Will NSE Vodafone Idea Stock Hit the 18.9 Target?📉 NSE:IDEA Idea Elliott Wave Trade Setup
Vodafone Idea is showing a potentially important Elliott Wave structure on the 4-hour chart.
The advance from ₹6.12 to ₹12.80 appears to have formed a five-wave impulse, marking a possible Wave (1) . The subsequent decline to ₹8.13 developed in an A-B-C structure , which is being considered as Wave (2) .
The Wave (2) correction retraced close to the 61.8% Fibonacci level at ₹8.67 , while the actual low was ₹8.13 . The larger trend channel also continues to provide a useful reference for the overall price structure, although it has been breached at several points.
🎯 Targets: 16 - 17.6 - 18.6
➡️ Key levels to watch:
Key swing high: 15.80
Structural level: 12.80
Wave (2) low : 8.13
61.8% retracement: 8.67
What do you think? Can Vodafone Idea reach the 18.9 target, or do you see a different Elliott Wave count? Share your view in the comments.
USAR: Setting For A Bounce?Sure it is finally setting up for a bounce on the 4hrs TF ladies and gentlemen .
USAR is entering our first buying Zone and with 2nd buy zone below $15.50
By Friday we should know if set up is good for another leg up .
Once set up is confirmed first target will be as high as its Daily Zero Line.
Place your bets ladies and gentlemen don't be left out.
Play it right.....................Play it safe..................Play it The Numberfive Way.
Boost.................Follow.....................Share...............Comment.
adobe breakout coming very soonthis is my update on adbe.
we have a strong support that is as far back as 2018
we are one of a hand full of quality companies that have shown strong growth and have
strong cash flow
i am sure we will hear something positive that will be a catalysis to gap this compony up very soon.
this is an amazing price for a quality corporation.
its ither now or never for ADOBE.
we also have increasing volume as we are ripping down
that tells me there are big players buying as much as they can otherwise price should decrease
also, we are down 65% on major support, and imo are about to start anther bull rally
now is your time to make generational wealth.
target 500.00
COST: Is Set To Bounce.Eyes on COST ladies and gentlemen bullish set up is almost completed.
Don't fall in love with COST yet because as of now all points out to a bounce then continue lower so just make some money and get out.
Play it right................Play it safe.....................Play it The Numberfive Way.
Boost.....................Follow..................Share...............Comment.
Cyclical Decline - perfect setup is ready, $30 nextseems a repeatable pattern is being set, if so $30 and the following rebound should be swift and satisfying all sides - long and short.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations
TJX – Potential Oversold ReboundIt appears that TJX may have just completed a short-term capitulation move after a sharp decline from the $161 area.
A potential oversold rebound may be beginning, accompanied by two key bullish signals:
* Deeply oversold RSI.
* MACD histogram is still negative, but the red bars are becoming smaller, suggesting that bearish momentum is weakening.
Other bullish signals: TJX has reached a potential short-term bottom around $130.15 and printed two consecutive green candles, suggesting that buyers may be starting to step in. The price is also approaching the first resistance zone around $145.20.
The MACD is the only indicator that has not yet confirmed the rebound, as it remains below the zero line. However, if the price continues to move higher, the MACD histogram could begin turning upward as well.
The setup is based on the expectation that TJX has formed a short-term bottom and could rebound toward the previous support/resistance levels.
Entry: $132.08
Price targets: $145.20 / $149.83 / $161.99
Stop-loss: $127.11 (-3.76%)
R/R: 2.64
IMO, amateur trader.
Good luck!
Finer Market Points: ASX Top 10 Momentum Stocks: 16 Sep 2026ASX:VR8 PSE:ION ASX:TGN MIL:LMG NYSE:MYE ASX:PVE ASX:DXN ASX:AUQ TSX:MRD ASX:JAV
Momentum leading shares are the market's best performers today. They are the fastest-growing shares on the ASX over the last 90 days. These companies can't get to be leaders without first appearing on our Launch Pad list. The Launch Pad List is shared on Thursdays and the video interview published after market close on Fridays. Today's ASX's Top 10 Quarterly Momentum Stocks are:
Vanadium Resources Limited (VR8)
Iondrive Limited (ION)
Tungsten Mining NL (TGN)
Latrobe Magnesium Limited (LMG)
Mastermyne Group Limited (MYE)
Po Valley Energy Limited (PVE)
DXN Limited (DXN)
Alara Resources Limited (AUQ)
Mount Ridley Mines Limited (MRD)
Javelin Minerals Limited (JAV)
GILD - Reversal Strategy Long Setup
🍀Overview
I am not a discretionary technical analyst, so I rely on predefined setups rather than subjective chart analysis. I built the rules into a strategy to make the decision-making process more systematic.
