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Nifty strategy for todayNifty may open on gap down note as per sgx nifty around at 23250 levels in today morning session due to higher crudeoil prices hit to 108 dollars and ECB hikes interest rates cosistently in the last two meets so these are the reasons ivestors are booking profits and redeem share in the bluechips stocks. I am expecting nifty will fall upto 22800 levels in upcoming session if it closed below 23300 levels on daily charts. Nifty buying strategy : Buy price :23250 stop loss : 23150 target :23400 Nifty selling strategy : sell price :23460 stop loss :23550 target :23300 Stock of the day :Ongc I am expecting some positive momentum from current level due higher crudeoil prices helping to this compny to improve margins. Buy price : 435 target :445 stop loss :431 Disclaimer :I am not a Sebi research analyst please take advise from your financial adviser before take position based on my recommendation and please drop a comment on my postings which is helpful me to improve my content. Thanking you so much for every my follower
NSE:NIFTY
by viswanath_ktc
5
Nikkei 225: Still Making New Highs?Myth: the Nikkei's big rally is still fully intact, just taking a breather before the next leg up. Here's what the last 140 bars on the 4-hour chart actually show. The index printed its high, 72,831.73, back in early spring, then sold off hard to 60,448.90, a roughly 17% swing. It recovered from there, but the second rally topped out at 69,608.24, more than 3,200 points below the original high. A lower high after a big decline isn't a detail, it's the first real crack in an uptrend's structure. Since that second, lower top, the index has been sliding again, and it's currently sitting around 63,500, roughly midway between the 60,449 low and the 69,608 lower high. The straight line connecting the two tops on the chart is still intact resistance, price hasn't come close to challenging it on this leg down. So the honest version isn't 'healthy pause,' it's: two attempts at new highs, the second one weaker than the first, and price now testing the middle of that whole range again. A reclaim of the 69,608 lower-high line would go a long way toward repairing the uptrend story. A slide back toward 60,449 would confirm the lower high was the real signal all along. No prediction, just the sequence of highs and lows as they actually printed. Does a lower high after a 17% correction still count as "still in an uptrend" to you, or is that where the label stops applying?
TVC:NI225
by MarxBabu
DXY | US Dollar Weakens as Soft ADP Data Bolsters Fed-Cut HopesMacro approach: - The US dollar weakened after dovish remarks from Fed’s Williams and comments from US President Trump that helped ease geopolitical-risk concerns. - Meanwhile, ADP private-sector employment rose by just 38k, below the previous 46k reading and market expectations, reinforcing signs of softer labour demand and easing demand-driven inflation pressures. - The US dollar may remain range-bound ahead of today’s key PMI and productivity data, with markets also positioning for tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls report. Technical approach: - After breaking below the ascending trendline and 99.50, DXY declined toward EMA78. The price is forming a lower swing, suggesting a potential downtrend shift. - If DXY closes below EMA78, it may decline further toward the immediate support at 99.10. - On the contrary, rebounding above 99.50 and the trendline may prompt a rise toward the next resistance at 100.00. Analysis by: Quoc Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXYShort
by DatTong
AI and Nasdaq GrowthAs AI continues to advance and become a larger part of the global economy, companies directly connected to AI — including semiconductors, cloud computing, data centers and AI software — are likely to benefit from this growth. Since many of these companies have significant weight in the Nasdaq, continued AI expansion could become a major long-term driver of Nasdaq growth. The main risk is not whether AI will grow, but how much of that growth is already priced into the market. If AI-driven revenues and profits continue to grow alongside expectations, Nasdaq could benefit significantly. However, if investment in AI grows much faster than the profits it generates, high valuations could eventually lead to a correction. In other words: AI growth can be a powerful engine for Nasdaq, but the long-term winner will be the companies that successfully turn AI growth into real profits. Sasha Charkhchian
NASDAQ:NDXEducation
by Sashacharkhchi
