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AUDCHF: High-Confluence Short at Daily Resistance (1:12+ RR)​ 📌 Trade Overview ​Following a massive short-term bull run, AUDCHF has tapped directly into a key Daily Resistance Zone. The bulls are officially running out of steam. We have multiple high-probability structural and momentum signals confirming that the bears are taking over, presenting an incredible opportunity to catch a premium short with a 1:12+ Risk-to-Reward ratio. ​ 🔍 Key Confluences ​Higher Timeframe Resistance (Daily): Price has mitigated a strong daily supply/resistance level, capping the recent aggressive bullish impulse. ​Liquidity Sweep & Protected High: The market aggressively swept the recent highs to grab buy-side liquidity before quickly dropping. This structural rejection has created a highly reliable Protected High. ​1-Hour Candlestick Confirmation: A textbook Bearish Engulfing pattern has closed on the 1-hour timeframe, confirming immediate institutional selling pressure. ​2-Hour RSI Divergence: Looking closely at the momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a clear bearish divergence on the 2-hour timeframe. While price made higher highs (during the sweep), the RSI printed lower highs, heavily confirming a loss of buyers' strength. ​ 🎯 Trade Execution & Risk Management ​Setup Type: Bearish Reversal / Liquidity Run ​Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:12+ on full TP ​Stop Loss (SL): Positioned safely just above the newly formed protected high. ​Invalidation: A clean, structural body close above the daily resistance high invalidates this setup. ​💬 Let’s Discuss! ​Are you riding this short down with me, or do you think the Swiss Franc weakness will let the Aussie Dollar push higher? ​Let me know your thoughts or share your charts in the comments below! If you appreciate this clean, high-RR analysis, please drop a 👍 Like and click Follow to stay updated on this trade! ​Tags to use: #forex #audchf #smc #rsidivergence #priceaction
Short
by sco_solomon
3
USDCAD: High-RR Bullish Reversal at Daily Support (1:20 RR)📌 Trade Overview ​We have a highly confluent bullish setup forming on USDCAD as price taps into a major daily support zone. The lower timeframes are showing clear signs of institutional buying and a shift in market structure. I am looking for a discount entry on a retracement to catch the next major impulse leg up. ​🔍 Technical Confluences ​Higher Timeframe Bias (Daily): Price has mitigated and tapped directly into a key Daily Support Zone, showing initial buying pressure. ​2-Hour Timeframe: We received a clean wick rejection, indicating that sellers are losing momentum and liquidity has been swept. ​1-Hour Timeframe (Structural Shift): ​A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) has occurred, confirming a shift from a bearish to a bullish market structure. ​A strong 1-Hour Bullish Engulfing candle has closed, confirming buyer dominance. ​🎯 Entry Strategy & Execution ​I am not chasing the price here. Instead, I am waiting for a healthy pullback to get the best possible risk-to-reward ratio. ​Entry Zone: Around the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level at 1.40351 . ​Trigger: Looking for a 1-Hour bullish confirmation candle (like a hammer or another engulfing candle) inside the entry zone before executing. ​Target: Full Take Profit (TP) yields an incredible 1:20 Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio if the bullish momentum holds. ​⚠️ Risk Disclaimer & Management ​Invalidation: The setup is invalidated if price closes firmly below our local structure/HTF support. Always manage your risk and size appropriately for high-RR setups! ​💬 What do you think? ​Do you see USDCAD heading higher from this daily support, or do you think the bears will break through? ​Drop your thoughts, targets, or charts in the comments below! If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the 👍 Like button and Follow for more high-quality setups!
