Forex market
EURUSD: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USD/CAD: Daily Trendline Breakout & Macro Reversal SetupUSD/CAD has completed a clean breakout above a major descending resistance trendline that guided price action down throughout the multi-month corrective phase. Daily price action closed above trendline resistance near 1.3900, while the Daily RSI pushed firmly above its centerline (~52.77), indicating buyers are regaining medium-term control.
Key Technical Factors:
Trendline Breakout: Daily candle close above the primary descending trendline originating from the 1.4248 swing high.
RSI Momentum: RSI crossover above the 50 neutral mark confirms shifting bullish momentum.
EUR/USD: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
EUR/USD did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
−− U.S. 10-yr Treasury yields rise further above 5%, hit highest level since 2007
− Gold slips below $4,300 as firmer dollar, Fed hike bets pressure bullion
− The Pound tests an August low on the Fed's hike odds (fading)
280 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed.
Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation.
Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print.
I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
NZD/USD: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
NZD/USD did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
+ Bitcoin steadies at $77.4k with focus on Clarity vote, Fed meeting
− Gold slips below $4,300 as firmer dollar, Fed hike bets pressure bullion
− Tech boom powers China’s factories but economic imbalances deepen as consumption slows
297 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed.
Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation.
Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print.
I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
GBP/USD: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
GBP/USD did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
−− What if higher interest rates aren't actually bad for crypto?
−− US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY eyes 99.80 confluence hurdle as focus remains on Fed
−− Ethereum gets jittery ahead of CLARITY Act vote and Fed decision. What to watch next?
35 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed.
Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation.
Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print.
I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
EURJPY: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURJPY
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURJPY
Entry - 178.80
Stop - 179.00
Take - 178.47
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD - Technical AnalysisCurrently, price action holding above 1.1520 provides further bullish momentum today toward the 1.1568 target level. To sustain this upward movement, a breakout above the 1.1568 resistance line is required to reach 1.1595.
Conversely, to shift toward a bearish scenario, the price needs to firmly hold below the pivot level and break the 1.1500 support level.
Resistance Levels: 1.1568 – 1.1595
Support Levels: 1.1500 – 1.1480
EURCAD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.6036 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.6056
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCAD: Pullback Confirmed?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is positioned to pull back after a confirmed liquidity sweep below a strong intraday demand zone.
A valid CHoCH on an hourly time frame indicates local buying pressure.
Goal - 0.803
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/JPY 1D: Demand Zone Under Pressure BOJ Ahead of the BoJAUD/JPY has spent much of 2026 trading in a range, with buyers consistently defending the 109.00-109.50 support zone and sellers repeatedly emerging near 114.20-115.00 resistance.
The latest decline from the September highs has brought price back toward the lower end of that range, placing the pair at a key technical level ahead of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decision.
109.00–109.50 Demand Zone Remains Key
The chart highlights a well-established support area around 109.00-109.50, where buyers have previously stepped in on multiple occasions.
The current test is notable because it follows another rejection from the upper resistance zone near 115.00, reinforcing the broader range structure that has contained price action for several months.
For now, buyers are attempting to defend this support region once again.
111.00 Level Turns Into Immediate Resistance
The dashed horizontal line around 111.00 has acted as a key pivot throughout the year.
After the recent sell-off, the price has now fallen below this level, making it immediate resistance. Any recovery attempt will likely need to reclaim the 111.00 area before bullish momentum can rebuild.
RSI Near Oversold Territory
The RSI has fallen to approximately 31, its lowest reading since the August selloff.
While not yet showing a strong bullish reversal signal, the indicator suggests downside momentum has become increasingly stretched as price approaches a major support zone.
This combination of weak momentum and key support often attracts increased attention from traders.
BoJ in Focus
The upcoming BoJ decision adds another layer of uncertainty to the setup.AUD/JPY is particularly sensitive to shifts in Japanese monetary policy because changes in rate expectations directly affect yen-funded carry trades. Any surprise from the BoJ could trigger volatility around the current support area and influence whether the existing range continues to hold.
USDJPY: Bullish Continuation Setup at H1 Structural SupportThe USD/JPY pair on the 1H timeframe is showing strong recovery signals after sweeping liquidity and forming a bullish shift following the recent short-term downtrend structure. Price is currently retesting a key demand zone to set up for the next impulsive wave upward in alignment with the broader trend.
Entry Price: 153.90 - 154.10
Stop Loss: 153.50 (Approx. 40–50 pips, securely placed below the recent structural low)
Take Profit:
TP1: 154.80
TP2: 155.60 (Upper resistance / FVG zone)
Risk Management:
Manage the trade tightly to optimize the R:R ratio. Move your Stop Loss to breakeven once TP1 is achieved to secure profits.
EUR/AUD: Falling Wedge Breakout & Regular Bullish DivergenceEUR/AUD has confirmed a breakout from its 4H falling wedge, backed by strong regular bullish divergence on the RSI! Using a Buy Stop order to jump in as momentum accelerates.
Setup: Falling Wedge Breakout + Buy Stop Execution
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Strategy: Entering via Buy Stop above immediate resistance
Take Profit 1: 1.6459
Take Profit 2: 1.6666
Stop Loss: 1.6081
Wait for your Buy Stop trigger to confirm momentum expansion. Always practice strict risk management!
USDJPY pulls back ahead of FOMCUSDJPY has been consolidating in a tight range around the 154 area and is now attempting to push toward the upper boundary. With the US dollar supported by rising Treasury yields, the pair could extend its recovery over the coming sessions.
USDJPY has been under pressure since the beginning of September as expectations for tighter Bank of Japan policy encouraged some unwinding of carry trades.
However, the interest-rate differential between the US and Japan remains wide, while the recent surge in US Treasury yields continues to provide support for the dollar.
