CHFTHB Eyes Safe-Haven DemandYesterday Recap 16/9/26
Yesterday, CHFTHB closed at 40.63 in the Thai market. There were no high-impact Swiss economic releases, suggesting that the CHF was mainly driven by global market factors and major currency movements. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on CHFTHB.
Fundamental 17/9/26
Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous
CH: 13:00 Trade Balance | - | 8.730B
CH: 14:00 SECO Economic Forecast
Today's key Swiss economic releases include the Trade Balance, with the previous reading at 8.730B, and the SECO Economic Forecast, which will provide insight into the outlook for the Swiss economy and could influence expectations for monetary policy going forward.
However, CHF movements remain highly dependent on global Risk Sentiment. A Risk-Off environment could increase demand for safe-haven assets and support the CHF, while Risk-On conditions could reduce demand for the CHF.
Overall, CHFTHB is expected to move within a range, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, the SECO Economic Forecast, and CHF direction.
Technical Analysis — CHFTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway
Price rebounded from 40.38 but remains capped by the FVG zone above. If price holds above 40.45, it could move higher to test 40.48–40.50. However, failure to break above 40.45 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation.
Resistance: 40.45 / 40.48 / 40.50
Support: 40.38
Target: 40.48 → 40.50
Cut Loss: 40.37 GBPTHB Eyes BoE DecisionYesterday Recap 16/9/26
Yesterday, GBPTHB closed at 44.82 in the Thai market. UK inflation accelerated as expected, while Core CPI remained unchanged, indicating that inflationary pressure persisted. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on GBPTHB.
Fundamental 17/9/26
Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous
UK: 18:00 Interest Rate Decision | 3.75% | 3.75%
UK: 18:00 MPC Rate Cut Vote | 0 | 0
UK: 18:00 MPC Rate Hike Vote | 3 | 3
Today's key GBP event is the Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting. The interest rate is expected to remain at 3.75%, unchanged from the previous meeting. The MPC vote is expected to show 3 votes for a rate hike and no votes for a rate cut.
Markets will focus on both the interest-rate decision and details from the MPC meeting, as these could provide insight into policymakers' views on inflation and the future monetary policy path. A more hawkish-than-expected tone could support the GBP, while more dovish signals could pressure the GBP.
Overall, GBPTHB is expected to remain highly volatile, with the main focus on the BoE, MPC vote, and GBP direction.
Technical Analysis — GBPTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway
Price rebounded from 44.60 and has started to recover. If price holds above 44.70, it could move higher to test 44.75–44.77. However, failure to break above 44.75 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation. Markets are also closely watching the BoE meeting outcome today, which could increase GBP volatility.
Resistance: 44.75 / 44.77
Support: 44.60
Target: 44.75 → 44.77
Cut Loss: 44.59 AUDTHB Holds Bullish BiasYesterday Recap 16/9/26
Yesterday, AUDTHB closed at 23.72 in the Thai market. The MI Leading Index MoM remained broadly unchanged from the previous reading, suggesting that the outlook for Australia's economic momentum remained stable. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on AUDTHB.
Fundamental 17/9/26
Key Events Today
There are no high-impact Australian economic releases today. Therefore, the AUD is expected to be driven mainly by external factors, particularly the Chinese economic outlook, commodity prices, Risk Sentiment, and USD direction, which could affect capital flows into the AUD.
AUDTHB has rebounded from 23.62 as markets increased expectations of an RBA rate hike amid inflationary pressure. Meanwhile, the Thai baht has been pressured by a stronger USD following the Fed's Hawkish signal. This could support AUDTHB's recovery toward 23.71–23.73.
Overall, AUDTHB is expected to move within a range with a slight upside bias, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, China, Commodities, and USD direction.
Technical Analysis — AUDTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway Up / Bullish
Price rebounded from 23.62 and is recovering within the 23.62–23.71 range. If price breaks and holds above 23.71, it could move higher to test 23.73. However, failure to break above 23.71 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation.