Dow Jones – One-Year OutlookThe Dow Jones has demonstrated a strong long-term upward trend, despite experiencing temporary corrections and declines throughout its history. Its repeated periods of growth have shown a consistent ability to generate returns over time. This analysis indicates that liquidity has entered the market at various points in the past. Therefore, if the price experiences a decline due to unexpected news or sudden market shocks, it is likely to find support and rebound within the specified zone. Under this scenario, the overall bullish trend is expected to continue, with the Dow Jones potentially reaching the 58,000–60,000 range. It should be noted that any potential correction should be considered a temporary pullback within the broader upward trend, rather than a reversal of the long-term bullish structure. Sasha Charkhchian
EIGHTCAP:US30Long
by Sashacharkhchi
$SPX: The 100-Year Grand Supercycle Matrix & Wave 5 Target Zooming out to the 100-year annual timeframe (SPX, 12M), US equities continue to track the grand supercycle progression of the secular ascending parallel channel. • The Century-Scale Wave Count: Decades of historical price action organize into a massive multi-decade 5-wave impulse sequence originating from historical bases. Following the post-war cycles and the structural developments of the 20th and 21st centuries, the market is pressing into the final stages of a mature Wave 5 progression. • The Refined Target Zone: Rather than relying on runaway outlier projections, primary structural resistance caps the grand supercycle target squarely at the 10,430 threshold, with an absolute maximum structural extension limit reaching up to 11,641. • Macro Risk & Momentum: Annual momentum indicators (RSI and MACD) reflect secular multi-decade maturation, highlighting the long-term cycle risk that accompanies approaching the upper parallel channel boundary. • Structural Parameters: Primary Target: 10,430 Max Extension Ceiling: 11,641 Trend Defense: As long as multi-year annual moving averages and lower channel supports hold, the secular structure remains intact. A century of market geometry mapped to a single technical boundary. Monitoring how annual price action approaches the 10.4k–11.6k macro ceiling. ☕ Settings on Confirmation Screen Idea Type: Analysis Investment Type / Direction: Neutral / Long-Term Structural Framing Categories: Elliott Wave & Trend Analysis Tags: SPX, SP500, Macro, Equities, LongTerm This locks in your grand supercycle master-idea with your exact preferred target constraints. Ready to publish whenever you want to cement this 100-year roadmap on your profile!
TVC:SPXLong
by AlexTraderTrView
Too Much Risk in the Indices The system I made launches median lines at the breakout and then waits for the pullback to trade. Very simple and to the point. In this case I drew a dashed horizontal line, which would be the line that had to break to calculate the set. The important thing is that it's actually on the upper parallel after a whole lot of bullish movement, and from what I can see, it's reverting to the center. I don't suggest buying at this position, mainly because the profit margin is limited before facing the need for the move to keep breaking to the upside, a move that's already traveled quite a distance, which reduces the odds and increases the risk. The vectors that the system calculates are extremely reliable . A recent example is on Space: On Thursday the 16th I flagged this, and as of today prices are still trading around the structure Since this set is on the daily chart, I think it's going to be in play for quite a while, and based on my read, what I would personally do is not touch it until I get a clear entry signal, either from this market or correlated ones like SPX or NDX at lower buy levels, reducing risk and increasing profit margin. In fact, the NDX is close to fulfilling what I said would happen: a bearish reversal to go test lower levels it left behind on the way once it took off to the upside (a typical pattern). So, in short, there's too much risk in the indices to want to enter a buy right now. My trading order of operations is like this: It moves in a direction (this is what triggers the calculation of the geometry) It reverts and heads toward the area I'm calculating for entry We're just now moving from the first point of the cycle to the second. Trading isn't the same as typical value investing, where timing doesn't matter. Quite the opposite, here timing is absolutely crucial, and right now is clearly not the time to accumulate inventory in any of the indices, but it will be if they end up offering lower prices. In short, the risk right now is to the downside.
