Gold (XAU/USD) | 4H chartTechnical Analysis
Gold’s rebound stalled at 3,970.29, leaving a lower high within the four-hour downtrend. The latest price is 3,914.24, with sellers having reversed much of Monday’s recovery. Support spans 3,870.09–3,891.19, covering the recent trough and repeated reaction lows. Resistance lies at 3,950.66–3,970.29, ahead of the broken 4,000 threshold. RSI has recovered from 19.51 to 38.35 but remains below 50, suggesting that oversold conditions have eased without confirming a reversal. The
Futures market
High Probability Day Trading: The Support Gained & Lost Strategy
Market momentum moves through three distinct phases before establishing a clear direction.
Uptrend Momentum
Price consistently forms higher highs and higher lows. Buyers are in clear control, pushing the market upward.
Downtrend Momentum
Price establishes lower highs and lower lows. Sellers dominate, forcing the market downward.
Accumulation / Distribution
Price moves sideways within a defined range. The market is consolidating and building liquidity before deciding on its next major d
XAGUSD (Silver)XAGUSD — A Rebound Setup, but $58 Remains the Key Test
Silver has pulled back into the $46.16–$48.96 demand zone. The focus now is whether buyers can defend this area and establish a base for a short-term recovery.
🔎 Key levels:
🟢 Demand zone: $46.16–$48.96
🛡️ Major structural support: $40.51
🎯 Initial rebound objective: $56–$58
Holding above $40.51 keeps the rebound scenario in play. However, a recovery toward $56–$58 would still need confirmation before being treated as a broader bullish re
GOLD | Bulls Target 3985 as Falling Oil Revives the RecoveryGold has rebounded more than 1.7%, recovering strongly from Friday’s one-year low as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns and reduced some of the pressure from Fed tightening expectations.
Crude oil dropped more than 6%, helping cool fears that elevated energy costs will keep inflation persistently high. At the same time, the U.S. dollar softened slightly and the probability of a December Fed rate hike eased to around 76.6%, providing additional support for non-yielding gold.
However, t
XAUUSD Nov 3: Sell 3966-3972 resistance, buy 3918-3924 retestDAILY PLAN | XAUUSD
Nov 2 plan review: the SELL 3916–3922 scenario triggered at 00:30 ET (high 3919.51, H1 close 3913.38) and hit TP1 3905 at 01:30 ET, missing TP2 3880 (session low 3891.26).
Question of the day: was yesterday's almost 75-point bounce a reversal, or just a pullback to the middle of Friday's bearish candle?
From 3896.47 (08:00 ET) price ran straight to 3970.31 (11:30 ET) within a few hours, then got pushed back to 3937.57 at 15:00 ET. Monday's D1 candle closed at 3946.74, almo
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OILUSD 30m: Bullish Bounce from Rising Structure – Target 100Crude Oil is showing a strong bullish recovery on the 30-minute timeframe after a healthy pullback.
Key Observations:
Price is respecting a rising channel/structure (marked in grey).
A clear higher low is forming.
Two important support zones are marked as Reversal Point 1 and Reversal Point 2.
Trade Idea (Bullish Bias):
As long as price holds above the rising structure and Reversal Point 1, the bias remains bullish.
Stronger support sits at Reversal Point 2.
Target:
Upside Target → 100.00 area
I
XAUUSD | 1H/4H Analysis & Trading Strategy |November 3Hello, traders! 👋
Hope your trading is going well! 🚀
📊 4-Hour Trend Analysis
Looking at the current 4-hour gold chart, the market remains in an overall bearish trend, although short-term bullish momentum has strengthened significantly. Gold has now climbed back above both the MA5 and MA10, indicating a noticeable increase in short-term buying pressure. However, the price is still trading below the MA20, while the 3970–3980 area remains an important resistance zone from previous price action.
📊
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Support Continues
Crude Oil dropped to a key daily horizontal support level yesterday.
The price formed a double bottom on that on an hourly time frame and
successfully violated its horizontal neckline this morning.
Expect a pullback to 98.0 level.
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XAUUSD Elliott Wave Analysis – November 3, 2026
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum is still declining but is beginning to show signs of a bullish reversal. Therefore, we need to wait for today's daily candle to close to confirm whether momentum has actually reversed.
Yesterday, price recovered as we had anticipated. However, the rebound failed to fully fill the previous strong bearish candle, leaving an FVG behind. This indicates that bearish pressure remains strong.
Today, price may continue rising above yesterday's high to fill more of the FVG b
Gold H4 | Bearish Continuation SetupBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected our sell entry level at 3,974.06, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 4,085.50, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3,874.49, which is a pullback support.
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XAU/USD: H4 Support Rejection & Buying SetupWelcome to this comprehensive technical analysis breakdown exploring an advanced institutional buying setup on the four-hour time frame. This educational guide examines in complete detail what this chart represents, why we are anticipating a bullish continuation, and how major financial operators interact with key structural boundaries to engineer price expansions toward higher liquidity targets.
Understanding the Chart and Current Market Context
When looking at this four-hour chart, we a
XAGUSD | Bullish Recovery SetupSilver is approaching an interesting area after a strong recovery from the intraday lows. Price recently broke away from the descending structure and is now showing signs of stabilization above support.
The highlighted entry zone represents an area where buyers may attempt to regain control if a healthy pullback develops. As long as market structure remains constructive, I will be monitoring for bullish continuation toward the marked resistance levels.
