LLOYDSMELloyds Metals & Energy Ltd. (CMP ₹1,907.00, NSE: LLOYDSME)
The SmartWay Research Desk | 21 July 2026
A Nagpur‑based iron ore mining and sponge iron company, incorporated in 1979. Lloyds Metals & Energy operates across iron ore mining, sponge iron, power generation, and steel manufacturing, with strong presence in Maharashtra and expansion into downstream steel products.
Promoter Holding (Mar 2026): Gupta Family — 74.95% stake (no pledges)
FY22–FY26 Snapshot
Revenue Growth: FY26 revenue ₹6,842 Cr vs ₹5,912 Cr in FY25 (+15.7% YoY). → Good
Net Profit: FY26 PAT ₹1,212 Cr vs ₹1,042 Cr in FY25 (+16.3% YoY). → Good
Operating Margin: FY26 EBITDA ₹2,012 Cr, margin 29.4% vs 28.6% last year (+80 bps). → Good
Equity Capital: Stable, face value ₹1. → Good
Dividend Policy: Dividend ₹5.00/share declared for FY26. → Good
Asset Building: Investments in steel plant expansion and captive power projects. → Good
Sales: Strong demand from iron ore mining and sponge iron supply. → Good
Expense: Raw material and power costs remain volatile. → Neutral/Good
EPS: FY26 EPS ₹38.25 vs ₹32.90 last year (+16.2%). → Good
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends (Mar 2026)
Promoter Holding: 74.95% (no pledges)
FII Holding: 6.12%
DII Holding: 10.34%
Retail & Others: 8.59%
Strategic Moves & Innovations
Expansion in iron ore mining capacity in Gadchiroli.
Focus on integrated steel plant development.
Partnerships with state utilities for captive power supply.
Diversification into downstream steel products and alloys.
Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength
Market cap ~₹45,800 Cr.
Debt‑to‑equity ratio ~0.38 (moderate leverage).
Book value per share ₹182.40; P/B ~10.5.
EPS (TTM) ₹38.25; P/E ~49.8.
Risk Factors
High P/E ratio ~49.8, indicating premium valuations.
Dependence on iron ore mining approvals and commodity cycles.
Exposure to steel price volatility.
Competition from JSW Steel, Tata Steel, and SAIL.
Investor Takeaway
Lloyds Metals & Energy has delivered robust FY26 performance, supported by iron ore mining expansion, sponge iron demand, and steel plant investments. With strong promoter backing, dividend payouts, and integrated growth strategy, Lloyds remains a premium mid‑cap steel & mining play. At CMP ₹1,907.00, valuations are expensive (P/E ~49.8, P/B ~10.5), reflecting growth expectations but also sectoral risks.
RMBS. Rambo is on adventure to new price discovery.Rambus is a leveraged bet, on the AI memory bottleneck, rather than the AI compute race.
While everyone, focuses on GPUs from NVIDIA, AI systems also need increasingly sophisticated memory architectures. Rambus sits in the middle of that trend.
1. AI needs memory bandwidth, not just more GPUs
The biggest challenge in AI hardware is increasingly moving data fast enough between processors and memory.
Rambus supplies:
DDR5 memory interface chips
Memory controller IP
High-speed SerDes technology
Security IP
Emerging technologies tied to HBM and CXL ecosystems
BAC. A financing boom, financing the AI boom. Probably.BAC is becoming a "picks-and-shovels financier" of AI
The AI boom requires enormous amounts of capital for:
+Data centers
+Power infrastructure
+Networking equipment
+Real estate development
+Debt issuance and structured finance
Rather, than betting on which AI model wins, BAC can earn fees and lending income from financing, the buildout itself. Bank of America. Example: recently served as structuring agent, plus advisor on a $16 billion, Oracle-related AI data, center project in Michigan.
AI capex may be measured in trillions
Bank of America's, own research recently raised its forecast, for the AI data center market, to about $1.7 trillion by 2030. If that estimate, is even directionally correct, there will be a massive need for debt financing, underwriting, treasury services, and capital markets activity.
