Market indices
Dax Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two strong resistance zones hold.
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SG25: news flow leaning bearish — the net read
SG25 did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
−− Indian Prime Minister Modi asks Putin to end Ukraine war amid U.S. tariff threat on Russian oil
− Germany’s Retail Sales fall by 3.4% MoM in July vs. 0.4% expected
− Chinese Scientists Flagged Glacial Flood Danger One Year Before Nepal Catastrophe (fading)
23 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed.
Net read: −−− leaning bearish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation.
Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print.
I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
#NAS100USD Sell Trade Scenario.NAS100USD SELL 📉
NAS100USD is showing bearish momentum with sellers dominating the market. Price is facing resistance, and a downside move may continue if the support level breaks.
🔴 Trade Direction: SELL
🎯 Target: Manage according to market structure
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the recent resistance
NAS100: 29,510 lower high and rejection from POCNasdaq bottomed at 27,180 on 31 July and added 11% in thirteen sessions. It has spent the two weeks since going sideways.
This morning it lost the anchor from that low.
Where structure sits:
Value area 28,690 to 30,110.
POC at 29,460.
Anchored VWAP at 29,312.
PDH 29,500, PDL 29,225.
Price 29,168.5, 0.49% below the anchor.
Two levels do all the work here.
The first is the POC at 29,460, with the prior day high at 29,500 sitting directly on top of it. That is the price this market has agreed on most across the quarter. Since the 19 August reversal, price has crossed it in both directions repeatedly without accepting on either side. A 1,420 point value area is not a market with a view. It is a market waiting.
The second is the anchored VWAP at 29,312, taken from the 31 July capitulation low. That is the cost basis of every buyer in this rally. It rose for a month, and price closed above it in every session from 1 August onward. Today's candle went through it and kept going.
Now notice what that does to the map. The anchor at 29,312 and the prior-day low at 29,225 are both above price. In one session, the floor of this balance became the ceiling.
Highs since the 18 August top: 30,240, 29,800, 29,710, 29,600. Each rally has stopped lower. The lows held around 28,930 the whole time. Supply has been stepping down into a flat floor for two weeks. This morning the floor moved.
What I am watching:
A 4H close back above 29,312 puts this inside the balance again and makes today a shakeout, nothing more.
Balance areas manufacture false breaks. That is most of what they do. Above 29,500 the whole two week range is live again.
Failure to reclaim it puts 28,930 in play as the last low of the balance. Under that, value low at 28,690 is the final structural level before the profile thins toward the 28,400 to 28,520 pocket. That gap is where price moves fastest, because almost nobody transacted there.
The dashboard flipped bearish this morning for one reason: price is below the anchor. Every other thing on this chart is unchanged from yesterday. That is how much one level can matter.
Above 29,312 this is still a range. Below it, it is a trend attempt.
Chart: Institutional Volume Map, free on TradingView.
BankNifty levels - Sep 02, 2026Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Sep 02, 2026Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NASDAQ WEAKNING, MAY REVERT TO ITS MEANNASDAQ showing weakness on the daily chart...
N.B!
- NASDAQ price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#nq!
#nasdaq
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Setup | Target: 99.70 #51USDX Price Outlook: US Dollar Index Navigating Between Arc Levels | Potential Continuation Toward 99.73
US Dollar Index (USDX): Arc Cycle Analysis
Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 15m chart, the US Dollar Index is trading between the 0.786 Arc and 1 (100%) Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price has cleared the 0.786 Arc boundary and is progressing toward the 1 (100%) Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the next Arc boundary.
NQ/NAS100 bias on September 1, 2026NQ/NAS100 failed to create lower lows multiple times last month. Nevertheless, it created higher lows and showed signs of divergence on higher timeframes.
Therefore, I believe NQ is accumulating within a balance area between 29,100 and 29,800, with an expected breakout toward 30,100 sometime this month.
Premium area: 29800 to 30100
Discount area: 28800 to 29100
Because we are inside an accumulation phase, we expect the price will reverse at key levels:
We may:
short when the price shows weakness around 29500-29600
long when the price shows strength around 29300-29400
Some key levels to consider buying: 29160-29200
Of course, these levels are locations, not the exact buy/sell signal. We will expect price confirmation before a trade.
If price successfully breaks 29744, we will expect it to step into the premium area and head to 30100 very soon.
Again, this is a daily and weekly bias, not a trading signal. We only step into a trade after price confirmations at key levels.
GER30 Price Outlook – Trade Setup🌐Macro Background
Germany’s recent CPI printed below expectations, while Retail Sales data remain weak, underscoring soft underlying economic momentum. Despite weaker German CPI, expectations for ECB rate moves remain intact. Markets are focused on Eurozone CPI (forecast: 3.3% YoY, previous: 2.9%) today and upcoming PPI data tomorrow to gauge short-term euro pricing and rate path expectations.
📊Technical Structure
The 4-Hour chart shows a false breakout above the descending channel upper boundary, followed by a sharp rejection.
Resistance Zone: 26,354 – 26,457
Support Zone: 25,915 – 26,020
🎯Trade Setup
Limit/Market Sell on a light pull-back toward the 26,354 – 26,457 Resistance Zone.
Take Profit Targets: 26,150 – 26,020
Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high/upper resistance zone at 26,500
❌Invalidation
A clean break and close above 26,457 invalidates the bearish structure and descending channel continuation setup.
📝Trade Summary
Based on the false breakout, combined with the pressure of the descending channel, it is recommended to short GER30 in the 26,354 – 26,457 area. Set the stop loss at 26,500, with downside targets at 26,020–25,915.