📍 Entry Zone: 49.20 - 49.40
🎯 Target 1:
USOIL 1D: Key Decision PointPrice continues to respect a rising channel defined by higher highs and higher lows. The selloff drove price into the lower trendline near $98.00, where a brief break below was quickly reclaimed. Today’s small bullish candle (L 97.08, C 98.03) shows stabilization at trend support, though confirmation requires a daily close.
Resistance
The $106.46 horizontal level has rejected price twice. Confluence with the upper Bollinger Band at $106.96 makes 106.46–106.96 the primary overhead barrier. Th
Gold H1: Can 3,921 Build the Next Higher Low?Gold has confirmed a bullish MSS and expanded sharply from lower demand. The next test is whether buyers can preserve that progress through the pullback.
Can 3,920.917 support another higher low before price challenges the breached SSL area?
Macro Context
Easing oil prices have helped the recovery backdrop, while US election uncertainty keeps market reactions sensitive to new information. Technical confirmation remains essential.
H1 Technical Map
• 3,920.917: immediate structural support.
•
XAGUSD 15m: Key Decision Zone – Upside Target vs Downside TargetSilver is currently trading in a critical decision area on the 15-minute timeframe.
Key Observations:
Price is respecting a rising trendline from the lows.
A clear supply/resistance zone is marked in pink around 50.70 – 51.20.
Price has recently shown rejection from this zone.
Both upside and downside scenarios are mapped with clear targets.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If price breaks and holds above the pink resistance zone, the next upside target is around 52.00 – 52.60.
Bearish Case:
If
XAUUSD: Why I'm NOT shorting gold here (yet)Bias: bearish. Daily structure is lower highs and lower lows, price is below the daily 50/200 EMA, and the old Jun–Jul demand at ~3,950–4,000 broke and flipped to resistance. It has rejected price twice this week at ~3,970.
So why not just sell at 3,927?
Because location matters more than conviction.
🔹 Mid-range entry. Price is sitting between ~3,970 equal highs and a big support shelf at 3,868–3,893 (2026 low + rising 100-week SMA, which hasn’t seen a weekly close below it since 2023).
🔹 The
Gold Breaks Below $4,000 as Bearish Momentum BuildsGold has broken below the important $4,000 level, with price now trading around $3,900. The daily chart has been forming lower highs since the September recovery failed, and the latest move has pushed XAUUSD below the $3,950–$4,020 liquidity zone.
The breakdown is significant because buyers have repeatedly failed to recover this area. Unless gold reclaims it, the short-term structure remains bearish.
What's Putting Pressure on Gold?
The latest US economic data has strengthened the case for hi
XAUUSD GOLD BUY SIGNAL – Bullish Rebound fromTargeting 4,000Gold is showing a potential bullish recovery opportunity after reaching the support zone around 3,860–3,875. The chart indicates a strong bearish move followed by a rebound, with buyers attempting to regain control near 3,900.
Technical Analysis:
* Current price: Around 3,906.79
* Key support: 3,860–3,875
* Immediate resistance: 3,925–3,950
* Major resistance: 3,975–4,000
* Bullish target: 4,000
Market Outlook:
If buyers defend the 3,900 area and break above 3,925, gold could move toward
Gold remains under heavy Selling pressureAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold was eventually rejected at #4,002.80 benchmark or at #4,027.80 line of utmost importance I mentioned many times to be more precise and after last week's series of Bearish candles, the Price-action is now consolidating. Weekly chart (#1W) remains Oversold and is only a few candles away from the #3,902.80 psychological benchmark / Weekly chart’s Support extension and Lower Low's Upper zone (late October) of the Be
Gold remains under heavy Selling pressureAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: 'Technical analysis: Gold was eventually rejected at #4,002.80 benchmark or at #4,027.80 line of utmost importance I mentioned many times to be more precise and after last week's series of Bearish candles, the Price-action is now consolidating. Weekly chart (#1W) remains Oversold and is only a few candles away from the #3,902.80 psychological benchmark / Weekly chart’s Support extension and Lower Low's Upper zone (late October) of the Be
What’s Next for Oil? Will It Continue to Rise? (12H)Oil Price Analysis: Is the Current Rally Approaching Its End?
Oil appears to be moving within a corrective pattern, and the current upward wave could potentially come to an end upon reaching the red zone marked on the chart. This area is an important supply zone where we need to pay close attention to the price reaction and look for signs of bearish pressure.
However, it is important to remember that this is a higher-timeframe analysis. Therefore, we should not rush into a short position simpl
Can Natural Gas Survive Global Chaos?Macroeconomics And Market Volatility
Natural gas futures face unprecedented macroeconomic pressure globally. US natural gas futures recently fell to a six-month low. Record short positions from hedge funds dominate the market. Economics dictate that abundant supply crushes immediate price momentum. However, regional markets experience wildly divergent realities today. Bulgarian gas prices soared 33 percent this November. European storage buffers remain dangerously low heading into 2027. Cooler
has wave Y of wave 2 lower commencedAfter a flat correction in a W ,X it looks as if Y lower has started and is possibly playing out for the final push lower.
A 5 wave impulse down on Monday should have started this last leg down of this complex correction where multiple targets conclude in the low 50's with a possible breach.
I'll be watching for a push back up to test 100 in a possible wave 2 after Mondays impulse lower to 93-94.