Long
by sco_solomon
USD/MXN continues to highlight a relevant sideways rangeThese have started to become difficult sessions for the Mexican peso. The currency has not managed to find consistent demand, and USD/MXN average movements are barely showing a variation close to 0.4% over the last 3 trading sessions. This behavior reflects lower market activity, especially considering that previous weeks saw variations of up to 0.8% in a single session. For now, the Mexican peso has not managed to consolidate a stable sense of strength, while the stability of the U.S. dollar continues to pressure the market. In addition, the U.S. inflation data released during the week has not been enough to eliminate the possibility of a potential interest rate hike in September by the Fed. This could be maintaining some strength around the U.S. dollar. If this effect continues, a phase of indecision could remain relevant in short-term USD/MXN movements. Sideways range remains relevant For several months, USD/MXN average movements have maintained a medium-term sideways structure, with a ceiling near the 18 pesos per dollar area and a floor around 17 pesos per dollar. For now, recent price movements have not been enough to break this neutrality. For this reason, the sideways range remains the most important technical structure to watch and could continue to affect the lack of direction in USD/MXN over the coming weeks. RSI: The RSI indicator line continues to move around the neutral 50 area. This suggests that the average of buying and selling impulses remains balanced. As long as this behavior continues, a neutral bias could remain relevant in short-term USD/MXN movements. MACD: A similar dynamic can be seen in the MACD, as the histogram remains close to the neutral 0 level. This suggests balance in the average strength of short-term moving averages. This reading also highlights relevant neutrality that could remain important over the next few sessions. Key levels to watch: 18 pesos per dollar – Relevant resistance: This high zone remains the most important upper barrier at the moment. Price movements toward this level could start to leave the neutral bias behind and open room for more relevant buying pressure over the coming trading weeks. 17.58 pesos per dollar – Near-term barrier: This key retracement area corresponds to the most relevant neutrality level between the long-term moving averages on the chart. If price fails to move consistently away from this level, the neutral phase could remain in place and even open room for an extension of the dominant sideways range. 17 pesos per dollar – Key support: This area corresponds to the 2026 lows and remains the main bearish barrier to watch. Price movements below this level could bring back the selling bias seen in previous weeks and open room for a possible reactivation of the long-term bearish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
by FOREX.com
Potential bearish drop?Kiwi (NZD/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop towards the 1st support, which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.5858 1st Support: 0.5807 1st Resistance: 0.5903 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Short
by IC Markets
Bullish momentum set to continueAussie (AUD/USD) is falling toward the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce towards the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6960 1st Support: 0.6911 1st Resistance: 0.7028 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
Potential move higher ahead?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling toward the pivot, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce toward the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3432 1st Support: 1.3338 1st Resistance: 1.3505 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
Bullish bounce at support?Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling to the pivot and could potentially bounce toward the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.1419 1st Support: 1.1393 1st Resistance: 1.1459 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
#CHFJPY: +2000 Pips Selling Opportunity, Price Is At The Entry! 🔺The CHFJPY pair is at a selling entry and the price is likely to fall from here. I expect a strong intervention from the BOJ which will further depress the price and hit our take-profit zone in one area before reaching the second target. 🔺Currently, CHF is struggling to maintain its position while JPY is doing better than other JPY pairs. This pair has been particularly volatile and has been ranging rather than showing a clear direction. Good luck and trade safely! Team Setupsfx❤️🏆
Short
by Setupsfx_
4
AUD/USD Technical Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)The AUD/USD 4-hour chart is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal as multiple technical factors are beginning to align. One of the strongest observations is the Bullish RSI Divergence. While price continued to print lower lows, the RSI formed higher lows, indicating that bearish momentum is fading and buyers are gradually stepping into the market. This divergence often acts as an early warning of a possible trend reversal. At the same time, price is approaching the descending trendline that has capped every rally during the recent downtrend. A successful breakout above this trendline would provide additional confirmation that market sentiment is shifting in favor of the bulls. It's also worth noting that the previous support around 0.6980 has now turned into resistance, making it the first major hurdle that buyers need to overcome before a stronger bullish continuation can develop. 📈 Bullish Scenario The Bullish RSI Divergence suggests selling pressure is weakening. A confirmed breakout above the descending trendline would strengthen the bullish outlook. Aggressive traders may consider entering on the breakout. Conservative traders should wait for a 4-hour candle to close above the trendline or a successful retest before entering. 🎯 Upside Targets Target 1: 0.70373 Target 2: 0.70809 Target 3: 0.71150 (next major resistance) 🛑 Risk Scenario If price fails to break above the descending trendline and loses the 0.6900 demand zone, bullish momentum may weaken and the pair could revisit the lower support around 0.6840–0.6850. 📋 Trading Plan ✅ Entry: After a confirmed breakout and candle close above the descending trendline. ✅ Alternative Entry: Wait for a breakout followed by a bullish retest of the broken trendline. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low or according to your risk management. 🎯 Targets: 0.70373 → 0.70809 → 0.71150 "Bullish divergence doesn't guarantee a reversal—it signals that momentum is changing. Confirmation is what turns probability into opportunity." 💬 If you found this analysis helpful or relatable, I'd really appreciate your support. Share your thoughts in the comments and let me know whether you agree with this setup or see a different perspective.
by Asif_Iqbal_chaudhary
EURUSD H1 | SMC Trade Idea - Sell From Premium ZoneEURUSD is showing a bearish reaction from a premium pricing area after a strong bullish expansion. Price has tapped into a key bearish order block while liquidity above the highs has already been taken. 📊 Smart Money Concepts Overview • Market Structure: Bearish * Liquidity Sweep: Completed * Premium Zone: Active * Bearish Order Block: Valid * Fair Value Gap (FVG): Present * Lower High Expected 🎯 Trade Plan 🔹 Sell Zone: 1.1455 – 1.1465 🔹 Stop Loss: 1.1485 🔹 TP1: 1.1420 🔹 TP2: 1.1400 🔹 TP3: 1.1380 📌 The idea is to wait for a retracement into the premium zone and look for bearish confirmation before execution. As long as price remains below the invalidation level, sellers may continue targeting lower liquidity. ⚠️ Educational content only. Always use proper risk management and trade according to your own plan.
Short
by SadaChartLab
1