational level.
๐ Price is currently hovering at the 50% Fibonacci of the June uptrend. ๐
Bullish: Break 40.10 (38.2% Fib) โ Resumes momentum. ๐
Bearish: Lose 37.00 โ Retest 34.00 (61.8% Fib support). ๐ด
Wait for candle close + volume confirmation to validate the deal's impact! ๐๐ฅ
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COMI: Major Resistance Battle! COMI: Major Resistance Battle! ๐จ
Price ended the week exactly at the 129.9k critical resistance. ๐
We are at a pivot point: Breakout or Double Top? ๐
Bullish: Break 129.9k โ Target 136k & continuation. ๐
Bearish: Rejection at 129.9k โ Confirms Double Top โ Target 116k. ๐ด
Wait for candle close + volume confirmation to confirm the move! ๐๐ฅ
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Iron & Steel for Mines & Quarries (EGX)๐ Market Structure & Pattern
The stock has formed a rising wedge / harmonic (AโBโCโD) structure.
Price is currently near the upper boundary, which is typically a reversal zone.
Recent price action shows rejection from highs (~7.8 EGP) โ early signs of weakening bullish momentum.
๐ Key Levels
๐ด Resistance / Sell Zone
7.25 โ 7.55 EGP โ Strong supply area
Current price (~7.23) is this sell zone
๐ข Support Levels
5.90 EGP โ First downside target (T1)
4.70 EGP โ Major support (T2)
โ ๏ธ Invalidation Level
8.15 EGP โ Daily close above this level cancels the bearish setup
๐ฏ Trade Setup (Bearish Bias)
Sell Entry: 7.20 โ 7.40 EGP
Stop Loss: 8.15 EGP
Target 1: 5.90 EGP
Target 2: 4.70 EGP
๐ก Rationale:
Price is at upper wedge resistance
Pattern completion suggests trend exhaustion
Weak follow-through after recent highs
Attractive risk/reward profile (up to 1:4)
๐ Price Action Insight
Failure to break above 7.80 EGP indicates seller pressure
Early formation of lower highs (on smaller timeframes)
โ accelerated downside move
๐ Volume Analysis
Volume spikes near the top suggest distribution
Lack of strong continuation confirms buyers losing control
โ ๏ธ Alternative (Bullish Scenario)
If price breaks and closes above 8.15 EGP:
Bearish setup becomes invalid โ
Trend shifts to bullish continuation
Potential upside: 8.80 โ 9.50 EGP
๐ง Professional View
Bias: Bearish
Strategy:
Sell into strength within current zone
Avoid buying unless a confirmed breakout occurs
โ
Conclusion
This is a high-probability reversal zone
Best approaches:
Aggressive traders: Sell now with strict risk control
Conservative traders: Wait for a break below 7.00 EGP for confirmation
MASR is still trading within an uptrend channel MASR is still trading within an uptrend channel ๐.
After reaching its ATH at 5.75, the stock is now experiencing a pullback.
So far, this pullback looks healthy, with low volume ๐ and the price holding above the 50% Fibonacci level, which supports the bullish structure. ๐
๐ Key levels to watch:
โข 5.25 โ important support level
โข 5.75 โ key resistance / breakout level
๐ A break above 5.75 would be the next strong positive signal and could open the way toward:
๐ฏ 6.4 as the next target
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ELSH is still in a downtrendELSH is still in a downtrend ๐, but itโs starting to show early signs of positivity ๐.
The stock rebounded from an important order block, which has previously acted as a strong support zone a good technical sign.
It also managed to break the downtrend channel, retest it, and begin recovering, which suggests a potential shift in momentum. ๐๐
However, I still wouldnโt consider the stock truly positive until it can break and close above the main resistance and the 200 MA level at 7.7 ๐ง
This level remains the key confirmation point for any trend reversal.
โ ๏ธ Due to the current market volatility, I donโt recommend entering at this stage.
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MAAL is considered a small-cap real estate stockMAAL is considered a small-cap real estate stock, and fundamentally it looks appealing for long-term investment ๐๐๏ธ.
Technically, the stock is still trading within a downtrend channel ๐, but today it showed strength by breaking an important resistance at 4 with very strong volume ๐๐.
๐ Next levels to watch:
โข The downtrend line (next key resistance)
โข ๐ฏ First target: 4.65
โข ๐ฏ Second target / ATH: 5 ๐
๐ Support levels:
โข 4 โ now a strong support, and the stock may retest it
โข 3.8 (200 MA) โ key level; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup โ ๏ธ
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IFAP showed good liquidity last two daysIFAP showed good liquidity last two days๐ฐ๐, but donโt be misled by this move โ ๏ธ.
After breaking the uptrend channel last September, the stock has been in a downtrend / consolidation phase ๐๐.
I wouldnโt consider entering until the stock breaks and closes above the main resistance at 20 with strong volume, which would signal a potential shift in trend.
โ ๏ธ Due to the current market volatility, I donโt recommend entering at this stage.
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ATLC tested the strong resistance at 4.85 earlier this week ATLC tested the strong resistance at 4.85 earlier this week and successfully broke above it today ๐๐ฅ a strong bullish signal.
๐ฏ Next targets:
โข 5.15
โข 5.5 โ ATH & Fair Value area ๐
Holding above the breakout level would support continuation of the upward momentum. ๐
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COMI touched the Fib 38.2% level, rebounded, and closed above thThis isnโt the time to focus on targets. In my opinion, itโs better to secure profits and step aside from the market for now ๐ฐโ ๏ธ.