Investment banking could reaccelerate
Large AI projects increasingly require:
+Bond issuance
+Syndicated loans
+Structured financing
+M&A advisory
Banks with large corporate relationship,s are positioned to collect fees, throughout the lifecycle of these projects. BAC is one of the few banks, with the scale to participate in the biggest deals.
Disney Wave Analysis – 20 July 2026- Disney reversed from the round resistance level 100.
- Likely to fall to support level 95.00
Disney recently reversed from the round resistance level 100.00 (former support from April and June) intersecting with the 20-day moving average and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from June.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 100.00 stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2, that belongs to the impulse wave (3) from June.
Given the strong daily downtrend, Disney can be expected to fall further to the next support level 95.00 (which stopped previous impulse wave 1).
Tesla, Inc.(TSLA): Price Is Approaching Low Support LineTesla stock (TSLA) is trading around $371-$372, experiencing minor volatility ahead of the company's highly anticipated Q2 2026 earnings report scheduled for after the market closes on Wednesday, July 22. Investors are heavily focused on profit margins, projected capital expenditures, and broader artificial intelligence (A1) scaling.
Technical Outlook:
Stock is positioned on a downtrend momentum, trending on a bearish channel, with Lower lows and highs. Price is gradually heading down to the trend support, in respect of the structure. We anticipating a buy pullback, between $353-$363.
Key Points:
A confirmed reverse above this levels, activates a buy position, eyeing $400, as next potential bullish.
Thanks for reading.
Edwards Lifesciences (EW) LONG — 12H ALMA Add (WR 76%)█ SETUP
NYSE:EW · 12H · long only.
(Context: Edwards Lifesciences — structural heart / TAVR leader.)
ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 4/3, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (EW 12H):
Win rate 76% · profit factor 2.2 · max drawdown 23%
Avg winning trade +12.4% · avg losing trade −7.9%
Typical hold ~62×12H bars on winners — medtech mean-reversion grid on the 12H Averaging template
█ WHY NOW
Fresh 12H ALMA add on the 20 Jul 13:30 UTC bar ~ $85.73 — lot 2 of 4 after the first 12H fill 17 Jul ~ $87.85 .
Bar-close Averaging into the pullback from the early-Jul ~$96 zone — not a discretionary pre-earnings average-down ahead of the 23 Jul print. Hard stop −10% from each lot’s average. Exits follow Pine ALMA flip + min diff or the hard stop.
═
█ MACRO
Sector: EW = US structural-heart / TAVR — procedure volumes, reimbursement coverage, and Sapien franchise drive the equity more than broad index beta.
Tape (Jun–20 Jul): CMS proposed TAVR NCD expansion (mid-Jun) and a wave of Street PT raises into early Jul, then profit-taking from the ~$96 spike back toward the mid-$80s into this add. Q2 prints after the close 23 Jul — inside a typical multi-week hold on this clock. Execution is 12H ALMA Averaging on the add bar, not an earnings call.
