Market indices
DXY: From One Side of the Weekly Channel to the OtherThis looks pretty impressive.
DXY moved all the way from the upper boundary of the weekly channel to the lower boundary of the weekly channel .
For me, the downside looks pretty limited from here.
What I want to see now โ
A reversal setup around this area, then price getting back inside the weekly channel and holding above the turquoise weekly diagonal .
If that happens, Iโll be looking for the move higher to start from here.
So now Iโm not interested in chasing the drop.
Lower weekly boundary reached โ now watch the reaction.
If price gets back above the turquoise diagonal and holds there, Iโll be looking up.
And then weโll see how much the move has to give.
SPX gamma map โ Sep 4: 7740-7750 pin into NFP, weekly expiryPre-market snapshot: SPX 7748, positive-gamma (dampening) regime, expected move ยฑ0.68% (about ยฑ53 pts), VIX 14.2, VIX1D 10.8. Net dealer gamma jumped more than 10% overnight. The August jobs report lands at 8:30 ET, an hour before the cash open, so the first hour trades on a print the market has not digested yet: the pre-open checklist is red (macro print pending + spot pinned inside a 10-point cluster) and the map gets reassessed once that first hour is done.
Lines on the chart: call wall 7750 (red), where dealers sell rallies into it, and put support 7740 (green), where hedging buys dips into it. Spot sits between the two, less than 0.15% from either wall.
GEX magnets above form a ladder at 7775, 7800 and 7825 (then 7850 / 7875). The 7825 area shows mixed positioning and can accelerate rather than dampen.
Negative-gamma pocket at 7650 (grey dashed): below it, hedging amplifies moves instead of absorbing them. HVL / gamma flip at 7515 (orange), far below: the structural regime stays dampening while price holds above it. No 1-day cone in today's pre-market set.
Range / pin: as long as 7740-7750 holds after the print, positive gamma favors rotation around the at-the-money cluster rather than a trend day. Sustained trade outside that band once the report is out invalidates the pin.
Upside: a break and hold above 7750 opens the magnet ladder 7775 > 7800 > 7825. Losing 7750 on a retest cancels that read.
Downside: under 7740 the next reference is the 7650 pocket, where dealer hedging speeds the move up instead of slowing it; 7515 would flip the whole regime. Reclaiming 7740 cancels that read.
Friday lesson, weekly expiry: much of the open interest behind today's 7740 / 7750 walls expires this afternoon. When those contracts settle, the gamma they carried disappears and dealers stop hedging them, so walls and magnets are rebuilt from what is left (next-week and monthly strikes). A wall that held all session can simply vanish at the close rather than break, and with Monday a US holiday, Tuesday's map will be drawn from a different positioning base.
Levels are a map of dealer positioning, not a prediction. Not investment advice.
NIFTY 50 Index (Weekly) โ Rising Wedge Breakdown in ActionThe Nifty 50 Index is showing clear signs of structural weakness on the weekly timeframe. After a prolonged rally, the price formed a classic Rising Wedge Pattern, a well-known bearish reversal setup.
Key Technical Observations:
โ ๏ธ Pattern Breakdown: The price has cleanly broken down below the lower ascending support trendline of the wedge, invalidating the previous bullish momentum.๐ Corrective Move: The subsequent price action confirms a downside continuation, shedding approximately 736.65 points (-3.02%) during the breakdown phase.
๐ Key Levels to Watch:Resistance Zone: Immediete overhead supply remains active between the 24,378 and 24,774 zones.Major Support Targets: Current downward momentum is eyeing the psychological and technical support levels down near 23,722 and 23,436, with an ultimate structural floor sitting around 23,072.
Market Outlook:The bias remains strictly bearish beneath the wedge structural breakdown point. Expect short-term pullbacks to face selling pressure at resistance levels. Traders should maintain strict risk management as the index seeks a firm structural bottom.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
US30 / Technical Analysis
Trading above the 53440 pivot level indicates a bullish bias toward the resistance level at 53860 and subsequently 54120.
A confirmed 1-hour candle close below the 53440 pivot level will shift the direction downward, targeting the support levels at 53200 and then 53030.
Resistance Levels: 53860 โ 54120
Support Levels: 53200 โ 53030
Current Price: 53670
US 100 - Trendline Breakout (Bullish Setup)NAS 100 / US 100 โ 2H โ Descending Trendline Breakout + Ichimoku Cloud Cross / Bullish Setup
US 100 is showing a bullish technical shift after breaking above the descending trendline and moving through the Ichimoku cloud. Price is now holding above the breakout area, while 30,173.4 is the first major resistance and 30,496.0 is the next upside target.
