Short
Long 
Short 
Long
Long 
Rare Jūgi Event for GoldKeep your eye on gold around the 29th. The blue lines are the Kihon-suchi or Basic numbers. The period up to Kihon-42 is a time lease for the bulls. If they're to establish a real trend, they're going to have to make a higher high in this timeframe. If they don't do it by Kihon-33, the odds decrease dramatically.
I recently translated Hidenobu Sasaki's Ichimoku Kinko Studies in which he details an advanced time analysis called Kakugi. This involves taking a prior lease's timespan (the Kihon-kei) and shifting it over to the new one. The blue Kihon intervals are points in time you should be on the lookout for a Henka-bi or a day of change--a day on which a new trend might start. The Kakugi operation establishes a Hengi--an even more portentous point in time. When you have a Hengi that falls on a Kihon interval, it's a Jūgi.
A Jūgi is an extremely rare confluence. I've seen charts with Jūgi events, and price can really rip from these points. There is also a confluence of a Kumo twist just before the 29th. This means there is basically no cloud to offer support should gold go down.
Considering that buyers seem unlikely to do anything with their current lease, and price will most likely go down. If this happens around the 29th, it could really drop This, of course, presents opportunities to short gold ETFs and the miners.
The end of September could be a non-event. But as Pasteur said, in matters of analysis, fortune favors the prepared mind. Short 
Long
Short
Long 
Short 
XAUUSD 4H: Watching a Bullish Trendline RetestGold closed at 4,378, above the local descending green trendline. My bullish scenario depends on buyers defending this breakout and the support area around 4,360.
The rising red trendline provides additional support for the recovery. A successful retest, followed by a 10-minute break → retest → break upward, would provide confirmation for an INTRADAY long intended to capture several hours of continuation.
Upside objectives:
• 4,396–4,403 — first resistance zone.
• 4,420 — main horizontal resistance.
• 4,429–4,443 — extension targets if price breaks and holds above 4,420.
INVALIDATION
A completed 4H close below 4,360, accompanied by a return beneath the local descending green trendline, invalidates this bullish breakout-retest scenario.
An intraday trade’s protective stop should sit below the confirmed retest low. If triggered, exit without waiting for the 4H close.
I am looking for buyers to demonstrate control at support before entry. The broader descending trendline remains overhead, so this is a bullish recovery setup rather than confirmation of a complete long-term reversal.
Personal market outlook—not a trade signal.
Forex Trend Catcher Long 
Pullback Before Another BSL TestFundamental Analysis
Gold is holding firm after posting its first weekly gain in four weeks, helped by easing oil prices and some reduction in inflation pressure. However, the U.S. dollar remains near a seven-week high, Treasury yields are around 5%, and markets still price roughly a 55% chance of another Fed hike in October.
Technical Analysis
On H1, Gold remains constructive after the recent bullish BOS, but price is now approaching the 4,395–4,410 BSL / major resistance.
The cleaner continuation setup is a controlled pullback into the 4,348–4,368 OB + Fibo zone. If buyers defend this area, the next bullish wave could retest upper liquidity.
Volume Profile also shows an important lower balance area around 4,300–4,318 POC.
Important Key Levels
4,395–4,410 — BSL / Major Resistance
4,348–4,368 — OB + Fibo
4,300–4,318 — POC
4,235–4,250 — SSL / Major Support
Trading Scenario
Buy priority remains on a pullback into 4,348–4,368 followed by bullish H1 confirmation.
Target: 4,395–4,410 BSL.
Invalidation: H1 acceptance below the OB + Fibo zone.
Overall View
The short-term structure remains constructive, but buying directly below BSL offers less attractive positioning. A pullback into support could provide the cleaner continuation setup.
Will Gold retest the OB + Fibo first before breaking 4,400? Long 
Long 
Long
BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC, BUT 4,438 IS THE TEST BRIAN XAUUSD – GOLD HOLDS POC, BUT 4,438 IS THE TEST
Gold is trying to rebuild bullish momentum after defending the lower value area, but the market is still not fully clean for aggressive buying.
On the H4 chart, the bigger structure still shows buyers holding above the rising trendline from the previous accumulation phase. This is important because gold has not broken the larger bullish base yet. However, price is now trading around 4,378 after recovering from the Buy VAL 4,290 and Buy zone POC 4,351 areas.