⚠️Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
The eye of Sauron, or just another level to be broken?We've seen this kind of setup before. Usually these can be rather good topping patterns. Should the US500 fail to break above the black line indicated and go on to print a new all-time high, we would target the black trend line that coincides with the purple support/resistance level. Wait and see... but our call is that we get a proper correction here.
Nifty 30-minute chartLooking at this **Nifty 30-minute chart**, the structure is still more consistent with a **corrective/downward swing inside a descending channel**, although the index is currently sitting near a decision point.
Critical levels
| Level | Interpretation |
| ----------------- | ------------------------------------------------------- |
| **24,250–24,350** | Major short-term resistance / bearish invalidation zone |
| **24,150–24,200** | Immediate resistance |
| **24,050–24,000** | First important support |
| **23,950–23,900** | Critical breakdown zone |
| **23,750–23,650** | Downside objective if breakdown confirms |
### Overall rating
**Medium-term: 🔴 Bearish — 7.5/10**
**Short-term: 🔴 Bearish — 7/10**
**Immediate trend: ⚠️ Decision zone — 6/10**
The key level I would watch most closely is **23,950–24,000**. A clean break below that area would substantially strengthen the bearish swing thesis. Conversely, **24,250–24,350** is the zone that can start invalidating the bearish setup.
*Disclaimer: This analysis is provided solely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Financial markets involve substantial risk, and losses may occur. Please conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment or trading decision.*
Summary into todays price action 8/31/26In this video I go over levels of support and resistance I'm watching out for on the charts we mentioned in the video. Gold /silver /SPX /QQQ/ and the 10Y bond. We also found another parallel in the chart on the SPX giving us more evidence that it is a valid and proper bull flag.
We're still going to proceed with caution as also here in the channel we have discussed multiple times that on our bigger time thesis on the two month we are dealing with critical levels on our indicators and warning us something big is coming soon with the 12 year divergence were testing as we speak. And the money flow indicator reaching levels of the dot com and the stochastic RSI at max levels. Big correction is coming soon we just don't know exactly when.
With that in the back of our minds were proceeding with caution at the highs, were playing the patterns until its broken and the thesis is null and voided. The charts have to tell us that and if it does fail we will be quick to act on that!
NAS100: $145B in AI Capex — But Where's the Revenue?The Nasdaq 100 is stuck. $700 billion in AI spending later, price is still chopping sideways around 29,457 — and the market is starting to ask the uncomfortable question. NASDAQ:NDX
📊 The Capex Reality Check
Meta just raised its 2026 capital-expenditure guidance to $130–145 billion. The market's response? Shares dropped 10% the day after the announcement. That's not a vote of confidence — it's the first real signal that investors are questioning whether this spending will ever convert into revenue.
And Meta isn't alone. Total AI-related capex across the major hyperscalers is on track for nearly $700 billion by 2026. The question is no longer whether AI is transformative. It's whether the bill arrives before the payoff.
⚠️ What the Chart Is Saying
NAS100 is trading around 29,457, sitting inside a broad consolidation with short- and medium-term moving averages compressed tightly around price. This kind of setup often precedes a volatility expansion — the market is coiling.
Key levels I'm watching:
Resistance:
30,182 — near-term range top
30,807 — bullish breakout target
Support:
29,155 — immediate, first line of defence
28,202 — major range support
27,190 — deeper downside if risk-off accelerates
The 29,155–30,182 band is the line in the sand. A confirmed daily break sets the next direction.
🎯 My Read
The fundamental backdrop — accelerating AI capex, unproven revenue conversion, and valuations above historical averages — leans cautious. Microsoft's cloud results show AI demand can translate into revenue. But the broader supply chain tells a different story: several AI infrastructure names have missed Q2 expectations, and lower-cost AI models are pressuring US tech pricing power.
Bullish case: A sustained daily close above 30,182 with stabilising earnings expectations could open the path toward 30,807. But that needs risk appetite to improve meaningfully.
Bearish case: Lose 29,155 and the consolidation structure cracks. A decisive break below 28,202 shifts focus to 27,190 — and the AI monetisation narrative becomes the catalyst, not just the backdrop.
Bottom line: NAS100 is range-bound, but the fundamentals underneath are deteriorating, not improving. I'm watching 29,155 as the trigger. Hold above it, and the range lives another day. Lose it, and the $700B AI capex story becomes the reason to break lower.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
DAX Index Wave Analysis – 31 August 2026– DAX Index reversed from resistance zone
– Likely to fall to support level 25900.00
DAX Index today reversed from the resistance area between the pivotal resistance level 26520.00 (which stopped the previous share impulse wave iii at the start of August) the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous short-term impulse wave (v) from the middle of August.
Given the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator, DAX Index can be expected to fall to the next support level 25900.00 (low of the previous correction iv).
NQ/ES RTH Recap — Monday Aug 31NQ/ES RTH Recap — Monday Aug 31
🌍 Geopolitical shock overnight, but the market digested it.
NQ
Close 29,516.50
Session low 29,355 → PM recovery
IB Bear A invalidated by late buying
ES
Close 7,698
Session low 7,674.75 → reclaimed
Structure
London trap → RTH gap down → absorption
PM reclaim of value
No divergence at close
Key levels into Tuesday
NQ : 29,529 / 29,617 / 29,719
ES : 7,712 / 7,739 / 7,764
Rules
R8 uncertainty respected
§9 aligned after lunch
No hero trades
🐪 Let the trade come to you.






















