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HUL- 20 & 50 EMA Bearish Crossover After 20 Years Fresh Supply Zone: ₹2,100–₹2,239 — fresh monthly supply zone and key resistance on any pullback. 🔹₹2,000 psychological & historical support, which held since 2022, has been decisively breached on the monthly chart. 🔹EMA: 20 & 50 EMA bearish crossover confirmed on 3 Aug 2026, on the monthly chart is a rare long-term signal. A similar bearish phase was seen around 2004, after which HUL witnessed a deep correction. Historical 2004 data confirm significant weakness in the stock during that period 🔹Demand Zone 1: Tested twice and weakened, increasing the possibility of further downside if breached. 🔹Demand Zone 2: ₹1,228–₹1,412 — Strong monthly demand/support zone. (50% correction) 🔹Demand Zone 3: ₹1,100–₹1,180 — Very strong long-term demand/support zone. 🔹Overall Trend: BEARISH If the current bearish structure develops into a correction of 50–60% from the major top, it would not be surprising from a historical/technical perspective. However, this is a scenario, not a price prediction.
NSE:HINDUNILVRShort
by rahul25
How Long Does a Gap Take to Fill? 396 Gaps, MeasuredA gap on a chart is a claim that something got skipped. "It will fill" is a different claim, and it is the one worth measuring. Someone says it under every gap on every chart: that will fill. It sounds like structure talking, and on this chart it is even true. Over the last 1,300 daily bars, Snowflake NYSE:SNOW left 396 gaps behind, and 380 of them were fully filled. That is ninety-six percent. So the claim survives the hit rate. It does not survive the clock, and the gap between those two things is where most of the damage gets done. -------------------------------------------------------------- 1. What was measured, so you can repeat it I used the plain three-bar definition and nothing else. A bullish gap exists when the low of the third bar sits above the high of the first. A bearish gap exists when the high of the third bar sits below the low of the first. The zone runs between those two prices, and it is created on the third bar. No size minimum, no trend filter, no session rules. From there, two questions per gap. Touched means a later bar reached the near edge of the zone. Filled means a later bar reached the far edge, all the way through. Both are measured in trading bars from the day the gap was created, and both only look forward. The sample is 1,300 daily bars on Snowflake, July 2021 to September 2026: 396 gaps, 205 of them bullish and 191 bearish. Anyone can rebuild this. That is the point of using the boring definition. One note before the numbers. The layer drawn on the chart applies its own conditions on top of this definition, so the zones you can count on the chart will not match my totals exactly. That is deliberate. I ran the measurement on the plain definition so anyone can reproduce it without our tool, and where the two disagree, the arithmetic below is the definition talking, not the indicator. -------------------------------------------------------------- 2. The hit rate, which is why the claim feels true 390 of the 396 gaps were touched. That is 98.5 percent. 380 were filled through the far edge, 96.0 percent. Six were never touched at all. If the analysis stopped there, the conclusion would write itself: on this chart, gaps fill. And every gap you have ever pointed at and called unfinished would look like a sound read. Stopping there is the mistake. A hit rate tells you how often something happens. It says nothing about when, and when is the only part you have to live through. -------------------------------------------------------------- 3. The distribution, which is where the claim breaks Of the 380 gaps that filled, this is how long they took: 1 to 5 bars: 208 gaps (54.7 percent) 6 to 20 bars: 79 gaps (20.8 percent) 21 to 60 bars: 31 gaps (8.2 percent) 61 to 250 bars: 51 gaps (13.4 percent) more than 250 bars: 11 gaps (2.9 percent) The median is four bars. More than half of all gaps on this chart were closed inside a week, and that is the whole reason the claim has such a good reputation. Nine out of ten filled inside 97 bars. Then there is the tail, and the tail is not a rounding error. It is a different market. The five slowest fills on this chart were all bearish gaps left on the way down from the late-2021 high: 345.90 to 349.79, created 29 December 2021, filled 3 September 2026 - 1,174 bars 330.51 to 331.18, created 4 January 2022, filled 7 August 2026 - 1,151 bars 282.48 to 285.50, created 22 February 2022, filled 29 July 2026 - 1,111 bars 234.00 to 261.31, created 3 March 2022, filled 27 October 2025 - 916 bars 224.42 to 250.58, created 4 March 2022, filled 8 October 2025 - 902 bars Read the first line again. Somebody could have looked at that gap in the last days of 2021, said it will fill, and been right. The filling happened two weeks ago. Between the claim and the outcome sit four and a half years, an entire drawdown, and a recovery that had nothing to do with the reason the gap existed. In the hit rate, that gap is one dot next to a gap that filled in three