Futures market
BRENT CRUDE OIL ANALYSIS โ JULY 21, 2026 Bullish ContinuationBRENT CRUDE OIL ANALYSIS โ MAY 13, 2026
Bullish Continuation & Fibonacci Extension Setup
Verdict: The breakout was imminent. The first confirmation will be a daily close above $129, which should trigger acceleration toward the Fibonacci extension targets: 123 USD,129 USD 143, 157, 170, and 185 USD.
Stop Loss:
65 Usd
$500 in 2 minutes. NQ.Keep forgetting to hit record on TradingView, simply because im live on Kickk. But I will have the full trade posted on YT later today. Amazing set up, patient on the entry, and seen a double top forming on the 1-min TF, got in and took my 1:3RR.
I chart on NQ and trade on MNQ.
XAU H3 - Breaking Trendline, increasing momentumXAUUSD has broken above the downtrend line and is now trading around 4,071, while reclaiming the short-term EMA cluster. The 3,970โ4,020 support zone has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure, while the current breakout shows that the short-term structure is gradually shifting in favor of buyers.
Fundamentally, gold is being supported as oil prices cool down thanks to US-Iran diplomatic expectations, thereby somewhat reducing inflation concerns and monetary tightening pressure. Gold rose more than 1% during the session.
On H3, as long as the price maintains the 4,020โ4,050 zone, the breakout is still considered valid. A successful retest and solid close above 4,080 could pave the way for XAUUSD to advance to 4,120โ4,170, then test the key resistance area around 4,216.
Buying a Triple Bottom - Action-Reaction System
For the Action-Reaction System, double bottoms and double tops are treated as true support and resistance. Whether prices have a tendency to break that structure at some point is irrelevant to the problem of what the current trend is. The current trend may be moving away from them or moving to them, but they are just treated as another pivot of an action-reaction set. They don't change the probabilities, or if they do, what really matters is the output of thousands of cases. So when this structure of a triple/quadruple bottom is formed, the numbers stay the same since they are defined by the generality. At the end of the day, it is about isolating the noise, focusing on the hard numbers, managing the risk and trading the mathematics.
2D VS 3D DIVERGENCEPrice made a new low but no longer reached the center, reversed, and broke the upper parallel to the upside. In other words, price is making a new 2D high and 3D high, but can't make a new 3D low reaching the line at the center. Clear bullish reversal.
For Sunday's open, I expect that P4's new low won't be broken to the downside, but that a mature bullish structure will start developing to the right. In other words, I'm looking to buy a pullback.
2D = Horizontal structure
3D = Diagonal structure
Gold Analysis | July 21
๐ Gold Analysis | July 21
Gold Rebounds Above $4070 โ Can Bulls Continue the Recovery?
During Tuesdayโs Asian and European sessions, gold opened slightly lower but quickly turned higher and moved upward strongly.
As mentioned in our previous analysis, when gold fails to fall despite bearish pressure, it often signals that a rebound may be forming.
The latest move was mainly driven by a shift in market sentiment after signs of improvement in the US-Iran situation. Asian stock markets rebounded strongly, risk appetite recovered, and gold received short-term buying support.
Currently, spot gold is trading around:
๐ 4060-4070 area
๐ Up approximately 1.6%
๐ Fundamental Analysis
The current gold market is being driven by two competing forces:
1๏ธโฃ Risk Sentiment Recovery
The market has started pricing in a lower probability of a major US-Iran escalation.
Previously, concerns about:
A wider military conflict
Strait of Hormuz disruption
Global supply chain risks
pushed investors into defensive positions.
However, as extreme geopolitical fears eased, funds began returning to risk assets, supporting Asian equities and weakening traditional safe-haven demand.
2๏ธโฃ Inflation & Fed Policy Remain Key Risks
Although gold rallied today, oil prices did not fall significantly.
This means the core inflation pressure has not disappeared.
Higher oil prices could continue to:
โก๏ธ Increase inflation expectations
โก๏ธ Delay Fed rate-cut expectations
โก๏ธ Support higher real yields
โก๏ธ Limit gold upside
The current market theme is:
Risk appetite recovery + Inflation concerns
rather than:
Systemic crisis + Safe-haven demand
Therefore, goldโs rebound still needs further confirmation.
