XAUUSD: Trendline Rejection — Weak-Low Target at $3,975?Hook :
OANDA:XAUUSD remains under pressure beneath the descending trendline, with a potential short setup forming around $4,055–$4,068. If sellers defend this resistance zone, the next downside objective is the weak-low area near $3,975. 🔥
Market Context :
Gold is showing a bearish continuation setup on the 1H chart , with the descending trendline capping recovery attempts. The plan is to wait for price to revisit the $4,055–$4,068 resistance zone rather than chase the decline.
If this
Futures market
GOLD-XAUUSD | (4H) | Swing Analysis | Prof.TraderTilkiGuys, greetings,
This is my XAUUSD-Gold swing analysis — a long-term outlook. 📊
On the 4-hour chart, gold has been stuck between 4227 and 4063 for about 20 days.
I’ve been waiting for this breakout, which means a sharp move is coming.
In my view, it could break downwards, but nothing is certain. Only whales and big funds know the real direction, since they drive the market.
If 4063 breaks down with a candle close, I expect a drop toward 3950 on the 4-hour chart.
But if whales push
Gold Analysis (15 Min Chart)Gold declined as expected the whole day. Although dollar also fell against expectations. That means one of the two must be lying with the manipulative movement (considering just the technical aspect)
A volatility contraction pattern in a descending trend seems to be forming.
The price is expected to retest the resistance line of the pattern near 3985 and continue the declining trend, targeting at least 20 points.
However, if prices give a sustainable breakout above 4000, then gold could f
XAUUSD | 1H | Sell-Side Liquidity Sweep into Discount | Long SetSell Side Liquidity Swept: Gold built a consolidation range (3,940 to 4,055) Price then broke below the range lows taking out the resting sell stops This is a classic liquidity grab smart money fills its buy orders using the stops of retail sellers.
2. Deep Discount Measured from the 4,083 high to the 3,951 low equilibrium (50%) Price is now trading far below it in the discount zone where institutions look to buy not sell.
3. Draw on Liquidity: The 4,083 high is untouched buy-side liquidity Afte
GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,956.18
Target Level: 3,997.68
Stop Loss: 3,930.54
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold: FOMC Brought Volatility, Not DirectionIf you had asked me beforehand, I would have bet that the FOMC would bring no resolution to Gold’s medium-term direction. At most, we would get violent volatility without a meaningful change in the picture.
That is exactly what happened. Gold flew up and down, only to end up more or less where it started.
So here we are again, facing an analysis full of “ifs” and two possible directions. But let’s start with what even my cat can see:
- A break above the 4,080–4,100 zone would most likely si
Gold | Bearish — Breakdown Below Key 4,000 Support Line
📊 MARKET CONTEXT & HIGHER TIMEFRAME (HTF)
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Gold continues its macro distribution phase on the daily chart following its previous peak above 5,200.000. Following months of corrective price action and a narrowing consolidation, momentum has expanded decisively to the downside. The current daily candle has breached both the multi-month ascending trendline and the psychological 4,000.000 structural support line, opening the path for deeper liquidity sweeps
XAUUSD: The Bounce Looks Good, But the Chart Says Otherwise
Gold is trying to recover, but I'm not buying the bounce just yet.
The bigger picture remains bearish. We're still seeing lower highs, lower lows, and price trading below the key moving averages on both H1 and H4.
The rejection from $4,082 was significant, and the $4,000 psychological level is now becoming a battleground between buyers and sellers.
**Key levels I'm watching:**
- **$4,005–$4,014:** First resistance and potential selling zone.
- **$4,023–$4,038:** Stronger resistance if buyer
XAUUSD Weekly ViewGOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK
28 SEPTEMBER – 2 OCTOBER 2026
Gold finished Friday near $4,285, roughly 2.1% lower for the week. The broader pressure remains downward, but $4,245–$4,235 is an important support area where buyers could respond.
Technical view
• Daily: Gold remains below its falling 20-day average near $4,351. The calculated lower Bollinger Band is near $4,235, adding support around September’s low.
• Resistance: $4,316–$4,333 is the first recovery hurdle. Above it, watch $4,351, follow
A 5–10% Correction is here Oil prices are increasingly driven by geopolitical risk rather than conventional supply-demand fundamentals. While Middle East tensions continue to support elevated prices, I believe the market is vulnerable to a 5–10% correction if geopolitical conditions stabilize.
Potential Downside Targets
- First target (-5%): $107.90
- Second target (-10%): $102.22
Geopolitical Risk Premium Could Unwind
The market is pricing significant uncertainty surrounding Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional
Gold weekly/monthly close under the neckline – what Monday couldso on the weekly to daily timeframe we have seen a head and shoulder pattern on gold
based on the level of completion of this pattern we can say it started on the 27 Oct 2025. we are in Oct and 3 days after the full year trade cycle from the start to end of this structure
in terms of ends we are also closing the monthly and weekly trades for a normal cycle.
so what do you see? we know that gold is sitting under the neckline at 3990
an end of day close will mean we are seeing a monthly and week
Tools of the Trade 4:Capture, Document & Organize Trading IdeasTools of the Trade | Session 4: Capturing and Organizing Trading Ideas
One of the most valuable habits a trader can develop is documenting what they see in the market, why it matters, and what they expect might happen next.
