Short
KSE-100: Rejection From Resistance, Sideways Phase LikelyTaking lead from our previous analysis, KSE-100 reacted exactly from the highlighted resistance zone near the previous major level. The index has started a corrective move after testing that area.
The broader bullish trend remains intact, but multi-timeframe analysis suggests that the market may still need more time before moving aggressively toward final upside targets.
Trend Hierarchy
Secular Trend: Bullish
Intermediate Trend: Bullish
Short-Term Trend: Corrective / Sideways
Market Structure
The rejection from the resistance zone does not invalidate the bull market structure. However, it does show that the index is not yet ready for a clean breakout toward new highs.
In the coming sessions, the market may remain choppy, with profit booking and selling pressure followed by quick recoveries.
Outlook
The likely scenario is sideways movement in the near term.
Instead of a broad aggressive rally, stock-specific rotation may continue. Some stocks may perform for a few sessions, then money may rotate into other sectors or names.
Strategy
The stance remains constructive but selective.
Avoid chasing extended stocks. Focus on rotation, dips, and stronger individual setups.
Stance
➡️ Long-Term Trend: Bullish
➡️ Rejection From Mentioned Resistance
➡️ Short-Term Correction Started
➡️ Sideways / Choppy Market Likely
➡️ Stock Rotation Expected
➡️ Strategy: Stay Selective, Avoid Chasing
Price tells the story.
For short updates: X @JustTechnicals_ 
Long
JP225: Testing 70,000 Resistance Amid FX Intervention Risks【JP225: 4H Chart】
Current Status:
After plunging to the 65,300 level earlier last week, the Nikkei has rebounded following the US indices. However, the 4H EMA remains in a death cross, and the major psychological resistance at 70,000 has yet to be tested. We are currently in an ambiguous zone where neither bulls nor bears have full control.
Strategy:
Watch out for USD/JPY intervention risks. Although no direct intervention was confirmed last week, the 4H chart for USD/JPY is on the verge of a sell signal as of July 10, keeping the market on edge. I maintain my bearish bias as long as price stays below the critical 70,000 resistance.
Action:
Maintaining "probing shorts" (small positions) with 70,000 as the line in the sand. However, if the US500 shows decisive strength, I will reconsider my stance and prepare to pivot to long positions.
Summary:
A tug-of-war between US market strength and Yen intervention fears. I am closely monitoring whether the 70,000 "ceiling" holds or breaks in early Monday trading.
#JP225 #Nikkei225 #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
WKLY MKT OUTLOOK – 4 WEEKS OF COMPRESSION, BRKOUT GETTING CLOSERLAST WEEK'S REPORT CARD
✅ Projected Nifty Range: 24,700 – 23,600
✅ Actual Weekly Range: 24,530 – 23,805
✅ *Range respected for the 5th consecutive week
✅ Bonus Level Worked: Hourly close below 24,089 triggered weakness exactly as discussed.
✅ Market remained in the expected consolidation phase.
NIFTY 50
Nifty closed at 24,206(-64 points).
For the 5th consecutive week, Nifty respected the projected range, reinforcing the importance of following higher-timeframe structure rather than reacting to daily news.
More importantly, this is now the 4th consecutive weekly close above the psychological level of 24,000, suggesting buyers continue to defend this zone.
However, after four weeks of consolidation between 23,800–24,500, both bulls and bears are running out of patience.
The longer the compression, the stronger the eventual breakout is likely to be.
Bull Trigger: Strong weekly close above 24,400 → 24,800 / 25,000
Bear Trigger: Hourly close below 24,164 → 23,850 / 23,800
Expected Range:24,700 – 23,750
BANK NIFTY
Closed at 58,045 (+100 points).
Bank Nifty also remains in consolidation and formed a Doji candle, reflecting indecision.
Strong weekly close above 58,900 can restart the journey towards All-Time Highs.
Expected Range:59,100 – 56,850
S&P 500
Closed at 7,575 (+100 points).
👉 Sustain above 7,600 → 7,697 / 7,812 / 7,885
Weekly RSI divergence is still visible. Failure to sustain above resistance may drag the index towards 7,393 / 7,292.
BONUS LEVEL OF THE WEEK
👉 Hourly close below 24,164 may quickly push Nifty towards 23,850–23,800.
FINAL VIEW
• Nifty continues to consolidate.
• Bank Nifty remains the key index to watch.
• S&P500 is at an important decision zone.
The market is compressing, and history tells us that the longer the consolidation, the stronger the breakout.**
rade the levels. Manage risk. Let price confirm the trend. US500: 7,530.70 - From Resistance to Support?【US500: 4H Chart】
Current Status:
The critical resistance at 7,530.70 has finally been broken on the third attempt with a solid candle body. Additionally, the 4H EMA narrowly avoided a death cross, indicating a strong technical setup for continued upward momentum.