Key factors to watch:
๐ฅ US-Iran developments
๐ฅ Energy supply situation
๐ฅ Fed policy expectations
๐ Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Gold has formed a strong bullish candle and is now testing the daily middle Bollinger Band.
The key question:
Can gold break and close above this resistance?
If gold can:
โ
Break above the middle band
โ
Close strongly with consecutive bullish candles
Then upside targets could extend toward:
๐ฏ 4200
๐ฏ 4350
However, if price only temporarily breaks above the middle band and fails to hold:
Gold may continue sideways consolidation and retest:
๐ข 4000
๐ข 3960 support zone
The important bullish defense area remains:
๐ 3940-3960
As long as this zone holds, buyers still have opportunities.
โฑ Short-Term Technical View
From the hourly chart:
Gold formed a strong bullish reversal pattern after holding above 4000.
The rebound momentum was stronger than expected, with price breaking above the short-term middle band.
However, after reaching around 4085, gold faced resistance and pulled back.
Current trading range:
๐ด Resistance:
4085-4100
๐ข Support:
4030-4040
Additional support levels:
4051
4041
4031
Avoid chasing highs after a strong rally. A pullback confirmation would provide better risk-reward opportunities.
๐ Gold Trading Strategy | July 21
๐ป Short Strategy (Sell on Resistance)
Entry:
๐ 4085-4095
Stop Loss:
โ 4110
Targets:
๐ฏ 4070
๐ฏ 4060
Break below โ 4050
๐บ Long Strategy (Buy the Pullback)
Entry:
๐ 4040-4050
Stop Loss:
โ 4020
Targets:
๐ฏ 4070
๐ฏ 4080
Break above โ 4100
๐ก Trading Outlook
Gold has entered a short-term rebound phase, but the market still needs confirmation.
Key levels today:
๐ฅ 4100 โ bullish breakout confirmation
๐ข 4030-4040 โ important support zone
Do not chase strong candles.
Wait for pullbacks, manage risk, and follow the market structure.
๐ Patience creates opportunities.
๐ค Share your gold trading ideas below, and letโs follow the market together! ๐
CRUDE OIL: Cup & Handle Breakout Loading | Resistance AbsorptionCrude Oil has completed a textbook Cup & Handle structure after reversing from the 6,400 demand zone.
Price is now testing a critical supply area around 8,000โ8,150 where short-term profit booking is expected.
The broader market structure remains bullish with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows.
Recent consolidation beneath resistance suggests absorption rather than rejection, increasing the probability of an upside breakout.
Key Levels
๐ข Breakout Trigger: 8000
๐ข Retest Support: 7850โ7950
As long as buyers defend the breakout zone, Crude Oil remains a buy-on-dips market.
#CrudeOil #MCXCrudeOil #CommodityTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #CupAndHandle #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #FuturesTrading #MCX #TrendFollowing
Gold Market In-Depth Review and Strategy Outlook: Breakout ImminGold Market In-Depth Review and Strategy Outlook: Breakout Imminent, Pullbacks are Gold Opportunities!
Good morning, fellow traders! ๐ This week, the gold market has been "brewing a major drama amidst volatility." Combining the latest 4-hour chart structure with the current macroeconomic fundamentals, we have compiled a detailed strategy analysis to provide precise guidance for your trading next week. ๐
๐ I. Technical Analysis: From "Descending Channel" to "Ready to Breakout"
As we can see from the chart, gold prices have undergone a correction within a "downward channel" that started from a high (above approximately 4300). ๐ After touching the "Initial bottom" marked on the chart, the bulls initiated the first strong rebound, but immediately encountered strong resistance in the "Adjust the pressure zone," and at one point fell to an absolute low of 3,959.49.