This setup occurred before the strategy was developed. The trade is documented retrospectively and will be followed until the strategy exits or a discretionary exit is executed according to predefined rules.
🍀Process
Ticker : NASDAQ:GILD
Date : 11/06/2026
Timeframe : Daily
Direction : Long
Strategy : Reversal Strategy
Strategy Overview : Overview: A Reversal Strategy for Trading on the Daily Timeframe
Strategy Chart : Please refer to the 2nd screenshot
Signals
Main signal: RSI Signals crossed above 30, indicating an exit from the oversold zone. This contributed a score of 0.5
Confirmation signal: NATR Oscillator reached 100, exceeding the required threshold of 80. This contributed a score of 0.5
Signal Scoring
Main signal score = 0.5
Confirmation signal score = 0.5
Long setup score = Main signal score + Confirmation signal score = 0.5 + 0.5 = 1.0
Long score threshold: 1.0
The long setup score met the required threshold. The strategy therefore placed a long bracket order.
Risk Management
Reward-to-risk ratio: 4:1
Entry: 125.87 (the close of the setup candle)
Stop distance: 14.00 (approximately 4x daily ATR)
Target distance: 56.01 (approximately 16x daily ATR)
Order Management : Bracket order
Limit entry: 125.87
Market stop: 111.87
Limit target: 181.88
Baseline
Assume the worst has already happened: the stop loss has been reached.
🍀Outcome
Trade Execution
11/06/2026: The daily candle closed, triggering the strategy to place a long bracket order.
12/06/2026: Price reached the trigger level, and the long entry filled.
Trade Status
Trading: active
P.S. I’m currently applying this strategy to the Nasdaq-100. Let me know which stock you’d like me to look at next.
Stay lucky!🍀
Micron’s AI-Driven Boom Faces a Much Tougher Earnings TestMicron Technology Inc. (MU, Financials) is heading toward its upcoming results with a challenge that is far more demanding than the usual question of whether it can beat Wall Street’s projections. The real issue is whether the AI boom has genuinely transformed Micron’s business, or whether the company is simply enjoying a powerful but temporary upcycle. That question is difficult to avoid when looking at Micron’s third-quarter figures, because the numbers are extraordinary.
Revenue rose to $41.46 billion from $9.30 billion a year earlier. Gross margin expanded to 84.9% from 39%. Adjusted earnings came in at $25.11 per share. Those are not ordinary improvements. They represent a dramatic shift in profitability and scale, and they help explain why investors are asking whether something fundamental has changed inside the memory-chip business.
Management is now guiding for fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $50 billion and gross margin of 86%. Wall Street is already aligned with that view. Consensus projections point to about $50.4 billion in revenue and $30.89 in adjusted earnings per share. That means simply surpassing expectations may not be enough by itself. When guidance and consensus are already so high, a beat can be dismissed as incremental rather than transformative. The larger clue may instead come from what Micron says about high-bandwidth memory, pricing trends, and its fiscal 2027 outlook.
High-bandwidth memory, or HBM, has become one of the most closely watched parts of the AI supply chain. It is used in advanced data-center hardware, and demand has grown rapidly as AI workloads require more memory bandwidth and efficiency. If Micron can show that its HBM business is scaling, that pricing remains firm, and that customers are committing to longer-term agreements, then the bull case becomes stronger. If guidance suggests that pricing is peaking or that demand visibility is weakening, then the market may begin to question whether the current boom is sustainable.
Investor Sharon McArd has argued that AI has made memory a more strategic aspect of data-center infrastructure. That is an important point. In the past, memory has often been viewed as a cyclical commodity business, subject to sharp swings in supply and demand. AI may be changing that perception. If memory is becoming a more critical and less interchangeable part of data-center design, then companies like Micron could enjoy stronger pricing power and more durable demand than they did in previous cycles.