In Session 4 of Tools of the Trade, we explore several built-in TradingView features that make capturing, documenting, and organizing trading ideas easier than you might think.
The goal is simple: Make it easier to record your observations, preserve your thought process, a
Gold is sitting on the 3959 day low with H1 supply near 3975FX_IDC:XAUUSD , New York session read from my KenKem Master Volume Profile (MVP) indicator & strategy.
CONTEXT
New York opens at 12:30 UTC with gold down about 55 on the day and pressing the 3959.3 intraday low. Price is below VWAP (3992.3) with the EMAs stacked down, and below the master value area (mVAL 4025.2). On M5 a developing falling resistance line (4 touches) is capping each bounce.
KEY ZONES
- Resistance / supply: 3975 (H1 supply 3974.9-3978.9, local value area low), then 3986.6 (fib
DeGRAM | XAUUSD — Resistance Zone Keeps Gold Under Pressure📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD remains inside a broader falling channel after failing to break the descending resistance structure. Price is now testing the 4,035–4,065 resistance zone, where the channel boundary and local supply converge.
● The technical backdrop remains strongly bearish, with 11 of 12 moving averages on Sell and 7 of 10 major indicators also favoring sellers. RSI is near 46, while ADX around 24 confirms that the broader trend remains relevant.
● The projected path favors a sh
A 5–10% Correction Could Be CloserOil prices are increasingly driven by geopolitical risk rather than conventional supply-demand fundamentals. While Middle East tensions continue to support elevated prices, I believe the market is vulnerable to a 5–10% correction if geopolitical conditions stabilize.
WTI:
- First target (-5%): $98.97
- Second target (-10%): $93.76
Geopolitical Risk Premium Could Unwind
The market is pricing significant uncertainty surrounding Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, and regional energy infrastructure.
XAU/USD (1H): Trendline Breakdown — Eyeing Sell-Side LiquidityXAU/USD (1H): Trendline Breakdown — Eyeing Sell-Side Liquidity Below $4,000
Gold has broken below its multi-day ascending trendline on the 1-hour timeframe following sustained rejection at the overhead $4,020 – $4,025 resistance block.
Structural Breakdown & Trade Mechanics
Trendline & Structure Break: The ascending support that carried the recovery from the $3,970 base has broken with a clean 1H displacement candle closing below $4,010.
Resistance Confluence: The immediate supply block at $4
$QQQ: BUY THE DIP OR MORE CRASHING?NASDAQ:QQQ : BUY THE DIP OR MORE CRASHING?
The Nasdaq is under pressure, and the latest earnings reactions are raising serious questions about the AI spending boom.
Are we looking at a buying opportunity, or is this the beginning of a much deeper correction?
In this video, I break down the bearish case, what could trigger the next leg down, and what bulls need to reclaim to turn the structure around.
The key is not guessing the bottom. It is reading the chart.
Are you buying this dip or pos
MESZ Oct 30: Breakdown Below 7664 or Reclaim 7694 Toward 7713?MESZ is trading around 7,668 after a significant sell-off, with the short-term structure currently leaning bearish.
The first downside confirmation level I’m watching is around 7,664–7,665.
A confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour close below this area could support continuation toward the next major downside level around 7,648.
However, price is already trading near recent liquidity, so I do not want to chase the downside without confirmation.
On the upside, 7,694 is the main reclaim level.
A confirme
GOLDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
Gold (XAUUSD) has been moving lower inside a well-defined descending channel on the 1H timeframe. After rejecting from the recent high, price has been printing lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure in favor of sellers. Price is currently trading near 3,965, close to the lower boundary of the channel.
Above current price, there is a cluster of highs around the 4,032–4,042 area. This zone is acting as buy side liquidity, an
HOW-TO: GOLDSTRIDE, one gold setup with FAST and RUN exitsThis walkthrough shows how GOLDSTRIDE displays a complete gold setup: entry, initial stop, FAST target and RUN target.
A split exit can make one gold setup appear as two trades. Start with the shared geometry: one entry area, one initial protective stop, and two purposes for taking profit.
FAST is the earlier profit-taking portion. RUN retains the remaining allocation for the longer target. When the model's break-even rule activates after FAST, check the updated RUN stop and buffer. Break-even
XAU/USD | Gold Loses $4035! Are Sellers Taking Control Again?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 1H timeframe, we can see that our previous bullish recovery scenario initially continued playing out, with Gold pushing above $4065 and briefly reaching the $4075 – $4080 area. However, buyers failed to sustain that momentum, and sellers stepped in aggressively, pushing price back below the important $4035 level. Gold is now trading around $4028 , suggesting that the short-term bullish recovery is losing strength.
In my view, the $4035 – $4040 area i
XAU/USD BEARISH TREND WITH BULLISH REVERSAL SETUP 15M XAU/USD GOLD — 15M CHART ANALYSIS
📊 Market Structure:
* Strong bearish trend with Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
* Price is moving inside a descending channel.
* Sellers remain in control below descending trendline resistance.
* Price is approaching a potential demand and liquidity zone.
🔍 Technical Strategies:
* Trendline: Descending resistance confirms bearish pressure.
* Market Structure: Bearish BOS and lower-low formation.
* Support & Resistance: 3,920–3,932 is the potential dema























