Forex market
AUDCAD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
The recent price action on the AUDCAD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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NZDCHF: Trading Signal From Our Team
NZDCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NZDCHF
Entry Level - 0.4695
Sl - 0.4691
Tp - 0.4702
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 90.048 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 89.727
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0982 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 1.0973
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0995
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GbpUsd Trade IdeaWith my first entry being breakeven I decided to take shorts here on a 15m break and retest. Price is still overall bearish so personally sells are still valid for me until price shows otherwise. I'm fine with the risk here. We'll see how GU plays out. Either it drops or goes back above into the 15m range.
USD/CADUSD/CAD — 4H Market Structure 📊
USD/CAD is showing a strong recovery from the 1.3750–1.3780 demand zone and has now pushed back above the 1.4000 area. Price is currently around 1.4028, with bullish momentum becoming more visible on the 4H structure.
The immediate zone to watch is 1.3980–1.4010. If this area holds as support, the chart suggests potential continuation toward the liquidity levels around 1.4080 and 1.4130, followed by the larger 1.4150–1.4170 supply zone.
However, price is approaching previous highs, so confirmation is important. A sustained move back below 1.3980 would weaken the immediate bullish structure and could bring 1.3920–1.3940 back into focus.
Current map:
1.3980–1.4010 support → 1.4080 liquidity → 1.4130 liquidity → 1.4150–1.4170
🗓️ Forex Calendar — USD/CAD
This week the main CAD catalyst is Canadian Retail Sales on Thursday, 24 September, while the U.S. calendar has Initial Jobless Claims, Current Account and New Home Sales on the same day. Friday brings U.S. Durable Goods Orders and Michigan Consumer Sentiment.
For USD/CAD, I'll be watching the data reaction around the 1.4000 support area. Stronger Canadian data could pressure USD/CAD, while stronger U.S. data or weaker Canadian numbers could support continuation higher.
For now: bullish structure remains intact above 1.3980, but the next major test is the 1.4080 liquidity area.
*Not financial advice — educational/market-structure analysis only.*
AUDCHF Long: Hawkish RBA vs Cautious SNB Backs Breakout RetestAUDCHF is retesting a broken resistance level inside an uptrend, and the policy gap between the RBA and the SNB supports buying the dip.
The Fundamentals: Central Bank Divergence
Australia (AUD) - bullish
- The RBA is increasingly worried that inflation pressures are proving persistent.
- The labour market is still firm enough to keep another rate hike in play.
- That keeps policy expectations tilted higher and supports AUD's yield advantage.
Switzerland (CHF) - bearish
- Swiss inflation has improved slightly but is still too low to give the franc real policy support.
- The SNB held its policy rate at 0% in June and said it is ready to intervene in the FX market against a rapid, excessive rise in the franc. The central bank is leaning against CHF strength, not welcoming it.
- With no carry advantage and less demand for safe havens, the franc has little reason to rally.
Why it matters
A central bank with a hiking bias against one sitting at 0% widens the rate differential in AUD's favour. Traders are paid to hold AUD against CHF, and that carry flow supports AUDCHF as long as risk appetite holds. The SNB decision later this week is the first test of this divergence.
The Technicals (kept simple)
- Price has been making higher lows along an ascending trendline since late August.
- It broke above the 0.5851 resistance (the early-September highs), pushed to about 0.5883, and is now pulling back to retest 0.5851 as support. The trendline sits just below, adding a second layer of support.
Trade Plan (4H)
- Bias: Long
- Entry: 0.5851
- Stop loss: 0.5812 (below the trendline and the recent pullback low)
- Take profit: 0.5909 (above the recent swing high)
- Risk to reward: about 1:1.5
- Expected duration: a few days to a week
What Could Go Wrong
- AUD is a risk-sensitive currency and CHF is a safe haven, so a global risk-off move would hit this trade.
- If the SNB turns more hawkish or the RBA softens, the divergence argument weakens.
- A 4H close below the trendline and 0.5812 invalidates the idea.
Not financial advice, just my own analysis.
GBP/USDGBPUSD — 4H Market Structure 📊
GBPUSD has now broken below the 1.3470–1.3490 support area that we were previously watching. Price is currently around 1.3372, with the recent move creating a clear shift toward bearish structure.
The immediate area to watch is 1.3400–1.3430. This zone could act as resistance if price retraces into it. As long as price remains below this area, the chart continues to favour a move toward the larger 1.3180–1.3230 demand zone.
