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Is RCAT Loading Another 150% Explosive Rally?RCAT has one characteristic that immediately stands out—it respects structure remarkably well.
For a couple of years, the stock has been trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, repeatedly bouncing between support and resistance. Every major pullback has eventually found buyers near the lower trendline, setting the stage for another impulsive move higher.
Now, RCAT is back at that same decision point.
📊 The Story
Price has once again established a base at the lower boundary of the rising channel, where buyers have stepped in multiple times before. If history continues to rhyme, this could become the launchpad for another leg higher.
The previous rallies from channel support have produced gains of well over 150%, making this area worth watching closely.
As long as the channel remains intact, the broader uptrend is still alive.
🎯 Bullish Scenario
A sustained rebound from current levels could target:
🎯 $11.5– Mid-channel resistance
🎯 $15–16 – Previous swing highs
🎯 $18–19 – Upper channel resistance
⚠️ What I'm Watching
The lower trendline has done its job once again—but confirmation is still needed.
Ideally, I'd like to see:
✅ Higher highs and higher lows on lower timeframes
✅ Increasing buying volume
✅ A breakout above the channel's midline to confirm momentum has returned
Until then, patience remains the edge.
❌ Invalidation
A decisive daily close below the lower channel support (around $7) would invalidate this bullish thesis and suggest the current structure has broken down.
📖 Every Chart Tells a Story.
This one isn't predicting another 170% rally—it simply highlights that RCAT is once again sitting at the same high-probability area from which previous major advances began. Whether history repeats itself or not, price will reveal the answer soon. 
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Week 39 of 52 | MSTR $120 Reclaimed — $175–190 Is Back in PlayNASDAQ:MSTR has come a long way from where we were watching it a few weeks ago. Back then the idea was pretty simple: first I wanted to see the $82–95 area hold, then MSTR needed to recover $100–105, and after that $120 was the next level that really mattered. Now we’re trading around $154, so a big part of that move has already happened.
That changes the setup. At $90–100, I was interested in whether support could hold. Around $120, I was watching for the reclaim. At $154, I’m thinking a lot more about patience. This is usually the point where people start getting interested because the stock is moving fast, and it’s also where it becomes easy to chase.
I don’t really want to do that here. A big green candle makes the chart look obvious after the fact, but it doesn’t automatically mean the risk/reward is still attractive at the current price. I’d rather wait and see what MSTR does when it finally pulls back.
The first area I’m watching is around $140–145. After a move like this, I think that’s a reasonable place to look for buyers. If MSTR pulls back, holds that area and starts moving higher again, the structure would still look healthy to me. If we lose it, then $120–125 becomes much more important.
That $120–125 area matters because it was resistance before. Now I want to see if it can become support. That’s one of the things people sometimes overcomplicate in technical analysis. A breakout by itself is not enough. What happens after the breakout matters just as much.
If price breaks resistance and later comes back to the same area, that’s where you get more information. Do buyers defend it? Does price immediately fall back below it? Does volume come in? Does the stock start building higher lows? That reaction tells you a lot more than just drawing a line on the chart.
That’s why I’m paying attention to $120–125. If MSTR eventually comes back there and buyers defend it, I’d see that as a much stronger confirmation that the structure has really changed.
Above current price, I’m still watching the $175–190 area. That zone was already on the chart before this move. I’m not saying MSTR has to go there next, but if momentum continues, that’s the next area where I’d expect things to get more interesting.
There will probably be more sellers there, maybe some profit taking, maybe a rejection, maybe a breakout. I don’t know yet, and I don’t need to know yet. I’d rather wait and see how price reacts when it gets there.
That’s really the part I care about most. The level itself isn’t the trade. The reaction at the level is.
Bitcoin also remains a big part of the picture. MSTR doesn’t trade like a normal software company anymore. BTC sets a lot of the direction, and MSTR tends to amplify the move. When Bitcoin is strong, MSTR can move very fast. But that works the other way too, and if BTC starts losing momentum, MSTR can give back gains quickly.
So even though this chart looks much better than it did a few weeks ago, I’m not interested in assuming the next move is straight to $190.
For now, these are the levels I care about:
$140–145 — first area to watch on a pullback
$120–125 — key breakout support
$175–190 — major supply area
$82–95 — major support
And for me, the main lesson here is still patience. You don’t have to catch every candle, and you don’t have to buy just because something is moving. Sometimes the best thing you can do is already know your levels and wait.
If MSTR keeps running without giving a good setup, that’s fine. There will always be another trade. I’d rather miss part of the move than force an entry just because I’m afraid of missing it.
Patience is part of the trade.
Not financial advice. 
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Amazon — Is This the Start of a Stronger Recovery?Market Structure
Amazon remains in a short-term bearish structure on the 4-hour chart, although recent price action suggests buyers are attempting to build a recovery from the latest swing low. Lower highs are still intact, meaning the broader trend has yet to turn bullish.
Market Sentiment - Neutral to Slightly Bearish
Selling pressure has eased after the recent decline, but buying momentum remains limited beneath key resistance. The market is showing signs of stabilization, though confirmation of a trend reversal is still needed.
