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英镑筑底还是蓄势？动能暂停背后的讯号对于喜欢研究市场谐波的交易者来说，英镑兑美元（Cable）近期的走势值得特别关注。这种方法透过可预测的价格模式捕捉潜在反转机会。本月初我们曾提到，GBP/USD 完成了一个谐波 ABCD 下行结构，并在支撑区形成了看涨吞噬形态，暗示动能可能正准备转向。 强势突破关键技术位 自那以后，Cable 展开稳健反弹，突破了此前谐波结构形成的下降趋势线，也成功站上 50 日移动平均线。对于熟悉谐波结构的交易者来说，这可能标志着一段新的 A-B 上涨浪正在展开，意味着更大级别的看涨结构正在酝酿中。这波升势的连贯性凸显短线动能强劲，同时关键技术指标的重叠也为交易者提供了清晰的回调参考位。 本轮反弹同时受到英国央行本月利率决议的支撑。虽然央行下调了25个基点，但投票结果非常接近，总裁 Bailey 也表示这是一项「难分胜负」的决策，反映出央行在通胀压力与经济放缓之间的两难处境。决策的谨慎语气促使市场重新评估未来的降息预期，进一步推动英镑走强。 GBP/USD 日线图表 过往表现不代表未来结果 整理蓄势，等待下一波推进 近期价格在 50 日均线上方进入低波动的横向整
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USD/CAD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3776 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3828 1.3809 1.3796 1.3756 1.3744 1.3724 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3776, consider entering a buy position, w
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AUDUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 0.6516 Support and Resistance Levels: 0.6574 0.6552 0.6538 0.6493 0.6479 0.6457 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 0.6538, consider entering a buy position, w
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由FlyingGoldenPig提供
GBPUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.1656 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1753 1.1717 1.1693 1.1618 1.1594 1.1558 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1693, consider entering a buy position, w
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由FlyingGoldenPig提供
日圆多头小心：USD/JPY关键吞噬K线仍未失效尽管近期USD/JPY呈现横向盘整甚至略有反弹，但8月1日出现的「大阴吞噬」K线形态依然值得密切关注。这类形态若出现在关键位置，往往会在图表上留下深远影响，而非昙花一现。 就业数据点燃市场情绪 8月1日（周五）对宏观交易者而言是相当活跃的一天。当日公布的美国非农就业报告逊于预期，导致美元走软，USD/JPY应声大幅回落，并形成经典的「看跌吞噬」K线形态。当日价格从开盘一路下跌，不仅跌破前一日区间，更以下影线极短的阴线收盘，卖方主导气氛明显，吸引了不少技术面交易者的注意。 这个形态为何仍具参考价值？ 尽管当前价格尚未明确延续下行趋势，但吞噬K线的「规模」与「位置」依然构成技术层面的重要信号。该形态出现在多个阻力点交汇处，包括一连串的前高、200日简单移动平均线，以及自今年1月高点起锚的VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）。 对于如此强烈的K线型态，价格往往会有一段短期的技术反弹或修正，但这不一定代表趋势反转。吞噬K线的高点经常成为后市的重要关键位，而目前所看到的横向整理，更像是市场在「消化讯号」，而非出现明显的多头转向。短线交易者或许会将这段整理视为多空激战区，而长线参
由Capital.com提供
USD/JPY(20250812)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chair, and the nominee is expected to be announced this fall. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 147.90 Support and Resistance Levels: 148.78 148.45 148.24 147.56 147.35 147.01 Trading Strategy: If the market breaks above 148.24, consider buying, with the first target price being 148.45. If the market breaks below 147.90, consider selling, with the first target price being 14
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由FlyingGoldenPig提供
GBPUSD(20250812)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The Trump team has included Bowman, Jefferson, and Logan as candidates for Federal Reserve Chair, and the nominee is expected to be announced this fall. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3435 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3512 1.3483 1.3464 1.3405 1.3386 1.3357 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3435, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 1.3464. If the price breaks below 1.3405, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 1.3386
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