A clean 4H reclaim and acceptance above 1.3430 would weaken the immediate bearish scenario and could open a deeper recovery toward 1.3470–1.3500.
My current map:
1.3400–1.3430 → rejection → 1.3300 → 1.3180–1.3230
Fundamentally, GBPUSD is also dealing with a stronger USD backdrop following last week's Fed rate hike, while the BoE held rates at 3.75%. Sterling was around seven-week lows on Monday.
🗓️ Forex Calendar — This Week
🔴 Tue: Fed speakers — USD volatility possible
🔴 Wed: UK Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI + US Flash PMI
🔴 Thu: US Jobless Claims + Fed speakers
🔴 Fri: US Durable Goods + revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment
For GBPUSD, Wednesday's UK PMI data is particularly important because it could provide the first major indication this week of whether the UK economy is gaining or losing momentum.
For now: bearish structure remains intact, but I'm watching the 1.3400–1.3430 retest for confirmation rather than chasing the move lower.
*Not financial advice — educational/market-structure analysis only.*
EUR-AUD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EURAUD is testing the horizontal demand area after sustained bearish delivery, where sell-side liquidity and order block mitigation may trigger bullish displacement toward the target.
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Stop Loss: 1.6081
Take Profit: 1.6115
Entry: 1.6095
Time Frame: 3H
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Buy!
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USD-CHF Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USDCHF is pulling back toward the broken horizontal supply area after bullish displacement, where support and imbalance mitigation may drive continuation toward the marked target.Time Frame 6H.
Buy!
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What is the PMI and why do traders care?This Wednesday, September 23, S&P Global releases its preliminary PMI data for September at 9:45 AM ET (15:45 CET). It is one of the most closely watched economic releases of the month — but also one of the least understood by newer traders. Here is a short guide to what it is and why markets pay attention.
What is the PMI?
PMI stands for Purchasing Managers' Index. It is a monthly survey of purchasing managers at private companies across manufacturing and services sectors. These professionals are among the first inside a company to observe shifts in business conditions, as procurement decisions are typically made before changes in production or output become visible in wider economic data.
Each month, around 600 purchasing managers in the US are asked whether key conditions — new orders, output, employment, supplier delivery times, and stock levels — have improved, stayed the same, or deteriorated compared to the previous month. The results are combined into a single number. That number is the PMI.
How do you read it?
The PMI works on a simple scale. A reading above 50 indicates the sector is expanding. A reading below 50 indicates it is contracting. The further from 50 in either direction, the stronger the signal*.
The US Manufacturing PMI has been sitting at 53.9 for three consecutive months through August — an expansion reading, though growth has been easing slightly as higher fuel costs, tariff uncertainty, and supply chain disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict have weighed on the sector. Wednesday's flash estimate for September will show whether that trend is continuing.
Why do markets pay attention to PMI data?
PMI data is considered a leading indicator — it tends to be published earlier than other economic reports such as GDP or official employment figures, giving markets an early read on economic direction.
This week's release comes shortly after the Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time since 2023. In that context, markets will be watching whether Wednesday's data points to continued economic expansion or a more meaningful slowdown. Either outcome could influence how investors interpret the path ahead for monetary policy — though no single data point determines that outcome alone.
Manufacturing vs Services: what is the difference?
Both are published on Wednesday. Manufacturing PMI tends to be more sensitive to global trade conditions, commodity prices, and supply chains. Services PMI reflects domestic consumer and business activity. The composite PMI, which combines both, gives the broadest picture of overall private sector health.
In the current environment — where tariffs, energy prices, and geopolitical uncertainty are prominent themes — both the manufacturing and services readings may be of interest to market participants, each for different reasons.
Disclaimer: This article is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to trade. The content is prepared without regard to individual investment objectives or financial situations and may not meet standards for independent research. Past performance is not indicative of future results
Bullish bounce off?CAD/JPY has bounced off the support level, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 111.90
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 110.55
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 113.44
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Downside breakout in focus?CAD/CHF could rise towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.58738
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.59069
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.58236
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCHF BUY Break & Retest SetupGBPCHF, 4H, A+ Setup
D1,H4 Aligned both in Strong Uptrend.
H4 Resistance level turned Support, tested three before breakout.
H4 50 EMA acting as Support.
H4 Bullish Trendline with 3 touches.
H4 Pin Bar Trigger Candle Confirmed On Retest.
Entry 1.10118/Stop Loss 1.09905/Take Profit 1.10611
#BreakAndRetest #Victork_Trades






















