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Euro Rebounds From Support — Can Buyers Reach 1.1460?Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD chart structure. Market Analysis EURUSD previously traded inside a descending channel before breaking above the upper boundary, confirming a bullish shift in market structure. After establishing a strong base near the 1.1400 Support Zone, buyers continued to defend higher lows, allowing price to develop inside an ascending channel. Currently, EURUSD is trading above the 1.1400 Support Zone while remaining below the 1.1460 Resistance Zone. The recent pullback held above channel support, suggesting buyers are still in control as long as the bullish structure remains intact. My Scenario & Strategy As long as EURUSD remains above the 1.1400 Support Zone and continues respecting the ascending channel, the bullish scenario remains valid. A continuation higher could push price toward the 1.1460 Resistance Zone (TP1). However, if EURUSD breaks below the 1.1400 Support Zone and loses the ascending channel, the bullish outlook would weaken, allowing sellers to regain short-term control. That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
2
EURUSD: Weekly Liquidity Sweep Supports Bearish ContinuationThe higher-timeframe story hasn't changed. EURUSD swept the previous week's high into a weekly fair value gap before sellers quickly regained control. Rather than viewing this move as a breakout, I see it as a liquidity event followed by rejection from higher-timeframe value. The next development I'm watching is the first 4-hour bearish fair value gap created after that rejection. As long as price respects this area, it strengthens the case for continuation lower. My focus isn't on predicting every intraday move. The objective is to identify the dominant higher-timeframe trend and then look for lower-timeframe execution that aligns with it. The next area of interest sits around external range liquidity, which remains the broader objective if sellers maintain control. Idea-sharing only, not financial advice.
Short
by Yankee_algo
2
GBPUSD REPEATATION OF STRUCTUREGBPUSD is currently testing a key demand zone after breaking down from a rising wedge pattern. The ascending trendline failed to hold, and sellers pushed the price directly into an important support area. This is where patience becomes critical. I'm not looking to buy immediately. Instead, I want to see a clear bullish confirmation—such as a bullish engulfing candle, strong rejection wick, or another reliable reversal pattern—before considering any long position. If buyers step in and defend this zone, we could see a relief move back toward the previous structure. However, if this demand area fails to hold, the bearish momentum may continue and open the door for lower prices. Wait for confirmation. Let price reveal its intention. Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
by ThEDeViL18
1
GBPUSD H1 | SMC Buy Setup | Demand Zone ReactionGBPUSD remains bullish on the H1 timeframe after reacting from a key demand zone. Price is respecting market structure while holding above the higher-timeframe support, increasing the probability of bullish continuation. This analysis combines Smart Money Concepts (SMC), market structure, liquidity, Change of Character (CHoCH), Break of Structure (BOS), Order Blocks, and EMA trend confirmation to identify a high-probability long opportunity. Trading Plan Bias: Bullish Entry: Bullish confirmation from the Demand Zone Invalidation (SL): Below the Demand Zone TP1: First resistance level TP2: Internal liquidity TP3: Premium Supply Zone Risk management remains essential. Wait for confirmation before entering any trade, as market conditions can change at any time. If you found this analysis helpful, don't forget to Boost 👍, leave a comment, and follow SadaChartLab for more professional SMC trade ideas and educational market analysis.
