Levels where gold can fall uptoGold spot Levels where gold can fall upto. Red indicates accumulate more gold as investment or average for the one who bought high levels. Blue indicates the trend it will follow after fall.
Futures market
XAUUSD: Will $3,975 Break After Gold Loses Support?
Gold has lost its rising support line and returned below the psychological $4,000 level. The bearish structure is regaining control, but one important question remains: Will the $3,975 support floor survive another test?
Market Structure — The Recovery Has Failed
Following the decline from the October highs, XAUUSD developed a sustained sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
The latest recovery from the 3,975–3,990 region briefly challenged resistance near 4,065 but failed to overcome the m
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A Fair Value Gap Is a Zone, Not an Entry SignalA fair value gap (FVG) forms when a strong price move leaves an imbalance between the first and third candles of a three-candle sequence. On Gold, these zones can help identify where price may revisit after an impulsive move.
But an FVG is a location to investigate — not an automatic buy or sell order.
1. START WITH THE HIGHER-TIMEFRAME DIRECTION
A bullish 1H FVG is more meaningful when the 4H structure is making higher highs and higher lows. If the 4H trend is bearish, that same bullish FVG
XAUUSD Weekly: Bearish Structure, Support & Potential ContinuatiGold has shifted from a strong bullish advance into a corrective bearish phase. The chart shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, while the descending trendline highlights persistent selling pressure.
Price is currently trading around 3,984, approaching a key support area near the previous breakout region. The weekly structure remains bearish unless price establishes a meaningful bullish shift.
🔵 2. Immediate Support Zone: 3,880–3,930
This highlighted area is an important region to mo
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H4 Bearish Continuation Toward 3,800–3,830Market Pulse
Gold remains under heavy selling pressure after breaking below the 3,960–3,980 Current Demand Zone. The macro backdrop continues to favor USD and higher-rate expectations: the Fed maintained its policy rate at 3.75%–4.00%, while two FOMC members preferred a 25bp hike. US Q3 GDP expanded 3.4%, while September PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% YoY, keeping inflation above the Fed’s 2% target.
The latest liquidation also pushed spot Gold to around $3,881, its lowest level since Octob
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Gold analysis first week 11-2026XAU/USD (GOLD) 2 to 6-11-2026
Current Price: ~3,875
Bias: BEARISH (Sell on retracements)
MARKET STRUCTURE:
- Price swept 15M buy-side liquidity at 3,999 and dropped ~130 points
- Strong bearish displacement, 15M/1H supply blocks left on the way down
- Current bounce is a minor retracement, not a confirmed reversal
- 100% of the leg (3,870.4) has been tapped
SELL ENTRIES:
Entry 1 (aggressive): 3,888.1 | SL 3,900
Entry 2 (main): 3,923 - 3,931.7 | SL 3,950
Entry 3 (deep): 3,961.4 |
XAUUSD: Has Gold's Recovery Run Out of Support?Gold's recovery has lost its pivot. A bearish CHoCH followed by BOS now puts the recent low back in focus.
The next test is whether buyers can defend 3,976.009 or whether the decline extends toward the chart's major target.
MARKET OVERVIEW
The latest PCE release reinforced concern about persistent inflation and further Fed tightening.
This backdrop keeps gold sensitive to changes in the dollar and Treasury yields. Technical confirmation remains essential around the recent lows.
H1 TECHNICAL
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XAUUSD Gold Analysis | Gold Demand Zone | Gold Bullish ReversalXAUUSD Gold Analysis | Gold Demand Zone | Gold Bullish Reversal
This analysis focuses on Gold (XAUUSD), currently trading around 3875, with particular attention to liquidity, market structure, support and resistance, order blocks, volume distribution, and a potential bullish recovery scenario.
Gold has experienced significant bearish pressure, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Recent bearish displacement has pushed price toward important lower price levels, indicating that sell
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Oil's normal week grew from 5.5% to 9.2%. Bitcoin's: 8.1%How far does oil move in an ordinary week? We measured WTI oil, natural gas and copper over the last 52 weeks, from each week's high to its low, the same way we measured gold, the big US tech stocks and 50 crypto coins.
What we measured
TradingView 4 hour candles: WTI oil (TVC:USOIL), natural gas (NYMEX:NG1!) and copper (COMEX:HG1!). A week's range is its high minus its low, as a percent of where it opened. The last year is the 52 weeks starting 13 October 2025 to 5 October 2026. The median
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[XAUUSD] D1: A Rebound Before the 3,600 Test?Gold has delivered another forceful daily breakdown.
The next recovery could become a structural test: can buyers reclaim lost support, or will the rebound establish another lower high?
⚖️ MACRO BACKDROP
Higher energy prices and persistent inflation concerns continue to pressure gold through the interest-rate outlook.
Friday’s decline occurred despite falling Treasury yields, showing that the usual correlation offered limited protection. Dollar conditions and liquidity demand remain relevant
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GOLD: H&S Breakdown Signals a Potential Deeper CorrectionHi!
Gold has finally broken below the neckline of a major Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily chart, adding weight to the bearish outlook.
The break also comes after losing the long-term rising trendline, with the 100 SMA now acting as overhead resistance.
My focus is on the $3,650 weekly support zone. A possible retest of the broken neckline before further downside remains a scenario worth watching.
If selling pressure continues and weekly support fails to hold, the measured move of the p
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# Gold at $4,000: Is $3,955 the Next Stop?**Gold is approaching another important demand zone after failing to sustain its recent recovery. With the descending channel still intact, the critical question is whether buyers can defend $4,000 or another breakdown is developing.**
### Market Structure — Sellers Maintain Control
XAUUSD continues to trade within a descending channel, reflecting a broader sequence of lower highs and sustained selling pressure.
