Long
Long
Accumulation declines following the trendline.1. Trend
Main trend: Bearish
Price continues to form Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
The upper descending trendline has been tested multiple times, and each test has attracted strong selling pressure.
The current structure remains in favor of sellers as long as price stays below the descending trendline.
Conclusion: The H1 trend remains bearish, and the current upward moves are mainly pullbacks within the broader downtrend.
2. Key Trendline
Descending Trendline (upper blue line)
Connects the highs around 4,200 → 4,120 → 4,060.
This is the strongest dynamic resistance in the current structure.
Price is currently approaching this trendline around 4,030–4,036.
➡️ A rejection from this area would significantly increase the probability of another downside move.
Descending Channel
Upper boundary: Descending resistance trendline.
Lower boundary: 3,930–3,960 zone.
Price is currently trading in the upper half of the channel, which is typically a favorable area for trend-following sellers.
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SELL GOLD zone : 4034 - 4037
SL : 4042
TP : 4024 - 4009 - 3985
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XAUUSD H1 SMC Analysis: Bullish Impulse Targets Premium H1 FVG.The H1 chart of XAUUSD shows a strong bullish expansion following multiple structural confirmations and a clean accumulation phase above the 4,000 level. After executing a Break of Structure (BOS) near 4,015 and establishing higher lows around 4,000, institutional buyers drove price aggressively upward, breaking through intermediate resistance and reaching the current level of 4,074.700.
This impulsive move cleanly breached the previous local Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 4,050 to 4,060. According to Smart Money Concepts (SMC), this breached imbalance is expected to flip into a high-probability demand zone (Mitigation / FVG Support). The projected blueprint anticipates a minor rejection around the 4,075 to 4,080 region, followed by a corrective pullback into the newly formed 4,050–4,060 support cluster to tap remaining buy liquidity.
Once this pullback and mitigation process complete, the market is positioned to resume its upward trajectory. The primary target for this continuation phase is the major unmitigated bearish Fair Value Gap located between 4,090 and 4,110. A successful push into this higher-timeframe premium imbalance will allow institutional order flow to fill remaining sell orders or test deeper supply zones toward 4,130–4,140.
Traders should monitor lower timeframes for bullish reversal patterns (such as an LTF ChoCH or bullish engulfing candle) upon the retest of the 4,050–4,060 zone before executing new long positions. Risk management remains critical; the bullish bias stays valid as long as price holds above the recent structural low near 4,015. A sustained H1 close below 4,015 would invalidate the immediate bullish trajectory and signal further consolidation. Long 
USOIL H4 | Potential Upside ExpansionBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off our buy entry level at 80.48, a pullback support.
Our stop loss is set at 77.37, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 86.37, which is an overlap resistance.
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Long
Will gold prices surge in US trading today?🚀 Gold Surges +1.6%! Key Trade Levels Today
Despite market noise, Gold staged a strong rebound today, rallying up to the $4,072 region. While geopolitical news is fading, upcoming US tariff updates continue to give safe-haven gold an extra push.
📊 Key Technical Levels
Upper Resistance: $4,085 – $4,100
Lower Support: $4,030 – $4,040
💡 Daily Trading Blueprint
🟢 Buy / Long Strategy (Primary):
Entry Zone: Pullback to $4,040 – $4,050
Stop Loss: $4,020 Targets: $4,070 – $4,080 (Breakout target: $4,100)
🔴 Short / Sell Strategy (Counter-trend):
Entry Zone: Rebound to $4,085 – $4,095
Stop Loss: $4,110
Targets: $4,070 – $4,060 (Breakout target: $4,050)
⚠️ Risk Warning: Maintain strict risk management (recommended max 20% position size). Long 
Short 
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Short
Long 
Short 
Brent regains geopolitical premium after escalation in the OrmuzBrent regains geopolitical premium after escalation in the Middle East
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The oil market is once again being driven by geopolitical developments following a weekend marked by a renewed increase in tensions in the Middle East, the reactivation of the conflict surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, and the continued uncertainty stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war. The possibility of further disruptions to energy supplies has led traders to recover part of the risk premium that had disappeared during periods of greater stability.
Since the reactivation of the conflict in Hormuz over the weekend, Brent has risen from $83.24 to reach $87.30 per barrel, moving closer once again to a relevant technical zone within the structure created during the conflict itself. The range between $88.50 and $98.39 has acted as a support zone during periods of de-escalation, negotiation pauses, and moments of lower geopolitical tension, when the market partially reduced the risk premium associated with the conflict. Before the start of this period of heightened tensions, Brent was trading at lower levels, approximately between $60 and $70 per barrel, reflecting a market with less pressure on energy supply.
The escalation of the conflict subsequently pushed crude oil to a high of $120.52, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to one of the world’s most important strategic routes for oil transportation. During that episode, the area with the highest trading volume was established around $111.12, identified as the main Point of Control (POC) of the bullish move generated by the geopolitical crisis.
From a technical perspective, Brent is currently maintaining a recovery scenario, although with mixed signals. Moving averages continue to show a bearish crossover, reflecting the correction following the high reached during the most intense phase of the conflict. However, the price has managed to remain above the 200-period moving average, a dynamic level that continues to act as support and, for now, prevents a loss of the medium-term bullish structure.
