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XAUUSD H2 | CPI Week: Flush to 3,960 or Reversal?The Gold market (XAUUSD) kicks off a highly critical trading week under prolonged technical pressure, with institutional sellers successfully reinforcing their custody over the intermediate H2 order flow. Bullion is experiencing a systematic downward drift as global financial complexes brace for an absolute avalanche of high-impact macroeconomic catalysts.
The core market sentiment this week is fiercely driven by the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, beautifully aligning with the high-stakes Congressional Testimony from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Ahead of these landmark vĩ mô data drops, smart money desks are actively triggering an "Expansionary Pullback Protocol." Instead of maintaining aggressive long positions at premium prices, large commercial operations are temporarily flattening exposures, leaving the intraday delivery fully commanded by high-frequency trading algorithms (Algos). This pre-news data vacuum allows the price action to smoothly slide lower to rebalance legacy structural inefficiencies and hunt for resting institutional demand before the next major quarterly trend direction is officially anchored.
Technical Structure
Price continues trading below the descending trendline, favoring a move into deeper demand before major news.
Key Levels
🔹 Resistance: 4,140
🔹 Support: 4,025
🔹 Major Demand: 3,960–3,975
IF–THEN Scenario
If price breaks below 4,025, bearish momentum could extend toward 3,960–3,975.
If buyers defend the demand zone with a bullish CHoCH, Gold may stage a relief rally back toward 4,140.
💬 Will Gold sweep 3,960 before CPI, or will buyers trigger an early short squeeze? Long 
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NQ Range (07-20-26)NAZ is in a No Trade Zone (NTZ), wait until breakout of 29,00-28,400. The O/N is playing in the upper half of Friday range. While the current position is a potential U Turn Zone or Buy, the NAZ is trying to get back inside the Churn Zone. Any rejection near KL 632 would be a Short, KL 28,230 to TLX 27,840 would be Long on a hold. The lower yellow arrow is 2026 Open level. Not expecting a hit of yellow arrow, just keep on your radar. Limited updates intraday this week and after Wednesday as I will be out. NDX update, NAZ is in mid range of a potential 14% drop should it try for 200 MA and under Orange TL.
This is basically the 4th or 5th hit near lower CZ, any BO under may head south with some force, Pop here may set up a decent Short set up should it stall out. BTD/FOMO, Go WH Tweets for those that have early access. 
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Gold Fails to Break Resistance — $3,940 Support in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook based on the current XAUUSD (4H) chart structure. XAUUSD previously traded inside a broad range beneath a long-term descending trendline before breaking below the range support, confirming renewed bearish momentum. Price later formed a Rounding Top at the trendline resistance, where sellers regained control and pushed the market lower. Currently, XAUUSD is trading above the 3,940 Buyer Zone while remaining below the 4,100 Seller Zone. Price continues to respect the long-term descending trendline, with the recent recovery struggling beneath this major resistance. As long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,100 Seller Zone and the descending trendline, the bearish scenario remains valid. A rejection from current levels could push price toward the 3,940 Buyer Zone (TP1), where buyers may attempt to defend support. Please share this idea with your friends and click "Boost" 🚀 Short 
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XAUUSD Strategy: DON'T Chase This Rally! (Buy This Pullback)XAUUSD 🌍
The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by safe-haven flows and shifting central bank rate expectations, keeping the underlying bid intact 🏦. Interestingly, retail consensus is currently split and heavily biased toward calling an immediate top after this strong surge, which tells me the retail crowd is likely searching for premature shorts—setting up a classic liquidity trap for higher prices.
We are looking at a powerful bullish impulse breaking out of prior consolidation on the 30-minute timeframe 📈. Following Wyckoffian markup logic, this aggressive expansion has left late sellers trapped below. The market has rallied cleanly, but I am not interested in chasing price at these highs; instead, I am patiently waiting for a corrective pullback to establish value before taking our next move.
Key Zone: The confluence sits squarely around the Volume Profile Value Area High (VAH) near 4,034.06 – 4,042.36, coinciding perfectly with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level 📉.
This asset has rallied aggressively, and I am waiting for the controlled pullback back into this key inflection area. It has got to come back down into the Value Area High, but critically, it must not break deep back into the core value area of the Volume Profile. It has got to hold at this Value Area High as a strong support zone, proving that buyers are defending value at higher levels. I am then looking for a bullish break of structure (BoS) out of the descending retest channel to confirm the next leg upward towards 4,072+ 🧹.
My Trade Plan 🎯
Bias: Long (Patience required for the pullback).
Entry Protocol: Wait for price to pull down and respect the Vol Profile VAH / 50% Fib zone (4,034 - 4,042). Trigger a long position strictly on a strong Bullish Break of Structure (BoS) above the local descending channel, placing stops firmly below the low of the pullback. Abandon the trade idea entirely if price accepts back inside the main Volume Profile value area below 4,030.
