Page 26 | Ideas and Forecasts on Stocks — Egypt — TradingView

CCAP – The ERC Breakout vs. The Overbought Wall CCAP – The ERC Breakout vs. The Overbought Wall 📉🏦 The Reality: The headline news is massive: the Egyptian Refining Company (ERC)—Qalaa’s crown jewel reported a $120M net profit for the first four months of 2026. 📈💰 More importantly, ERC repaid its last $63M senior debt in March 2026. This is the "Golden Key" that finally unlocks ERC’s ability to distribute dividends back to Qalaa, ending a decade-long liquidity drought. 🏛️🔓 The Debt Weight: Don't let the profit fool you the baggage is still

by mnmabroukw36ix

SCFM – The Squeeze Breakout vs. Valuation Gravity SCFM – The Squeeze Breakout vs. Valuation Gravity 📉🍞 The Reality: A spectacular "Turnaround Tale" in progress! 🎭 After years of struggle, SCFM has flipped the script, reporting a 60.5 Million EGP profit for the last 9 months compared to a loss in the prior period. Revenue is up nearly 55%, proving that better distribution efficiency is finally paying off. 📈🍞 The Valuation Trap: The market is "paying for the future" today. 💸 At a P/B of 41.8x and a P/E of 23.3x (vs. the industry average of 1

by mnmabroukw36ix

ZMID (Zahraa Maadi): The Fundamental Diamond ZMID (Zahraa Maadi): The Fundamental Diamond 💎📈 The Cash King: This as a "Deep Value" titan. Passing the cash-flow health test with flying colors is rare for the sector. With zero debt and a balance sheet that holds more cash than liabilities. ZMID is the ultimate defensive "Safe Haven" in Egyptian real estate. 🛡️🏦 The Valuation Gap: Trading at a P/E of ~8.3x with a massive Gross Margin of 86.7%, the stock is a high-quality machine. The Technical Trigger: The Hidden Signal: The massive vo

by mnmabroukw36ix

ORWE – The Head & Shoulders Standoff ORWE – The Head & Shoulders Standoff 📉🧶 The Reality: A "Fundamental Fortress" facing a margin squeeze. 🏰 Oriental Weavers delivered a masterclass in 2025, with EGP 26.6B in revenue and an elite 89% cash conversion rate. Its balance sheet is nearly bulletproof, with a Net Debt/EBITDA of 0.2x, meaning it is virtually immune to the high-interest-rate shocks affecting other Egyptian industrials. 🛡️💎 The 2026 Headwind: The "Goldilocks" period of 2025 is ending. 🌬️🥀 While 2025 benefited from low

by mnmabroukw36ix

VALU – RSI Divergence & The 34.40 Ceiling VALU – RSI Divergence & The 34.40 Ceiling 📉🌍 The Reality: A "Real Earnings" powerhouse! 🏗️💎 Valmore is a rare example of a diversified holding company where reported profits are backed by cold, hard cash. With USD-denominated revenue from fertilizers and energy, it is the ultimate natural hedge against EGP volatility. Its 6.82% USD-equivalent yield remains one of the most attractive in the region. 💵⚓ The Transition: The rebrand to "Valmore" isn't just a name change; it’s a strategic shift f

by mnmabroukw36ix

EGCH – Liquidity Surge vs. Sector Headwinds EGCH – Liquidity Surge vs. Sector Headwinds 📉🧪 The Reality: A "Value Trap" with massive operational weight. 🏗️⚖️ Kima is fundamentally efficient, converting most of its operating profit into cash and trading at a P/E of 6.94x (way below the sector's 15.5x). However, the "Kima 2" mega-project debt has left it with a 75% Debt-to-Equity ratio, making it hypersensitive to the 2026 interest rate climate. 🌊⚓ The Sector Drag: The "Fertilizer Boom" is hitting an electricity-shaped wall. 🔌🛑 Egypt's

by mnmabroukw36ix

DSCW – The 2.00 Barrier & Debt Drag DSCW – The 2.00 Barrier & Debt Drag 📉👕 The Reality: An export powerhouse trapped in a debt cage. 🕸️⛓️ While revenue surged to EGP 6.85B, the company is battling a "liquidity desert." Only 35% of EBIT actually reaches the bank the rest is swallowed by working capital and a punishing EGP 3.2B in total liabilities. The Solvency Crisis: With a 244% Debt-to-Equity ratio, Dice is one of the most leveraged firms on the EGX. 🌊⚓ In the 2026 high-interest environment, they are likely borrowing just to