Long
by SadaChartLab
2
GBPNZD - Triangle Breakdown Confirms (17.07.2026)GBP/NZD has broken below a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the M30 timeframe , signaling a potential bearish continuation after multiple lower highs and higher lows compressed price action. The breakdown is supported by weakening momentum and price trading below the cloud, increasing the probability of further downside. As long as price remains below the broken trendline, sellers are likely to maintain control toward the next major support levels. FX:GBPNZD (SELL) 🔴1st Support : 2.29421 🔴2nd Support : 2.28747 🟢Resistance Zone : 2.31150 – 2.31380 ⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only. Support the idea 🚀 Boost | 💬 Comment | 🔁 Share 🔸🔸 Charts Don't Lie, Traders Don't Quit 🔸🔸 #gbpnzd #gbp #usd #nzd #eurusd #gbpusd #priceaction # fundamental
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Bullish bounce in play?USD/ZAR has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support and could rise towards the 1st resistance, which is also a pullback resistance. Pivot: 16.47287 1st Suport: 16.36251 1st Resistance: 16.65861 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Long
by IC Markets
1
USDJPY Trade Setup | Potential SELL Opportunity | 1H TimeframeUSDJPY Trade Setup | Potential SELL Opportunity | 1H Timeframe USDJPY is currently trading around the 162.500 price region, where the market is approaching a key technical resistance area on the 1-hour timeframe. Recent price action suggests that buying momentum is slowing, while sellers are beginning to show interest at higher levels. If bearish confirmation develops from the current zone, the pair could experience a short-term corrective move toward the downside targets. Current Market Area: 162.500 Technical Targets: Target 1: 162.300 Target 2: 162.200 Target 3: 162.100 Technical Analysis The 1-hour chart indicates that USDJPY is testing an important market area where the next directional move may develop. Price is currently positioned near a resistance zone, creating a potential opportunity for sellers if rejection and bearish momentum appear. A confirmed rejection from the current level, supported by bearish candlestick formations and increasing selling pressure, could strengthen the downside scenario. A break below nearby intraday support would provide additional confirmation and increase the probability of movement toward the projected targets. Traders should remain patient and avoid entering positions without proper confirmation. Careful monitoring of price action, market structure, and momentum is essential for identifying quality setups. Professional trading requires disciplined execution, effective risk management, and a clear strategy in all market conditions. Market Bias: Bearish (Subject to Technical Confirmation) Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) This analysis is based on technical price action, market structure, and key support and resistance levels. It is provided for educational and analytical purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
Short
by JohnsonForexTrader
1
Swing high resistance?NZD/JPY is rising toward the pivot, which is swing-high resistance and could reverse toward the 1st support, which is a pullback support. Pivot: 95.36 1st Support: 94.50 1st Resistance: 96.36 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Short
by IC Markets
1
AUDUSD H4 | The Breakout Everyone Was Waiting For? # AUDUSD H4 | The Breakout Everyone Was Waiting For? 👀📈 After weeks of respecting a descending trendline, AUDUSD is finally knocking on the door. This isn't just another resistance test—it's a potential market structure shift that could define the next swing. 🔍 Here's what caught my attention: ✅ Descending trendline under pressure ✅ Bullish continuation pattern formed after a strong impulsive move ✅ Higher lows suggest buyers are gaining control ✅ Price is testing a key breakout zone with momentum building 📊 My Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Case A decisive close above the descending trendline could trigger the next expansion phase, opening the path toward 0.7040 and potentially 0.7110. 🔴 Bearish Case If sellers reject this level again, expect a pullback toward the demand zone before buyers attempt another breakout. 💡 The biggest moves don't begin with FOMO—they begin with confirmation. Let the market prove itself before pulling the trigger. ❓What's your bias? 👍 LIKE if you see a breakout. 💬 Comment "BUY" if you think AUDUSD is heading higher, or "SELL" if you believe this is another bull trap. I read every technical opinion—let's discuss the chart. Follow for more high-probability price action analysis, trendline setups, and market structure breakdowns. #AUDUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #ChartAnalysis #SmartMoney #Breakout #TrendTrading #PulseTradesFX Precision setups. Smart execution. PulseTradesFX.
Long
by PULSETRADESFX
1
Here’s what’s next for EURUSDEURUSD is preparing for another downward move. The HTF structure has not changed since the last analyses and is developing exactly in line with our analysis. At the LTF , the structure becomes more interesting, as the waves support the HTF trend. We are currently in an expansion of Wave 3 (blue), and the sub-waves of this Wave 3 correspond to our orange count. There, we can see that we recently experienced a Wave 4 correction that formed in an wxy pattern, and the price has already reacted strongly to the 61.80% Fibonacci level. We now expect the market to transition into a downward Wave 5. As soon as we have more confirmation that Wave 4 has ended, we will take a short position.