Strategy:
I am focusing on whether 7,530.70 will successfully flip from resistance to support (roll reversal). While geopolitical risks (e.g., escalating tensions in the Middle East) remain a concern, the bullish edge prevails as long as we hold above the July 10 low (7,507.60). A break below that level would shift the advantage back to the bears.
Action:
Staying on the sidelines for now. If Monday’s price action confirms 7,530.70 as solid support, I will look for long opportunities. However, if price slips back into the previous range, I will remain flat and reassess the situation.
Summary:
Avoid impulsive entries. We are at a critical juncture where the "ceiling" could become the "floor." I will wait for Monday's price action to confirm the edge before making a move.
#US500 #SPX #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis | DXY | HTF FORECAST AND ANALYSIS | FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS 📈| Q3 | W29 | Y26 |
📊| DXY | HTF FORECAST AND ANALYSIS |
💡| FRGNT DAILY CHART ANALYSIS |
This forecast is built using an advanced adaptation of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured and disciplined approach:
• Marking Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
• Defining a clear, controlled trading range from those zones 📐
• Refining entries on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
• Waiting for confirmed Break of Structure (BoS) before execution ✅
This process ensures precision, removes emotional decision-making, and keeps me aligned with the overall market narrative.
💡 Core Philosophy
“Capital management, discipline, and consistency create longevity.”
A strong risk-to-reward model, paired with high-probability execution, is the foundation of sustainable trading 📈🔐
⚠️ Understanding Losses
"Losses are part of the game" — a mathematical certainty 🎲
They don’t define performance. Nor do they define you as a Trader.
They are managed, reviewed, and used as evidence for growth 📊
🙏 Final Note
Appreciate you taking the time to review today’s forecast.
Stay disciplined 🎯
Protect your capital 🔐
— FRGNT 🚀📈
📌 Disclaimer
This content is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
It reflects my personal approach to the markets — a tested framework that has supported my own journey toward consistent profitability in currency trading.
Please understand that any forecasts shared are not financial advice. I will be looking for confirmation in line with my setup model and specific entry criteria from the key areas identified on the chart.
All analysis, whether presented via image or video, is shared strictly for educational insight and is not intended to breach any TradingView House Rules.
TVC:DXY
Short
SPX Forecast: Key Levels to Watch as Earnings Season Kicks OffThe S&P 500 (SPX) has jumped 11% since the start of the year, boosted by ongoing enthusiasm for the AI trade and resilient consumer spending. As earnings season gets into full swing this week, with reports from major banks including Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), let's look at several technical levels worth watching.
Firstly, a breakdown below a month-long symmetrical triangle opens the door to a retracement toward 7,235. This area may attract buying interest near a horizontal line that connects the low of the pattern with the opening price of a rare gravestone doji candlestick, which appeared on the chart in early May.
A close below this level could see the index test lower support around the phycological 7K area. This location would likely see bulls defend a series of peaks that formed throughout January and February near the rising 200 MA.
If the index breaks out above the symmetrical triangle, we can use a measured move to project a bullish target. In this case, we calculate the distance of the symmetrical triangle near its widest point and add that amount to the likely breakout area, which forecasts a target of 7,880. (320 + 7,560 = 7,880) 
Short
Long
Short
Banknifty July 3rd Week Analysis.Similar to Nifty, Bank Nifty has also been consolidating in this range for the past 4 weeks, and the upcoming week could be a make-or-break for Bank Nifty.
Bulls: If Bank Nifty crosses and sustains above 58,525, we can expect upside momentum to continue up to the next resistance zone of 59,815–60,073.90.
Bears: If Bank Nifty breaches the support range of 57,750–57,027, we can expect further retracement up to 56,305.
All the levels are marked in the chart posted.
Long
Short
NIFTY JUNE 3RD WEEK ANALYSISNifty is looking interesting on the charts. While observing the charts, I noticed that it has been consolidating in this range for the past 4 weeks. Hence, the upcoming week could be a decisive one for Nifty as it concludes its consolidation and attempts a make-or-break move from this range.Bulls – If Nifty crosses and sustains above 24,280–24,320, we can expect the upside momentum to continue towards 24,700 and beyond.Bears – If Nifty breaches the immediate support of 24,129, it could turn highly volatile, with a maximum retracement expected down to 23,620.
All key levels are marked in the chart posted.
Long
Bearish Trend Pauses as Price Builds a Base Above Major SupportThe dominant market structure remains bearish, with the chart continuing to display a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). After breaking below several support levels, price found strong buying interest around 22,600, producing the first meaningful reaction from buyers.
Key observations include:
Buyers successfully defended the 22,600–22,700 demand zone, preventing another wave of selling.
Price is consolidating between 22,800 support and 23,200 resistance, showing equilibrium after the strong bearish impulse.
The previous bearish trendline has been broken, but the market has yet to produce a confirmed Higher High that would signal a structural reversal.
Recent Higher Lows inside the range suggest buyers are gradually absorbing selling pressure, although the broader bearish sequence has not been invalidated.