bars. They are the same statistic and they are not the same event. And the tail has a direction. Of the eleven gaps that took more than 250 bars to fill, ten were bearish. Put the two groups side by side and the typical case is almost identical - bullish gaps filled in a median of four bars, bearish in five, and the ninetieth percentile is 95 bars against 96. The difference lives entirely in the disaster case: 5.3 percent of bearish gaps took more than a year of bars, against 0.5 percent of bullish ones, one single gap. Gaps left behind on the way up got closed by ordinary pullbacks. Gaps left behind on the way down waited for the market to change its mind about the company, and that is not something a pullback can do. Same definition, same chart, same median - and the thing you are exposed to when you are wrong is not the median. -------------------------------------------------------------- 4. The six that never filled, and what they mark Six gaps in this sample were never touched, by the plain definition used here. The oldest is a bearish zone at 392.40 to 396.39, created 22 November 2021 , and in the 1,208 bars since then price has not come within eight dollars of its lower edge. The highest high after that date is 384.56. The stock closed today at 338.39. That zone is not waiting. It is a record. It marks the two days when price left the area on the way down from a top it has not seen again, and the market has had five years to come back and has not. The other five are younger and they show the censoring problem in the flesh. One sits at 110.81 to 113.06 from October 2024, open for 487 bars. Another sits at 140.63 to 144.48 from May 2026 and is 90 bars old, which is to say it has barely been given the chance to fill yet. Counting that one as evidence that gaps do not fill would be as careless as counting a three-bar fill as evidence that they always do. This is the part worth keeping. An unfilled gap is usually not a pending event. It is usually the fingerprint of a repricing the market never took back. Micron NASDAQ:MU has a five-percent-wide zone at 50.02 to 52.73 that has stood untouched for 928 bars. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has its oldest unfilled zones between 12.50 and 15.47, created in late 2022 and early 2023, and the market re-rated straight up through them without ever looking back down. In every one of those cases, the gap is not telling you where price is going. It is telling you where the old regime ended. -------------------------------------------------------------- 5. The honesty tax: three ways this number can be dressed up Any statistic like this can be made to look better than it is, so here is how. Count the noise and the fills look fast. On this chart the plain definition produced 396 gaps. Throw away every gap smaller than half a percent of price and 334 remain, which barely moves the story. On the S&P 500 ETF AMEX:SPY the same filter is brutal: 463 gaps become 226, half the sample gone, and the ninetieth percentile fill time nearly doubles from 45 bars to 78. The comforting version of "gaps fill fast" lives almost entirely inside gaps too small to trade. The newest gaps have not had time to fail. 71 of these 396 gaps are less than 250 bars old, eighteen percent of the sample. A gap created three months ago has had a fraction of the chance to disappoint that one created three years ago has. Every fill-rate number on every chart is flattered by this, including mine. The window decides the answer. This sample holds one large decline and one strong recovery. The 2025 and 2026 fills in that tail exist because the recovery happened. Run the same measurement ending in late 2022 and the same gaps are open, and the conclusion reverses. A fill rate is a statement about a path, not a property of gaps. -------------------------------------------------------------- 6. What a gap is actually worth as a read It is a where, not a when. It marks an area price crossed too quickly for both sides to be present, and it stays on the chart until the market comes back for it. That is all it claims, and it is enough to be useful: it gives you a place to watch and a condition to review. What it never gives you is a date. The layer we built for this, Structura Blocks, draws these zones and stretches each one to the right for as long as it stays untouched, so a zone's width is its age - and a wide one is not a stronger case, it is an older one. The tool will not tell you when. Nothing will. Half of them resolve inside a week, one in thirty takes more than a year, and the six that never resolve are the ones that turned out to matter most. So the honest version of the sentence is longer than the sentence. Not "that gap will fill", but: on this chart, gaps like this one have filled about ninety-six percent of the time, usually within a week, occasionally after four years, and when one of them does not fill at all, it is generally because the market moved on and did not want the price back. If you run this on your own charts, the number I would look at first is not the fill rate. It is the age of the oldest zone still open. How old is yours?
