Futures market
## GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30-Minute Chart Analysis ## GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30-Minute Chart Analysis (Medium & Short-Term Swing)
1. Gold is currently trading inside a **crucial demand-supply zone around 4,090–4,100**, making this the most important decision area for both short-term and medium-term direction.
2. The recent uptrend remains intact as long as this **crucial support zone** holds. The sequence of **higher highs and higher lows** still favors buyers in the medium term.
3. **Short-Term Bullish Scenario:** If buyers successfully defend **4,090–4,100**, Gold is likely to resume its upward swing towards **4,160**, followed by **4,220**, with a medium-term target around **4,290–4,300**.
4. A bullish confirmation would be a **strong bullish candle accompanied by higher volume** from the support zone, indicating fresh buying interest.
5. **Short-Term Bearish Scenario:** If Gold closes decisively below **4,090**, the current bullish swing structure will weaken, and profit booking could accelerate.
6. In the bearish case, the first downside target is expected around **4,040**, followed by **4,000**, where buyers may attempt to stabilize the market.
7. The chart indicates that the current pullback appears to be a **retest of the breakout zone**, which is a common continuation pattern in a healthy uptrend. Therefore, the reaction at this level is more important than the pullback itself.
8. From a **medium-term perspective**, the probability still favors the bulls as long as the price continues to hold above the crucial support zone. A successful retest would establish another **Higher Low (HL)** and strengthen the overall uptrend.
9. Traders should avoid taking aggressive directional positions **inside the crucial zone**. It is better to wait for confirmation—a bullish bounce for long positions or a decisive breakdown for short positions.
10. **Overall Outlook: Neutral to Moderately Bearish (6.5/10)** while Gold breaks crucial zone comfortably:
11. **Overall Outlook: Neutral to Moderately Bullish (3.5/10)** while Gold remains above **4,090–4,100**. Expected paths:
* **Bullish:** **4,110 → 4,160 → 4,220 → 4,290**
* **Bearish:** **4,090 Breakdown → 4,040 → 4,000 → 3,990**
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### Key Trading Levels
* **Crucial Support Zone:** **4,090–4,100**
* **Immediate Resistance:** **4,160**
* **Major Resistance:** **4,220**
* **Medium-Term Target:** **4,290–4,300**
* **Bearish Confirmation:** **Close below 4,090**
* **Bullish Confirmation:** **Strong bounce and close above 4,140 after defending the support zone**
---
### Disclaimer
> **Disclaimer:** This analysis is based on technical indicators, swing structure, price action, support and resistance zones, and the current market structure. It is intended **solely for educational and informational purposes** and **should not be considered financial or investment advice**. Financial markets are inherently volatile, and no technical analysis can guarantee future price movements. Please conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
XAUUSD H1: Will the New Support Hold?Gold has just gone through a stretch of sharp volatility following a hot rally, but is still holding above the key support zone around 4.107–4.121 — an area that lines up with the rising moving average. The long-term bullish structure from the 3.940 low remains intact.
My plan is to wait for price to pull back to the 4.107–4.121 support zone before buying, stop loss below 4.085, targeting a first objective at 4.165 and a further target at 4.200 if the rally continues.
The biggest risk is if this support zone gets lost — once price closes below 4.085, I'll consider this short-term bullish structure broken and stay on the sidelines temporarily rather than chasing the price.
This is just my personal take based on technical analysis. Wishing you successful trading.
XAUUSD Trading Plan (H1) - Key Levels & Scenarios🔹 Scenario 1: BUY on Retest (Pullback)
Buy Zone (FVG / Support): 4097 – 4105
Entry: 4100
Stop Loss: 4088
Take Profit: 4138 – 4160
🔹 Scenario 2: BUY Breakout (Expansion)
Wait for H1 candle to close above 4138 before entering on the retest to avoid fakeouts.
Breakout Level: 4138
Retest Entry: 4138 – 4140
Stop Loss: 4125
Take Profit: 4160 – 4180
🔹 Scenario 3: Counter-Trend SELL (Resistance Zones)
Sell Zone 1: 4160 – 4162
Entry: 4160 | SL: 4172 | TP: 4138 – 4105
Sell Zone 2: 4180 – 4182
Entry: 4180 | SL: 4193 | TP: 4160 – 4138
XAUUSD H1: Sellers Still Haven't Found Their FootingGold's bullish structure has been holding up well since the low around 4.000, with consecutive higher lows — a signal that buyers are still in control of this entire upward move. The 4.100–4.115 zone is now the nearest support after price just broke above this area.
My plan is to wait for price to pull back to the 4.100–4.115 zone before buying, stop loss below 4.085, targeting a first objective at 4.165 and a further target at 4.200 if the rally continues.
The biggest risk is if this support zone gets lost — once price closes below 4.085, I'll consider this short-term bullish structure broken and stay on the sidelines temporarily rather than chasing the price.
