USNAS100 Remains Bullish range what next ?US100 is currently moving inside a well-defined structure, with price repeatedly defending the lower part of the trading range and pushing back toward the upper resistance zone.
Tecnically reason is buying interest on pullbacks. As long as the index continues to hold the rising support structure around 29,450–29,500, sellers have not been able to establish a sustained bearish break. This creates a situation where liquidity is collected below the range and buyers attempt another move toward the highs.
Fundamentally, technology/AI optimism has continued to provide support for Nasdaq-related assets, while strong semiconductor sentiment has helped offset broader risk concerns.
Resistance levels ; 29,800 / 30,100
Support levels ; 29,400 / 29,250
However, today's backdrop is not purely bullish. Rising oil prices and Middle-East tensions are increasing inflation concerns, while Treasury yields remain elevated. Markets are also watching upcoming U.S. PPI and CPI data, which could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's next move.
If price continues to hold the rising structure and breaks the upper range with strong momentum, the next liquidity zone could come around 29,800 → 30,000 on the other hand, a decisive 1H close below 29,450 would weaken the bullish structure and could trigger a deeper pullback toward the lower support areas.
Hope you found this analysis helpful. 👍
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Germany 40 – Preparing for ECB Rate Decision VolatilityJust under 2 weeks ago the Germany 40 index hit a new all-time high of 26630 on August 28th, however, since then prices have experienced a mild reversal back to the downside, with the index falling to a low of 25730 on Wednesday September 2nd before recovering slightly back to current levels around 25990 at the time of writing (0645 BST).
It seems sentiment towards some of the major German industrial corporates in the index may have been negatively impacted by the recent escalation of events in the Middle East, which is keeping energy costs elevated and may reduce margins and undermine future earnings.
Not only that, inflation in Germany, and more importantly the wider Eurozone, recently hit multi-year highs which has convinced many traders that the ECB may decide to raise interest rates again when they announce their next decision on Thursday at 1315 BST. Higher ECB interest rates tend to weigh on risk sentiment towards European stocks and vice versa.
Whether this is the case remains to be seen, but traders may also want to hear what ECB President Christine Lagarde says in the press conference (Thursday, 1345 BST) about the chances of future rate hikes moving into the end of 2026 and early 2027. Any hint at an increased potential for further ECB rate hikes to regain control of inflation could see the Germany 40 push down to create new September lows, while more dovish comments could lead to a relief rally back up towards recent highs.
Technical Update: Corrective Themes Building?:
Having posted a new all‑time high at 26630 on August 28th, the Germany 40 index has entered a corrective price phase, possibly as a reaction to what may have been over‑extended upside conditions.
However, ahead of the ECB rate decision and press conference on Thursday, traders could be attempting to establish whether this recent decline may develop into a more extended downside move, or, as has often been the case recently, price weakness proves limited before an uptrend pattern resumes.
Moving across the remainder of this week, establishing the potentially important support and resistance levels that could influence trader decision making may be useful in case Germany 40 price volatility increases into the Friday close.
Potential Resistance Levels:
While last week did see a recovery in price, it remained below what may prove to be the first potential resistance level at 26184 (the declining Bollinger mid‑average). In technical analysis, a declining mid‑average can suggest price activity is developing within a downtrend. Therefore for the Germany 40 a closing break above this mid-average may be required to indicate risks are turning back toward the upside again.
A close above 26184 could be seen as more constructive from a technical outlook and may shift the attention of traders back toward the August 28th highs at 26630 again.
A break and close above 26630 could open the way for moves toward 26962 (38.2% extension of the late‑August sell‑off).
Possible Support Levels:
While resistance at 26184 continues to cap Germany 40 prices on a closing basis, it could leave open the possibility of slowing upside momentum. If this is the case, the first support may be 25609 (38.2% retracement of the June 11th to August 28th strength).
As the chart above highlights, closing breaks below 25609 could shift focus toward the next potential support at 25294 (50% Fibonacci retracement). Closing breaks below 25294, if seen, could then open the way for declines toward 24976 (61.8% level).
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. Short 
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NAS100 Breakout or Trap? Key Level To WatchNAS100 🌍
The macro narrative heading into this week is dominated by sensitive interest rate expectations and the classic September volatility seasonal window 🏦. Interestingly, general online sentiment is heavily leaning bearish, with market chatter suggesting that higher bond yields and persistent Fed hawkishness will trigger a deep seasonal sell-off. However, this retail consensus is currently over-extended on the short side, creating a prime environment for a classic liquidity hunt before any real directional move gets under way.
We are seeing a clear bullish market structure progression on the H4 timeframe as price continues to print higher lows after sweeping the lower range 📈. While retail traders across online communities keep trying to call a market top and fade this recovery, Dow Theory dictates that as long as our structural higher lows remain intact, the path of least resistance remains upward. This positioning mismatch tells me retail sellers are likely getting trapped at resistance levels, setting up a Wyckoff-style markup Phase C/D continuation once liquidity above the value area is secured.
