NASDAQ H4 | Heading Towards 61.8% FIb ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rising to our sell entry level at 29,216.24, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Our stop loss is set at 29,839.81, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 28,810.74, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Market indices
$ NASDAQ $ Hello everyone, 👋
Yesterday's session remained relatively calm despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The market is now shifting its focus toward a crucial week of Big Tech earnings, with companies like Alphabet, Tesla, and Intel expected to set the tone for the next major move. At the same time, investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East, as any escalation could quickly increase volatility.
For today's intraday trading, patience remains key. We'll wait for the U.S. session to open before looking for high-probability setups. While the broader trend is still constructive, short-term price action will likely be driven by news flow and market reaction around key technical levels rather than by long-term expectations.
🟢 As always, a break above the green level will have me looking for immediate long opportunities.
🔴 A break below the red level will shift my focus toward potential short setups.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk appropriately before making any trading decisions.
NIFY SENTIMENT ANALYSIS FOR 21July 2026📊 NIFTY Daily Sentiment Analysis | 21 July 2026 | Bull Trap or Trend Continuation?
Most traders focus on where Price is.
I focus on whether Time agrees with Price.
Today's analysis presents one of the most interesting setups I've seen recently because the market is sending two completely different signals.
Opening Character
🟢 Bullish
✅ Strong Bullish Confirmation
⚡ Behaviour: Explosive
However...
⚠️ Underlying Direction
🔴 STRONG BEARISH
This is exactly the kind of divergence that often creates Bull Traps, Failed Breakouts, or Sharp Reversals.
A bullish opening doesn't guarantee a bullish day.
It only tells us who won the first battle.
The real question is...
Who wins the war?
Key Price Levels
Resistance
🎯 24,274
🚧 24,330
🚀 24,386
Opening Anchor
📍 24,218.10
Support
🛡️ 24,162
🛡️ 24,106
Market Signature
• Opening Price: 24,218.10
• CE Open: 79
• PE Open: 49.9
• Nifty Root: 5
• Day Number: 2
• Moon Degree: 204.925°
• Moon Root: 6
• Shiva Maya Center: 224
Sector Leadership
🥇 Infrastructure & Metals
🥈 PSU
Time Window I'm Watching
⏰ 2:20 PM
This is today's final Anchor Time.
If buyers reclaim and sustain above 24,274 into this window, the market could expand towards 24,330 and 24,386.
However, if 24,218.10 fails decisively, the bearish undercurrent may quickly pull prices towards 24,162 and 24,106.
Trading Roadmap
24,106 → 24,162 → 24,218.10 → 24,274 → 24,330 → 24,386
Final Sentiment
🟢 Opening Character: Bullish
🔴 Underlying Direction: Strong Bearish
⚡ Behaviour: Explosive
⚠️ High Probability of a Bull Trap / Conflict Day
The market doesn't reward opinions.
It rewards patience, discipline, and understanding when Time and Price finally align.
This analysis is shared before the outcome and is intended for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice.
US100 Faces Growing Bearish PressureUS100 remains under strong bearish pressure after failing to break above a long-term descending trendline and repeatedly rejecting major supply zones. The chart continues to print lower highs and lower lows, confirming that sellers remain firmly in control of the broader trend. Recent price action shows another rejection from resistance, while the Ichimoku Cloud continues to favor the downside with price trading below key technical levels. Any short-term recovery is likely to face selling pressure unless buyers can reclaim the highlighted resistance area with strong momentum.
The current market structure suggests that bears are targeting lower support levels as downside momentum continues to build. A confirmed rejection below resistance could trigger another wave of selling and extend the prevailing downtrend. Traders should wait for bearish confirmation while maintaining disciplined risk management around key technical zones.
🎯 Bearish Targets: • 28,243 – First downside target
• 27,878 – Second downside target
• 27,519 – Third downside target
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
NAS100 H1 | Bullish Consolidation in Parallel ChannelMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 28,703.65
- Pullback support
- 71% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 28,382.97
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 29,052.41
- Swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
DowJones balancing geopolitics and rising bond yieldsThe Dow Jones traded cautiously on Tuesday as investors balanced tentative signs of progress in Middle East ceasefire talks against continued geopolitical tensions and rising bond yields. While reports suggested mediators had proposed a 10-day ceasefire between Iran and Israel, fresh threats from the Houthis and continued US strikes on Iran kept oil prices elevated, with Brent crude closing above $89 a barrel.