๐ข 1st Resistance : 30,173
๐ข 2nd Resistance : 30,496
๐ด Support Zone : 29,253 โ 29,391
๐ฐ Fundamentals and Live Headlines :
1. Nasdaq Futures Edge Higher Ahead of Jobs Data โ US equity futures are modestly firmer as traders wait for the August employment report.
2. Fed Rate-Hike Bets Ease โ Christopher Wallerโs comments have lowered expectations for an immediate September hike, giving growth stocks some relief through lower yields.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Support the idea ๐ Boost | ๐ฌ Comment | ๐ Share
Best Regards,
KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Stocks Rally as Waller Eases Rate-Hike Fears Ahead of NFP
Global equities advanced while Treasury yields and the dollar eased after Fed Governor Christopher Waller cooled expectations for a September rate hike.
Markets now turn to todayโs U.S. payrolls report, with economists expecting 56,000 new jobs after the previous 23,000 decline, while unemployment is forecast to remain at 4.1%.
A weaker report could reinforce expectations that the Fed will remain on hold, while stronger employment data could bring September rate-hike risk back into focus.
Technically
As long as the price remains above 7742, bullish continuation remains favored toward 7777.
A confirmed breakout and stability above 7777 would strengthen the bullish trend further and support continuation toward 7813.
On the downside, a corrective move remains possible, but stronger bearish momentum would require a confirmed 4H candle close below 7742. This would weaken the current bullish structure and support a correction toward 7701.
A further break below 7701 could bring 7649 back into focus.
With today's U.S. jobs report approaching, volatility could increase significantly as the data reshapes Fed rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Pivot Line: 7742
Support: 7701 โ 7649
Resistance: 7777 โ 7813
#NAS100USD Buy Trade Scenario.๐ NAS100USD BUY SETUP
๐ Market Bias: Bullish
๐ฏ Entry: Buy on confirmation
๐ฏ Targets: Upside continuation
๐ก๏ธ Stop Loss: Below key support
Strong momentum with a bullish structure. Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and wait for proper confirmation before entering.
BankNifty levels - Sep 07, 2026Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Possible rejection at 7777 โ stay alert!Hey traders! ๐ป๐ฆฌโ๐ผโ๏ธ
The range identified in the previous posts remains fully relevant, and price continues to react very predictably around its boundaries. The scenario I outlined earlier โ
holding the 7625 levelโ
,
breaking the local trendlineโ
,
and then accelerating toward 7777 โ also played out almost perfectly, with price reaching a peak of 7773โ
Today, Iโll continue building out the possible scenarios based on the boundaries of this range: 7625 on the downside and 7777 on the upside. Why break something when itโs working?
๐ฆฌ๐Bullish scenario.
We are now approaching the upper boundary of the trading range at 7777. A breakout and successful hold above this level could open the way toward the previous ATH at 7822, followed by the measured move target around 7950.
๐ป๐ชBearish scenario.
Take a look at how many times price has been rejected from the 7777 level since August 5 ๐ช๐ช๐ช The resistance here is clearly significant, and there are no guarantees that this attempt will be the one where we finally see a genuine breakout and acceptance above the level.
If price gets rejected once again, the initiative could shift back to the bears, with a high probability of another move toward 7625 โ similar to what we saw from August 28 to September 1.
If the bulls fail to hold 7625, the scenario I mentioned earlier also remains in play: we could see a drop toward 7555. And this is where the bears will really have to work, because 7555 is a concrete wall โ price has repeatedly slowed down around this level when approaching it from below.
Peace! ๐
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer:
All information shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. The author is not responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage your risks and make decisions independently.
Nifty levels - Sep 07, 2026Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
### Nifty 50 โ Bearish ScenarioNifty 50 is showing signs of a short-term bearish setup after failing to sustain the recent move toward the **24,600โ24,700** zone. The chart structure suggests a sequence of lower highs, with the projected move indicating a possible decline toward the major **23,100โ23,150 support zone**.
A break below **23,800โ23,900** could strengthen the bearish momentum and increase the probability of testing the lower support. However, the **23,100 area is a key demand/support zone**, where a meaningful bounce could develop. If Nifty decisively breaks and sustains below this support, the bearish structure would strengthen further; conversely, a strong move back above **24,300โ24,400** would weaken this bearish view.
**Idea Rating: 8/10** โ The support/resistance structure and projected price path are reasonably well-defined, but the bearish projection remains conditional on confirmation from price action.
Disclaimer: This is a technical-analysis-based market view for educational purposes only and is **not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell**. Markets are uncertain, and the projected path may not occur. Please conduct your own analysis and use appropriate risk management before taking any trading position.