The most important signal has appeared! ๐จ The decline in gold prices has clearly slowed, forming a wide "Second low adjustment area" below, roughly between 3950 and 4060. Prices have repeatedly tested this area, with support below proving very strong. Most notably, the red "Downtrend line" is being repeatedly challenged by the bulls. As prices approach the end of a converging triangle, the window for a breakout has opened! โณ Currently, prices are around 4065, and a breakout is imminent!
๐ II. Fundamental Resonance: Dual Support from Interest Rate Cut Expectations and Geopolitical Situation
Besides the technical "bottoming out," the fundamental logic for gold remains strong, providing a solid foundation for a rebound:
Interest rate cut expectations are fluctuating, but a "rate cut wave" is the general trend: Although recent statements from Federal Reserve officials have been slightly hawkish, against the backdrop of declining inflation, market bets on interest rate cuts this year have never truly subsided. Peak interest rates are a reassurance for a long-term bull market in gold. ๐
Geopolitical risk aversion persists: Global geopolitical tensions remain high. Uncertainties surrounding the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the upcoming US election are continuously driving up demand for gold as a safe haven. Buying gold in turbulent times remains a sound strategy! ๐ก๏ธ
Central bank gold buying continues: Major central banks worldwide continue to increase their gold reserves. This strategic buying has created an extremely solid "long-term bottom" for gold prices, limiting the potential for significant price declines. ๐ฆ
๐ III. Core Trading Strategy: Focus on "Buying on Dips"
In summary, before the "second bottom" is broken, we maintain our main strategy of buying on dips. Avoid chasing rallies; patiently waiting for pullbacks is key! ๐ฏ
๐ Support Levels (Entry Reference):
Strongest support zone: 4040 - 4045. This is the bottom support level of the current consolidation area. A pullback to this range presents an excellent buying opportunity.
๐ Resistance Levels (Profit-Taking/Resistance Reference):
First Target (Short-Term Resistance): 4085 (Breakout level of the downtrend line and recent high resistance).
Second Target (After Breakout): 4105.
Third Target (Swing Target): 4125.
โ ๏ธ Risk Warning: If the price breaks below 4030 with strong volume, the "double bottom" logic will be invalidated, and a wait-and-see approach or short-selling strategy is needed. Pay attention to the support at the previous low of 3959.
โจ Conclusion: Gold is likely to choose a direction this week! Every pullback at the bottom is for a better takeoff. ๐ช Hold on tight; in this adjustment range, the opportunities far outweigh the risks.
๐ฌ ใInteractive Timeใ You're not alone on the trading journey; keep up with the rhythm and you won't get lost! ๐ฅ
๐ If you found the analysis helpful, don't forget to give it a like ๐ to support us!
๐ Follow me for daily cutting-edge gold/forex market analysis and practical strategies! ๐
๐ Leave your thoughts in the comments section, or your current position price, and let's discuss and grow together! ๐น
: If price is rejected around 4,048โ4,050 XAUUSD 15M Chart โ Technical
Current Price: 4,050.445
Key Resistance: 4,048.529โ4,050 area
Price is testing the upper descending trendline, which is acting as resistance.
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle / compression structure.
Bearish scenario: If price is rejected around 4,048โ4,050, downside could target 4,000, followed by the lower trendline around 3,950.
Bullish scenario: A strong 15M candle close above the descending trendline could invalidate the immediate bearish setup and open the way for further upside.
ZW Long โ Supply-threatening weather and geopolitical shocks areWheat offers an attractive 2.24R pullback long, bolstered by fresh geopolitical and weather-related catalysts threatening global supply. Although the 4h trend is carving out constructive higher highs and higher lows, the immediate 1h momentum trigger is still developing. The fundamental backdrop makes this highly compelling, keeping it on high alert to take once shorter-term momentum confirms.
๐ Entry: 667.25
๐ Stop: 656.00
๐ฏ Target: 692.25
โ๏ธ R:R: 2.22
Is the gold correction over, and is a new rally beginning? ๐ค๐This is the most debated question in the markets right now! While some investors worry that inflation and recent geopolitical shifts could pressure the precious metal, the technical chart tells a completely different story.Looking closely at the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 1-Hour chart, we can clearly see the signs of a powerful trend reversal:
๐ Technical Breakdown:Trendline Breakout: Gold has successfully broken above the persistent "1 Hour downtrend line" that was capping its price.Market Structure Shift: The chart shows clear structural transitions with confirmed CHOCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure), signaling that buyers have taken full control.