NYSE:SNOWEducation
by StructuraMarkets
BOWL threeday consolidation on heavy volumeFirst on my radar this week was Hollywood Bowl. A strong and steady performer which caters well to its family audiences, I was a big fan of its competitor years ago, Ten Entertainment, which eventually got bid for. Notable falls this week on decent volume with no news behind it as far as I can tell, and its the last 3 days which have caught my attention. The volume continues to pile in, yet it would seem the buyers have come steaming in causing the price action to consolidate for a few days. Other points I would note, is that this is very loosely a previous area of support the stock has reversed from in the past. Also the 1.6% fall on Friday finished the day higher than the previous day on 2.6 x the average volume, Could this be a little accumulation here?
LSE:BOWLLong
by Stockso_Simple
REDWOOD TRUST INC (RWT:US)REDWOOD TRUST INC (RWT:US) 💰 Accumulation Plan 🟡 NOW $3.95 → 40% 🟠 $3.55 → 70% 🔴 $2.85 → 100% RWT is going through an extremely difficult period due to high interest rates, yet it currently trades at a discount of over 50% to book value, with a forward P/E ratio of under 4x and massive insider buying by the entire senior management team at the $3.84–$3.98 level. While the risk associated with leverage is elevated (as is typical for mREITs), the potential for the share price to double (reaching $7.50–$8.00), combined with the high dividend, makes the risk-reward ratio exceptionally favorable. 🏦 Fundamentals → WHAT I want to own 📊 Technical Levels → WHERE I want to accumulate ⏳ Patience → WHEN I choose to act The market constantly creates imbalances. My job is simply to be patient.
NYSE:RWTLong
by SimeonNikolaev-invest
SNDK LONG SETUP SNDK LONG SETUP Waiting for the pullback, not chasing the rebound. Entry: $1,500 Stop Loss: $1,450 Take Profit: $1,800 Trigger: Hold the $1,450–$1,500 zone and reclaim momentum. Invalidation: Close below $1,450 → cancel the long setup and wait for a new base. Key catalyst: AI + data-center NAND demand. ⚠️ SNDK is highly volatile. For Bitget RSNDK/USDT, use percentage-based levels since the contract price may differ from the cash market. NFA. Always DYOR.
NASDAQ:SNDKLong
by kaitokuraba7
Risk @ 15925 Reward @ 32645• Strategy Execution: We provide trade calls based on trendline setups. • Lot Size: The calls given are based on standard F&O lot sizes. • Stop-Loss Execution: Strictly follow the stop-loss levels. • 15-Minute Candle Close: Consider the stop-loss triggered only after a 15-minute candle closes beyond the level. • Position Sizing: Limit exposure to a maximum of two open positions at a time. • Important Note: Do not risk more than 2% of your capital per trade.
NSE:SONACOMSLong
by jayendrawamaj
NBIS: Bearish Weekly Cycle In ProgressThis is a pick from a follower. NBIS: Monthly TF Still In Bullish Cycle. Uptrend Direction structure Weekly TF is in Bearish Cycle and will stay bearish until 1st or 2nd week of Oct. Downtrend Daily TF Is also in Bearish Cycle. Downtrend 4hrs TF is in Bullish Cycle. Uptrend As we can clearly see on the Daily TF is telling us that the Monthly has been in a uptrend direction since April 2025 and The Weekly started its Downtrend Direction on the 2nd week of June 2026, so knowing where the weekly is heading and when it started its Bearish Cycle we can estimate that still has like 2 to 4 weeks to the down side and with that info we can trade the Daily and the 4hrs TFs. Now moving to the Daily TF we can see that entered in a sideways move (orange shared area) and we can see it clearly on the 4hrs TF. NBIS is doing a nice job on its Weekly TF meaning that Bulls had the power of controlling the damage that bears can do . How would I trade NBIS very simple enter near the bottom of the orange shared area and exit near the top for as long as the sideways move remains active and the Weekly remains Bearish. The Weekly target (green shaded area), will be on the table for as long as the Weekly stays bearish For long term Bulls to have the most probabilities on your side wait until the weekly changes to Bullish Cycle and that will take place around the 2nd week of Oct. Play it right.................Play it safe........................Play it The Numberfive Way. Boost....................Follow.................Share...............Comment.
NASDAQ:NBISShort
by Numberfive
1
TEAM: Not Quite Dead After AllWhat Has Happened? Since our last update, Atlassian shares have seen a noticeable pullback, which the stock used to gather fresh momentum to the upside. While the bullish momentum has eased somewhat in the meantime, our primary expectation remains for further gains. Primary Scenario In our primary scenario, we see TEAM in a sustained bullish trend, with the stock expected to continue advancing step by step as part of the ongoing upward impulse. The next top should form within our red target zone (coordinates: $245.85–$270.05), after which we expect a noticeable corrective move to the downside. Alternative Scenario In our alternative scenario, TEAM would already be further advanced within the ongoing upward impulse and would imminently break below the support level at $159 without first forming a top within our red target zone (coordinates: $245.85–$270.05). However, while still clearly above the lower $80 level, the stock would then turn back to the upside and resume its advance (probability: 33%). Broader Outlook The daily chart confirms our view that Atlassian remains in a broader uptrend, which should continue to unfold in stages and eventually extend above the resistance level at $483.13, taking the stock to new all-time highs.