This is just my personal take based on technical analysis. Wishing you successful trading.
Gold Analysis (July 23): Gold Rises Despite Middle East TensionsGold Analysis (July 23) – Gold supported up to around 4,170 yesterday despite Middle East tensions – Gold rose after breaking out of the downward price channel and descending trendline resistance. Today, investors should keep an eye on the Initial Jobless Claims data released at 19:30.
Investors are flocking back to the gold market as attacks between the U.S. and Iran escalate into their second week. On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump declared that the U.S. would blow up an Iranian bridge or power plant—including those in the capital, Tehran—every time Iran fires on ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, Iran threatened to strike U.S.-linked infrastructure and energy facilities in the region if Washington carries out Trump's threats. Earlier on Wednesday, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio accused Iran of not being "serious" about reaching an agreement with the U.S., while emphasizing that Washington remains "committed to diplomacy" in the Middle East.
Read more : blog ngoại hối - https://blogngoaihoi (.)co/
XAUUSD Daily Analysis📅 XAUUSD Trading Plan – 23 Jul
Price continues to trade above PWH, keeping the higher-timeframe bullish structure intact.
The 4133–4136 zone is the first intraday resistance before PDH at 4166. Acceptance through this resistance keeps PDH as the next objective, while acceptance above PDH opens the path to WB-PWH (4202). A confirmed rejection from 4133–4136 or a loss of PWH shifts focus back to 4087 and 4076.
Trade only after 15M confirms acceptance or rejection at the mapped level.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 BIAS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 Weekly: Bullish (Developing)
🟢 Daily: Bullish
🟢 H4: Bullish
🟢 H1: Bullish
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📍 LEVELS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔺 Resistance:
* 4133–4136 (Intraday Resistance Zone)
* 4166 (PDH)
* 4202 (WB-PWH)
🔻 Support:
* 4104 (PWH)
* 4087 (DB-PDH)
* 4076 (PDL)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 BUY SCENARIOS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
* Hold above 4104 (PWH) with 15M Bullish Displacement + MSS.
* Accept 4133–4136 with 15M Bullish Displacement + MSS.
* Break and accept 4166 (PDH) with 15M Bullish Displacement + MSS.
🎯 TP:
4133–4136 → 4166 → 4202
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔴 SELL SCENARIOS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
* Reject 4133–4136 with 15M Bearish Displacement + MSS.
* Reject 4166 (PDH) with 15M Bearish Displacement + MSS.
* Lose 4104 (PWH), retest as resistance with 15M Bearish Displacement + MSS.
🎯 TP:
4104 → 4087 → 4076
July 23, 2026 - XAUUSD Analysis and Potential Opportunity📊 Summary:
Bullish momentum remains strong, and the preferred strategy is to buy pullbacks where support holds. That said, after rallying roughly 160 points over the past two days, the market also carries a higher risk of a short-term pullback.
Today, keep a close eye on the 4107 support level. If price breaks below 4107, the preferred strategy shifts to selling pullbacks where resistance holds. A further break below 4100 would strengthen bearish momentum. If 4107 continues to hold, it remains an attractive area to look for long opportunities.
In short, above 4107, the preferred strategy is to buy pullbacks where support holds. Below 4107, the preferred strategy shifts to selling pullbacks where resistance holds.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 4166 – Resistance
• 4144 – Resistance
• 4138 – Resistance
• 4130 – Resistance
• 4113 – Support
• 4107 – Key Support
• 4100 – Support
• 4090 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
SELL: If price breaks below 4107 → target 4104, with further downside toward 4100, 4097, 4090
BUY: If price holds above 4130 → target 4134, with further upside toward 4138, 4141, 4144
If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
WTI Crude Oil – Professional Technical Analysis (1H Chart)WTI Crude Oil is showing signs of a bullish continuation after a strong impulsive rally from the recent lows. The current price action is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, indicating a temporary pause before the next directional move. The broader trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the key support level.
Technical Outlook
Following a sharp bullish impulse, the market has entered a healthy consolidation phase.
Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers before a potential breakout.
The recent breakout from the previous range suggests buyers continue to control the medium-term trend.
Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 80.80
Stop Loss: 77.70
Target 1: 83.39
Target 2: 91.00
Technical Confluence
✅ Symmetrical Triangle continuation pattern.
✅ Strong bullish impulse preceding the consolidation.
✅ Higher lows remain intact within the current structure.
✅ Price continues to trade above major medium-term support.
Trading Plan
A confirmed breakout above the triangle resistance near 80.80 would validate the continuation pattern and likely trigger the next bullish wave toward 83.39, which represents the first major resistance level.
If bullish momentum remains strong and 83.39 is broken with conviction, the next upside objective is 91.00, where a significant higher-timeframe resistance is located.