Momentum indicators show a gradual improvement. The MACD maintains a positive slope, confirming the increase in buying momentum, although the histogram continues to show moderate growth, indicating that the move has not yet reached significant acceleration. Meanwhile, the RSI stands at 60.75%, approaching overbought levels, although its advance appears to have slowed as it coincides with the recovery of the 100-period moving average and the lower area of the range used as a reference during the de-escalation phases.
Brent’s performance over the coming sessions will depend mainly on the evolution of the conflict and whether the market interprets the current tensions as a real threat to global supply. A sustained recovery above $88.50 could open the way towards the upper end of the de-escalation range between $98 and $100, while a new phase of negotiations could once again reduce the geopolitical premium and bring renewed downward pressure on prices.
For now, oil once again demonstrates the strong sensitivity of energy markets to geopolitical factors, with traders focused on any signal that could alter expectations regarding global crude supply.
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Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
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Gold: Watching the Next ResistanceThe chart may look a little busy at first, but there are actually only three indicators here.
This is the Gold 3H chart.
Price has moved above the light blue Daily Magic Diagonal, so for me the main direction is still up. Since price has moved out of the daily range, this diagonal can now act as support.
Right now, price is trying to break above the middle blue diagonal, which represents the middle of the weekly range. If price breaks and holds above it, I’ll be watching the next resistance — the red Weekly Magic Diagonal around 4070.
If price also manages to hold above the grey diagonal, which represents the middle of the monthly range, and then breaks out of the weekly range above the red diagonal, the targets could be much higher. But we’ll see that later. First, price needs to get through these resistance levels.
On the 3H chart, I also have a divergence from my TRIX Chart Divergence indicator. The divergence is visible in the oscillator and is also marked directly on the price chart — I circled both areas.
We also had a positive buy volume signal from Volume Spike Levels. The candle is marked with the box on the chart.
So for now, I’m watching for a possible move higher. Let’s see how these signals play out.
All three indicators used here — Magic Diagonals, TRIX Chart Divergence and Volume Spike Levels — are available in my profile. Long 
Short 
XAUUSD: Holding support, awaiting breakout towards 4,130OANDA:XAUUSD is trading around 4,041 after successfully defending a strong support zone multiple times. The price has reclaimed the short-term moving average and is currently testing the longer-term moving average and the bearish channel, indicating weakening selling pressure.
A bullish scenario is favored if the H2 candle closes decisively above 4,050, followed by a retest of the 4,025–4,040 zone without falling back below the trendline. In this case, the price could continue to recover towards 4,080 before testing the key resistance zone of 4,100–4,135.
On the macro front, gold is supported by physical buying demand in China and accumulation by central banks. Oil prices have also eased slightly due to hopes for US-Iran reconciliation; if this development alleviates concerns regarding inflation and bond yields, the environment for a gold recovery will become more favorable.
Long entry zones: 4,025–4,040 following a breakout, or 3,970–4,000 in the event of a deep correction
Confirmation: H2 close above 4,050 followed by a successful retest
Near-term target: 4,080
Key target: 4,100–4,135
Invalidation: Decisive H2 close below 3,950 Long 
Gold Recovery Faces Its First H1 Test | XAUUSD 21/07Gold is rebounding after successfully defending the 3,990–4,000 H1 Demand Zone, encouraging buyers to anticipate a larger recovery.
The challenge?
Price is now approaching the 4,060–4,070 H1 Order Block, which aligns with a descending trendline and represents the first major resistance within the current bearish structure.
While buyers have regained short-term momentum, they have yet to reclaim the resistance needed to confirm a meaningful shift in market structure. Until that happens, the current advance should be viewed as a bullish retracement rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
For now, demand has held.
But the real test is only beginning.
Currently
• Price defended the 3,990–4,000 H1 Demand / SMALL OB
• Buyers reclaimed short-term momentum after sweeping nearby liquidity
• Price is approaching the 4,060–4,070 H1 Order Block
• Descending trendline continues to cap upside momentum
• Higher-timeframe bearish structure remains intact
• Buy-side liquidity sits above the recent swing highs
Trading Plan
Bias: Bullish Retracement Within a Bearish Structure
Main Zone
• 3,990–4,000 → H1 Demand / SMALL OB
Execution Idea
As long as price continues holding above the 3,990–4,000 demand zone, buyers may extend the recovery toward the 4,060–4,070 H1 Order Block.
This area is the first major test for the current rally. A decisive H1 close above the Order Block would strengthen the bullish case and expose the next objective around 4,130.
However, if price is rejected from the Order Block while respecting the descending trendline, the recovery could simply form another lower high before sellers attempt to resume the broader bearish trend.
Targets
→ TP1: 4,060–4,070 → H1 Order Block
→ TP2: 4,130 → Major H1 Bearish Order Block
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 candle close below 3,990 would invalidate the bullish retracement scenario and increase the probability of a continuation toward the 3,960 H1 Demand Zone.
Key Insight
Holding demand is only the first step. The real confirmation comes from reclaiming the 4,060–4,070 H1 Order Block. Until then, this remains a potential recovery within a broader bearish market.
Key Question
Will Gold reclaim the H1 Order Block, or is this rebound setting up another lower high? Short 