NASDAQ:TEAMLong
by HKCM_Global
RISK 13125 REWARD 26600• Strategy Execution: We provide trade calls based on trendline setups. • Lot Size: The calls given are based on standard F&O lot sizes. • Stop-Loss Execution: Strictly follow the stop-loss levels. • 15-Minute Candle Close: Consider the stop-loss triggered only after a 15-minute candle closes beyond the level. • Position Sizing: Limit exposure to a maximum of two open positions at a time. • Important Note: Do not risk more than 2% of your capital per trade.
NSE:TVSMOTORLong
by patelketul121
AAPL After FOMC: From 334.96 Flush to Clean BreakoutAfter the September 16 FOMC decision, AAPL showed one of the cleaner reactions among the major names. Why it dropped The Fed hiked 25 bp to the 3.75–4.00% range and the tone was hawkish. Higher yields and a stronger dollar hit growth stocks hard. AAPL sold from the $334.96 area down to $329.39 as liquidity swept the recent lows. Why it’s rising again Once the market digested that this wasn’t the start of a heavy multi-hike cycle and the economy still looks resilient, risk appetite returned. AAPL consolidated above the $329–330 zone, then pushed higher and broke back through $334.96 — flipping the old resistance into support. The setup Long on the break and hold of $334.96 • Entry: market or a shallow pullback toward $335.95 • Stop: $332.44 • Target: next key level $343.77 As a day trader currently in the Bitget KCGI competition, these zones are enough for me. When liquidity is available I don’t force size NASDAQ:AAPL I wait for the high-probability structure that actually delivers the R:R I’m looking for. And I always make sure the exchange fills the planned stop and target cleanly. Having Stocks, CFDs, and Crypto on one platform with deep liquidity on U.S. Stock Perps makes it easier to execute cleanly around major U.S. market events like this FOMC reaction without jumping between venues. Simple levels, clear invalidation, measured target.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by aAbraham1x
1
NSE Visa Chrome Stock May Hit 28, 20 & 10 Levels?📉 NSE:VISACHROME is showing a potentially important Elliott Wave setup on the hourly chart. The larger structure suggests that Primary Wave W is still developing , with Intermediate (A) and (B) appearing to be in place and Intermediate (C) now developing. Within Wave (C), the chart is showing a possible Minor Wave 3 , with Minute Wave iii developing . 🛡️ Strong Support: 28.60 The 28 area is particularly important because it is close to the 61.8% Fib level . If the bearish Wave (C) structure continues to develop as expected, the deeper 20 area becomes another important reference zone. 🔻 Larger Wave (C) projection: 100% zigzag measurement around 9.97 🎯 Targets: Target: 28 Target: 20 Target: 10 → potential larger Wave (C) completion level What do you think? 👇 Will Visa Chrome hold around 28–28.60, or could Wave (C) continue toward the deeper levels shown on the chart?