The Next Move ๐ฏ: Currently trading around $4,053, the technical setup points toward a healthy, minor correction to retest the $4,040 support level before accelerating the bullish rally toward $4,120 and beyond.
๐ก The Bottom Line:Despite any short-term macroeconomic noise, the structural price action strongly suggests that the corrective phase is over. Gold is laying the groundwork for a solid upward continuation.What is your take on the next direction for gold?
Do you agree with this bullish scenario? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ๐
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ForexTrading #GoldPrice #FinancialMarkets
Long trade/Short
XAUUSD โ Buyside Setup Developing
Model: SNAP Trigger / Discount Reclaim
Timeframe: 1H Context
Bias: Conditional Buyside
Status: Waiting for Sweep + Reclaim
Gold is trading inside a bearish-to-neutral 1H structure, but price is now approaching a key discount area where a buyside reaction could develop. The setup is not confirmed yet. The trade idea is based on waiting for sellside liquidity to be delivered first, followed by a reclaim back into the dealing range.
Ideal Trigger:
1. Price trades into 3959 / 3953.40
2. Sellside liquidity is swept
3. Price rejects the low with strong displacement
4. Price reclaims 3976โ3985
5. Lower-timeframe BOS confirms reversal
6. Long idea activates only after reclaim
This prevents buying too early while the price is still lower.
Key Levels
Primary Buy Zone:
3959.00 โ 3953.40
Confirmation Reclaim:
3976.00 โ 3985.00
Stronger Reclaim / Continuation Level:
4010.00 โ 4020.00
Deeper Backup Buy Zone:
3939.09
Institutional Equal-Low Draw:
3888.54
Upper Buyside Objective:
4060.00 โ 4100.00 zone
Higher Dealing Range High:
4202.31
Trigger Logic
Bullish Scenario
If Gold sweeps the 3959โ3953.40 zone and then reclaims 3976โ3985, the buyside setup becomes valid. A stronger confirmation would be price reclaiming 4010โ4020, which would suggest the lower raid was successful and price is rotating back into internal liquidity.
The likely upside route would be: 3959 / 3953 sweep
โ 3976โ3985 reclaim
โ 4010โ4020 confirmation
โ 4060โ4100 upside draw
Bearish / Invalid Scenario
The long setup is invalid if the price accepts below the lower dealing range instead of rejecting it.
Invalidation Signs:
Price closes below 3942.36
Price fails to reclaim 3976โ3985
Price continues respecting the descending trendline
Price breaks 3939.09 without reaction
Price rotates toward 3888.54 equal lows
If 3953.40 fails cleanly, the better long opportunity may come lower around 3939.09 or, more aggressively, near the 3888.54 institutional equal-low zone.
XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis โ GoldXAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis โ Gold
Current Price: 4,054.765
Trend: Price is showing a bullish recovery from the recent 3,950โ4,000 support area.
Immediate Resistance: Around 4,100โ4,150
Major Resistance / Target Zone: 4,180โ4,220
Key Support: Around 4,000, with stronger support near 3,900โ3,950
Structure: A break and sustained close above 4,100โ4,150 could strengthen bullish momentum toward the 4,200 zone.
Bearish Scenario: Rejection from resistance and a break below 4,000 could bring the price back toward lower support.
Overall Bias: ๐ Bullish recovery, but confirmation above the resistance zone is important before expecting a stronger move higher.
Educational analysis only โ not financial advice.
ES Premarket Analysis ES is on the move this morning. Continuing to move towards our Zones Charted the past few weeks still playing out. Keeping a Eye out for a Blue Circle Area. Seems are technical predictions from last week will finish playing out very close if not at the predict timeline.
On 15 min
Lower timeframe ES is currently pushing low and at a BOS zone if zone holds premarket will should hit those lows very soon.






