Invalidation
A sustained break and hourly close below 77.70 would invalidate the bullish setup, indicating that buyers have lost momentum and increasing the probability of a deeper correction toward lower support levels.
Risk Management
Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout accompanied by increased volume or a strong bullish candle before initiating long positions. This approach helps reduce the risk of false breakouts commonly seen in triangle formations.
Bias: Bullish (Short-Term) 📈
Entry: 80.80
Stop Loss: 77.70
Target 1: 83.39
Target 2: 91.00
Invalidation: Hourly close below 77.70
XAUUSD | Analysis: Bulls Eyeing Higher LevelsGold continues to maintain a bullish market structure after a strong recovery from the recent lows. The latest break in structure shifted momentum in favor of buyers, with price now trading above key support zones.
At the moment, price is approaching an important resistance area around 4125–4135. A sustained move above this region could open the door for further upside toward the 4180–4200 supply zone.
On the downside, any pullback into nearby support may simply represent a healthy retracement as long as the bullish structure remains intact.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4125–4135
Major Target Zone: 4180–4200
Support: 4105–4095
Bias: Bullish 📈
This analysis reflects my personal market view based on price action and market structure. Always wait for your own confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
Gold (MGC) | Is This the High of the Week?After three strong days of bullish momentum, Gold is starting to show signs that buyers may be losing steam. I'm not ready to call the top just yet, but we're reaching an area where I want to see how price reacts before making my next move.
One thing that immediately caught my attention was the large gap down at today's session open. Rather than chasing price lower, I'd actually like to see the market retrace and attempt to fill that gap. The reaction there should tell us a lot about who is in control heading into the Asian Kill Zone.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If buyers reclaim the gap, break above yesterday's high, and can hold those gains, then the uptrend remains intact and I'll continue respecting the bullish momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price fills the gap but fails to reclaim value, followed by a break and acceptance below 4116, I'll view that as confirmation that sellers are beginning to take control. That would align with the larger bearish structure I'm seeing on the higher timeframes.
I'm trying not to let my higher timeframe bias force trades. Yes, the Daily chart still favors the bears overall, but the intraday trend has been making higher highs and higher lows all week. Until that structure breaks, patience is key.
For me, this session isn't about predicting the next move—it's about letting the market confirm which side is winning the auction.
Key Levels I'm Watching
🔹 Yesterday's High – Bullish continuation if reclaimed and accepted above.
🔹 4116 – Bearish confirmation if price breaks below and accepts underneath.
🔹 Session Gap – The reaction here could determine the direction for the remainder of the week.
As always, I'm letting price come to me rather than chasing moves. The best trades usually come after confirmation, not anticipation.
What's your bias heading into Thursday? Are you expecting continuation higher, or do you think this rally is running out of steam?
#Gold #MGC #Futures #PriceAction #OrderFlow #TradingView #COMEX #MarketStructure #ICT #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMOTrading
NeuPortal | Gold 24h - neutral band, a pullback within rangeMeasured, not assumed. The band is the interquartile range of how gold has actually moved over this window, read from 3,001 overlapping windows of the chart's own history.
Median 4,142
Core 50% 4,081 - 4,209 (3.1% of spot)
Wide 80% 3,999 - 4,262 (6.4%)
NO DIRECTIONAL LEAN. The trend gate is open (ADX 35), so the market is trending by that measure - but the net momentum signals cancel out, so the median sits near spot. Strong trend, no clean direction. This is a statement about how far, not which way.
WHERE THIS BAND FAILS - AND WE SAY SO
Out-of-sample, fitted on older history and tested on newer: core coverage 27% against a 50% target, wide 55% against 80%. Both well below target, which means on gold at this horizon the band runs TOO NARROW - price left it more often than it should. That is a real weakness, printed on the chart, not hidden. A tool that only ever looks good is a tool that isn't being scored.
Why: skew -0.67 and excess kurtosis 3.00. Gold's fat tails and left skew are exactly what a narrow empirical band underestimates, and the coverage numbers catch it.
125 independent windows, not 3,001 - overlapping windows share most of their bars, and the smaller number is the honest sample size.
The drawn path is an illustration of how price might travel, not a claim about the route. What is described is where it lands, and that is the band.
Educational content - not financial advice.
XAUUSD | 4H AnalysisGold has broken out of the descending structure, suggesting that bullish momentum is building. Price is now approaching a significant Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) area, where liquidity may be collected before the next move.
The Mitigation Zone sits just below the BSL and will be an important area to monitor. A bearish reaction from this zone could lead to a short-term pullback, while a clean break and sustained acceptance above the BSL would support further upside.
For now, patience is key. Waiting for confirmation around these levels can provide a clearer view of the market's next direction.
Key Levels:
BSL: Primary liquidity target.
Mitigation Zone: Potential reaction area.
