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Xus/usd) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading Point Update
Chart Overview
• Pair: Gold Spot / USD - 1 Hour
• Current price: $3,992.63
• Date: Jul 17, 2026 05:56 UTC-5
• Bias on chart: Bullish reversal from channel bottom
Key Levels & Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is still inside a downtrend channel. We’re currently mid-channel at $3,992.
2. BUYING AREA - GREEN ARROW: $3,952 - $3,960
Marked as BUYING AERYA at $3,952.24. This is the bottom trendline of the channel. Price is expected to dip there first before reversing.
3. Supply Zone - BLUE BOX: $4,060 - $4,100
This was previous resistance. The top of the channel + this zone = main sell area if we get up there.
4. TARGET POINT: $4,070.35
This sits just under the channel top trendline and the blue supply. That's the first major take profit if buyers step in.
Mr SMC Trading point
The Idea on the Chart
The arrow shows a bullish bounce play:
1. Dip: Drop to $3,952 channel support to take liquidity
2. Reverse: Bullish reaction up
3. Target: Push to $4,070 at channel top / supply
This is SMC "buy in discount" inside a bearish channel. Risky until we get a break and close above $4,100.
dipcrschn Signal Format
• Bias: Bullish only above $3,952
• Buy Zone: $3,952 - $3,960 - wait for rejection wick + 5m choch
• SL: Below $3,940 - under channel + structure
• TP1: $4,020 - mid channel
• TP2: $4,070 - channel top / target point
• Invalidation: 1H close below $3,940 flips to more downside
Please support boost this analysis Long 
Brent Crude Oil bullish continuation pattern supported at 8,130Brent Crude Oil continues to trade within the broader prevailing trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout phase.
Key Level: 8,130
This area previously acted as a consolidation zone and is currently being monitored as a notable support level.
Scenario Above 8,130
If price remains above 8,130, market structure may continue to reflect near-term upside pressure. In this context, the following levels may act as reference resistance areas:
9,090 – Initial resistance
9.407 – Psychological and structural level
9,700 – Extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Scenario Below 8,130
A sustained move and daily close below 8,130 would indicate a shift in the current short-term structure. In that scenario, the following levels may become relevant on the downside:
7,914 – Minor support
7,640 – Stronger support and potential demand zone
Conclusion
Brent Crude Oil remains above an important technical area, with 8,130 acting as a key reference level for the current price structure. Price behaviour around this zone may help determine whether the market continues within the recent uptrend phase or transitions toward further downside continuation.
The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.
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bear setup in gold @Nmn0708
That’s an annoying compliance hurdle, but we can easily bypass it by letting the raw data and structural price action speak for itself. If TradingView wants pure, objective analysis based on what’s written explicitly on the chart without looking like a promotion for your dashboard, this write-up covers exactly that.Here is a professional, text-based market idea for your publication:XAUUSD: Structural Rejection at Key Levels Signals Bearish MomentumA multi-timeframe structural analysis of Gold (XAUUSD) reveals a highly compelling bearish setup. By looking strictly at the fundamental mathematical relationships of price action, the Central Pivot Range (CPR), and the Camarilla frameworks, the technical data heavily favors the bears.Here is the breakdown of why this setup is leaning strongly bearish.1. Multi-Framework Pivot Bias (The Core Data)When analyzing the broader market structures across different time horizons, the underlying trend signals a dominant "Strong Sell" regime:CPR 2-Day Relationship: Current price structures show a Lower CPR relationship relative to the prior period, indicating a structural Strong Bear environment.Camarilla 2-Day Relationship: Similarly, the Camarilla levels are printing a Lower relationship, reinforcing the macro Strong Bear bias.Timeframe Alignment: The market summary displays 3 active Sell Signals with 0 Buy Signals. The macro structures reflect a multi-framework bearish bias, shifting the odds in favor of short positions on any intraday rallies.2. Immediate Resistance & Rejection ZonesThe price action is currently reacting exactly where you would expect a bearish reversal to trigger:The Deciding Zones: Price is hovering in the neutral deciding zones for both the CPR ($S1$-$R1$) and Camarilla ($L3$-$H3$).Value Area Context: The market is currently consolidating inside a narrow value area, signaling coiled energy. However, given that the broader trend state is a Strong Bear, breakouts or failures within this zone generally resolve in the direction of the dominant trend.Intraday Resistance: Strong technical resistance is clustered between $4002 (Daily $H3$ Camarilla Level) and $4003 (Daily Central Pivot). The inability of the bulls to securely reclaim and close above the $4003$ level confirms that supply is defending this zone.3. Price Action & Trade Execution ParametersLooking directly at the structural price chart, a classic mean-reversion short setup has activated:The Trigger: Price attempted a minor relief rally out of the discount zone (near the Previous Daily Low / PDL at $3970), but immediately met selling pressure upon approaching the equilibrium zone near the Previous Weekly Low (PWL) at $4020.The Setup: A short position is initiated around the $3994 - $3996 zone.Invalidation / Stop Loss: The stop loss is placed tightly above the recent local structural swing high and the pivot zone, strictly at $4009.60. A daily close above this level invalidates the immediate bearish thesis.Downside Targets: The primary target for this wave of extension is the Previous Monthly Low (PML) at $3942.00, representing an excellent risk-to-reward short opportunity based purely on structural liquidity pools.Conclusion: With the 2-day CPR and Camarilla frameworks locked into a Lower/Strong Bear relationship, and price structurally failing at key intraday pivot levels ( SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:PP $/$H3$), the path of least resistance for XAUUSD remains firmly to the downside. Short 
XAU/USD: THE 3,880 CHANNEL FLUSH! 🪙 🛑
Gold is hanging onto 4,024 by a thread after a brutal trendline breakdown. Are you blindly trying to catch this falling knife, or are you waiting for the macro wipeout? 🤔
The dollar remains highly resilient as global yield expectations keep non-yielding assets under immense pressure. On this 1-hour OANDA chart, spot gold has cleanly shattered its ascending Support line, signaling that the short-term relief rally is officially dead. 📉💥
The red shaded block around 4,040 acted as the final trapdoor where market makers happily absorbed the last desperate bids from retail buyers. With the local trendline now broken, the path of least resistance has aggressively shifted to the downside. 🪤
The purple trajectory maps out a highly calculated, multi-wave markdown campaign. The algorithm is currently executing a brief, deceptive retest of the broken support before launching a high-velocity vertical liquidation flush straight toward the macro channel floor near 3,880. 🎯
Your absolute edge in this high-volatility environment is unwavering technical patience. Trying to force early long positions against a dominant high-timeframe descending structure is a dangerous game that usually ends in tears. Let the market makers clear the retail board first! 🧘♂️⚡
Trade Parameters:
🛒 Short Zone: 4,030 - 4,045 🧱
🛑 Stop-Loss: Hourly close above 4,065 ❌
💰 Take-Profit: 3,880 🩸
The market is playing a classic game of chicken, and the retail buyers who chased the top are about to get squeezed out completely. Keep your strategy clean, ignore the chaotic noise of the lower timeframes, and let the algorithm do the heavy lifting for you. We will see you at the 3,880 target floor! 🚀💎 Short 
BTC Macro Check: Oil, Gold, DXY, and Nasdaq Are All at Key Level
Summary:
BTC should not be analyzed alone here.
Oil, gold, DXY, and Nasdaq are all trading near important macro reaction zones.
That means BTC traders should watch the broader market carefully, because if these levels break, volatility can move quickly.
Oil:
Oil bounced from the expected 66 support area.
This support reaction was important.
However, the next question is whether oil can continue higher or reject from the red resistance box above.
For now, I am watching that red box as a possible resistance area.
Gold:
Gold respected the expected support and resistance zones very clearly.
Price held the 3,950 support box and then rejected from the 4,200 resistance area.
This means gold is reacting well to the planned technical levels.
The next key question is whether gold can break above 4,200, or whether it moves back toward the 3,950 support area.
If gold continues higher, it may suggest that safe-haven demand is still present in the market.
DXY:
DXY is still holding the 100 area.
As long as 100 holds, a dollar rebound remains possible.
If DXY rebounds from this area, it can create pressure for risk assets.
That is why the 100 level is important for BTC and Nasdaq as well.