Short
by wavemaster_
3
#AUDNZD: +1000 Pips Smart Selling Opportunity! One Not To Miss! ▲The AUDNZD has turned bearish on a daily basis, confirming the end of the bullish trend and the bears’ control. The price has dropped significantly after reaching a yearly high. Given the price change, we can now look for a safer selling opportunity using a smart method. ▲ Instead of jumping in, let the price do its thing. We’ve identified a key level where the price is likely to decline and continue the bearish move down to our target of a significant 1000 pips. This is a swing trade setup, meaning you might need to hold positions for a while. For the stop loss and entry, use the two horizontal lines as potential points. ▲ This is just our view and yours might differ, so feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. Different perspectives help everyone make better decisions. If you agree, like and comment to encourage us to post more trading setups. Good luck and trade safely! Team SetupsFX_ ❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
1
EUR/USD📊 EUR/USD Analysis | H4 Timeframe EUR/USD is showing early signs of a bullish continuation after respecting a key demand zone. The recent pullback appears corrective, with buyers stepping back into the market at a high-probability area of interest. 🔹 Market Structure Following a series of Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmations, price has maintained a bullish bias by defending higher lows. The current retracement into demand aligns with Smart Money concepts, suggesting institutional interest remains on the buy side. 🔹 Current Outlook Price is testing a well-defined demand zone around 1.1400–1.1410. As long as this area holds, the expectation is for buyers to regain momentum and push toward the next liquidity pools above. 🔹 Bullish Scenario A confirmed bullish reaction from the current demand could drive EUR/USD toward the 1.1500 psychological level before extending into the higher-timeframe supply zone between 1.1580–1.1600. Liquidity resting above the recent weak high provides a logical target for the next expansion. 🔹 Key Levels 📍 Demand Zone: 1.1400 – 1.1410 📍 Intermediate Target: 1.1500 📍 Major Resistance: 1.1580 – 1.1600 💡 Trading Insight This setup remains consistent with the broader expectation of **US Dollar weakness (DXY)**. A sustained decline in the Dollar Index would strengthen the bullish case for EUR/USD, making confirmation from both markets a valuable confluence before execution. ⚠️ *This analysis reflects my personal market outlook based on price action, liquidity, market structure, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). It is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.*
Long
by PadayacheeMchunu
2
AUDCAD - Resistance Comes Back Into Focus!AUDCAD continued its bullish momentum after rejecting the blue support area, with buyers successfully pushing price higher toward the next key technical resistance. Price is now approaching the red resistance and supply area, which has previously acted as an important barrier for the market and is worth monitoring closely. ⭕As price approaches this resistance zone, we can start looking for sell setups on lower timeframes, particularly if price shows signs of rejection from the current area. ⭕However, if buyers manage to break above the current resistance zone, it would indicate that bullish momentum remains strong and increase the probability of further upside. The upcoming reaction may reveal whether sellers are ready to slow the current recovery, or if buyers have enough momentum to continue pushing higher. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal market view and is not financial advice. Rayan Nasser #AUDCAD #AUD #CAD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Trading #MarketStructure
Short
by Rayannsr
2
AUD/USD is show strong bullish structure with Ascending patternAUD/USD – 4H Time Frame Bullish Ascending Triangle Breakout Setup AUD/USD is showing a strong bullish structure with an Ascending Triangle pattern forming on the 4-hour chart. The breakout above the key resistance area around 0.70000 signals growing buying momentum and potential continuation to the upside. Buy Zone: 0.70000 (Breakout & Retest Area) Technical Targets: Target 1: 0.70500 Target 2: 0.70900 Target 3: 0.71800 Market View: The ascending triangle is a classic bullish continuation pattern. A sustained hold above the breakout zone at 0.70000 could attract further buying interest and support a move toward the higher targets. Bias: STRONG BUY This analysis is based on technical chart structure and price action. Always wait for confirmation and manage risk appropriately before entering any trade.