Bias: Bullish while monitoring price behavior near liquidity.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Crude Oil MCX Fut Intraday Technical Analysis 23 July, 26MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
Crude Oil Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 23, 2026
Crude Oil is trading around 8,412, hovering directly above the 8,410 Zero Line. The contract has experienced a volatile corrective phase following its sharp rally toward the 8,570 peak, now compressing inside its central value block as market participants seek a clear directional catalyst.
Price enters the session locked tight around its primary benchmark. Buyers are defending the immediate support cluster to maintain structural continuity toward higher expansion targets, while bears are attempting to push price below the Zero Line to unlock deeper liquidation legs. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle breakout before committing capital.
Bullish Triggers
Long Entry: Above 8,441 (strongly validated while price holds structural footing above the 8,400 Add Long Pos. band).
Targets: 8,629 - 8,765
Risk Control: Structure weakens below 8,400. Hard exit below 8,323.
Bearish Triggers
Short Entry: Below 8,358 (validated if liquidity pushes fail to hold the 8,410 Zero Line, converting it into a firm distribution ceiling).
Targets: 8,191 - 8,055
Risk Control: Cover immediately above 8,476. Day Bias remains structurally protected above 8,222.
No-Trade Chop Zone: 8,323 - 8,441
Expect rotational, choppy price action inside this decision block as commercial participants balance risk. Avoid over-trading early whipsaws inside this zone; let a clean 15-minute structural candle breakout provide true execution validation.
Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation.
Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today.
#CrudeOil
Gold MCX Fut Intraday Technical Analysis - 23 July, 26MCX:GOLD1!
Gold Futures (MCX) | Intraday Structure | July 23, 2026
Gold is trading around 145,693, hovering just above the 145,680 Zero Line. The contract has completed a strong vertical breakout from its base near 144,500, pushing into a higher value range before entering a localized pullback and consolidation block right at its central pivot.
Price action enters the session positioned near the zero benchmark. Buyers are attempting to maintain structural acceptance above this level to fuel the next upward extension, while sellers look for a breakdown below the line to trigger a deeper pull back. Wait for a high-volume 15-minute candle to break cleanly away from this cluster before committing capital.
Bullish Triggers
Long Entry: Above 145,355 (strongly validated while price holds structural footing above the 145,156 Add Long Pos. band).
Targets: 146,724 - 147,369
Risk Control: Structure weakens below 145,156. Hard exit below 144,792.
Bearish Triggers
Short Entry: Below 144,956 (validated if price breaks back down below the 145,680 Zero Line and converts it into a rigid distribution ceiling).
Targets: 144,636 - 143,991
Risk Control: Cover immediately above 145,519. Weekly Bias remains structurally protected above 144,299.
No-Trade Chop Zone: 144,792 - 145,355
Expect rotational, choppy price action within this decision range as commercial participants balance risk. Avoid chasing early morning whipsaws inside this block; let a clean 15-minute structural candle breakout provide execution confirmation.
Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation.
Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today.
#Gold
ES S&P 500 Long
ES S&P 500 ORDER : 7540.25
Stop Loss: 7519.75
Remove risk/Partials @: 7559.50
Take profit: 7569.50
Trade Plan: Long
Bias: BULLISH short term.
Entry reason: Price will most likely test key TPO area.
Fundamentally: The short-term valuation tool also shows temporarily undervalued against the competing index
Stop Loss: Below nearest low.
First target: 7559.50
Please refer to S&P 500 for CFDs symbols
Bitcoin Short
Bitcoin SELL MARKET ORDER : 66265
Stop Loss: 65965
Take profit: 6.2720
Trade Plan: Short
Bias: BEARISH short term.
Entry reason: Price has tested key TPO area.
Fundamentally: The short-term valuation tool also shows temporarily overvalued against the competing index
Stop Loss: Above nearest high.
Please refer to BTCUSD for CFDs symbols
XAUUSD: Oversold Rebound ContinuesGold continues its oversold rebound today. Key driving forces include short covering at recent lows, safe-haven buying stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and inflows into gold ETFs for two consecutive days, pushing prices above the 4100 threshold.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
Primary Resistance: 4138-4142 (intraday high, short-term bull-bear watershed)
Secondary Resistance: 4160-4168 (previous heavy selling zone)
A sustained break above 4142 is required to unlock further upside; otherwise, prices are vulnerable to a pullback after surging higher.
Support:
Short-term Support: 4098-4102 (psychological level at 4100, current strength dividing line)
Intermediate Support: 4072-4076 (low where today’s early rebound originated)
Major Support: 4000, the critical defence level for this round of rebound.
Trading Strategy:
Sell 4135 - 4142
SL 4158
TP 4105 - 4090 - 4078
Buy 4098 - 4102
SL 4082
TP 4125 - 4145 - 4160






