The latest rejection from overhead resistance has brought price back toward **4,0
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Bearish Breakdown – 3813 in Focus | XAUUSD 31/10🌐 MARKET OVERVIEW
Gold remains under significant bearish pressure following a series of H4 Break of Structure (BOS) formations. The market has continued to print lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers remain in control of the broader structure.
The latest bearish expansion pushed price down to 3875, breaking below the previous consolidation range and approaching the lower boundary of the descending channel.
One important observation is that price has not yet demonstrated a convin
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XAUUSD: A Relief Rally Before Another Breakdown?Gold has accelerated below former support and reached local demand. The next recovery could offer an important test: are buyers rebuilding structure, or simply retesting broken levels?
The broader H1 trend still favours sellers.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Friday's selloff showed that falling Treasury yields were insufficient to offset inflation and interest-rate concerns.
The next session will test whether demand can absorb selling pressure after the sharp decline.
H1 TECHNICAL CONTEXT
The rejection
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Why Gold Dumped on Friday & What To Expect AheadGold had a sharp selloff of 3.5% on Friday, in a single session, breaking below $3,900 per ounce and touching its lowest level in a year. Silver had the worst, down 6%.
It's clear both commodities are in bears' control for a while, but we specifically want to discuss this recent drop and the reasons for breaking so decisively:
1. Equity Sell-off & Margin Call Liquidity Runs:
The earnings reports for the tech stocks are coming in terribly; we have seen a sector-wise sell-off in tech, as eviden
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WTI OIL: Massive Double-Top-Formation, Important Levels!Hello Community,
Welcome to my new analysis of WTI OIL on the daily timeframe. In my recent analysis, I spotted interesting developments in WTI OIL, as the market is positioning for a downside move. Therefore, I spotted all the underlying factors necessary to consider next.
When looking at my chart, we can see how WTI OIL is moving right into the upper resistance zones from where it already pulled to the downside several times in the past. Now, this level is approached once again, increasing
BRIAN XAUUSD - CAN GOLD RECOVER FROM 3,700?
Gold remains under strong selling pressure as the daily chart continues to form lower highs and lower lows.
After rejection near 4,650, XAUUSD has declined toward 3,875, breaking below the psychological 4,000 level. The long-term descending trendline remains intact, confirming that sellers continue to control the broader market.
My preferred scenario is a potential liquidity sweep toward 3,650-3,730 before a corrective recovery toward 4,100-4,200. However, the overall trend remains bearish u
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XAUUSD — 4000 Lost. Is 3732 the Next Target?
Gold has ended the week under heavy selling pressure after breaking below the psychological 4,000 level.
XAUUSD is now trading around 3,875, with sellers maintaining control of the broader structure.
But here is the interesting part.
Gold is approaching the lower half of a major descending channel, where another liquidity reaction could develop.
My primary bias remains bearish below 4,000–4,010, with 3,732 as the major projected downside target.
MARKET STRUCTURE — SELLERS REMAIN IN CONTRO
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XAUUSD 30M – Sellers Remain in ControlOANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD continues to trade under clear bearish pressure on the 30-minute timeframe, with price maintaining a broader sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The descending trend line remains an important technical reference, showing that sellers continue to control the larger short-term structure while price remains below it.
On the left side of the chart, price previously pushed below an important swing low before recovering strongly. This area can be viewed as a sell-side liquidi
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XAUUSD - Below 3,900. Is 3,780 Next?
Gold is trading around 3,875 after a sharp breakdown below the 3,950 to 3,980 support zone. What once acted as an important demand area has now been lost, leaving sellers firmly in control of the broader market structure.
The bigger concern for buyers is that gold continues to respect a descending trendline stretching back to the August highs. Every recovery has struggled to establish a higher high, while successive bearish structural breaks have pushed price into new lows.
For now, I see li
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XAUUSD — Wave 5 Lower Toward 3,900
From Kelly’s view, gold remains inside a clear bearish structure and continues to respect the descending channel. Price is currently trading around 4,035 after rejecting from the 4,055–4,065 resistance area, where the projected Wave (4) and FVG sell zone overlap.
The key idea is simple: as long as gold remains below the 4,050–4,065 sell zone, the broader structure may favor another bearish leg toward 3,989, 3,976, and eventually the 3,895–3,905 Wave (5) target area.
⟡ Market structure
Gold c
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XAUUSD — Wave 5 Lower Toward 3,900From Kelly’s view, gold remains inside a clear bearish structure after losing the 3,975–3,985 support area. Price is currently trading around 3,971, while the sequence of lower highs and lower lows continues to favor sellers.
The key idea is simple: the current decline may still be developing through Wave (3). A corrective Wave (4) could later retest resistance, but while gold remains below the 4,003–4,012 liquidity sell zone, the main scenario favors continuation toward 3,945–3,952 and eventua
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Breakdown Retest Toward 3,761
Gold is trading around 3,875 on the H4 chart after a sharp breakdown from the previous range. Price remains inside the descending channel, with the recent recovery failing below the breakdown structure.
Market Drivers
Gold came under strong pressure after September PCE inflation rose 3.6% YoY, while Q3 U.S. GDP expanded 3.4%, reinforcing expectations that the Fed may keep policy restrictive. The Fed held rates at 3.75%–4.00%, while several officials argued for further tightening. Gold then fel
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Drop Base Rally (DBR) Demand ZoneThe Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) is one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns in institutional Supply and Demand trading. It forms at the end of a downward move when selling pressure gets absorbed by smart money inside a tight consolidation, followed by an explosive bullish rally—leaving behind a high-probability Demand Zone .
Here is the step-by-step candle-by-candle breakdown of how a DBR Demand Zone forms and how institutional pending orders get executed:
1. The Drop Candle (Bearish Pus
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