Page 2 | Ideas and Forecasts on Indices — TradingView

The SPX500 And Its Final Push Higher Let’s take a look at the current S&P 500 structure from an Elliott Wave perspective. On the highest degree of our count, we are currently in the final Wave (V) to the upside (shown in blue). This Wave (V) started at the beginning of October 2022, and since then, the S&P 500 has gained more than 100%. The orange count shows the internal structure of this Wave (V). Here, we can see that we are also in the final Wave V to the upside. Going one degree lower , the purple subwaves show the internal structure of this final Wave V. A Wave (4) correction has just come to an end, suggesting that the final impulsive move higher may now be developing. What makes the current structure particularly interesting is how the different wave degrees align with each other. As long as this structure remains intact, the final move higher could potentially take the S&P 500 towards a new ATH, with a maximum target around 8,624. However, once this final Wave (V) is completed, the larger structure could change significantly and open the door for a major correction. For now, the focus remains on the structure in front of us. As long as the count remains valid, there can still be opportunities on the long side. Let me know what you think

US100 Massive Bullish Breakout! HI,Traders ! #US100 is trading in a strong Uptrend and the price just Made a massive bullish Breakout of the falling Resistance line and the Breakout is confirmed So after a potential pullback We will be expecting a Further bullish continuation ! Comment and subscribe to help us grow !

by kacim_elloitt

USNAS100 | Bulls Target 29465 as Yields & Oil Retreat USNAS100 is showing bullish momentum today, supported not only by the technical structure but also by an improvement in the short-term fundamental backdrop. Following yesterday’s Fed rate hike, Nasdaq futures are rebounding strongly as long-term Treasury yields ease and oil prices continue to retreat. Nasdaq 100 futures were up roughly 1% in early U.S. trading, outperforming the other major indices. Lower long-term yields are particularly supportive for technology and growth stocks because they reduce some of the valuation pressure created by higher borrowing costs. Technically The price is currently consolidating inside the 29280–29465 range, while momentum remains bullish as long as the market holds above the 29280 pivot. The first upside target remains 29465. A confirmed 1H candle close above 29465 would strengthen the bullish structure and support an extension toward 29680. On the downside, the bullish setup would begin to weaken if the market loses 29280. A confirmed 4H candle close below 29280 would shift momentum bearish and open the way toward 29040, followed by 28850 if selling pressure continues. Fundamental Structure The immediate environment is currently supportive for Nasdaq: oil is falling, the 10-year Treasury yield is easing, and technology shares are leading today’s recovery. However, the broader macro risk has not disappeared. The Fed raised rates by 25 bps yesterday to 3.75%–4.00%, and policymakers indicated that further tightening could be necessary. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 51% probability of another hike in October, up from around 44% before the decision. Pivot Line: 29280 Resistance: 29465 – 29680 Support: 29040 – 28850

NASDAQ 18/9/2026 These areas are very important areas that hide the philosophy of trading and large capital behind them. In the current situation, we use these areas for shorts, and if these areas are broken, we can use them for longs. Do not forget about proper capital management and risk-free trading. Always be successful and profitable.

CVNA / SPX / NDX Review — Sept 18, 2026 CVNA / SPX / NDX Review — Sept 18, 2026 SPX (Weekly): Nadir in March 2026, rallied into May Sideways May–August, , then an August pump. Price now inside a descending tertiary channel with a polarity line formed during the sideways phase. During FOMC volatility, price tagged the polarity line and bounced back into the channel. Volume running below its moving average. No conviction behind the move, so expecting the range/downtrend to continue for now. NDX (Weekly): Sharper decline than SPX from June–August (AI-driven downturn), rallied back toward 30,000, now in its own descending channel on declining volume. Key polarity/support level ~28,800 — price has bounced off this level before; treating it as strong support. CVNA (Weekly): Peaked earlier than SPX (April), declined into a June–August sideways range, August pump took it to ~$75, until being rejected by down trending S/R Polarity line (Green). You also see the descending S/R trendline pressing into horizontal support (~$57–65) — forming a descending triangle. Thesis: range-bound in the near term, eventually resolves lower as the triangle compresses. MFI: Watching MFI for a touch of the lower trendline as a possible bounce signal. Noted a secondary zone ~$73.90–76.10 as a short/resistance area. Position: Long CVNA puts on the breakdown thesis. Key risks to track: Time decay if the range persists longer than the contract's duration. Invalidation if price reclaims back above the $75–76 bounce highs rather than continuing to compress.