DJ:DJI
by Principlesofmathprob
1
$SPX: Monthly Ascending Channel, Elliott Wave 5-Wave CompletionS&P 500 ( SPCFD:SPX ) on the monthly timeframe continues to operate within a secular ascending parallel channel structure, approaching critical macro structural boundaries as it maps the culmination of its multi-year advance. • The Elliott Wave Count: The long-term price action organizes into a complete five-wave impulse sequence from the secular base. Following the 2022 corrective phase and subsequent expansion, price is pressing into the final stages of a mature Wave 5 progression. • The Upper Channel Target Zone: Primary resistance aligns with the upper parallel channel boundary, establishing a macro target and exhaustion ceiling squarely within the 10,430 – 11,926 bracket. • Macro Symmetry Risk Model: Integrating historical drawdown symmetry analogs (68.37% / 819d) highlights the scale of potential structural mean-reversion risk that historically accompanies secular cycle culminations. • Momentum & Trend Confluence: Monthly RSI and MACD indicator sub-panels display elevated, mature momentum structures consistent with late-stage impulse acceleration. Structural Parameters: • Bias: Secular continuation toward upper channel ceiling, transitioning into long-term cycle risk management. • Target Zone: 10,430 – 11,926 (Upper Channel Boundary) • Invalidation / Trend Defense: As long as monthly moving average supports and the lower channel framework hold, the secular uptrend remains unbroken. Clean macro geometry dictates the structural boundaries. Monitoring monthly close reactions at key channel rails. ☕
TVC:SPX
by AlexTraderTrView
VIX - Last Action-Reaction Set and a Long ConsolidationSince I objectified my methods I don't draw a single line even by chance, everything comes from the systems' automatic calculations, including the trading. That being said, this is the last and only median line detected in VIX, which by the way, generated the typical "buying at a discount" trade: The issue now is that since this trading range was created, prices could never overcome a new high or low, but rather began to contract within the range. Low intact: High intact: So ultimately, we have been trading inside the same range for about 2 years. Without anything new occurring, I am stuck with the same median line. It is a complicated outlook because I generally do not get involved with anything that is not practically perfect. Having a multitude of markets, I have no need to put focus on something that has been trading inside the same range for 2 years. I will go look for a market with a clear trend and that's it. But since the point here is to define where the risk is, I believe that what is happening is this: VIX is in a bearish trend (see how at a certain point prices begin to move outside the lower parallel) But even so, by being in the lower part of the range, it is quite prone to creating bullish pullbacks before continuing to drop in a sustained manner. So ultimately, here the risk is to the upside for me; the risk is that prices rise before going down again. In fact, if we go to the 30m to see what is happening with a more granular look, the system marked the buy signal for me right there: Bearish on the indices and bullish on the VIX is the profile in my opinion. I hope it is of some use, perhaps in convergence with the last post that defines the risk in the Dow Jones, regards.
TVC:VIXLong
by Principlesofmathprob
2
$NDQ: Macro Continuation Flag & 32k–35k Target ArchitectureNasdaq 100 ( TVC:NDQ ) on the weekly timeframe is maintaining a structural continuation flag following its impulsive macro expansion. • The Current Pivot: Price is currently testing the rising 21-week moving average (~29,172) directly along the lower boundary of the consolidation box. Holding this dynamic support is critical for maintaining immediate momentum. • Structural Context: Similar to prior macro consolidation ranges within this ascending channel, price action continues to respect clean geometric boundaries. • The Target Zone: The measured move projects an expansion into the 32k–35k target zone, cleanly anchored by the upper channel resistance shelf at ~34,146. • Risk & Invalidation: A confirmed weekly close below the flag base and the 21W MA invalidates the immediate continuation setup, triggering a deeper mean-reversion rotation down toward the rising 50-week moving average (~26,722). Clean geometry and moving average sequencing dictate the path. Watching how the weekly candle respects this 29.1k pivot. ☕
TVC:NDQLong
by AlexTraderTrView
DXY AnalysesPrice is currently in the daily supply zone in control which i was talking about in my previous analyses. Im looking for some short term downside from here at least. If price can give confirmation in the form of 4h fractal breaks down or some 1h bearish orderflow that starts forming my plan is to trade back down to the most recent 4h demand in control which is also located at the start of a news related push --> often you see price return towards those regions to fill imbalances or to even grab liquidity under the news low in this case. Confirmation is key though, so i will be waiting for that.