DAX40 | LONG IDEA | 04/09/26Greetings Traders,
This morning we saw a strong move during London open on GOMARKETS:DAX40 , where price quickly recovered within the first 20-30', revisited London's open price, following with a continuation all the way up, creating a new Higher High. Following this continuation, a new Bullish setup was formed.
Reminder:
Price needs to cross VA .
Price needs to cross internal, which in this case lies on VWAP .
HTF -> Bullish
Watch for any divergence between Price action <-> CVD
As always remember to trade cautiously. Trading requires proper risk management; losses are part of the game.๐
possibility of uptrend After the recent upward wave and the reaction at the resistance level, some fluctuation and correction is expected to form on the chart. Then there is a possibility of a trend change and a continuation of the upward trend.
As long as the indicator fluctuates above the specified support level, the above scenario is valid.
DXY - Faces Rejection at 0.618 ArcUS Dollar Index (DXY): Arc Cycle Analysis
Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1h chart, the US Dollar Index is interacting with the 0.618 Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Bullish momentum has faded near this boundary, indicating that the upper Arc continues to cap upside expansion.
Market Outlook
The 0.618 Arc continues to act as a resistance boundary, capping upside expansion. Bullish attempts have stalled beneath the Resistance Arc, indicating that the resistance remains intact.
If the Resistance Arc holds firm, a decline toward the 0.5 Target Arc becomes the primary scenario. Conversely, a sustained 1h close above the Arc would invalidate the bearish scenario, opening the path toward the next upper Resistance Arc 0.618 at 99.34.
๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐. ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ญ! | ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐. ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ญ! | ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐
After yesterdayโs sell-off, the ๐๐ซ๐ฌ is showing a bearish pattern.
Below the current price, we have ๐ฒ๐พ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐น๐ผ๐๐, which could act as a potential draw on liquidity.
At the same time, the ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ญ! ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ reacted bullishly yesterday, which explains the strong sell-off we saw in ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐.
But the interesting part is this:
The ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ still has a ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ as long as the ๐๐ฐ ๐๐ฉ๐ holds.
Below this area, a new ๐๐ญ ๐๐ฉ๐ has formed.
So at the moment, we have two apparently ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ต ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐:
๐๐ซ๐ฌ โ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ต
๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ญ! โ ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ
But what does this actually tell us?
This is where it makes sense to look directly at the ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐ ๐๐๐.
The CFD has reacted from a ๐๐ญ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ and is currently showing a ๐น๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐น๐ ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐๐๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ.
This means there is currently no clear directional confirmation from DXY and CHF Futures alone.
It is entirely possible that we see a ๐๐ฒ๐น๐น-๐ผ๐ณ๐ณ in both the ๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฟ๐ฒ, which would leave us with no clear edge from the two correlated instruments.
Therefore, the key market to watch is the actual ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐ ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ถ๐ฟ.
๐ฃ๐ข๐ง๐๐ก๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ก๐๐ฅ๐๐ข:
If ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐ reacts ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต๐น๐ during the ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป and confirms the bullish structure, a ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ป ๐จ๐ฆ๐/๐๐๐ could become the more interesting opportunity.
๐ก๐ผ ๐ฐ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐น๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ? ๐ก๐ผ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฒ.
The chart of the actual pair will decide.
#USDCHF #DXY #6S1 #CHF #USD #Forex #Trading #ICT #Liquidity #FVG #IFVG #PriceAction #MarketStructure
๐๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐น๐ฎ๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ๐ฟ: This analysis represents my personal market view and is not financial advice. Trading financial markets involves significant risk and can result in substantial losses.
JPN225: 3% yields, a descending triangle,Here Is the Trade!The video has a detailed analysis of the Japan 225 and the trade setup that I have created as of 3 September 2026, the day when Japan's 10 year bond yield topped 3% for the first time since 1996 as US-Iran airstrikes increase oil prices, global inflation expectations rise, yen strengthens amid BOJ rate hike check speculation and the index falls 2.85% to four-week lows at 64,325. Nikkei index currently trades 12% down from its June peak of 73,007. Descending triangle has been developing quietly since August highs, with flat support at 63,500 and a series of lower highs. The MACD histogram is decreasing from deeply negative levels โ the exact same exhaustion signal that the Hang Seng produced on the chart in July right before providing its strongest week since March 2025. I go through the details of the triangle, the trading setup, three possible target levels and finally the level which signals the triangle breakdown;62,000. This video should be interesting both to those who trade indices and want to learn about the relationship between bond yields and chart patterns.