Higher Treasury yields also weighed on sentiment, with the 10-year yield climbing to its highest levels in weeks as investors reacted to signs of looser fiscal policy in the UK and persistent inflation concerns. Rising real yields continue to present a headwind for equities, particularly rate-sensitive sectors.
Today, attention turns to UK employment data, Germany's ZEW economic sentiment survey and the ECB's Bank Lending Survey, while earnings from General Motors, Capital One, Charles Schwab and Interactive Brokers will provide fresh insight into the health of the US consumer and financial markets. The Dow Jones remains caught between resilient corporate earnings and macroeconomic headwinds from higher yields and geopolitical uncertainty.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 52470
Resistance Level 2: 52650
Resistance Level 3: 52850
Support Level 1: 51733
Support Level 2: 51570
Support Level 3: 61370
The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.
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S&P 500: Triangle Consolidation as Momentum WeakensS&P 500: Triangle Consolidation as Momentum Weakens
S&P 500 — 4H Timeframe
Market Structure
The S&P 500 remains within a broader bullish structure but is currently consolidating inside a narrowing triangle. Price is trading near the EMA 50, while momentum indicators show increasing weakness.
Key Levels
Resistance: 7,471
Support: 7,320
Technical Signals
The triangle reflects a period of market indecision ahead of a potentially strong directional move.
RSI continues to decline, indicating weakening buying pressure, while OsMA has moved into negative territory. Price has also failed to confirm a breakout above resistance.
Bullish Scenario
A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 7,471 would invalidate the current weakness and increase the probability of a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Bearish Scenario
A breakdown and close below 7,320 would confirm a bearish exit from the triangle and increase the risk of a deeper market correction.
Conclusion
The S&P 500 is approaching a decisive point. Until price breaks and holds outside the triangle, both scenarios remain valid. The next sustained move beyond 7,471 or below 7,320 will likely determine the short-term direction.
Volatility Index Faces Further DownsideThe Volatility Index is struggling to maintain upward momentum after a recent rebound. With market confidence improving and risk appetite returning, volatility may continue to trend lower. A bearish outlook remains valid while price stays below key resistance. Watching for further sell-side continuation.
NAS100 (US100) 2H Analysis 📈 NAS100 (US100) 2H Analysis – Bullish Recovery After Liquidity Sweep 🚀
🟢 Market Structure:
Price swept liquidity below the major support zone and quickly reclaimed higher levels, signaling potential buyer strength.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Liquidity sweep completed at support.
✅ Strong bullish rejection from demand zone.
✅ Price is attempting to build a higher low.
⚠️ Minor pullback may occur before continuation.
🎯 A successful break above the recent swing high could confirm further bullish momentum.
📍 Key Levels:
🟢 Support: 28,215
🔵 Current Resistance: 28,980 – 29,000
🎯 Bullish Target: 29,400 – 29,500
⚡ Trading Bias: Bullish 📈
Wait for a healthy pullback and bullish confirmation before looking for continuation toward the next resistance zone.
💡 Trade Smart: Let price confirm the setup—don't chase the move. Risk management remains the priority.
[JP225] Post-BOS Pullback: Observing the EMA Resistance levelsCurrent Status:
Price is currently in a retracement phase following the confirmed Bearish BOS. We are testing the EMA 20 (Yellow circle). If the momentum continues, the next resistance to watch is the EMA 50 (Green circle).
Since the price is trading below the EMA 200, my macro bias remains strictly bearish as long as this level is not breached.
Strategy:
The goal here is not to "predict" the top of the pullback, but to observe how the price reacts at these key levels. I am initiating a Probe Short to test the downward momentum.
Action Plan:
I will monitor for rejection at the EMA 20 or EMA 50. If the price remains suppressed below the EMA 200, the structural integrity of the downtrend remains intact. Discipline is about following the process, not chasing the price.
