EURUSD H1 | Further Downside ExpectedThe price is rising to our sell entry level at 1.1426, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 1.1451, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.1394, which is a pullback support.
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Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com AUDUSD 4H | Bearish Continuation SetupAUDUSD is trading into a clear 4H resistance pocket after a bullish retracement inside a rising channel.
My main bias here is still bearish.
Price has pushed back into the 0.7001–0.7021 region, which is where I want to see whether buyers are simply providing liquidity for the next leg down. As long as price remains capped below this area, I am treating this move as a retracement rather than a full reversal.
What I’m watching:
Resistance / liquidity zone: 0.7001 to 0.7021
Invalidation: a clean break and hold above 0.7021
Bearish continuation target: 0.6881
Extended downside target: 0.6832 zone
The structure I’m seeing is simple:
price sold off aggressively, pulled back in an orderly channel, and is now testing the upper part of the retracement. If sellers step back in here, I expect the channel to fail and price to rotate lower toward the marked downside objectives.
Mindset:
For me, this is not about prediction. It is about reaction.
If price confirms weakness in this zone, I want the short.
If price breaks and accepts above the zone, I step aside.
No forcing. No front-running. No emotional entry.
The edge is not just in the level.
The edge is in waiting for confirmation, respecting invalidation, and letting the market prove the idea first.
This is just my personal chart read based on structure, liquidity, and continuation behavior, not financial advice.
Are you seeing this as a bearish continuation too, or do you think AUDUSD is preparing for a deeper breakout? EURNZD: Bullish Push to 1.968?FX:EURNZD is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from support near the last low, converging with a potential entry zone that could ignite upside momentum if buyers defend amid volatility. This setup suggests a rally opportunity within the current structure, targeting higher resistance levels.🔥
Entry between 1.945–1.950 (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 1.968 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 1.9443 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging the pair's momentum near support.🌟
Fundamentally , EURNZD is trading around 1.953 in late July 2026.
For the Euro, one of the most important releases this week is the Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate (July), where a softer-than-expected reading would increase ECB rate cut expectations and weigh on EUR.
For the New Zealand Dollar, the key focus is on RBNZ-related communications or Retail Sales data, where dovish signals from the RBNZ would support NZD weakness and favor bullish EURNZD.
Overall, potential dovish Eurozone data versus NZD dynamics could support upside in the pair this week.
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
1.9450 – 1.9500
(Entry from current price is valid with proper position sizing and disciplined risk management.)
🎯 Target:
1.9680
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close below 1.9443
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• More than 1:3
💡 Will buyers successfully defend the 1.9450–1.9500 demand zone and drive EURNZD toward 1.9680, or will support give way and invalidate the bullish outlook? 👇
Potential bearish drop?EUR/AUD is rising toward the pivot and could reverse toward the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.63334
1st Support: 1.62500
1st Resistance: 1.64096
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party. Falling towards key support?GBP/AUD is falling toward the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce toward the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.99118
1st Support: 1.9017
1st Resistance: 1.9236
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Short