Resistance: 23.71 / 23.73
Support: 23.62
Target: 23.71 → 23.73
Cut Loss: 23.61 EURTHB Eyes Eurozone CPIYesterday Recap 16/9/26
Yesterday, EURTHB closed at 38.41 in the Thai market. Eurozone manufacturing data came in slightly better than expected, while wage growth slowed, suggesting that the overall economic outlook remained broadly stable. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, supporting the USD and putting pressure on EURTHB.
Fundamental 17/9/26
Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous
EU: 16:00 Eurozone CPI YoY | 3.3% | 2.9%
EU: 16:00 Eurozone Core CPI YoY | 2.4% | 2.5%
EU: 16:00 Eurozone CPI MoM | 2.9% | 0.2%
Today's key European data are the Eurozone inflation figures. CPI YoY is forecast to rise to 3.3% from 2.9%, while Core CPI YoY is expected to ease slightly from 2.5% to 2.4%. Markets will therefore focus on which components are driving the increase in headline inflation.
If headline inflation comes in above expectations, markets may assess the ECB's monetary policy outlook as more restrictive, potentially supporting the EUR. Meanwhile, slower Core CPI could reduce underlying inflationary pressure.
Overall, EURTHB is expected to remain volatile within a range, with the main focus on Eurozone CPI, the ECB interest-rate outlook, and European Bond Yields.
Technical Analysis — EURTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway
Price is moving within the 38.27–38.35 range after breaking below the 38.35 zone. If price holds above 38.27, it could rebound to test 38.35–38.37. However, a break below 38.22 would make the downside structure more pronounced.
Resistance: 38.35 / 38.37
Support: 38.27 / 38.22
Target: 38.35 → 38.37
Cut Loss: 38.22 USDTHB Tracks USD DirectionYesterday Recap 16/9/26
Yesterday, USDTHB was supported by the Fed's decision to raise interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75–4.00%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023, or in more than three years. The Fed continued to emphasize controlling inflation, while the U.S. economic outlook remained relatively strong.
Regarding the Fed's interest-rate outlook, the Dot Plot signaled the possibility of one additional rate hike in 2026. With inflation still above the Fed's 2% target, markets will continue to closely monitor upcoming economic and inflation data.
Fundamental 17/9/26
Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous
US: 19:30 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 31.3 | 47.4
US: 19:30 Initial Jobless Claims | 207K | 206K
US: 19:30 Housing Starts | 1.320M | 1.239M
Today's key U.S. economic release is the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, forecast at 31.3, down from the previous 47.4, suggesting that manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region could slow. A weaker-than-expected reading could pressure the USD.
Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims are forecast at 207K, up slightly from 206K, suggesting a slight softening in the labor market. Housing Starts are forecast at 1.320M, up from 1.239M. A stronger-than-expected reading could support the outlook for the U.S. economy and the USD.
Overall, USDTHB is expected to remain highly volatile, with the main focus on labor-market data, manufacturing activity, USD direction, and U.S. Bond Yields.
Technical Analysis — USDTHB 1H
Bias: Bullish
Following the Fed's 0.25% rate hike to 3.75–4.00% and its signal that another rate hike could be possible, the USD strengthened. The chart structure remains bullish. If price holds above 33.35, it could move higher to test 33.45 → 33.50.
Resistance: 33.45
Support: 33.35
Target: 33.50
Cut Loss: 33.32 NZD/USD Official Trading PlanNZD/USD Official Trading Plan
1. Trading Instrument
Trading Instrument: NZD/USD
2. Analysis Timeframe
Analysis Timeframe: 2H Band Trading
3. Entry Level
Go long near the market price at 0.57541
4. Stop Loss Level
Full position stop loss placed at 0.57380.
Strictly execute stop loss once the price breaks the stop loss level, no holding and no subjective adjustment. This trade is configured with a fixed risk-reward ratio of 1:16.
5. Take Profit & Risk Protection Rules
1. First Target: 0.58270
Reduce half of the position, move stop loss forward to lock floating profits and protect remaining positions.
2. Second Target: 0.58950
Reduce half of the remaining positions again, continue to push up stop loss to further expand profit protection range.