From a technical perspective, USDJPY is also recovering from potentially oversold levels according to the stochastic indicator. With price trading between the lower Bollinger Band and the 20-day moving average above, there is room for the pair to recover further if the current momentum continues.
But this week will be heavily driven by central banks, with the Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday and Bank of Japan’s decision on Friday.
A more hawkish BOJ could strengthen the yen and challenge our bullish USDJPY setup. Any dovish surprise from the FED could do that too, otherwise conditions for the trade won’t change.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
Will Dovish Central Bank Policy Break the Polish Zloty?Macroeconomics and Economic Realities
The EUR/PLN exchange rate recently climbed toward 4.34, having moved above 4.30 for a sustained period for the first time in almost two years. Poland's National Bank held its benchmark reference rate at 3.75% at its September 2026 meeting, the fifth consecutive hold and the lowest level since 2022. The Monetary Policy Council has cut rates only once during 2026, at its March meeting. Inflation reached 3.4% year over year in August, its highest level since June 2025 and just below the upper limit of the central bank's 2.5% target band, driven by rising fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions and by the expiry of fuel price caps. With the European Central Bank expected to raise its reference rate toward 2.5%, the interest rate differential between the euro area and Poland is narrowing, putting steady pressure on the zloty. Meanwhile, second-quarter gross domestic product expanded 3.9%, faster than expected, as investment growth accelerated. Consumption slowed as wage growth decreased. Household caution has risen alongside two military conflicts, one on Poland's border, and an ING survey found 76.9% of Poles now hold savings. Investors now weigh whether narrowing yield buffers will force EUR/PLN toward higher resistance levels.
Geopolitics and Geostrategy
Poland occupies a crucial position on NATO's eastern flank. Ongoing regional geopolitical tensions generate persistent risk premiums for Central European assets. However, significant structural inflows of European Union funds in late 2026 bolster Poland's sovereign balance sheet. Western multinational corporations increasingly view Poland as a safe nearshoring hub to de-risk supply chains. Strategic infrastructure investments strengthen transport corridors connecting Central Europe with global trade routes. Consequently, foreign direct investment partially offsets geopolitical risk, creating a solid floor for the zloty. Sovereign currency stability remains a vital national security priority for Polish policymakers.
High-Tech Industry Trends and Cybersecurity
Poland continues its transformation into a major European technology and software development hub. Major global corporations expand advanced engineering centers across Warsaw, Krakow, and Wroclaw. High-tech service exports generate substantial foreign currency inflows, stabilizing broader balance of payments metrics. Sentiment has cooled somewhat, however. Optimism in Poland's IT sector weakened during the first half of 2026, with only 54% of surveyed companies assessing both recent performance and the coming six months positively, citing demand, geopolitics, and new-client acquisition as leading risks. Furthermore, elevated geopolitical risks demand advanced cybersecurity protocols across Polish financial infrastructure. Polish companies are simultaneously implementing KSeF e-invoicing, new cybersecurity requirements, the AI Act, PPWR packaging rules and labour-law changes. Robust technological resilience reinforces foreign investor trust in the zloty.
Science, Pharmaceuticals, and Patent Analysis
Poland's scientific ecosystem fuels growing high-value exports across the pharmaceutical and biotech sectors. Research centers in Warsaw and Poznan accelerate clinical trials for European pharmaceutical giants. Rising intellectual property filings appear in biopharmaceuticals and specialized medical equipment. Polish exporters handle clinical research contracts priced primarily in euros. This currency alignment creates a natural hedge for domestic biotech firms against exchange rate volatility. Strong patent activity and high-tech exports diversify Poland's economy away from low-margin assembly manufacturing.
Business Models, Leadership, and Management
National Bank of Poland Governor Adam Glapiński navigates a delicate monetary policy balancing act. His July signalling was notably dovish, openly discussing a possible 25 basis point cut, and he later said he might be the only Council member considering a reduction this year. That stance has since been overtaken by events. Fuel-driven inflation and a weaker zloty have led Commerzbank to describe those earlier hints as obsolete, with cuts unlikely before year-end, while markets have moved to price roughly 85 basis points of tightening. Executive leadership across Polish export companies adapts to shifting currency margins with disciplined hedging programs. Polish manufacturing businesses adopt flexible supply chain models to mitigate input cost inflation. High-margin food and agricultural exporters capture expanded market share across Western Europe. Strong corporate leadership keeps export volumes resilient even during periods of euro exchange rate volatility.
Currency Outlook and Future Path
Will EUR/PLN break above 4.35 or reverse back toward historical averages? Massive upcoming European Union fund conversions could soon provide powerful support for the zloty. Strong economic fundamentals and expanding tech exports set Poland apart from regional peers. However, short-term energy shocks and shifting central bank signals could create temporary exchange rate friction. NBP projections place inflation within 2.4% to 3.3% for 2026 and 1.5% to 4% for 2027, with GDP growth of 3% to 4% in 2026 slowing to 1.8% to 3.7% in 2027. Investors should monitor central bank communications and energy market trends very closely. The zloty retains strong long-term fundamentals as Poland continues its economic expansion.
USDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 154.878.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 153.251.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDJPY: Swing TradeThis is my idea for AUDJPY.
I have two plans.
First plan is long.
If price breaks the zone above, I want to go long.
I have two take profits for the long.
I think the long is more possible, but I wait for the break.
Second plan is short.
If price breaks the trend line below, I want to go short.
I also have two take profits for the short.
Both plans use the same stop loss.
If one plan starts, the other plan is canceled.
I wait for price to show me the direction.
When the break happens, I follow the plan.
AUDUSD Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.712.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.714 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!






