Nasdaq:
Nasdaq is trading near an important blue support box.
If this zone holds, risk assets can still attempt a short-term bounce.
If this support fails, downside pressure can accelerate.
For BTC, Nasdaq remains an important macro risk signal.
Trading view:
The key point is not to force one direction.
Oil is reacting from support but approaching resistance.
Gold respected 3,950 support and 4,200 resistance.
DXY is still holding 100.
Nasdaq is near a key support zone.
These are all important macro levels.
Conclusion:
BTC is not the only chart that matters right now.
The broader macro market is sitting near several key reaction zones.
If these levels break or reverse sharply, BTC can also see fast volatility.
This is a market structure analysis, not financial advice. XAU/USD H1 Trading Outlook — Bullish Recovery Setup📈 XAU/USD 1H Trading Outlook — Bullish Recovery Setup
Gold is currently trading near 3,996, after reacting strongly from the marked recovery/demand zone around 3,960–3,980. The chart shows that sellers pushed price lower but failed to sustain momentum beneath this area, creating a weak low and a potential bullish reversal structure. Buyers are now attempting to reclaim the nearby 4,000–4,006 level, which is the first confirmation area for upside continuation. 🟢
Key Support Zones 🛡️
3,988–3,996: Immediate intraday support. Holding above this area keeps the short-term recovery structure intact.
3,960–3,980: Major demand/recovery zone. This is the key bullish defence area shown on the chart; a strong reaction here suggests buyers remain active.
Below 3,960: A clear hourly close beneath this zone would weaken the bullish idea and could open a deeper retracement.
Upside Target Zones 🎯
4,006–4,020: First resistance and confirmation target. A clean break and hold above 4,006 can attract further buying.
4,048–4,052: Main target zone marked on the chart. This is the primary area for partial profit-taking, as price may pause or reject there.
4,060–4,080: Higher supply/resistance area. If bullish momentum remains strong, this could be the next target.
4,105–4,120: Major resistance zone and previous strong-high region; this is a more ambitious upside objective, not an immediate expectation.
Trade Plan 💡
The preferred idea is to look for buy opportunities only while price respects the 3,988–3,980 support structure. Conservative traders can wait for an hourly candle to close above 4,006, then look for a retest that holds as support. Aggressive traders may consider entries on bullish rejection candles around the immediate support area, provided there is clear confirmation from price action.
A possible bullish sequence is:
Price holds above 3,988–3,980.
Buyers reclaim and close above 4,006.
Price moves toward 4,020, then 4,048–4,052.
If momentum and volume remain positive, hold a small runner toward 4,060–4,080. 🚀
Risk Management ⚠️
Never enter simply because price is inside a support zone—wait for confirmation such as a bullish engulfing candle, higher low, breakout, or retest. Place the stop-loss below the support zone and size the position so that one losing trade risks only a small portion of your account, ideally 0.5–1%. Consider securing partial profit at the first target and moving the stop-loss to breakeven once price has confirmed the move.
A sustained breakdown below 3,960 invalidates the recovery idea, so avoid holding long positions emotionally if the market closes decisively below that level. 🛑
Overall, the chart presents a cautiously bullish recovery perspective: buyers are defending a meaningful demand zone, and a break above 4,006 could create room for a move toward 4,048–4,052. Patience, confirmation, and disciplined risk control are more important than chasing the move. 📊 Long 
XAU/USD | Gold Rejects From Supply And Drops More Than 1000 PipsBy analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2H timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, price first moved slightly higher toward the $4060 – $4080 supply zone. Once Gold entered this area, sellers stepped in aggressively and pushed price down toward $3973, delivering more than 1070 pips of movement.
Currently, Gold is trading around $4012. Price may still move slightly higher in the short term, but my main bias remains bearish and I expect sellers to regain control from the nearby supply zones.
The closest supply zones are located around $4014 – $4020, followed by the stronger area between $4024 – $4044. On the downside, the nearest demand zones are around $3970 – $3985, followed by $3940 – $3955 and deeper support near $3900 – $3920.