Key Zone: Looking directly at the visible Volume Profile data on the H4 chart, price is actively coiling right at the upper boundary of the established balance trunk 📉. The Volume Profile Value Area High (VAH) sits tightly around the 29,616–29,626 band, acting as the immediate line in the sand separating horizontal acceptance from imbalance discovery.
Zooming out to the broader weekly context, price has successfully engineered a low-volume liquidity sweep down around the 28,900–29,175 structural shelf. I am watching for a swift "run on liquidity" to sweep the late shorts who are piling into resistance across various social forums 🧹. If buyers can force a firm acceptance and break above this Volume Profile Value Area High near 29,626, we should see an immediate expansion leg towards psychological resistance at 30,000. However, if we see a failure to hold and a quick rejection back down into value (under ~29,567), I will gladly step back and let the trade go—there is no edge in fighting an active reclaim of value into a sideways chop box.
My Trade Plan 🎯
Bias: Long (Conditional). Patience is required to wait for actual market acceptance above the value area rather than front-running the breakout.
Entry Protocol: Look for a clean H4 Break of Structure (BoS) and candle close above the Volume Profile Value Area High (29,616 - 29,626), followed by a lower-timeframe retest of that VAH level as support. If price breaks under and reclaims back into the internal value node towards 29,500, abandon the long setup entirely and step aside ("No Trade"). Long
US30 (15M) Bearish Continuation | Target Sweeping Key LiquidityMarket Overview
US30 is maintaining a clean, lower-low/lower-high market structure on the 15-minute timeframe. Following a strong impulsive leg down, price rejected the latest supply zone/resistance block near 53,030 and broke through recent swing support around 52,987, signaling a strong bearish continuation.
Technical Setup
Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Trend: Strong Bearish Continuation
Pattern / Trigger: Break & Retest of Intraday Support / Bearish Order Block Mitigation
Key Supply Zone: 53,000 – 53,030
Trade Setup & Key Levels
Direction: Short / Sell
Entry Zone: ~52,985 – 53,010 (Retest/Pullback into broken structure)
Stop Loss (SL): ~53,050 – 53,080 (Above recent swing high/supply block)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): ~52,850
Take Profit 2 (TP2): ~52,665 (Major Support / Liquidity Target)
Execution Strategy
Look for price to pull back slightly into the supply block / broken support around 53,000 before confirming entry on a bearish reversal candle. Risk management is key—keep risk aligned with target reward to capture the sweep toward lower liquidity levels. Short 
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Bearish reversal signal?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse towards the 1st support.
Pivot: 29,820.56
1st Support: 29,326.14
1st Resistance: 30,249.07
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party. Short 
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NIFTY SENTIMENT ANALYSIS FOR 08/09/2026🚨 NIFTY TODAY: THE REAL BATTLE IS AT 23,691.65
Today’s market read:
🔴 STRONG BEARISH
🪤 TRAP / CONFLICT
💥 EXPLOSIVE BEHAVIOUR
📌 PE DOMINANT
⏰ ANCHOR TIME: 10:50 AM
🎯 KEY LEVELS
23,803 → MAJOR RESISTANCE
23,747.65 → KEY LEVEL
23,691.65 → FIRST DOWNSIDE LEVEL
23,635 → SUPPORT
23,580 → MAJOR SUPPORT
23,523 → FINAL SUPPORT
CURRENT: 23,683.60
The structure is already under pressure:
23,803 ❌
↓
23,747.65 ❌
↓
23,691.65 ⚔️
↓
23,635
↓
23,580
↓
23,523
🔥 WHAT TO WATCH NOW
23,691.65 is the immediate battlefield.
Break + acceptance below it:
→ 23,635
→ 23,580
→ 23,523
But today carries a TRAP component.
🪤 If 23,691.65 rejects the bears
and price reclaims 23,747.65:
→ Bearish momentum starts weakening.
Above 23,803:
→ Fresh reassessment of the bearish structure.
I'm not saying:
“THE MARKET MUST FALL.”
I'm saying:
IF THE LEVEL BREAKS + ACCEPTS
→ THIS IS THE PATH I AM WATCHING.
And if it doesn't?
THE MAP CHANGES.
That's accountability.
📍 PRICE gives the LEVEL.
⏰ TIME gives the TRIGGER.
⚡ REACTION gives the TRUTH.
No hindsight.
No moving goalposts.
No rewriting the story after the candle.
JUST THE MAP. 🎯
23,691.65 —
🐻 BREAKDOWN?
OR
🪤 BEAR TRAP?
LET THE TAPE DECIDE.
#NIFTY #NIFTY50 #TradingView #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis #IndianStockMarket #IntradayTrading #OptionsTrading Short 
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