外汇市场
USD/CAD(20250502)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Hassett, director of the U.S. National Economic Council: Tariff news is expected to be announced before the end of today (Thursday, Eastern Time). ② U.S. Vice President Vance: India may be one of the first countries to reach a trade agreement. ③ The United States confirmed that Canadian and Mexican auto parts are tariff-free. ④ British media: The EU plans to purchase an additional 50 billion euros of U.S. goods in order to resolve trade issues.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying
GBPUSD(20250502)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Hassett, director of the U.S. National Economic Council: Tariff news is expected to be announced before the end of today (Thursday, Eastern Time). ② U.S. Vice President Vance: India may be one of the first countries to reach a trade agreement. ③ The United States confirmed that Canadian and Mexican auto parts are tariff-free. ④ British media: The EU plans to purchase an additional 50 billion euros of U.S. goods in order to resolve trade issues.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying
EURUSD(20250502) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① Hassett, director of the U.S. National Economic Council: Tariff news is expected to be announced before the end of today (Thursday, Eastern Time). ② U.S. Vice President Vance: India may be one of the first countries to reach a trade agreement. ③ The United States confirmed that Canadian and Mexican auto parts are tariff-free. ④ British media: The EU plans to purchase an additional 50 billion euros of U.S. goods in order to resolve trade issues.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying
{2025/5/2} EURUSD:欧元转折点只需要盯紧1.116即可!
FX:EURUSD
川普上台后,欧股和欧元走势出现劈叉,即便当时欧元汇率低,也能勉强支撑进出口平衡及贸易收支平衡。
这也是去年底开始欧元贸易有效汇率一直在历史新高徘徊的原因。
结果川子上台后,该有的结构被打乱,欧元升值是被美元下跌被动推高,欧股上涨是因为川子让欧盟拉胯的从分裂的个体走向抱团,实现等于做梦,先把牛吹出去,市场有这个预期就行了。
接下来剧本很清晰,高汇率对企业盈利和居民消费形成挤压,这是他们可能要主动解决的,至少一段时间都在钟摆里波动,短期不确定性集中在关税保护期内无法达成协议的可能性。
2、不过还是有意外,而且要提防,欧元价格表现如果能回到1.116下方才能有效确认下跌,如果回撤持续撑在这里,那就还有变数。变数事后可以有很多种解释,但在盘面上看,这个位置破不下去,就有依次摸其他阻力的可能性。
原来高手不是更自律,而是更会「设计习惯」我们都知道纪律对交易的重要性。但在日复一日的交易决策中,面对无数选择与不确定性,保持纪律有时仿佛是一种需要强大意志力的战斗。
但今天,我们要换个角度来看待纪律——从世界知名行为心理学家 Chase Hughes 的观点出发。他提出的重点不在于强迫自己更坚强、更专注,而是让纪律变得更容易触及,甚至,令人期待。
重新解码「纪律」
纪律常常被误解。我们看到那些清晨五点起床、健身、饮食健康、每日如机器般按表操课的人,就会以为他们拥有钢铁般的意志力。但正如 Chase 所指出的,那并不是真正的纪律展现,而是长期习惯的结果。
想想你刷牙的过程。你不需要强迫自己去做,它已经变成「自动执行」。但这个习惯,当初也是靠一点点纪律开始养成的。
所以,与其每天逼迫自己做困难的选择,不如反过来思考:先设定你想要的结果(例如坚持交易计划),再问自己:有哪些日常行为,会「自然地」导向这个结果?
目标不在于变得有纪律,而是在于建立习惯。因为习惯,只需要起初那一点点纪律的火花。
关键:让纪律成为多巴胺来源
Chase Hughes 如此形容纪律:
「纪律就是把未来的自己放在当下自己之前。