My main target remains the large liquidity pool resting below $3941 . As long as Gold remains below the current supply zones, I still expect price to eventually sweep this liquidity before any stronger recovery begins. For now, a short-term bounce is possible, but the broader scenario remains bearish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban Short 
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Long 
Bullish Reversal Price Tests Major Support and Descending TrendKey Levels
Support: 3,940–3,960 (major demand zone)
Immediate Resistance: 4,020–4,040
Trendline Resistance: Around 4,010–4,030
Bullish Target 1: 4,080
Bullish Target 2: 4,120–4,130
Bullish Scenario
Hold above the support zone.
Break and close above the descending trendline.
A successful retest of the broken trendline as support would strengthen the bullish case and open the path toward 4,080, followed by 4,120+.
Bearish Risk
If price fails to hold above 3,940–3,960, the bullish setup becomes invalid and sellers could extend the decline toward fresh swing lows.
Trading Outlook
The market is approaching a decisive point. While the prevailing trend is still bearish, price is testing a major demand area where a bullish reversal is increasingly possible. Traders should wait for confirmation with a strong breakout above the descending trendline before expecting a sustained upside move. Long 
XAUUSD — Key Entry Zones Around OB and FVG
Gold is trading around $3,998 after recovering slightly from the lower Buy zone OB around $3,980–$3,985. The short-term reaction shows that buyers are trying to defend this demand area, but the overall structure is still not fully bullish because price remains below the upper OB and FVG supply zones.
From an SMC perspective, gold recently created bearish BOS and continued to trade below the previous structure. The current bounce from the lower OB looks more like a reaction from liquidity rather than a confirmed bullish reversal. This means the buy zone can be used for short-term reaction, but the stronger decision areas are still above, especially around $4,038–$4,041 and the FVG zone near $4,051–$4,058.
The main plan is to wait for price to react clearly around the marked zones. Buying near the lower OB is only valid with confirmation, while selling near the upper OB or FVG remains the cleaner setup if sellers defend those areas.
Buy scalping setup
Condition:
Gold holds the Buy zone OB around $3,980–$3,985 and forms bullish rejection with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $3,980–$3,985
SL: below $3,970
TP1: $4,000
TP2: $4,020
TP3: $4,038–$4,041
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold recovers into the OB sell zone around $4,038–$4,041 and forms bearish rejection.
Entry: $4,038–$4,041
SL: above $4,058
TP1: $4,020
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,980–$3,985
Sell setup 2
Condition:
If gold pushes higher into the FVG zone around $4,051–$4,058 and fails to break above it, this can create a stronger sell setup.
Entry: $4,051–$4,058 after rejection
SL: above $4,075
TP1: $4,038–$4,041
TP2: $4,000
TP3: $3,980–$3,985
TP4: $3,960
Sell setup 3
Condition:
If gold breaks cleanly below the Buy zone OB and retests it as resistance, bearish continuation becomes active.
Entry: below $3,980 after breakdown retest
SL: above $4,000
TP1: $3,970
TP2: $3,960
TP3: $3,942
Key levels
Current price area: $3,998
Buy zone OB: $3,980–$3,985
Short-term reaction area: $4,000–$4,020
OB sell zone: $4,038–$4,041
FVG sell zone: $4,051–$4,058
Bearish continuation level: below $3,980
Lower target: $3,960
Major lower liquidity: $3,942
Bullish scalp confirmation: clean reaction above $3,985
Sell confirmation: bearish rejection from $4,038–$4,058
Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,075
My current view is that gold can react from the lower Buy zone OB, but the main structure is still fragile. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid entering in the middle and only look for trades around the marked zones: short-term buy from $3,980–$3,985 if confirmed, or sell from $4,038–$4,041 and $4,051–$4,058 if sellers reject strongly. If gold loses $3,980 cleanly, the bearish path toward $3,960 and $3,942 becomes active again.
No confirmation, no trade.
Long 
XAUUSD: Wave 5 Downside Still Has Room to ExtendGold is still trading under bearish pressure after breaking below the short-term structure. From Kelly’s view, the current recovery looks more like a corrective bounce inside a bearish Elliott sequence, not a confirmed reversal yet.
The key idea is simple: gold may retest resistance first, but as long as price stays below the sell zone, the wave 5 downside scenario remains active.