Bullish Scenario
If Amazon breaks above the 256 resistance area with sustained buying momentum, the recovery could extend toward 260, followed by 266 as the next major upside target.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold above the 250 support zone, selling pressure could return and push Amazon back toward 246. A break below 246 would reinforce the current bearish structure and expose further downside.
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Market View
Amazon is attempting to stabilize after several weeks of weakness. Buyers have managed to defend support, but the market remains below major resistance levels. A confirmed breakout is needed before a stronger bullish outlook can develop.
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Key Levels
First Resistance: 256
Second Resistance: 260
First Support: 250
Second Support: 246
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Outlook
A sustained move above 256 would improve short-term sentiment and could trigger a recovery toward 260–266.
However, if price loses 250 again, bearish momentum may quickly return, increasing the probability of another decline toward 246.
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Event Risk
Amazon may remain sensitive to broader Nasdaq performance, U.S. economic data, Treasury yield movements, consumer spending trends, cloud computing developments, company-specific news, and overall market risk sentiment. These factors could increase short-term volatility.
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Please share your view below:
Do you think Amazon is ready to extend its recovery, or will sellers regain control below resistance?
I'll continue sharing more Market Structure and Key Level updates. Alphabet Approaches a Major Resistance ZoneMarket Structure
Alphabet is recovering from its recent correction and has established a sequence of higher lows on the 4-hour chart. Price is now approaching a key resistance area around 350, where buyers and sellers are likely to compete for short-term control.
Market Sentiment - Moderately Bullish
Momentum has improved following the recent rebound, but price remains below a major resistance zone. Buyers currently have a slight advantage, although confirmation is still needed before a sustained breakout can be expected.
Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above the 350 resistance and holds above it, bullish momentum could accelerate toward 358, with 365 becoming the next upside target.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to break above 350 and falls below the 342 support, selling pressure could increase and push price toward the 335 area. A break below 335 would weaken the current recovery structure.
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Market View
Alphabet has recovered steadily from its recent lows and is once again testing an important resistance level. The current consolidation suggests the market is preparing for its next move. Whether buyers can clear resistance or sellers defend this area will likely determine the short-term direction.
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Key Levels
First Resistance: 350
Second Resistance: 358
First Support: 342
Second Support: 335
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Outlook
A confirmed breakout above 350 would strengthen the bullish outlook and could open the door toward 358–365.
However, if buyers lose momentum below 342, the recovery may pause and a deeper pullback toward 335 could develop.
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Event Risk
Alphabet may remain sensitive to broader Nasdaq performance, U.S. economic data, Treasury yields, AI-related developments, and company-specific news. These events could drive short-term volatility.
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Please share your view below:
Do you think Alphabet is ready to break above 350, or will resistance trigger another rejection?
I'll continue sharing more Market Structure and Key Level updates. 
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Is history about to repeat on SMCI? - Community IdeaOne of the best parts of this project has been the collaboration. A valuable member of the trading community recently gave me some feedback and pointed out a beautiful fractal developing on the daily chart, and it immediately stood out to me once I saw it. This is exactly the kind of collaboration I was hoping for when I started this journey. We are still early. The goal has never been for me to have all the answers. The goal is for us to work together, sharpen each other’s thinking, and continue building better tools and better trading ideas.
On the chart, what stands out is the similarity between the current daily structure and a prior bull flag continuation. In both cases, SMCI made an impulsive move higher, paused and consolidated in a tight range, then positioned itself for a potential continuation leg. I illustrated that earlier pattern on the chart because the current setup looks very similar. That does not mean price has to repeat history candle for candle, but it does mean there is a recognizable structure here worth respecting.
The larger backdrop matters too. SMCI is still trading beneath a well-respected descending trend line that has been in place for roughly 18 months. That trend line is not just another line on the chart. It is the critical area. If buyers can keep this daily bull flag intact and begin pushing into that zone with strength, the setup becomes much more interesting. A clean break could open the door to a larger continuation move, and the rough bull flag projection on my chart points toward the upper-50s if momentum really gets going.
That said, I am not pretending this is a low-risk setup. It is not. This is a smaller-sized, higher-risk swing for me, which is why I entered Oct 16 40C at 2.41 with only 5 contracts. I have talked about this before, but when I take these multiday options ideas I deliberately size down because the uncertainty is higher and the time component matters more. If this works, I will most likely look to exit into a critical level, ideally with a couple of weeks still left before expiration rather than trying to hold and squeeze every last dollar out of the contract.
For now, the bull flag is the main idea. If the structure continues to hold and price starts making progress toward that major trend line, I think this setup has a legitimate chance. If the flag fails, then the thesis weakens quickly and I will treat it that way. Either way, this is a great example of why collaboration matters. Sometimes another trader helps you see something that was sitting right in front of you the whole time.
This is just the start. We will keep working together, keep sharing ideas, and keep trying to build better tools and better trades. 
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If my thoughts are correct, we should see a rally sep 21-22 , The pattern matches with 2024 rally ,, Macd, rsi, Pmo, stochastic in 4 timeframes, and Gme call options just broke out of the downtrend ,,,, we could see 36$ to 43$ ,,,,, hopefully next week 
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