═
█ OUTLOOK
Positive factors
- Tester skew: 76% WR · PF 2.2 · avg win +12.4% vs avg loss −7.9% — workable payoff on a slow Averaging clock
- Fresh ≤24h add ~$85.73 (2/4) — template still scaling, not a one-and-done chase into the $96 high
- EMA — LTF/mid stretch below: 1H Cur S:53 vs Avg S:7.3 · 4H Cur S:9 vs Avg S:6.8 — time-below overheated on the execution ladder (Dev ~+1.6% to +3.9%)
- ALMA — 1D OVERHEAT-S: SHORT · S:9 vs SAvg:2.8 — daily band stretch is classic Averaging fuel
- VWAP: Anchored Swing Support tagged ~ $85.46 (14 Apr swing) on the 20 Jul bar — spot sitting on the rail with the add
- SMC — 4H / 1W: FVG Enter Bull near ~ $85.7–85.8 into the wash (4h bounce hist. ~55–67%) — demand pocket at the fill zone
- 3D EMA still Above with Dev ~−0.3% — price back near the 3D line after the slide (coil / test, not a full HTF breakdown)
Negative factors
- EMA — 1D below still young: Cur S:4 vs Avg S:6.9 — daily below-session not mature; downside can extend before a full daily mean-revert
- EMA — weekly still Above: Cur L:11 vs Avg L:12.7 · Dev ~−3.9% — slow structure not flipped; pullback long against an intact weekly above-run
- ALMA — fast clocks young SHORT: 1H S:2 vs SAvg:3.9 · 4H S:3 vs SAvg:3.6 · 1W S:2 vs SAvg:3.1 — LTF/weekly below-band not stretched yet
- VWAP: next Active Support ribbon overhead ~ $87.10 (08 May) — nearby ceiling / reclaim zone above the add
- TL / GEO: Rising Wedge (Expanding) mid-Jul — overhead geometry, not a clean breakout map
- Q2 23 Jul gap risk — small-cap-style headline open can slip a −10% stop even on a large-cap name if the print disappoints
Takeaway: the 12H ALMA strategy, daily OVERHEAT-S, VWAP Support ~$85.5, and bull FVG at the add support a disciplined scale-in into the post-$96 wash, but young daily/LTF sessions, weekly still Above, and mixed weekly bear OB/FVG frame a repair grind into earnings — not a clean trend reclaim; nominal risk stays on the −10% hard stop / Pine exit path.
Base case: follow 12H ALMA Averaging · hold/add on qualifying bars while VWAP ~$85.5 / mid-$80s bull FVG cushions · work back toward the ~$87–88 prior-fill cluster if TAVR tape stays orderly through the print week.
Bear case: lose VWAP Support ~$85.5 · 1D young below extends · 23 Jul gap through lot averages toward the −10% zone · rising-wedge / weekly bear OB assert and the template posts stops.
Chart: NYSE:EW 12H — ALMA Averaging Strategy.
Educational idea. Live position — past backtest ≠ future results. NFA.
USA Rare Earth (USAR) LONG — 12H ALMA Re-entry (WR 75%)█ SETUP
NASDAQ:USAR · 12H · long only.
(Context: USA Rare Earth — Round Top TX mine-to-magnet · NdFeB magnets · US critical-minerals chain.)
ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1/1, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (USAR 12H):
Win rate 75% · profit factor 2.4 · max drawdown 22%
Avg winning trade +33.8% · avg losing trade −8.8%
Typical hold ~15×12H bars on winners — US small-cap mean-reversion grid on the rare-earth template
═
█ WHY NOW
Fresh 12H ALMA re-entry on the 20 Jul 13:30 UTC bar ~ $15.64 — first lot on the template after the prior cycle stopped on 16 Jul ~ $17.31 (that ladder had opened 09 Jul ~$18.43).
Same Averaging strategy, deeper discount into the mid-Jul wash — bar-close re-arm, not a discretionary “buy the rare-earth dip” call and not a chase into the spring highs.
Hard stop −10% from fill ~ $14.08 . Exits follow Pine ALMA flip + min diff or the hard stop. Scale-in remains 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, if lower bars qualify.
═
█ MACRO
Sector: USAR = Western rare-earth / critical minerals — Round Top (TX) → Wheat Ridge hydromet demo → magnet capacity buildout. Policy and supply-chain localization narratives vs dilution, legal, and pre-revenue execution risk.
Tape (09–20 Jul): the name kept sliding after the early-July regulatory / overhang flush — prior 12H long stopped mid-Jul ~$17.3, then price tagged the mid-teens into this re-entry. Wheat Ridge first separated oxides still framed for Q3 2026 on company timeline; Round Top PFS still a later 2026 checkpoint. Execution is 12H ALMA Averaging on the re-arm bar, not an oxide-catalyst or Congress-headline forecast.