Micron has also signed about $22 billion in client agreements. Those agreements include take-or-pay contracts, which give the company more visibility into future demand. Take-or-pay contracts are significant because they require customers to pay for a certain amount of product whether or not they ultimately take delivery. That kind of commitment can reduce uncertainty and provide a clearer picture of future revenue. It also suggests that some customers are willing to lock in supply, which can be a sign of confidence in Micron’s products and in the broader AI-driven demand environment.
Even so, expectations are already very high. The market is not waiting to be convinced that Micron’s recent results were strong. It already knows that. The harder test is whether those outsized statistics reflect a permanent change in the business or whether they are simply another memory bubble. On Sept. 30, Micron will face that test directly.
The upcoming report will therefore be about more than revenue and earnings per share. It will be a referendum on whether AI has structurally altered Micron’s earnings power. If management can provide convincing guidance on HBM, pricing, and fiscal 2027, the company may be able to argue that this cycle is different. If not, investors may conclude that Micron is still a cyclical memory maker enjoying a temporary surge. The numbers will matter, but the forward-looking commentary may matter even more.
Britain Builds Steam Turbines Rolls-Royce Mini-Nuclear ReactorsBritish workers are set to manufacture steam turbines for Rolls-Royce’s planned fleet of small modular reactors (SMRs), in a move that promises to strengthen domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on overseas suppliers for a critical piece of nuclear power equipment. Siemens Energy will produce the huge machines for the new generation of small modular reactors at its factory in Newcastle. The turbines will be used in the three Rolls-Royce-designed SMRs that are being built in Anglesey, as well as in further reactors that are set to be built in the Czech Republic and Sweden.
The decision marks a significant moment for British industry because it will be the first time in more than 20 years that large steam turbines have been made domestically. The expansion of the Newcastle factory will follow an investment understood to be worth tens of millions of pounds, and it is expected to create around 550 jobs. That combination of capital investment and skilled employment gives the announcement considerable weight, especially at a time when policymakers are focused on energy security, industrial capacity, and the resilience of supply chains.
The move also follows concerns raised by MPs that SMR components were set to be built abroad. Those concerns reflected a broader anxiety about whether Britain would capture the industrial benefits of its own nuclear ambitions or simply import the key parts from other countries. By choosing to manufacture the steam turbines in Newcastle, Siemens Energy and Rolls-Royce SMR are signalling that at least part of the supply chain will remain on British soil.
Rolls-Royce SMR said the decision by German engineering giant Siemens demonstrated how the company was “delivering its commitment to localisation, driving investment and re-shoring work that would have taken place overseas.” The phrase “re-shoring” is particularly important because it captures the idea of bringing back manufacturing activity that might otherwise have been located in another country. For supporters of domestic industry, that is a central part of the announcement’s appeal.
Rolls-Royce SMR is an independent company. It is majority owned by Rolls-Royce, but its investor base also includes Qatar and France’s Perrodo family. That structure means the business combines the heritage and engineering reputation of Rolls-Royce with additional international investment. The company’s chief executive, Chris Cholerton, framed the turbine decision as part of a longer industrial story. “We are building on a remarkable industrial legacy while creating and sustaining the skills and supply chain needed to deliver clean, secure and affordable energy for decades to come,” he said.
Darren Davidson of Siemens Energy also emphasised the wider significance of the work. “We’re preparing to manufacture the next generation of steam turbines for small modular reactors, supporting energy security, creating skilled jobs and helping power the UK’s future energy mix,” he said. His comments connect the project to three priorities that often appear together in debates about nuclear power: energy security, employment, and the transition to a lower-carbon energy system.
The Government awarded Rolls-Royce a contract to design and develop Britain’s first three SMRs last year. Those reactors will be built in Anglesey, North Wales, in a project aimed at proving the commercial viability of the still-nascent technology by the mid-2030s. Each reactor is expected to generate 470 megawatts of power. If the project succeeds, it could help establish small modular reactors as a viable option for producing reliable low-carbon electricity at a smaller scale than traditional large nuclear plants.
Rolls-Royce selected Siemens Energy as its supplier of steam turbines last year, but until now there had been uncertainty about where the key components would actually be manufactured. That uncertainty mattered because the location of manufacturing determines not only the direct economic benefits, such as jobs and investment, but also the strength of the domestic supply chain. The confirmation that the turbines will be built in Newcastle removes some of that ambiguity and gives the project a clearer industrial footprint.