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Keep Selling GoldTechnical analysis: Gold remains isolated within the Lower time-frame Descending Channel with each recovery attempt producing another Lower High’s below the Channel’s Upper trendline. Current Price-action continues to demonstrate weak Buying pressure, as Buyers remain unable to establish sustainable Trading above the latest local High’s zone. The #3,988.00 Support layer remains the first important intraday benchmark. Repeated tests are gradually weakening this zone, and a decisive break with stabilization below #3,988.00 should expose the #3,972.00 benchmark as the next immediate Selling target. If #3,972.00 gives away, I expect the Lower Low’s extension to continue toward #3,962.00 during the current session. Below that, the #3,952.00 level remains the key Support benchmark and the strongest line of defense for Gold’s Buyers. Temporary spikes above #3,988.00 may represent Stop-loss hunts and liquidity collection unless Gold reclaims the level and stabilizes above the latest Lower High. As long as the Descending Channel remains intact, every recovery attempt is expected to attract renewed Selling pressure.
My position: The Price-action eventually rejected the Hourly 4 chart's #4,035.80 Resistance zone in form of a trendline so it is going for the expected move of testing the #4,002.80 benchmark now that has been supporting from distance since the early July break-out. I am expecting the market sentiment ahead of this week's Macro events to push the price even Lower however as I stated many times until now, #4,002.80 benchmark won't give away without serious cause (I am referring to sustainable Selling action). The reason is that constant Selling pressure Gold is Trading under as I continue Selling every High's on Gold. Use each local High's to accumulate more Shorts ahead of what should be a strong July - August Bearish period. We have time to Sell Gold all the way to October #5. Short 
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Best Free Liquidity Zones Indicator on TradingView (Full Guide)
This indicator will help you find significant liquidity zones on any market and any time frame.
It is free, and it is available on TradingView.
In this article, I will explain the settings of this indicator and how to use it.
Let me start by explaining how I identify significant liquidity zones.
To me, the main indicator of a high concentration of liquidity is the formation of multiple long wicks within the same area.
Long wicks signify price rejections and active participation of buyers and sellers.
Multiple upper wicks rejected from the same highs will mean a dense concentration of supply .
While multiple lower wicks rejected from roughly the same lows will mean a solid concentration of demand .
There is one useful indicator on TradingView that accurately identifies such wicks.
It is called Long Wick Detector by LuxAlgo.
Once you click on that, it will immediately start working.
Let's discuss the settings of this indicator:
Wick Threshold - that's the most important setting.
It defines how big a candle wick must be to be considered "long" and get picked by the indicator.
This input controls the sensitivity of the indicator.
The indicator compares the wick length to recent market volatility (usually based on ATR).
For the identification of liquidity zones on Forex market on a daily time frame, I use 0.25 input.
But please note that this parameter will be different based on the market and time frame that you analyse.
Level % means where exactly the indicator will draw a horizontal line.
With 100% default input, horizontal lines will be plotted on highs/lows of the wicks.
While with 50%, horizontal lines will be in the middle of them.
I suggest leaving 100% input.
Duration means how long the horizontal lines stay visible on your chart in the candle bars range.
I suggest changing the default number to 100 .
After 100 candles, the line disappears automatically if the price has not touched it again.
Finally, keep the "Mitigated Wicks" checkbox selected.
Unselecting that, the indicator will hide price levels that were already tested by the price, leaving only untouched ones.
And here is how to use this indicator to find liquidity zones.
You will need to find areas on your chart where at least 3 horizontal lines cluster.
It will indicate a concentration of market liquidity.
Simply unite such horizontal lines into one single area.
It will be a significant liquidity zone.
Setting up this indicator properly, it will help you find liquidity on any market.
Use it to find significant supply and demand zones on TradingView and try to integrate that with your trading strategy.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Education 
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Gold may be poised for a turnaround!
The situation in the Middle East is currently characterized by recurring friction and a "fight-while-talking" dynamic; however, one thing is certain: regardless of how the situation evolves, this back-and-forth has become the new normal. The market has already fully priced in the economic impact of the conflict, and the situation has largely lost its power to shock. Take the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, for instance—it has persisted for countless days, yet countermeasures such as alternative shipping routes and increased production from other oil-producing nations have been implemented, causing oil prices to retreat. Regarding future inflation, oil prices are currently hovering in the $80 range, keeping overall inflation within a manageable scope. Furthermore, with Warsh proposing a redefinition of inflation measurement metrics, we simply need to await the finalization and announcement of these new standards.
Turning to the current gold price hovering around the 4,000 mark: last October, the price was also near 4,000 before surging to a peak of 5,600 by the end of January; it began to pull back in early February, effectively retracing the entire rally. As for the world's largest gold ETF, it increased its holdings by 4.56 tonnes in a single day yesterday. This marks the largest single-day increase in nearly a month—or even longer—since June, offering a glimmer of hope to the bulls and signaling that capital is indeed entering the market.
From a technical perspective, the bulls appear resilient on the 4-hour chart; the downward trend channel has been broken to the upside, and the immediate overhead resistance at 4,050 looks vulnerable. With the MACD holding steady above the zero line, the target is set at 4,100! Short 
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