#JP225 #Nikkei225 #TechnicalAnalysis #PropFirm #AestheticsOfSubtraction
Bank Nifty Index Intaday Technical Analysis for 21st of July, 26NSE:BANKNIFTY
Nifty Bank Index (NSE) | Intraday Structure | July 21, 2026
Bank Nifty is trading around 57,975.35, holding slightly above the 57,945 Zero Line. The index has staged a clean structural bounce off its lower support bases near 57,533, pulling back into a tight consolidation node right above its primary pivot zone as market participants build acceptance.
Price action enters the new session compressed near its central benchmark. Institutional desks are holding back size, waiting for a clear 15-minute high-volume candle breakout away from this cluster to establish the next directional expansion leg. Let the market validate structural acceptance before positioning capital.
Bullish Triggers
Long Entry: Above 57,890 (strongly validated while price maintains structural footing above the 57,822 Add Long Pos. band).
Targets: 58,302 - 58,523
Risk Control: Structure weakens below 57,822. Hard exit below 57,698.
Bearish Triggers
Short Entry: Below 57,754 (validated if liquidity flushes push price back below the 57,945 Zero Line, turning it into a rigid distribution ceiling).
Targets: 57,588 - 57,367
Risk Control: Cover immediately above 57,946. Day Bias remains structurally protected above 57,533.
No-Trade Chop Zone: 57,698 - 57,890
Expect highly rotational, choppy price action inside this decision block as option writers seek to decay premium. Avoid chasing early morning whipsaws inside this range; let a clean structural candle breakout provide true execution verification.
Execution Rule: Structure first, confirmation next. Zero anticipation.
Hit Boost and drop your view in the comments if you're tracking these levels today.
#BankNifty
US30 – Retest of Descending Trendline: Breakout or Rejection?US30 has rallied into a key confluence area where a descending trendline intersects with a previous supply/resistance zone around 52,330–52,420.
The current move appears to be a retest of broken structure, but buyers are now facing significant overhead resistance. Price is trading directly beneath the descending trendline, making this a decisive area for the next directional move.
Technical Outlook
Bias: Bearish unless price confirms a breakout.
Price is testing a descending trendline that has capped previous rallies.
Resistance is reinforced by the highlighted supply zone.
The rejection area offers a favorable risk-to-reward setup for sellers.
Bearish Scenario
If sellers defend this zone and price rejects the trendline, US30 could rotate lower toward:
First Target: 52,150–52,100
Second Target: 52,020
Extended Target: Previous swing lows below 51,950 if momentum accelerates.
Bullish Invalidation
A strong 30-minute candle closing above 52,420–52,480, followed by a successful retest, would invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for continuation toward 52,600+.
Trade Idea
Entry: Rejection from the trendline/supply zone.
Stop Loss: Above the supply zone around 52,480–52,500.
Take Profit: 52,150, then 52,020, with runners toward the previous lows.
Key Levels
Resistance: 52,330–52,480
Support: 52,150–52,020
Trend: Descending trendline remains the dominant technical structure.
US100: Buyers Defend Major Support – Rebound Ahead?US100: Buyers Defend Major Support – Rebound Ahead?
US100 has declined into a major demand zone, an area that has previously attracted strong buying interest. This is the second test of this support, making it a critical level for determining the market's next move.
While the setup offers a potential bullish reversal, it remains high risk.
Buying directly into support without confirmation can expose traders to false bounces, especially if selling pressure remains strong. Waiting for a bullish rejection candle may provide a higher-probability.
If buyers successfully defend this zone, the first upside target is 29,130, where previous support has turned into resistance. A sustained breakout above that level could pave the way toward the next objective at 29,760.
Main Targets:
Target 1: 29,130
Target 2: 29,760
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you and good luck! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
U.S. Stock Market Ready to Fall? At the end of April, I published a post 👉 Why markets actually rise or fall (see related publications) , explaining that the market was clearing the remaining liquidity before a reversal lower.
Since then, BINANCE:BTCUSDT has fallen -16% , reaching -27% at the deepest point.
Meanwhile, the TVC:SPX completed its short-liquidity sweep and reached the upside target from that same post.
Now the stock market also looks ready for a correction ✔️
There is a saying: “If you want to make something look good, first make it worse, then return it to normal.” In my opinion, this perfectly describes Trump’s style.