⟡ Market structure
The chart shows gold broke down from the previous support area and pushed into the lower Fibonacci extension zone. Price has reacted from the 3,975 buy scalping area, but the rebound remains limited while gold trades below the 4,027 sell zone.
The current price is around 3,997, showing a small recovery after the breakdown. However, this recovery is still under resistance. If sellers defend the 4,020–4,027 area, gold may continue lower towards the 3,943 support zone, where the chart marks the possible end of wave 5.
The higher OB sell zone around 4,062 remains the key area where the bearish structure would be seriously tested.
➤ Key levels
◌ 3,975: buy scalping reaction zone
◌ 3,997: current price reaction area
◌ 4,020–4,027: sell zone and wave 4 resistance
◌ 4,062: OB sell zone and major resistance
◌ 3,943: support / Fibonacci 1.618 / possible wave 5 end
◌ Above 4,062: area where the bearish setup weakens
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be forming a bearish 5-wave structure after the breakdown.
Wave 1 started the first bearish move from the upper area.
Wave 2 corrected back into resistance but failed to continue higher.
Wave 3 pushed price sharply lower through support.
Wave 4 may now be forming as a short corrective rebound.
If the 4,020–4,027 sell zone holds, wave 5 may continue towards 3,943.
This is why Kelly would not chase buy too early. The current bounce is still below resistance, and the larger short-term structure remains bearish.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to retest the 4,020–4,027 sell zone and show bearish confirmation.
Sell zone: 4,020–4,027 if rejection appears
Stop loss: above the confirmed rejection high or above 4,062
Take profit 1: 3,975
Take profit 2: 3,960
Take profit 3: 3,943
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks above 4,027 and continues above 4,062 with strong acceptance, the bearish wave 5 setup weakens. In that case, the market may move into a larger corrective recovery before the next structure becomes clear.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is still a bearish intraday setup. Gold has reacted from the lower zone, but price has not reclaimed the sell zone yet.
The cleaner plan is to wait for the retest. If sellers defend resistance, wave 5 may continue towards the Fibonacci support below.
Gold is trying to bounce.
But below 4,020–4,027, the downside structure still has priority.
Share your view below. Short 
Gold Faces Strong Resistance as Bears Eye 3,950Key Technical Observations
Descending Trendline Resistance
The trendline has capped every recent rally.
The highlighted 4,045–4,060 supply/FVG zone aligns with this trendline, creating a strong confluence resistance.
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Price has retraced into the bearish Fair Value Gap but has struggled to break above it.
Repeated rejection from this area suggests institutional selling interest remains active.
Market Structure
Lower highs and lower lows continue to define the current trend.
The recent bounce appears corrective rather than the start of a bullish reversal.
Bearish Scenario
If Gold fails to reclaim the 4,045–4,060 resistance zone, sellers could target:
4,020 – Immediate support.
4,000 – Psychological support and previous reaction level.
3,960 – Major demand zone and primary downside target.
Bullish Invalidation
A sustained breakout and close above 4,060, followed by a break of the descending trendline, would weaken the bearish outlook and expose 4,100–4,140 as the next upside targets.
Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 4,045–4,060
Stop Loss: Above 4,070 or above the descending trendline.
Take Profit 1: 4,020
Take Profit 2: 4,000
Take Profit 3: 3,960
Conclusion
Gold remains in a short-term downtrend, with the descending trendline and Fair Value Gap resistance acting as a strong barrier to further gains. Unless buyers can break and hold above 4,060, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, with 3,960 serving as the next major bearish objective. Short 
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It is another promising trading day.
Yesterday, gold fell sharply due to the negative impact of initial jobless claims data, once again dropping below the $4,000 mark. The daily chart closed with a solid bearish candle, signaling a return to a bearish trend.
Today, gold has again broken below recent lows during the Asian trading session; consequently, any rebound could present a prime opportunity to go short. Following the sharp decline during the US session, the rebound peaked around $4,017—a level that currently serves as a short-term resistance zone.
Therefore, our focus today is on the resistance area between $4,010 and $4,020.
Friendly reminder: Historical market patterns show that gold has frequently rebounded from technical pullbacks after breaking below previous lows. Please avoid blindly chasing short positions. Short 
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