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by DrDeltaTrades

NASDAQ / US TECH 100 — 2H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊 NASDAQ / US TECH 100 — 2H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🧭 Market Structure • Liquidity • FVG • Order Block • Key Levels Instrument: US Tech 100 Cash Timeframe: 2H Chart price: ~29,279 Chart date: 17 Sep 2026 🏗️ 1. MARKET STRUCTURE The chart shows a significant recovery from the 28,750–28,800 support region. 🔹 A CHoCH (Change of Character) is marked around 29,000–29,050, indicating a shift from the prior bearish structure. 🔹 Price subsequently created higher lows and pushed back toward 29,300, suggesting improving short-term structure. 🔹 However, price is still approaching the descending trendline, so the larger 2H bearish structure has not been completely invalidated yet. Key structural point: A sustained break and 2H close above the descending trendline would provide stronger confirmation of continuation toward the upper resistance zone. 🟢 2. ORDER BLOCK + FVG The most important near-term demand area on your chart is: 🟩 Order Block ≈ 29,100 – 29,170 🟦 Fair Value Gap ≈ 29,050 – 29,100 This creates a relatively compact 29,050–29,170 reaction zone. If price retraces into this area and buyers defend it, the structure remains constructive. 📌 Important: A clean 2H breakdown through this zone would weaken the bullish scenario and increase the probability of a deeper retracement. 📈 3. BULLISH CONTINUATION SCENARIO Your projected path on the chart is technically consistent with a retracement → demand reaction → continuation structure: 29,279 ⬇️ 🟩 29,170–29,100 OB ⬇️ 🟦 29,100–29,050 FVG ⬆️ 📈 reclaim 29,250–29,300 ⬆️ 🚀 break descending trendline ⬆️ 🎯 29,600–29,750 resistance The important confirmation is not simply touching the OB/FVG. Ideally, price should show rejection + structural recovery from that zone. 🔴 4. MAJOR RESISTANCE 🟥 Resistance Zone: 29,600 – 29,750 This is the major supply area highlighted on your chart. It contains the previous swing-high region and represents the next significant upside obstacle. Within this area: 29,600 → lower boundary 29,700 → major previous high area 29,750 → upper boundary A move into this zone should therefore be treated as a major reaction area, rather than assuming automatic continuation. ⚠️ 5. BEARISH INVALIDATION / RISK AREAS The immediate warning level is the 29,050–29,100 demand region. If price: 🔻 loses the FVG 🔻 breaks the Order Block 🔻 fails to reclaim the area then the bullish recovery structure becomes weaker. The next major downside reference on your chart is: 🟥 28,753.6 — Major Support This is the clearly marked horizontal support and sits near the recent swing-low structure. A sustained break below this region would materially change the chart structure. 🧩 KEY LEVEL MAP Zone Level Role 🔴 Major Resistance 29,600–29,750 Supply ⚠️ Trendline / Pivot ~29,300 Breakout confirmation area 🟢 Current Price ~29,279 Decision area 🟩 Order Block 29,100–29,170 Demand 🟦 FVG ~29,050–29,100 Imbalance 🟠 Structure ~29,000 CHoCH region 🔴 Major Support 28,753.6 Structural support 🎯 PROFESSIONAL SCENARIO MAP 🟢 Scenario A — Bullish Continuation 29,050–29,170 holds ➡️ rejection from demand ➡️ reclaim 29,250–29,300 ➡️ break descending trendline ➡️ continuation toward 29,600–29,750 Confirmation: preferably a decisive 2H close above the relevant trendline/resistance. 🔴 Scenario B — Deeper Correction 29,050–29,100 fails ➡️ FVG gets invalidated ➡️ Order Block loses support ➡️ lower levels become relevant ➡️ 28,753.6 becomes the major structural reference 🟡 Scenario C — Range / Choppy Conditions If price remains between approximately: 29,100 ↔ 29,300 then the market is effectively operating inside a short-term decision range. In that situation, waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown provides clearer structural information than interpreting every intraday wick as a trend change. 🧠 FINAL TECHNICAL READ The 2H chart is at a decision point. The recovery from 28,753.6 and the marked CHoCH indicate improving structure, while the 29,100–29,170 OB/FVG zone provides the key demand reference. At the same time, the descending trendline and 29,600–29,750 resistance zone mean the broader reversal still requires confirmation. 🔑 Levels to watch 29,300 → trendline/breakout confirmation 29,170–29,050 → demand / OB + FVG 29,600–29,750 → major resistance 28,753.6 → major support 📌 conclusion: 🟢 Bullish continuation remains structurally possible while the marked demand zone is defended, but confirmation comes from reclaiming the ~29,300 area and breaking the descending trendline. A loss of the 29,050–29,100 zone shifts attention back toward lower support, with 28,753.6 as the major reference. ⚠️ Educational technical analysis only — use position sizing and risk management appropriate to your strategy.