COMI touched the Fib 38.2% level, rebounded, and closed above the VWAP
A positive signal ๐โ๏ธ.
Still, I expect price to test the Fib 50% level and the Fair Value Gap at 120.5 ๐๐.
๐ Stop-loss: a break below 108.
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Raya is starting to show signs of a pullbackRaya is starting to show signs of a pullback after its recent move ๐.
The stock closed above an important support level at 5.2, which is currently a key level to watch.
โ ๏ธ If 5.2 breaks, it could confirm a double-top pattern, potentially pushing the price toward the following support levels:
โข 4.7
โข 4.3
The stock is also very stretched and trading far above the 200 MA and main support levels, which increases the risk of a strong correction if new liquidity does not enter the stock. ๐
โ ๏ธ Due to the current market volatility, I donโt recommend entering at this stage.
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SDTI is a high-beta growth stockSDTI is a high-beta growth stock, often favored by investors who are bullish on Egyptโs tourism sector ๐.
However, I expect the stock could face a strong pullback in the near future due to the current geopolitical situation.
โ ๏ธ If the price breaks below 32.13, it would confirm a double-top pattern, which could push the stock toward two important support levels:
โข 27
โข 22
These levels may act as major support zones if the correction continues. ๐
โ ๏ธ Due to the current market volatility, I donโt recommend entering at this stage.
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BONY broke out today from its falling triangle pattern๐ BONY broke out today from its falling triangle pattern with very strong volume, the highest since the IPO ๐ฅ
The price closed at a very important level with a fair gap region, and I donโt see any real resistance until at least 4.5๏ธโฃ.
Rumble annual target is 7.6 ๐ฏ
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CSAG recorded its highest volume since last October CSAG recorded its highest volume since last October after previously breaking the triangle pattern and rebounding from the last important support at 25.7. ๐
Today the price closed a gap and touched the 200MA, but it failed to close above it.
On the positive side, the stock managed to close above a very long-term trendline, which is an early constructive signal.
However, I still donโt see clear positivity until the price closes above the main resistance at 30.7 with strong volume. ๐
โ ๏ธ Due to the current market volatility, I donโt recommend entering at this stage.
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Ferchem remains in a downtrenFerchem remains in a downtrend ๐ donโt fight the current โ ๏ธ.
I wouldnโt consider it unless we see a strong break and close above 82.4 for a short-term shift ๐โ๏ธ.
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โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: This is general information only and not financial advice. For personal guidance, please talk to a licensed professional.
AJWA is still in a downtrend๐ AJWA is still in a downtrend
Even with fresh liquidity today, the price couldnโt break the ๐ 38.2% Fib level at 116.
Iโm staying on the sidelines ๐ซ until we see a clear breakout above the 50% Fib + 200MA around 125 ๐โจ๐ฐ
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ORHD has been moving sideways since last October ORHD has been moving sideways since last October ๐.
The price is currently around 25.3, a level where it has consolidated for a long time, making it a potential entry point for long-term investors.
๐ Key zones to watch:
โข Entry range: 25.3 down to 24.9 for accumulation
โข If the price breaks the resistance at 25.9 with strong volume, itโs better to wait for a new pullback before entering.
These levels could serve as attractive long-term accumulation points while the stock remains range-bound. ๐
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ETEL is currently in a pullback after a strong uptrend ETEL is currently in a pullback after a strong uptrend ๐๐.
๐ Key levels for long-term investors:
โข 82 a good entry level for long-term accumulation
โข Alternatively, you can wait for the downtrend channel to be broken before entering for confirmation
โข Next support levels: around 79, and then a deeper support at 72 if the pullback extends
These levels may serve as potential accumulation zones while maintaining the overall uptrend structure. ๐
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EFIH has been in an uptrend since last September EFIH has been in an uptrend since last September ๐, but the stock is currently experiencing a strong pullback.
๐ Key levels for long-term investors:
โข 18.6 โ a strong support level, attractive for long-term entry
โข 17.5 โ the next support level if the pullback continues
โข 15.8 โ the last-resort support, which is above the 200 MA and could act as a major buying zone
These levels may serve as potential accumulation points for long-term positioning ๐.
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FWRY has been in a strong uptrend for about a year FWRY has been in a strong uptrend for about a year ๐, but it is currently experiencing a strong pullback.
Over the last two weeks, the price has been consolidating, which may indicate the market is preparing for the next move. ๐
๐ Key levels for long-term investors:
โข 17 โ a good support level that could offer an attractive long-term entry
โข 16 โ the next strong support level if the pullback continues
These levels may act as potential accumulation zones if the price stabilizes around them.
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ARCC is currently in a pullback phase within its broader trend ARCC is currently in a pullback phase within its broader trend ๐๐.
๐ Key levels for long-term investors:
โข 47.6 โ an attractive level to consider for long-term entry
โข 45 โ a second and stronger support level if the pullback continues
If the price breaks 51.28 with strong volume ๐๐, it would be better to wait for a new pullback before considering entry rather than chasing the breakout.
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CLHO has been consolidating since OctoberCLHO has been consolidating since October ๐, and from a long-term investment perspective the stock looks appealing.
The price has been trying to break the 11.65 resistance since January, but it has not managed to clear it yet. ๐ง
๐ Key levels for long-term investors:
โข 12.5 โ first support level
โข 11 โ stronger support and deeper accumulation zone
These levels could provide potential opportunities for long-term positioning if the stock retraces. ๐
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