The current reaction is positive, but gold is now approaching the first important resistance: Sell scalping VAH around 4,438.
Technical structure
Gold recently swept lower into the 4,290 value area, then recovered strongly back above the POC support around 4,351. This tells me buyers are still active below the market.
The key short-term base is now 4,351. As long as price holds above this zone, the recovery structure remains valid.
The first upside test is 4,438. This is the VAH resistance and also a possible seller reaction zone. If gold reaches this level and rejects, price may rotate back toward 4,351 again.
If buyers break and accept above 4,438, the next major upside target becomes the Sell zone POC around 4,595. That is the larger resistance from the previous high-volume area, and I would expect stronger selling pressure there.
Important zones
Current price area: 4,370 - 4,390
Gold is recovering but still below the main VAH resistance.
Buy zone POC: 4,351
Main buyer defense zone for the current structure.
Buy VAL: 4,290
Deeper value support if gold pulls back harder.
Sell scalping VAH: 4,438
First resistance and short-term seller reaction zone.
Sell zone POC: 4,595
Major upper resistance and larger seller interest area.
Trendline support: rising structure below current price
As long as price holds above this trendline, the broader recovery view remains alive.
Trading scenario
Priority view: buy reaction above 4,351
Entry:
Look for buy positions only if gold holds above 4,351 and shows clear bullish rejection from the POC support.
Stop Loss:
Below the local sweep low or below the 4,351 support zone.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,438
TP2: 4,500
TP3: 4,595 if buyers break and accept above the VAH resistance
This setup follows the current bullish recovery structure, but confirmation is still needed. Buying directly into 4,438 is risky because that is the first seller reaction area.
Alternative sell scenario
If gold reaches 4,438 and shows strong rejection, a short-term sell reaction may appear.
Entry:
Look for sell positions only if price rejects clearly from 4,438 and fails to hold above it.
Stop Loss:
Above the rejection high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,351
TP2: 4,290 if downside pressure expands
This would be a reaction sell, not a full bearish reversal, unless gold also breaks below 4,351 and loses the rising trendline.
Final view
Gold is still holding the bullish value structure, but the next confirmation must come from 4,438.
For now, my map is simple:
Hold 4,351 = buyers remain active.
Break 4,438 = recovery momentum improves.
Reach 4,595 = major resistance test.
Reject 4,438 = price may rotate back to 4,351.
Lose 4,351 = deeper pullback toward 4,290 becomes possible.
Gold is not weak while it stays above the POC and rising trendline, but it is also not clean enough to chase directly under VAH resistance.
The best setup is to wait for confirmation: either buyers defend 4,351 for continuation, or sellers reject 4,438 for a short-term rotation.
Will gold break above 4,438 and open the path toward 4,595, or will sellers defend the VAH first?
Long 
Long 
XAUUSD: 4,238 Holds the Bigger Recovery Map XAUUSD: 4,238 Holds the Bigger Recovery Map
Market Context
Gold is trying to build a larger recovery after reacting from the strong liquidity base near 3,941.
The daily chart is no longer showing only one-way bearish pressure. Price has formed a clear recovery leg, reclaimed important structure, and is now holding above the previous accumulation zone. However, the market is still not fully bullish until buyers clear the next liquidity barrier above.
The current price around 4,378 is sitting between recovery support and the next premium resistance area. This means gold may need one more pullback before the next strong upside attempt.
Technical Structure
The main story is simple: gold has shifted from deep discount recovery into a potential bullish continuation structure.
The first important support is 4,238. This is the nearest liquidity and reaction level. If price pulls back and holds this area, buyers may use it as the base for the next push higher.
Below that, 4,163 is another key support and FVG liquidity zone. Losing 4,163 would weaken the recovery structure and may bring price back toward the OB Buy Zone around 4,050 - 4,100.
Above current price, 4,511 is the first major buy-side liquidity target. A clean break above this level would confirm that buyers are regaining control.
The next upside levels are 4,698, then 4,889. If gold continues to expand strongly, the higher OB zone around 5,100 - 5,200 becomes the larger premium target.