by MarketStrategysignals

Nifty levels - Sep 21, 2026 Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!

NAS100 Trade Set Up Sep 18 2026 Price has swept an external BSL and shifted bearish on the 15m so i will want to see a fill of the 30m FVG and tap into 15m supply to then trade to lower SSL

by Indicesforlife

DAX 40 Update: DAX Index Falls on Friday PEPPERSTONE:GER40 Frankfurt's DAX 40 index fell approximately 0.7% to the 25,500 level on Friday, reversing course after two consecutive sessions of gains and moving in line with broader European market trends. A cautious sentiment returned to European markets following a week dominated by central bank decisions, even as oil prices resumed their decline. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Price Action Analysis (H4 Timeframe) The macro H4 structure reflects a Bearish Structure / Relief Retest Phase. After a gradual decline from the record high near the 26,624.5 green line, the GER40 index slid downward, establishing a temporary bottom via a liquidity sweep (a "wick" penetration below the level) at the floor of the Major Demand Zone (25,197.0 – 25,307.0). At the 25,441.2 price level, the most recent H4 candle shows a minor downward correction after bouncing off the 25,197.0 low and stalling at the 25,828.3 green line resistance. The current candle is holding above the local Higher Low (HL) area—specifically above the 25,307.0 floor—indicating an attempt to build a defensive base prior to the next potential recovery push. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Key Zones: - ⚡Resistance / Supply Zone (SBR): The 25,828.3 green line range (SBR area & nearest local resistance), the 26,174 green line, and the 26,624.5 green line (peak of the Major Supply Zone). - ⚡Support / Demand Zone: The 25,307.0 – 25,400.0 green line range and the 25,197.0 green line (the absolute floor of the Major Demand Zone). ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Forward Outlook - ⚡The sharp decline from the peak of 26,624.5 to the low of 25,197.0 is calculated as the completion of Sub-Wave A (or Wave 1). The upward rebound touching the green line at 25,828.3 is identified as the formation of Sub-Wave B (a micro zigzag correction). - ⚡The mild decline from 25,828.3 to 25,441.2 is currently identified as the formation of a micro sub-wave 2/B within a relief rally structure. - ⚡Price action is projected to complete consolidation above the 25,307.0 demand level before launching an impulsive upward push (relief wave) to break the 25,828 resistance, aiming to test the Supply Zone barrier near the green line at 26,174.