by mnmabroukw36ix

MBSC – The Wick of Resistance & Fib Battle MBSC – The Wick of Resistance & Fib Battle 📉🏗️ The Reality: A "Fundamental Fortress" in a shaky sector! 🏗️ MBSC is an operational powerhouse with EGP 5.67B in sales and elite efficiency. There is a "near-perfect" correlation between its EBIT and actual cash this company doesn't just report profits; it collects them. 💵🔥 The Yellow Flag: While they have massive collection power, the 2026 construction lag is finally showing. Receivables are starting to age, which is the first sign of a cooling

by mnmabroukw36ix

MICH – Double Top Rejection & The 11% Yield Floor MICH – Double Top Rejection & The 11% Yield Floor 📉🧪 The Reality: The "High-Yield King" is cooling off! 👑 While MICH remains a dominant monopoly in caustic soda and chlorine, it has hit a "Capacity Plateau." Net profit for the first nine months of FY 2025/2026 fell 7% YoY to EGP 397.4M, largely due to rising energy costs. Future growth is now entirely dependent on their EGP 300M+ plant upgrade. 🏗️📉 The Cash Cow: MICH is a fortress. 🏰 It is effectively debt-free and generates massive operati

by mnmabroukw36ix

DTPP – The Packaging Squeeze & Technical Trap DTPP – The Packaging Squeeze & Technical Trap 📉📦 The Reality: A "Dividend King" under pressure! 👑 Delta Printing is a rare Egyptian industrial that consistently pays out, but it's currently hitting a "Cash Flow Divergence." While sales are robust, high import costs for paper and ink have slashed cash conversion to under 50%. Most of their "profit" is currently sitting in warehouses as raw material inventory to hedge against the EGP. 📄🧪 The Strategy: The stock is stuck in a downtrend. 📉 Even

by mnmabroukw36ix

CCAP.ca OIL price increase reflection The trend showed a new strong pattern due to oil price increase In case of breaking 4.35 L.E with high volume new targets as shown

by TarekGadallah

ELSH - penetrating downtrend & major horizontal resistance ELSH successfully penetrated a downtrend and yesterday closed above major horizontal resistance level at 7.56 targeting the following levels: 8 - 8.25 - 8.56 on the short term. Current stoploss level: 7.35

by mahmoudhefny89

NCCW - Downtrend penetration NCCW successfully penetrated major downtrend, and an uptrend started formation, closing above 5.265 will pave the way to the following targets: 5.7 - 6.25 - 6.72 Current stoploss level: 4.95 "Trailing stoploss is recommended".

by mahmoudhefny89

Extracted Oil Egyptian Stock Market Shark 32 constructed on weekly chart In case of breaking 10.35 L.E , the target will be around 13 L.E Dr. Tarek Gadallah

by TarekGadallah

Save your time and your cash that stock is a dead end.Save your time and your cash that stock is a dead end.

by mnmabroukw36ix

ALCN – Fundamental Giant vs. Technical Bleeding ALCN – Fundamental Giant vs. Technical Bleeding 📉🚢 The Reality: The "Toll Bridge" of Egyptian trade! 🚢 Revenue grew by 75% YoY, and the company is a literal cash-flow machine. With almost zero debt and a 6.3% dividend yield, it’s a fundamental fortress. However, the "Export Boom" is cooling off, with H1 figures showing a slight 2% dip in YoY profits. 📉🍦 The Cash Power: ALCN has the strongest collection power in Egypt shipping lines pay up, or cargo doesn't move. 🛑💰 It’s a net beneficiary o

by mnmabroukw36ix

NIPH – Turnaround Momentum vs. Valuation Reality NIPH – Turnaround Momentum vs. Valuation Reality 📉💊 The Reality: An incredible "Turnaround Story" with a massive 155% leap in net profits (reaching EGP 170.1M). 📈 Revenue surged 114%, but don't ignore the low cash conversion (45%). Much of this "profit" is tied up in inventory revaluation and hospital receivables rather than liquid cash in the bank. 💸🕳️ The Valuation Trap: At a P/E of 22.3x, NIPH is trading at a massive premium compared to the sector giant PHAR (EIPICO), which trades at ~10x