Long
by ExpertTraderASK
2
# GBPUSD Week W30-2026: Burnham Takes No. 10 as UK Political..# GBPUSD Week W30-2026: Burnham Takes No. 10 as UK Political Shock Collides With a Cold US CPI Miss, Price Pins to VWAP at 1.3452 With Bulls and Bears Deadlocked | 21 July 2026 **Reference data** | week 2026-W30 - Symbol: GBPUSD - Week: 2026-W30 - Bias: bearish - Conviction: medium - Regime: trending_up - FX implication: trend_follow - MTF alignment: all_bullish - VWAP weekly: 1.345243 - TrendSL weekly: 1.3419314999999998 - Close price: 1.345243 - US 10Y yield: 4.57% - US 2Y yield: 4.16% - US 10Y real yield: 2.35% - DXY: bias=bearish, close_price=100.766998 - CPI (USD): forecast=0.2, actual=0.0 (miss) ## L0 - Regime Identification The immediate news backdrop is dominated by two concurrent shocks. Andy Burnham has officially become UK Prime Minister, and John Healey has been moved from Defense Secretary to Chancellor of the Exchequer -- a non-conventional appointment that markets have interpreted as a credibility question mark for UK fiscal policy. Gilt yields have risen and sterling has dipped in direct response, signaling that the bond market is pricing a risk premium on UK sovereign debt under the new administration. Simultaneously, an intensifying US-Iran conflict has pushed Brent crude sharply higher, reinforcing safe-haven dollar demand as a competing narrative against any GBP recovery. The technical regime remains trending_up with a confidence reading of 0.70, consistent with the prior week's structure. The FX implication flags trend_follow, which in isolation would favor staying long GBP. This creates an immediate tension: the macro and geopolitical events from this week are bearish GBP fundamentally, yet the price regime has not yet broken down. The regime has not changed from prior week -- the trend structure is intact, but the political shock introduces a new destabilizing variable that was absent previously. ## L1 - Driver Stack -> ** BOE vs Fed rate differential favoring USD:** The dominant causal chain is Fed hawkish -> USD bullish -> GBPUSD bearish. This is the highest-weighted single factor driving the bearish bias and anchors the entire thesis. -> ** UK political credibility shock:** Burnham government appointment of Healey as Chancellor triggers gilt yield rise and sterling weakness. Fiscal policy uncertainty is a fresh GBP headwind not present in prior weeks. -> ** US-Iran conflict / Brent surge:** Geopolitical risk-off and energy price spike historically support USD safe-haven flows, adding a second bearish GBP layer from the external environment. -> ** DXY bullish pressure:** DXY directional weight reinforces USD strength narrative, consistent with the hawkish Fed channel. -> ** COT positioning:** Commercial and speculative positioning data leans bullish for GBP, indicating the market is not yet positioned for a sustained downside move. This is a meaningful counterweight. -> ** TGA drain:** A Treasury General Account drawdown carries a bearish USD / bullish risk-asset weight, partially neutralizing the hawkish dollar narrative. -> ** Technical structure:** Daily, Weekly, and Monthly TrendSL are all aligned bullish -- the highest technical conviction in this dataset. This is the clearest signal in the analysis and directly contradicts the macro bearish bias. ## L2 - Macro Snapshot The macro landscape this week delivered a significant disinflationary surprise from the US. Core CPI (MoM) for July 14 came in at 0.0% against a forecast of 0.2% and a prior reading of 0.2% -- a notable miss. In normal circumstances, a cold CPI print reduces Fed hawkishness expectations, weakens the USD, and is bullish for risk-sensitive currencies like GBP. This is precisely why the signal conflict in this analysis is so acute: the CPI miss argues for USD softness, yet the macro framework still leans hawkish because the 10Y real yield sits at 2.35%, reflecting a structurally restrictive policy environment. The US 10Y yield is at 4.57% and the 2Y yield at 4.16%, producing a modestly positive term spread -- a shift from the deeply inverted curve of prior cycles. A 10Y real yield of 2.35% is genuinely restrictive by historical standards; this level of real rates tends to support USD carry and penalizes currencies with lower real yield differentials, including GBP. The Fed hawkish channel therefore remains structurally intact even if the single CPI data point introduced short-term dovish noise. The market must now reconcile one weak CPI print against a persistently elevated real yield backdrop -- that reconciliation is not yet complete, and it is a direct source of the current signal conflict. ## L3 - Technical Structure Close price and VWAP weekly are identical at 1.3452 -- the week closed exactly at the volume-weighted anchor level. This is not a coincidence to dismiss; it means no directional edge has been established relative to the weekly VWAP. Bulls have not convincingly broken above it, and bears have not pushed price below it. The weekly TrendSL sits at 1.3419. Price is currently 33 pips above this level. As long as the weekly close holds above 1.3419, the technical trend structure remains formally bullish. A close at or below 1.3419 would be the first hard technical confirmation that the bearish macro