3. Third Target: 0.5988880
Reduce half of the remaining positions, push stop loss again to fully secure trading profits.
Leave the last tail position to run with the trend and dynamically adjust protection according to real-time price movement.
6. Position Sizing
Trade with a fixed 1:16 risk-reward ratio for band trading. Control single trade risk within a reasonable range, prohibit over-sizing and averaging down against the trend. All position calculations strictly comply with the preset high reward trading structure.
7. Trading Cycle
2H cycle band trading. Hold positions according to trend structure, close partial positions step by step at each target level, and retain tail positions to capture further trend extension opportunities.
8. Risk Transaction Reminder
Foreign exchange markets are affected by international capital flows, macroeconomic data, interest rate expectations and global risk sentiment, with uncertain intraday volatility and sudden trend reversals. 2H band trading has medium holding cycle risk, and price gap and slippage may occur in extreme market conditions, which will affect the actual execution of stop loss and take profit. This trade adopts a high 1:16 risk-reward strategy, which requires stricter execution discipline. Graded position reduction and stop loss pushing can effectively control risks, but cannot completely eliminate market uncertainty. All position adjustment operations must be executed strictly in accordance with the pre-set plan, and impulsive temporary position opening and position adjustment are prohibited.
Professional Disclaimer
All financial transactions involve huge risks such as price fluctuations, liquidity imbalance and sudden market reversals. The foreign exchange market trades continuously with high uncertainty, and slippage often occurs in stop-loss and take-profit execution. Leveraged trading amplifies both returns and risks, and may cause partial or total loss of principal. This trading plan is only for personal strategy reference and does not constitute any investment invitation or financial advice. All opening, closing and risk control decisions are independently executed by the trader, and all profit and loss consequences shall be borne solely by the trader.
AUD/USD Official Trading PlanAUD/USD Official Trading Plan
1. Trading Instrument
Trading Instrument: AUD/USD
2. Analysis Timeframe
Analysis Timeframe: 2H Band Trading
3. Entry Level
Go long near the market price at 0.771275
4. Stop Loss Level
Full position stop loss placed at 0.71180.
Strictly execute stop loss once the price breaks the stop loss level, no holding and no subjective adjustment.
5. Take Profit & Risk Protection Rules
1. First Target: 0.71700
Reduce half of the position, move stop loss forward to lock floating profits and protect remaining positions.
2. Second Target: 0.72000
Reduce partial positions again, continue to push up stop loss to further expand profit protection range.
3. Third Target: 0.723390
Reduce half of the remaining positions, push stop loss again to fully secure trading profits.
Leave the last tail position to run with the trend and dynamically adjust protection according to real-time price movement.
6. Position Sizing
Trade with fixed band trading risk ratio. Control single trade risk within a reasonable range, prohibit over-sizing and averaging down against the trend.
7. Trading Cycle
2H cycle band trading. Hold positions according to trend structure, close positions partially at each target level, and hold tail positions for trend extension opportunities.
8. Risk Transaction Reminder
Foreign exchange markets are affected by international capital flows, macroeconomic data, interest rate expectations and global risk sentiment, with uncertain intraday volatility and sudden trend reversals. 2H band trading has medium holding cycle risk, and price gap and slippage may occur in extreme market conditions, which will affect the actual execution of stop loss and take profit. Graded position reduction and stop loss pushing can effectively control risks, but cannot completely eliminate market uncertainty. All position adjustment operations must be executed strictly in accordance with the pre-set plan, and impulsive temporary position opening and position adjustment are prohibited.
Professional Disclaimer
All financial transactions involve huge risks such as price fluctuations, liquidity imbalance and sudden market reversals. The foreign exchange market trades continuously with high uncertainty, and slippage often occurs in stop-loss and take-profit execution. Leveraged trading amplifies both returns and risks, and may cause partial or total loss of principal. This trading plan is only for personal strategy reference and does not constitute any investment invitation or financial advice. All opening, closing and risk control decisions are independently executed by the trader, and all profit and loss consequences shall be borne solely by the trader.