Key Levels
Current Price: 4,378
Nearest Support: 4,238
FVG / Strong Liquidity Support: 4,163
OB Buy Zone: 4,050 - 4,100
Buy-Side Liquidity: 4,511
Month High: 4,698
Strong Liquidity Target: 4,889
Higher Premium OB: 5,100 - 5,200
Major Liquidity Reference: 5,600
Trading Plan
Primary Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,238 - 4,163 after bullish confirmation
SL: Below 4,100
TP: 4,511 / 4,698 / 4,889
Condition: Gold pulls back into the support zone, holds structure, and forms a clear bullish reaction. This would suggest buyers are defending the recovery base.
Breakout Buy Scenario
Entry: Above 4,511 after breakout and retest
SL: Below 4,380
TP: 4,698 / 4,889 / 5,100
Condition: Price breaks above the buy-side liquidity zone and holds above it. This would confirm stronger bullish continuation.
Alternative Sell Scenario
Entry: Below 4,163 after breakdown and retest
SL: Above 4,238
TP: 4,100 / 4,050 / 3,941
Condition: Gold loses the FVG support and fails to reclaim it. This would show that buyers are losing the recovery structure.
Overall Bias
Gold is recovering, but the next move depends on how price reacts around 4,238 - 4,163.
As long as this zone holds, the bigger recovery map remains valid, with upside targets at 4,511, 4,698, and 4,889.
If price breaks below 4,163, the recovery weakens and gold may return to the deeper OB Buy Zone.
Best approach: wait for confirmation around support. Do not chase the middle. The cleanest setup comes from either a pullback into 4,238 - 4,163 or a breakout above 4,511.
Will gold defend the recovery base and continue higher, or will sellers drag price back into deeper demand?
Long 
Gold (XAUUSD): Same Resistance Shelf Across Three Timeframes◆ Read: XAUUSD is testing a resistance shelf in the 4385–4400 zone that shows up independently across the 1H, 4H, and 15m charts, not one signal repeating, three separate structural reads converging on the same price. The 4H version of this shelf has recorded 55 total touches; the 15m shows a nearby level at 52.
◈ What's building underneath: raw volume regime reads QUIET on both the 1H and 15m right now, but the cumulative volume delta trend is Accumulating on every timeframe shown. Net buying pressure has been building steadily without a dramatic spike, a grind rather than an explosion.
⚠ If this shelf holds and price rejects: there's a well-tested support stack beneath, a zone with 23 touches near 4325 on the 1H, and a cluster with 28-45 touches in the 4315–4370 range on the 15m.
🔒 No signals, no promises, a structural read across timeframes, not a trade recommendation. Always manage risk and do your own analysis.
GOLD WEEKLY ANALYSIS — 4H BULLISH CONTINUATION SETUPGold is holding above the 4,360–4,365 area after recovering from the 4,272 support zone. The 4H structure is showing higher lows from that support, while price is now approaching the next major resistance at 4,495.
📌 Trade Idea — LONG
Entry: 4,361.427
Stop Loss: 4,225.089
Take Profit: 4,659.466
Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:2.2
🔎 Why I'm Watching This Setup
🔹 4,272 support held: Price previously rejected this major support and buyers stepped in.
🔹 Higher lows: Since the 4,272 test, Gold has been building a short-term recovery structure.
🔹 4,361 breakout/retest area: Holding above this level keeps the bullish structure intact.
🔹 4,495 resistance: This is the first major obstacle. A clean break could expose the upper resistance around 4,659.
🔹 4,659 target: This sits near the previous major high/resistance zone.
🎯 Key Path
4,361 support → break 4,495 → continuation toward 4,659
The most important thing to watch is how price behaves around 4,495. A rejection there could produce a pullback, while a sustained breakout could strengthen the continuation setup.
Key Levels
🟢 Entry: 4,361.427
🎯 TP: 4,659.466
🔴 SL: 4,225.089
📍 Support: 4,272.404
📍 Resistance: 4,495.802
Gold has recovered strongly from 4,272. Now the question is whether buyers can turn 4,495 from resistance into support and continue toward the previous highs.
⚠️ Technical analysis only, not financial advice. Manage risk and position size carefully. Long 
Long 
Long 