US30 — SELLING PRESSURE STILL DOMINANT US30 has already experienced a significant downside move, with sellers demonstrating strong control throughout the recent price action. Despite the decline already seen, the broader bearish structure remains intact, suggesting that the selling pressure may not be exhausted yet. The current market behavior continues to favor the downside, with price maintaining bearish momentum and sellers defending the upside. As long as the structure remains weak and buying attempts fail to establish sustained bullish control, US30 can continue extending lower from the current levels. The focus remains on the continuation of the bearish structure rather than chasing the move. Any corrective upside reaction should be monitored carefully for signs of rejection and renewed selling pressure. If sellers maintain control, another leg lower remains technically possible. Market: US30 Bias: Bearish 📉 Current Move: Strong selling already delivered Outlook: Further downside potential Approach: Wait for confirmation and manage risk professionally.

by asgharphulpoto

DXY | Holds Steady as Inflation Pressures Ease Macro approach: - The US dollar index remained broadly steady as lower oil prices eased near-term inflation concerns. - At the same time, the decision to delay new tariffs on China until the upcoming US-China meeting helped reduce fears of further cost-push inflation through higher import prices. - With inflation risks moderating, the US dollar could stay range-bound despite the Federal Reserve’s recent hawkish guidance. Technical approach: - After a surge toward the key resistance at 100.35, DXY corrected and fluctuate within the range of 100.03-100.35. The index is above both diverging bullish EMAs, suggesting a potential uptrend continuation. - If DXY breaks above 100.35, the index may raise toward the next resistance at 101.00. - On the contrary, breaking below 100.03 and EMA21 may prompt a further correction toward the following support at 99.50 and EMA78. Analysis by: Quoc Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness

Upper DXY pyramid scheme reached DXY (Dollar Currency Strength Index) is at the upper end of this years pyramid scheme. Pyramid shown here in 3D using 2D.

correction The uptrend is expected to advance to the specified resistance zone, followed by a probable trend reversal and the start of a downtrend. If the resistance zone is broken, the uptrend may continue.

$DJI $MID Other Side of the Market: Real Economy Weakness While all the attention is focused on tech holding up, the other side of the tape is telling a very different story. If you want to know what is actually happening in the broader economy, look at the Dow Industrials and the Mid Caps. They are not enjoying the same cushion as big tech. Dow Industrials Breaking Down The TVC:DJI has rolled over in a meaningful way. It sliced right through its first rising moving average with a heavy red weekly bar, and price is now drifting down toward its lower blue baseline support around the 50k area. Weekly momentum has turned negative and continues to slide with zero signs of buyers stepping in to absorb supply. When industrials and traditional blue chips lose their footing like this, it shows money quietly stepping aside from old guard economic pillars. Mid Caps Testing Major Support The S&P Mid Caps look vulnerable as well. SP:MID has retraced straight back into a massive multi month support. This is the first real stress test of this key breakout area. Mid tier companies are far more sensitive to credit conditions and domestic economic demand. If this support floor holds, the broader bull structure survives. But if sellers push it through this on a weekly close, it opens the door to a much deeper drop. Where SPX Fits In The S&P 500 sits right in the middle of this tug of war (not shown). It is holding up noticeably better than the Dow and Mid Caps because mega cap tech is providing a temporary shield. However, it is certainly not acting as resilient as the Nasdaq or the semiconductors. The SPX is caught between two worlds: tech trying to keep the headline indexes buoyant, while traditional cyclicals and mid caps are actively cracking underneath. The Bigger Picture When the general market gets this split, you cannot look at headline numbers and assume everything is healthy. The troops are already retreating while a handful of generals hold the line. Holding a solid cash position remains the smartest path right now. Let the Dow and Mid Caps finish testing these critical support levels before assuming the coast is clear.

by ROW_Partners

US30 Trade Set Up Sep 18 2026 Price remains in a strong bearish trend so i will want to see a fill of the bearish 1h FVG and supply to then look for internal bearish structure to continue lower to demand and the lower 1h FVG

by Indicesforlife

USA100 MARKEY OUTLOOK Price is consolidating in a tight range. We can see how it’s forming a distribution stage and we are likely to see price starts to make a correction of the large impulse movement that the market made previous weeks. I’m looking forward to selling this pair from the intraday perspective