The logic is simple:
Elections are approaching → U.S. stocks are trading near historic valuations → sustaining further growth becomes increasingly difficult → the market is allowed to correct → closer to the elections, new stimulus or liquidity injections appear → markets recover and the administration presents itself as the force that “saved the economy” 🗣
There are already enough fundamental reasons for a decline:
1️⃣ The War in Iran
2️⃣ Global Central Banks and Why Inflation Is Here to Stay
3️⃣ The Fed
and many others
🕯 Technical Analysis
The charts show the SPCFD:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX forming almost identical structures.
Both indices have created a diamond top reversal pattern , and Nasdaq has already started breaking down from it 📉
Even more importantly, the S&P 500 formed this reversal pattern near the upper boundary of its long-term rising channel, which began back in 2008.
The weekly chart also shows a massive bearish divergence.
My initial downside targets are:
🎯 S&P 500: 6,800
🎯 Nasdaq 100: 25,000
After those levels are reached, I will update the outlook.
💰 What about crypto?
Some understand that the broader crypto market remains bearish, while others are starting to feel FOMO after a small BTC recovery.
But if U.S. stocks move lower, do not expect crypto to rally against the global risk-off trend.
Right now is the time to reduce risk, not increase it .
_____
👉 If you want to trade like a professional and not like a gambler — follow for real insights and strategies 🚀
Markets Last Struggle Before CollapseAs I discussed in this video using 4 different indices, the I expect that the rally now is likely the market's last struggle before an ultimate collapse.
All of them are currently in the wave 3 phase on the highest degree but displaying minor differences in the phases in their lower degrees.
The important stop loss numbers as follows:
Nikkei: >66,000
Nasdaq: >29,040
S&P500: >7,520
Dow Jones: >52,110
Good luck!
GER30 Pinned Between 24,777 & 25,193 — The Break Decides▪️ GER30 H1 SNAPSHOT — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
▪️ the DAX has rolled over to 24,925 after failing at 25,193. The pullback is orderly so far, with price rotating back toward the middle of its range.
▪️ Primary outlook is neutral-to-cautious — 25,193 now caps the tape. Sellers own the near term unless it is reclaimed.
▪️ Key resistance zone: 25,193, rejected 19 times on the way down. Above it the chart is thin — a clean break has room to extend.
▪️ Major defense line: 24,777 — a strong level at 35 retests, the shelf bulls must protect to avoid a deeper leg.
▪️ Primary downside targets: 24,536, followed by 24,263, where resting liquidity sits.
▪️ Major liquidity magnet below: 24,263–24,047 — a test here is where the next real decision gets made.
▪️ Bullish scenario: Reclaim 25,193 and 25,193 becomes the objective bulls want.
▪️ KEY LEVELS
▪️ Current Price: 24,925
RESISTANCEs
▪️ 25,193 — ★★★ 7.6 Strong · 19 retests
SUPPORTs
▪️ 24,777 — ★★★ 7.3 Strong · 35 retests
▪️ 24,536 — ★★ 6.2 Moderate · 25 retests
▪️ 24,263 — ★ 4.3 Weak · 26 retests
▪️ 24,047 — ★★ 6.3 Moderate · 37 retests
▪️ ProjectSyndicate Levels Desk — Overview of key S/R zones for GER30, NVDA, NQ, ES & GC traders every week. Subscribe to stay up to date with the latest levels.
FTSE 100 Bearish Setup
Price has rejected from the upper boundary of the 4H range/resistance zone.
The rejection also coincides with a potential rising wedge / Head & Shoulders breaking to the downside.
Stochastic has a bearish cross following the rejection, suggesting momentum may be shifting lower.
OBV is also beginning to break lower, indicating weakening buying pressure and supporting the bearish move.
Broader geopolitical uncertainty and risk-off sentiment could provide additional downside pressure for UK equities.
Initial downside target sits around the lower 4H support zone near 10,180–10,200.
Invalidation would come from a strong move back above the recent highs / upper resistance zone around 10,700–10,735.
UK inflation data is due this week, which could create volatility across the FTSE and GBP. It may be worth waiting for the data release before entering, or for clearer post-data confirmation of the bearish move.