═
█ OUTLOOK
Positive factors
- Tester skew: 75% WR · PF 2.4 · avg win +33.8% vs avg loss −8.8% — fat right tail vs bounded ALMA stop path
- Fresh re-entry after a scripted stop — template cut ~$17.3, then re-armed ~$15.6; process continuity, not revenge sizing
- EMA — stretch below on the execution ladder: 1H Cur S:22 vs Avg S:12.6 · 4H Cur S:37 vs Avg S:10.4 · 1D Cur S:19 vs Avg S:8.0 · 3D Cur S:7 vs Avg S:5.4 — time-below overheated with deep Dev (~+5% to +33%) — classic mean-reversion fuel for an Averaging long
- ALMA — slow clocks OVERHEAT-S: 1D S:6 vs SAvg:3.7 · 3D S:7 vs SAvg:3.2 · 1W S:5 vs SAvg:2.6 — stretched below the band on the structure clocks
- SMC — 4H / 3D: FVG Enter Bull tagged near ~ $15.6–15.7 into the wash — demand inefficiency sits on the fill zone
- Deeper post-June / mid-Jul discount vs the 09 Jul first attempt (~$18.4 → ~$15.6) — more room under the prior add cluster if the template is built for averaging
Negative factors
- EMA — weekly still young below: 1W Cur S:3 vs Avg S:9.1 — slow-TF below-session not mature yet; weekly can extend before a full HTF reclaim
- ALMA — fast clocks still young SHORT: 1H S:3 vs SAvg:4.1 · 4H S:2 vs SAvg:4.0 — LTF below-band not stretched; bounce can fail and print lower adds or the −10% path first
- PA / SMC supply: Bearish FVG + HTF Bearish FVG formed on the board · 4H also printed FVG Enter/Raid Bear around the same ~$15.6–16.2 pocket — mixed inefficiency at the fill
- TL: Support Break (2 bars) mid-Jul — structure break from the stop week still live
- Regulatory / legal overhang from the June–early-July window (policy probe narrative, China-list symbolism, float/overhang tape) can re-gap a small-cap open through the hard stop
- Pre-revenue buildout — Wheat Ridge oxides and Round Top PFS are milestones, not proof the bounce sticks
- First lot only (1 of 4) — no averaged cushion yet if 12H extends lower before adds qualify
Takeaway: the 12H ALMA strategy, deep EMA/ALMA below-stretch, and bull FVG at ~$15.6 support a disciplined re-entry after the mid-Jul stop, but young weekly/LTF sessions plus mixed bear FVG and headline gap risk frame a repair grind — not a clean trend reclaim; nominal risk stays on the −10% hard stop / Pine exit path.
Base case: follow 12H ALMA Averaging · hold/add on qualifying bars while 4H bull FVG / mid-teens pocket cushions · mean-revert toward the prior stop zone if rare-earth tape stabilizes without a fresh policy gap.
Bear case: lose the ~$15.6 bull FVG shelf · LTF young SHORT extends · another overhang headline gaps through −10% toward ~$14.1 from this fill · template posts the stop again and waits for the next bar-close arm.
Chart: NASDAQ:USAR 12H — ALMA Averaging Strategy.
Educational idea. Live position — past backtest ≠ future results. NFA.
AMD: news flow leaning bullish — the net read
The wire has been busy on AMD. Weighing the stories from the last 24h against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded:
+++ AMD stock surges 5% as Microsoft locks in massive AI infrastructure deal - Yahoo Finance
+++ AMD Stock Gains After The Nvidia-Rival Lands Major Microsoft AI Win With Helios Azure Deployment
+++ Midday Need to Know: AMD surges, Houthis threaten Saudi Red Sea & more
+++ Microsoft expands Azure AI infrastructure with AMD's next-generation GPUs and CPUs
++ Anthropic is reported to be testing AMD GPUs, as AI giants systematically reduce reliance on single-source computing power.
Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale.
What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. Strong reads fade as the market digests them, and a fresh headline can flip the whole picture. That's exactly what we track.
The rule of this account: every read gets a public update once the market has had time to speak — the ones that landed and the ones that didn't. No deleted calls. Watch for the update on this idea.
(Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
TSLA vs. SPCX: Which is the Better Buy Now?The Macro / Ecosystem Correlation:
Because both companies share leadership, brand identity, and overlapping retail/institutional investor bases, they will most likely trade as a single high beta unit when macro tech sentiment turns risk off.
Cyan Line:
NASDAQ:SPCX experienced a parabolic run driven by initial public offering momentum and hype. Saw a high of $225 before cooling off.
NASDAQ:TSLA has years of trading history, defined institutional support levels, and clearer historical valuation channels, saw more typical swing consolidation during this window.
Yellow Line:
Both tickers topped almost simultaneously July 1. Since then, the 4 hour structure for both shows a textbook lower high & lower low downtrend, trading beneath their respective moving averages with negative momentum indicators, dropping RSI and expanding red histogram bars.
Profitability vs. Growth Capex:
TSLA: Generates consistent free cash flow and positive earnings per share from automotive, energy storage, and services, offering a fundamental floor.
SPCX: Highly capital intensive (Starship, Starlink buildout, xAI integration, and semiconductor joint ventures) with negative net margins. High capex burn makes it much more sensitive to broader market pullbacks or interest rate shifts.
Acquisition / Merger Narrative:
In Wall Street buyout chatter surrounding a potential SPCX / TSLA combination, analysts project a 20% to 30% takeover premium for TSLA shareholders.
Control & Governance Consolidation: Elon Musk holds roughly 20% voting power. In a combined entity acquired by SPCX, Musk’s voting control is estimated to exceed 50%. Shareholders expect a "control premium" for surrendering public corporate governance.
Dilution / Selloff in SPCX: As the acquirer issuing massive amounts of new stock, SPCX shares would likely experience downward pressure post announcement, potentially eroding some of the premium's dollar value before the deal closes.
Regulatory Drag: M&A deals of this size face significant regulatory scrutiny meaning arbitrage spreads can remain wide for months.
Conclusion:
If you must own one, NASDAQ:TSLA looks like the cleaner core holding at the moment due to established earnings, tested technical support zones, and lower post IPO speculative volatility.
Chart Whisperer | Intuitive Market AnalysisI don’t look at the markets the way everyone else does. I consider myself a bit of a chart whisperer—not because I have a secret algorithm, but because years of staring at the screens have given me a deeply personal, intuitive feel for price action. My trading style is anchored in reading the natural rhythm of the candles, and more often than not, the market moves exactly the way my intuition says it will.
If you are looking for high-probability predictions and want to watch these setups play out in real-time, hit that follow button.
Just to be completely transparent: I am absolutely not a professional financial advisor, and nothing I post is official trading advice. I’m simply a retail trader sharing my personal journey, ideas, and charts. Trade at your own risk, but feel free to follow along if you want to see how an intuitive approach tackles the market.
DEO: Long Setup at Key Support & Volume POC ($80.50)DEO (Diageo) has reached a strong support zone around $80.50, which aligns with a new high-volume Point of Control (POC). We recently saw a massive volume spike at the bottom, indicating strong institutional interest and potential accumulation.
Entries: Scaling into long positions around the current support level ($80.50 region).
Targets: Looking for a move back up into the fair value gaps (FVG) and previous resistance zones above.
Key Levels:
Support / POC: ~$80.50
Resistance / Upper Targets: Previous green zones (FVG)
Chart Whisperer | Intuitive Market AnalysisI don’t look at the markets the way everyone else does. I consider myself a bit of a chart whisperer—not because I have a secret algorithm, but because years of staring at the screens have given me a deeply personal, intuitive feel for price action. My trading style is anchored in reading the natural rhythm of the candles, and more often than not, the market moves exactly the way my intuition says it will.
If you are looking for high-probability predictions and want to watch these setups play out in real-time, hit that follow button.
Just to be completely transparent: I am absolutely not a professional financial advisor, and nothing I post is official trading advice. I’m simply a retail trader sharing my personal journey, ideas, and charts. Trade at your own risk, but feel free to follow along if you want to see how an intuitive approach tackles the market.






