NSE:VISACHROMEShort
by VCSompura
AMD looks like a pretty good long continuation next month or twoNASDAQ:AMD I see it break all time high's once it does gonna go much higher, even possibly 700-800$ but then would become overbought to me.. Gotta wait and see. But firstly I 90% see it head back to 583$ the all time high's. Then i'm 85% sure that It will break and hold all time high's and then rocket up from 583$ break and make between 20-40% upside. About a 700-800$ price target, 1000$ round number is possible, but would be crazy overbought if goes there, could mark the top and also massive psychological level... So I don't wanna see anyone fomo long's at 1k... Wait for a confirmation break of atleast 2-3 days above 1000$ to buy with a stop loss at 950$.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by jazzioman
ONE POINT SOLUTIONS## One Point One Solutions Ltd. (CMP ₹59.14, NSE: ONEPOINT) **The SmartWay Research Desk | 18 September 2026** A Navi Mumbai‑based **Business Process Management (BPM) and IT services company**, incorporated in 2006. One Point One Solutions provides **customer lifecycle management, collections, technical support, and digital transformation services** to clients in BFSI, telecom, e‑commerce, and healthcare sectors. **Promoter Holding (Jun 2026):** **Ravi Kedia & Family — ~74.8% stake (no pledges)** --- ### FY22–FY26 Snapshot - **Revenue Growth:** FY26 revenue ₹642 Cr vs ₹562 Cr in FY25 (+14.2% YoY). → **Good** - **Net Profit:** FY26 PAT ₹62 Cr vs ₹52 Cr in FY25 (+19.2% YoY). → **Good** - **Operating Margin:** FY26 EBITDA ₹122 Cr, margin 19.0% vs 18.3% last year (+70 bps). → **Good** - **Equity Capital:** Stable, face value ₹2. → **Good** - **Dividend Policy:** Dividend ₹0.50/share declared for FY26. → **Neutral/Good** - **Asset Building:** Investments in **AI‑driven customer support and digital platforms**. → **Good** - **Sales:** Strong demand from **BFSI and telecom outsourcing contracts**. → **Good** - **Expense:** Employee and infra costs remain elevated. → **Neutral/Good** - **EPS:** FY26 EPS ₹2.25 vs ₹1.90 last year (+18.4%). → **Good** --- ### Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends (Jun 2026) - **Promoter Holding:** ~74.8% (no pledges) - **FII Holding:** ~1.2% - **DII Holding:** ~2.6% - **Retail & Others:** ~21.4% --- ### Strategic Moves & Innovations - Expansion in **AI‑enabled BPM and analytics services**. - Focus on **digital transformation for BFSI and healthcare clients**. - Partnerships with **global IT firms for technology integration**. - Diversification into **collections, technical support, and e‑commerce solutions**. --- ### Cash Flow & Balance Sheet Strength - Market cap ~₹420 Cr. - Debt‑to‑equity ratio ~0.36 (moderate leverage). - Book value per share ₹22.00; P/B ~2.7. - EPS (TTM) ₹2.25; P/E ~26.3. --- ### Risk Factors - Moderate‑high **P/E ratio ~26.3**, valuations slightly expensive. - Dependence on **outsourcing contracts and client retention**. - Exposure to **employee attrition and wage inflation**. - Competition from Firstsource Solutions, Hinduja Global, and Datamatics. --- ### Investor Takeaway One Point One Solutions has delivered **steady FY26 performance**, supported by BPM growth, AI‑driven services, and BFSI outsourcing demand. With strong promoter backing (Kedia Family, 74.8% stake), dividend payouts, and niche positioning in customer lifecycle management, the company remains a **small‑cap IT & BPM play**. At CMP ₹59.14, valuations are **moderately expensive (P/E ~26.3, P/B ~2.7)**, reflecting growth expectations with manageable risks.
NSE:ONEPOINTLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
2
MVST | WeeklyNASDAQ:MVST — HIEQ Model Quan-Analysis | Reaching the Market Depth MVST is one of the high-potential projections I’ve designed into the HIEQ Model. The final decline may now have completed, with a 45%📉 decline identified by HIEQ-Structure φ , pausing precisely at the Sup Trend E-line Δ of the Trend Ray χΔ. The Primary-degree Wave ⓶ corrective phase, representing an approximately 92% decline, may have concluded at $0.5613—very close to the defined HPQ Target ➤ $0.5555 🎯, although the target itself was not touched. I’ll wait for the weekly close before providing the projected paths of the Primary Impulsive Trend ⓷ on the TS Map. #StrategicAnalysis #TrendAnalysis #CymaticTrendflow #FutureVision #TimeSpaceMap
NASDAQ:MVSTLong
by ElliottChart
Value Trap or Opportunity ? I initiated a position in this company back in Dec 2019 and for the next two years or so, we did capture the peak at 85.50. However, I continue to hold on to TODAY and now my position is in the RED! Balance Sheet wise, this company is still strong and while it has closed many outlets in China, it is also aggressively rolling out new initiatives like the one person hotpot concept which is well received in China. It has also moved from a self managed chain to a franchise model, increasing its scalability (though I am somehow sceptical about the timing ???) I am equally concerned about its future ability to pay 8% dividends as the domestic spending patterns in China is still subdued and confidence remains low. Property market (after 5 long years is still not out of the woods, CCP is still stubbornly not dishing out sufficient stimulus to prop the market), job market remains weak with many graduates unable to find job continuously. So, I have little choice but to hang out to my bloody red position for now and monitor the macrotrends and study if Haidilao will be able to turnaround the business in the near future.
HKEX:6862
by dchua1969