DXY: the late dollar bounce broke under 99.00The late USD-long crowd did not just get warned at resistance. It has now been pushed below the round-number pond.
The hawkish Fed story is still alive, but the market is no longer paying for it blindly. After weak ADP data, softer Treasury yields and stronger JPY demand, traders are starting to ask a colder question: what if the Fed stays hawkish while the labor market keeps losing speed?
๐ Since then
DXY failed near the 99.50-99.57 area and has now dropped below 99.00, trading around 98.88 on the 1H chart. The 9 EMA is still above price near 99.00, so the short-term structure remains heavy unless buyers reclaim that zone quickly.
๐ What changed on the chart
The first bearish scenario has already activated: price lost 99.00 instead of defending it. That makes 98.90-99.00 the new test area from below.
If DXY retests 99.00 and fails, the move can extend toward 98.60-98.50. If buyers reclaim 99.00-99.10 and hold it, the breakdown becomes less convincing and the dollar can try to repair the failed bounce.
๐งญ Duckโs Plan
Bearish continuation: sellers stay in control while DXY holds below 99.00-99.10, with 98.60-98.50 as the next downside area.
Bullish repair: price needs to reclaim 99.10 and build support above it. Without that, any green candle is only a reaction, not a repaired structure.
โ Invalidation
The bearish update loses strength if DXY recovers above 99.10 and holds that level on a retest.
โ ๏ธ Risk
NFP on 4 September 2026 is the main event risk. A strong labor print can squeeze late shorts fast; a weak print can confirm that the crowded dollar bounce was built on tired legs.
The crowd bought the hawkish story near the top. The chart is now asking who still wants to defend it below 99.00.
Personal market analysis, not financial advice.
Nikkei 225: The Decision Is Priced, the Guidance Is NotJP225 Ahead of the BOJ: When the Rate Hike Is Already in the Price
Fundamental Analysis
1. The Nikkei recently pulled back from 67,461 to 64,214 before a slight rebound. However, because it remains up 32% year-to-date, this is just a normal correction within a strong ongoing uptrend.
2. The BOJ's Sept 17โ18 meeting is the primary market catalyst, with an 82% probability of a rate hike to 1.25% already priced in. Since the hike is expected, the index will react to the central bank's tone rather than the decision itself.
3. The yen has strengthened recently (moving from 160.20 to 156.71). This acts as a double-edged sword: it helps lower imported inflation but cuts into the profits of major Japanese exporters.
4. 10-year JGB yields hitting 30-year highs near 3% are pressuring growth valuations while boosting bank margins. This has triggered a clear sector rotation out of tech and into financials and domestic stocks.
5. Oil prices nearing $95 due to geopolitical risks directly increase costs for energy-dependent Japan. This hurts corporate margins and pressures the BOJ to tighten policy faster, creating a dangerous combination for the index.
Technical Analysis
6. JP225 is trading sideways within a symmetrical triangle, holding its level after posting a new high above 72,000. The price has pulled back and is now hovering close to the EMA20, indicating a consolidation phase.
7. However, looking at the broader picture prior to this sideways move, the price had been building higher swings consistently, while the EMA stack diverged and continues to signal an uptrend.
8. In summary, JP225 is moving sideways to build momentum for a further advance, as the bullish momentum may have temporarily weakened.
9. If the price breaks out of the range in either direction, it would serve as a trend-following signal in that direction, with an upside bias.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
JAP225๐ Japan 225 (JAP225) | Daily Timeframe โ Bullish Trade Idea
Japan 225 is showing a potential bullish continuation setup after breaking above a previously established descending trendline.
๐ Technical Analysis
The daily chart shows a strong overall bullish structure, followed by a corrective phase. Price recently broke above the descending trendline, suggesting that the previous corrective move may be losing momentum.
Key observations:
๐ Overall market structure remains bullish
๐ Price has broken above the descending trendline
๐ The breakout is being followed by a pullback/retest
๐ฏ Current price is around 65,038
Buyers could potentially target the previous resistance area and higher levels
๐ฏ Trade Plan
Direction: BUY ๐ข
Entry: Around 65,000โ65,100
Stop Loss: 60,545
Take Profit: 69,511
Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:1
The idea is to participate in a potential continuation after the trendline breakout rather than chasing the initial move.
For me, the key level to watch is the 65,000 area. If buyers continue to defend this region and price starts building bullish momentum, the next major objective is around 69,500.
#JAP225 #Japan225 #Nikkei225 #IndexTrading #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TrendlineBreakout #RiskManagement #Trading #ForexTrading #Indices #SwingTrading






