Momentum has stabilized, but sellers still retain the broader advantage while price remains below the major resistance zone around 23,200–23,300. Boom300Index –1HBullish BreakoutChallengesMajorRangeResistanceBoom 300 Index has transitioned from the prolonged sideways consolidation highlighted in the previous analysis into a strong bullish breakout. Buyers have successfully defended the 1,050–1,060 support zone and reclaimed key resistance levels, driving price back toward the major 1,200–1,210 resistance area. The market is now approaching a decisive technical level where the next major directional move is likely to be determined.
Technical Analysis
The previous consolidation has resolved to the upside, confirming that buyers have regained short-term control. Price has broken above the former 1,120–1,130 range resistance and established a fresh sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), signaling renewed bullish momentum.
Key observations include:
Buyers successfully defended the 1,050–1,060 demand zone, preventing a continuation lower.
Price has broken above the previous consolidation range, confirming a bullish breakout.
The rally has reclaimed 1,160–1,180, turning former resistance into potential support.
Price is now testing the major 1,200–1,210 resistance zone, where the previous rally was rejected.
Although momentum remains firmly bullish, buyers must overcome the 1,200–1,210 resistance area to confirm a continuation of the broader uptrend. Volatility 25 Index –1H Sharp Selloff Tests Major Demand ZoneConstant Volatility 25 Index has undergone a significant shift in structure after failing to sustain its bullish breakout. Since the previous analysis, buyers were unable to defend the 2,770–2,780 support zone, leading to an aggressive bearish expansion that pushed price into a fresh demand area around 2,620–2,650. The market is now consolidating after the sharp decline, suggesting sellers are pausing while participants assess the next directional move.
Technical Analysis
The previous bullish outlook has been invalidated following the decisive breakdown below the ascending channel and the 2,770–2,780 support region. Price has transitioned from producing Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) into a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), confirming that sellers have taken short-term control.
Key observations include:
Price decisively broke below the 2,770–2,780 support zone, invalidating the previous bullish continuation scenario.
The ascending channel failed to hold, triggering a strong bearish expansion phase.
Sellers drove price through multiple support levels with very little buying pressure, highlighting strong downside momentum.
Price has now reached the 2,620–2,650 demand zone, where consolidation is beginning to form after the impulsive decline.
Although sellers remain in control, bearish momentum is beginning to slow as price trades within a narrow range at support. This area will likely determine whether the market produces a relief rally or resumes its downtrend. Volatility 75 Index –1H Healthy Pullback Tests Breakout SupportConstant Volatility 75 Index continues to trade within a strong bullish market structure, although recent price action shows sellers taking control after the index printed fresh highs near 56,000. Following a powerful breakout from consolidation, the market has entered a corrective phase, retracing toward a key support zone where buyers will need to defend the trend.
Technical Analysis
The broader trend remains bullish, with the market continuing to produce a clear sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). The previous breakout above the descending trendline and the 51,000 resistance level triggered a strong expansion move, allowing buyers to push price to new swing highs.
Recent selling pressure, however, has interrupted the bullish momentum and shifted the market into a corrective phase rather than a confirmed reversal.
Key observations include:
Buyers successfully broke above the 53,500 resistance zone and extended the rally toward 56,000, confirming trend continuation.
Price continues to respect the overall bullish structure despite the recent decline, with Higher Lows remaining intact.
The 54,000–54,500 area is acting as the first major support, aligning with previous breakout structure and recent consolidation.
The latest pullback appears corrective, with price retracing into prior bullish candle ranges rather than aggressively breaking market structure.
Although momentum has weakened in the short term, the broader bullish bias remains valid while price continues to hold above the recent Higher Low and breakout support. 
Short
Long 
FTSE 100–Buyers Defend Key Support as Recovery Attempts to buildFollowing the sharp sell-off highlighted in the previous analysis, the FTSE 100 has begun to stabilize above the 10,430–10,450 demand zone. Buyers have successfully defended this area, preventing further downside and initiating a short-term recovery. While the immediate bearish momentum has eased, the index remains below the major 10,600 resistance, meaning the broader recovery is still in its early stages.
Technical Analysis
As discussed previously, the rejection from 10,680–10,700 marked the end of the prior bullish sequence and triggered an aggressive bearish range expansion that broke several intraday support levels.
The latest price action suggests sellers are losing momentum as buyers respond from a historically significant demand zone.
Key observations include:
Buyers successfully defended the 10,430–10,450 support zone, preventing a continuation of the recent bearish impulse.
Price has started producing higher lows and higher highs from the recent swing low, indicating improving short-term bullish momentum.
The recovery has reclaimed the 10,500 psychological level, showing renewed buying interest after the sharp decline.
Despite the rebound, price remains below the 10,600 resistance zone, which previously acted as major support before turning into resistance.
The broader medium-term structure remains constructive, but the market must reclaim 10,600 to shift the short-term bias back in favor of buyers.
Momentum has improved from the recent lows, but confirmation is still required before a sustained bullish reversal can be expected. 
Long