by mnmabroukw36ix

ENGC – Cash-Backed Growth & The 34.29 Signal ENGC – Cash-Backed Growth & The 34.29 Signal 🚀🧱 The Reality: A fundamental "Fortress" in the materials sector! 🏗️ ICON is flexing high-quality earnings with EGP 7.35B in revenue and a solid net profit of EGP 728.6M. Unlike its peers, it converts a huge chunk of that profit into actual cash, making it a "Real Money" play rather than a "Paper Profit" one. 💵🔥 The Efficiency: With a Return on Equity (ROE) of 29.2% and a manageable Debt-to-Equity ratio of 60.9%, ICON is far better positioned than

by mnmabroukw36ix

Edita - Egyptian market expected target The first target for Edita is @ 37.5 L.E according to the constructed shape Dr. Tarek Gadallah

by TarekGadallah

PHAR – Export Powerhouse & Uptrend Setup PHAR – Export Powerhouse & Uptrend Setup 🚀💊 The Reality: The "Titan" of Egyptian Pharma is flexing! 💪 EIPICO just dropped massive FY 2025 results: Net profit surged 33% to EGP 1.458 Billion. Unlike peers, this isn't "accounting fluff" They convert 88% of operating profit directly into cash. 💸🏥 The Export King: Holding 26% of Egypt's medicine exports across 67 countries, PHAR is a natural USD hedge. 🌍💵 While they've poured EGP 1.25B into the "EIPICO 3" biologics plant, the 42% payout ratio

by mnmabroukw36ix

OLFI – Margin Compression vs. The 22.50 Barrier OLFI – Margin Compression vs. The 22.50 Barrier 📉🧀 The Reality: Dominant but "Squeezed." 🏗️⚠️ Obour Land remains the white cheese king of Egypt, but record revenue of EGP 11.12B couldn't stop a 14.6% drop in net profit. The company is essentially subsidizing consumer prices to protect its market share, causing net margins to dip from 9.3% to 6.6%. 🧀📉 The Debt Explosion: A decade ago, OLFI was almost debt-free; today, Debt-to-Equity has ballooned to 212.6% (EGP 4.25B in liabilities). 🌊⚓ Whi

by mnmabroukw36ix

ACTF – Deep Value in a Downward Channel ACTF – Deep Value in a Downward Channel 📉🏦 The Reality: ACTF is a "Growth at a Deep Discount" machine. 🚀 Unlike typical developers, their EGP 496.4M net profit (up 39.7%) is high-quality and realized. They are sitting on a massive post-IPO cash pile, making them one of the safest financial plays in a high-interest environment. 🛡️💰 The Efficiency: A 23.1% ROE is elite for the financial sector. 📈 They don't have the "inventory bloat" of factories; they trade in undervalued stakes like Juhayna

by mnmabroukw36ix

KZPC – Downward Channel & Debt Crisis KZPC – Downward Channel & Debt Crisis 📉🧪 Fundamental Analysis: The Reality: A "Debt-Locked" industrial. 🏗️⚠️ While revenue hit EGP 2.96B, the quality of those sales is buried under a EGP 2.3B cost of revenue. With a recent quarterly net loss of EGP 68.6M, the company is effectively running in place while its cash vanishes. 💸🕳️ The Solvency Alarm: A 260.9% Debt-to-Equity ratio in a high-interest environment is a recipe for disaster. 🌊⚓ Interest payments are barely covered, and with margins at

by mnmabroukw36ix

TMGH – Historical Liquidity & "The Spine" Catalyst TMGH – Historical Liquidity & "The Spine" Catalyst 🚀🧬 TMGH just dropped a nuclear fundamental catalyst "The Spine." 🏢🧬 This is a EGP 1.4 Trillion ($27B) "cognitive city" project in Madinaty, partnered with the National Bank of Egypt (NBE). It’s projected to contribute 1% to Egypt's GDP and generate EGP 818B in tax revenue. This isn't just a project; it's a structural upgrade to their entire valuation. 🌍💰 The Reality: We just witnessed a liquidity explosion! 💣 With EGP 1.6 Billion in turnove

by mnmabroukw36ix