thesis is gaining traction in price. MTF alignment reads all_bullish across Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes -- this is the strongest single technical input in the dataset and represents the clearest internal signal. A bearish macro trader fading this alignment is effectively taking a counter-trend position, which carries a higher burden of proof. The technical picture has not yet given the macro thesis permission to act. ## L4 - Intermarket Cross-Check DXY closed at 100.767 with a bearish bias and low conviction. This is an important nuance: if the primary dollar bull thesis were unambiguous, DXY would be trending higher with medium or high conviction. Instead, the DXY itself is flagged as bearish with low conviction -- a weak dollar environment is not consistent with a strong GBPUSD bearish trade. The CPI miss this week likely contributed to the DXY's inability to sustain upward momentum. The intermarket read therefore partially contradicts the instrument-level bearish bias. A strong USD thesis requires DXY strength; DXY is not delivering that strength at present. Traders relying on the rate differential and hawkish Fed channel as the primary bearish GBP catalyst should note that DXY is not yet confirming the move. The US-Iran conflict and Brent crude spike introduce a competing USD-positive narrative, but even that has not been sufficient to push DXY into a clear uptrend. ## L5 - Event Risk Key events and scenarios to monitor over the 3-week horizon: -> UK fiscal policy developments under Chancellor Healey: any early budget signal or spending commitment will directly move gilts and sterling -> Fed speakers and US macro data following the CPI miss: if subsequent data (PCE, NFP, retail sales) also misses, the hawkish USD channel weakens materially -> US-Iran conflict escalation: a further Brent spike could intensify USD safe-haven demand and act as a secondary GBP headwind -> Gilt yield trajectory: sustained gilt yield rise under the Burnham government would compress the UK-US real yield spread further in USD's favor | Scenario | Probability | |---|---| | Price holds below VWAP 1.3452, drifts toward TrendSL 1.3419, bearish thesis builds slowly | Moderate | | UK fiscal credibility deteriorates further, gilt yields spike, GBP breaks TrendSL 1.3419 -- bearish thesis confirmed | Low-Moderate | | CPI miss drives broader USD softness, price sustains above VWAP 1.3452, bullish structure extends | Moderate | | US-Iran escalation triggers sharp risk-off, USD spikes, GBP sells off rapidly through 1.3419 | Low | ## L6 - Conviction Scorecard Overall bias is bearish with medium conviction. The medium conviction rating is appropriate and arguably generous given the degree of signal conflict present. Price, COT, and technical structure all return bullish readings, while the macro and geopolitical overlay drives the bearish bias. This is not a clean setup. The rule engine override to bearish is driven by the rate differential and Fed hawkishness framework, but that framework is being actively tested by the CPI miss this week. Compared to prior weeks, the addition of the UK political shock (Burnham government, Healey appointment) is a new bearish GBP fundamental that did not exist previously. This is the most concrete new development supporting the bearish bias. However, the technical structure has not deteriorated -- MTF alignment remains all_bullish, and price is sitting on VWAP, not below it. Net result: the bear case has gained a new fundamental argument but has lost none of its technical obstacles. ## L7 - Time Horizon **Near-term (1 week):** The focus is entirely on whether price can sustain above or break below VWAP weekly at 1.3452. With the close exactly on VWAP, the first week is a decision point. UK political headlines will dominate short-term flow. Any further gilt market stress or Healey fiscal statement will be the primary near-term catalyst. **Timeline (3 weeks):** The 3-week window aligns with the stated analysis horizon. The bearish thesis requires price to break and hold below TrendSL weekly at 1.3419 to gain technical validation. Without that break, the macro narrative remains unconfirmed in price. Watch for at least one weekly close below 1.3419 before treating the bear case as active. **Medium-term (beyond 3 weeks):** If the Burnham government's fiscal credibility continues to erode and the Fed maintains its restrictive real yield stance, the rate differential and political risk premium could compound into a more sustained GBP downtrend. However, if the CPI miss proves to be the start of a US disinflation sequence, the Fed hawkishness pillar of the bearish thesis could be removed entirely, turning the medium-term picture outright bullish for GBP. ## L8 - Invalidation Conditions -> If Weekly close above TrendSL weekly (1.3419): Bearish structure invalidated -- exit shorts, reassess -> If Price sustained above VWAP weekly (1.3452): Short-term momentum against thesis -- reduce size --- *This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.* #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #FX #Sterling #DXY #USDollar #BankOfEngland #FederalReserve #MacroTrading #CPI #RateDifferential #GBP #UKPolitics #CarryTrade #ForexAnalysis
Short
by IntermarketEdgeFX2026
1