A Rate Hike Could be the Better Outcome This Time Around With the September 16th Fed meeting approaching, we want to share a view that cuts against the conventional narrative. Markets are conditioned to fear rate hikes. But in the current environment, sticky persistent inflation, elevated oil prices, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty, a pause may actually be the worse outcome. A pause could spark a brief relief rally, but long-term yields would likely begin rising almost immediately as markets price in prolonged rate uncertainty. That re-rating of the long end of the curve is a headwind for valuations that tends to do more damage than the initial relief rally is worth. A 25bp hike, counterintuitively, could be the cleaner outcome. It signals Fed confidence in tackling inflation decisively, historically a more constructive backdrop for equities than the alternative of watching inflation expectations drift higher unchecked. Long-term inflation expectations stabilise, Treasury yields find a clearer path, valuation uncertainty compresses, and equities can trade on fundamentals again rather than on rate speculation. We are not calling the outcome. We are flagging the framework. Two data points between now and September 16th will largely determine which path the Fed takes: US Jobs Report - September 4th CPI Inflation - September 11th The Fed has been explicit about being data-driven. These two releases are the most important inputs to their decision. We will have a much clearer picture of the likely outcome by mid-September. Watch the data.

by Vasileios_Kairaktidis

Bullish bounce at pullback support?USTEC is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce towards the 1st resistance. Pivot: 29,260.21 1st Support: 28,610.39 1st Resistance: 29,295.16 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.

Forecast My morning forecast on the pairs i am looking at today

06:00

NIFTY 50 18-SEP START If sustain above 23260 levels, buy 23400 CE. Important levels marked on chart. 23280.. 23430 levels upside, 23200 downside. Happy trading..!!

by Scorpion_King

DXY — Bulls Pushed Higher, Now What?💵 The US Dollar Index has shown a strong bullish recovery, breaking through multiple resistance zones and pushing toward a major supply area. After reclaiming the previous structure, price has now reacted from the upper zone and started pulling back. The next move will depend on whether buyers can regain control or sellers continue the rejection. 🏆 Previously: 📈 Bullish scenario The recent move shows clear bullish momentum, with price breaking above previous zones and expanding higher. If DXY holds the reclaimed structure and breaks back above the current upper zone, the recovery could continue toward the next resistance area. A successful breakout would confirm further bullish expansion. Zone reclaim → resistance breakout → bullish continuation. 📉 Bearish scenario The upper zone is now acting as an important reaction area. If price remains rejected and breaks below the nearby support zone, the current recovery could lose momentum and turn into a deeper retracement. A stronger breakdown may bring the lower demand zones back into focus. Resistance rejection → support breakdown → deeper retracement. 🎯 Outlook DXY has recovered strongly, but price is now facing a major decision point near the upper zone. The reaction from this area will determine whether buyers can continue the expansion or whether the market returns to the previous structure. Hold the reclaimed zone → bullish structure remains intact. Break the upper zone → further upside opens up. Lose the nearby support → deeper downside becomes likely. Strong recovery → upper-zone rejection → breakout watch.

Nifty September 4th Week Analysis ( Detailed Analysis )Nifty’s weekly close at 23,346 is not very optimistic for the bulls. It is the 7th consecutive red bar on the Nifty weekly chart, which is not very common. Global uncertainties are making the bull case weak. If we get any positive news flow in the upcoming week, we can expect a possible rebound from the 23,300–23,000 zone. The important level for bears is last week’s low at 23,117. If bears are able to grip this level, we can expect further retracement up to 22,928–22,840. If Nifty bulls activate and manage to cross and sustain above the base level of 23,400–23,460, we can expect positive momentum. All levels are marked in the chart posted.

by IshanMathur05

Banknifty September 4th Week Analysis.Bank Nifty is looking neutral for the upcoming week. Currently, bears have a better grip over the bulls, but in the past two weeks, they could not hold the 55,950–55,724 zone. This indicates that if bulls manage to claim the 56,535–56,700 zone, the uptrend can continue further up to 57,394+. If bears succeed in gripping the 55,950–55,724 zone, further retracement is possible. All levels are marked in the chart posted.

by IshanMathur05