FTSE 100 Holds Its Range as Momentum Levels OffThe FTSE 100 remains contained within a broad daily consolidation between support near 10,150 and resistance around 10,700. Price recently tested the upper boundary but failed to establish a sustained break, leaving the index positioned near the middle-to-upper portion of the range.
The moving-average structure remains constructive. Price is holding above the rising 50-day SMA near 10,443 and well above the 200-day SMA around 10,178. The shorter average also remains above the longer average, which supports a moderately bullish medium-term backdrop despite the absence of a clear breakout.
Momentum has become less decisive. The MACD line is slightly below its signal line while both remain above the zero level, indicating that positive momentum is fading rather than reversing sharply. RSI is near 52, reinforcing a neutral reading with no sign of overbought or oversold conditions.
The 10,700 area remains the key resistance reference, while 10,150 continues to define the lower boundary of the current range. As long as price remains between these levels, the technical picture is best described as neutral in the short term, with a mild bullish bias supported by the rising moving averages.
-MW
GER40 — Global Outlook | MTF 1M → 1W → 1DGER40 — Global Outlook | MTF 1M → 1W → 1D
Higher-timeframe resistance | Global short scenario toward monthly discount
Overview
GER40 is trading inside a higher-timeframe resistance zone and is entering a corrective phase on the higher timeframes. Price has reached the monthly order block inside the monthly order flow and is now getting its first reaction from this area.
At this stage, the market remains in the monthly premium zone , while signs of weakness are gradually forming on the weekly and daily timeframes. The base scenario is a continuation of the downside move toward the monthly discount .
Higher-Timeframe Context (1M → 1W)
Monthly Timeframe (1M)
Price has reached the monthly order block , located inside the monthly order flow , and is now getting its first reaction from this area
This is the first major resistance zone for buyers, from which a bearish continuation may begin
If this area fails to hold price, the next target will be the untested monthly order flow in the discount zone of the last bullish impulse
The last bullish impulse and its corresponding discount zone are also clearly visible on the quarterly timeframe
Monthly focus
First resistance zone: 18 800 – 22 700
Next monthly area of interest in discount: 11 800 – 16 500
Weekly Timeframe (1W)
Price swept the monthly fractal and expanded toward the monthly order block
For bearish confirmation, the key condition is the formation and retention of the weekly MTV zone
This area contains the highest traded volume of the last year
A закрепление below 23 350 would confirm seller strength
In that case, the 23 350 – 25 500 range can be treated as a resistance zone that sellers continue to defend
An additional confirmation of buyer weakness is the RSI divergence between the extremes of March 2025 and February 2026
Weekly focus
Seller strength confirmation below: 23 350
Weekly resistance / MTV zone: 23 350 – 25 500
Execution Context (1D)
Daily Timeframe (1D)
A daily MTV zone has already formed on the daily chart inside the potential weekly MTV zone
This provides a more precise working area inside the higher-timeframe resistance
If price returns for a retest, this area may be considered a zone of interest for building a short position
Daily focus
Confirmed daily MTV inside weekly resistance
Potential retest zone for building a short position
❗ Invalidation
The global short scenario will weaken if the market manages to accept above the current higher-timeframe resistance zone and return buyer control over this area. Until then, any upside move is treated as limited or corrective.
Analysis Summary
1M: price is reacting from the monthly order block inside the monthly order flow and remains in the premium zone
1W: the monthly fractal has been swept, the weekly MTV zone is forming, and RSI divergence is present
1D: the daily MTV zone has already formed inside the weekly resistance zone
Base scenario: continuation of the downside move toward the monthly discount
Next major area of interest: 11 800 – 16 500
Your thoughts?
Which scenario do you see for GER40: continuation lower from the current resistance, or an attempt by buyers to regain control of the zone?
This is not investment advice. Analytical market structure overview.
Volatility 75 sell (update)*As per my previous post about V75, we were looking a sell opportunity from 57 550 as per chart.
The market has continued to sell from that price and from a bigger picture, price has broken the overall structure to the downside.
We are looking at a continuation until 45 666 with trailing stops below our entry point.






