TVC:DXYShort
by yannickos
Why USD/JPY Matters so Much to US PolicymakersIt's often lost on most non-FX traders but the reality is FX pairs are a unique market. Given that currencies are the base of the financial system, the only real way to value a currency is with another currency. So it's not like Apple or Gold or the S&P 500, where there's a built-in yardstick with which relative performance can be compared. If you ask someone how much the Euro is worth, or how much the British Pound is going for, they then need the follow-up question of 'against what.' Normally, it's assumed that the USD is that yard stick if no other information is given but that then invites another question: What makes up the value of the US Dollar? The Dollar basket often references the DXY contract, which was created in the 70's, long before industrialization came to China and well before the Euro was even an idea. As such, when the Euro did come into inception the Dollar basket merely conglomerated the European allocations of DXY into one large 'Euro' portion and, today, that comprises 57.6% of the Dollar basket's value. The second largest component, however, is the Japanese Yen, and that's 13.6% of the DXY basket. And given just how incredibly weak the Yen has been over the past five years, the value of the USD has been deductively strong by comparison. This chart highlights that well, as DXY is represented by the black line showing an approximate 10% gain as DXY over that period of time. The Euro is down by 4.69% against the USD over that same period of time, while the British Pound is almost flat, down by 0.35%. But the Japanese Yen is down by a whopping 48.9% against the USD over this span of time and this is very much to the chagrin of President Trump, who has alluded to 'currency manipulation' multiple times even against a close trading partner of Japan. For Japan's case, there's the fear of hyperinflation and recent surges in yields present a threat; but on the other hand, a strong Yen threatens exports which could further hinder growth. So, I think rationally Japanese policymakers would prefer a stable Yen rather than super charged strength or any additional significant weakness. Unfortunately, the fundamentals, and demographics, don't really support that view as an aging and declining population in Japan makes for a difficult backdrop for growth to sustain. To date, inflation remains below the Bank of Japan's 2% target, which is why interventions have been necessary of late. But US CPI is a major data point to the matter as reversals in 2022, 2023 and 2024 triggered on the back of below-expected CPI releases. - JS
TVC:DXY
by FOREX.com
DAX: Aggressive bearish correction ahead to 23,500.DAX is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 33.969, MACD = -41.100, ADX = 26.937) and neutral on 1W (RSI = 51.003) as it is having a strong weekly bearish reversal towards the 1W MA50. The 4 year Channel Up has given its most effective buy signals below it, last time (March 2026) on the 1W MA100 itself, while the 1W RSI also hit its own S zone. Consequently we expect DAX to hit both the 1W MA100 and the bottom of the pattern (TP = 23,500). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by InvestingScope
SPY, US10Y, OIL, NQ bullish core inflation market drop oilI'm bullish for the news tomorrow 8:30am Core inflation, So I see market go up, usoil go down and US10Y go 5% then drop. AMEX:SPY SPY: I’m still bullish around 759. Even if it drops to 755–757, the daily 50 EMA is around there and we’re still near the support of a bullish flag. A break above 772 could open the way toward 800+. TVC:US10 U.S. 10Y Yield: I see a possible move toward 5%, followed by a rejection and head back toward 4% - 4.2%. That area should be major weekly support near the 200 SMA week + major trend line support. If yields eventually bounce hard from there, I think it could put major pressure on equities and potentially contribute to a 20–25%+ market correction in late 2026-2027. AI to be the reason of this drop. TVC:USOIL Oil: Short-term, I have a bearish bias around $101–105 because we’re near more resistance and extended from major supports. I’d rather wait than short right now. Once under 96$ I see it start going back down. Longer term, I’m bullish: $86–80 would be an area where I’d look for buys, especially near the 200 SMA and the previous triangle breakout. FPMARKETS:US100 NASDAQ: We nearly had a triple bottom around 28,900, the FVG has been filled day, and the 4H is oversold. Reclaiming 29,300 could send us back above 30K, with 30,800 as my next major target. Below 28,900, I’d watch the 200 SMA around 27,500, but I currently see that as a lower-probability scenario. Overall: Bullish equities short term, but I’m watching oil and the 10Y yield closely for signs of a bigger correction later in late October-November-early 2027.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by jazzioman