The British company had faced a backlash earlier this year after it emerged that some other parts would be made overseas. Those parts included reactor pressure vessels that will be imported from either South Korea or the Czech Republic. That disclosure raised questions about how much of the SMR programme would genuinely support British manufacturing and how much would depend on foreign suppliers. The latest announcement does not answer every question about local content, but it does provide a notable counterweight by securing a high-value component for domestic production.
Taken together, the decision to build the steam turbines in Newcastle represents more than a single procurement choice. It is a signal about the kind of industrial ecosystem that Rolls-Royce SMR and its partners hope to create around small modular reactors. The project is still in its early stages, and the technology has yet to be proven commercially at scale. But the investment in the Newcastle factory, the creation of hundreds of jobs, and the return of large steam turbine manufacturing to Britain all suggest that the SMR programme is beginning to generate tangible industrial activity.
For the UK, the announcement touches on several important themes at once: the push to re-shore critical manufacturing, the desire to create skilled jobs in regions with strong industrial traditions, the need to strengthen energy security, and the ambition to develop a domestic nuclear supply chain. Whether those ambitions are fully realised will depend on the project’s execution over the coming years. For now, however, the decision to manufacture steam turbines in Newcastle gives the Rolls-Royce SMR programme a clearer domestic anchor and a more visible role in Britain’s industrial and energy future.
Webull Expands Futures Offering With CME Nano FuturesWebull, an online investment platform, announced today that eligible customers will soon have access to CME Group’s E-nano S&P 500 and E-nano Nasdaq-100 futures. The addition expands Webull’s existing futures offering by introducing smaller-sized contracts that allow retail investors to manage exposure to major U.S. equity indexes in more precise increments. The move is designed to make equity index futures more accessible to a broader range of retail traders while giving them additional tools to control position sizing and risk.
What Are CME Nano Futures?
CME Nano Futures are ultra-small equity index futures contracts. They are sized at one-tenth of comparable CME Micro E-mini futures. That smaller contract size is significant because it allows investors to take positions with less notional exposure and potentially lower dollar margin requirements. As a result, traders can gain greater control over position sizing and manage risk in smaller increments. For retail investors who may not want or need the exposure that comes with larger futures contracts, Nano Futures offer a more flexible way to participate in major equity index markets.
The launch reflects a broader trend in retail investing: demand for derivatives products that are accessible, precise, and tailored to different account sizes and risk preferences. By offering Nano Futures alongside its existing futures products, Webull is giving eligible customers another way to express a view on the S&P 500 or Nasdaq-100 without requiring the same capital commitment as larger contracts.
Management Commentary
Anthony Denier, Group President and U.S. CEO of Webull, framed the addition as part of the platform’s broader effort to evolve with individual investors. “Our vision is to ensure Webull continues to evolve alongside the needs of individual investors and the many ways they engage with the markets,” Denier said. “The addition of CME Nano Futures reflects that vision by expanding the breadth of products available through the platform and strengthening our futures offering.”
Tanmay Sheth, FCM Product Head – Futures and Prediction Markets at Webull, also emphasized the retail focus of the launch. “As our retail futures customer base continues to grow, CME Nano Futures expand the Webull experience by giving customers a more accessible way to participate in major equity index markets,” Sheth said. “This launch reflects our commitment to enhancing the retail experience for futures and derivatives products through flexible, customer-focused trading tools.”
How Customers Can Use the Contracts
Through Webull, eligible customers can trade Nano Futures alongside the platform’s existing futures products. They can use the same tools and functionality to monitor markets, manage positions, and make informed trading decisions. This means the Nano Futures are not a separate, isolated product experience. Instead, they are integrated into the broader Webull futures environment, allowing customers to manage their exposure using familiar tools and workflows.
The contracts are available to customers with an approved Webull futures account. They remain subject to applicable account, margin, risk, and jurisdictional requirements. That means not every customer will automatically have access, and eligibility will depend on meeting Webull’s requirements as well as any relevant regulatory or regional restrictions.
Why the Launch Matters
The addition of Nano Futures builds on Webull’s expansion of its futures offering. It gives eligible retail customers another way to manage equity index exposure, but perhaps more importantly, it does so with smaller contract sizes. By enabling positions in smaller increments, the contracts can support more precise position sizing across a broader range of account sizes. That could make futures more useful for investors who want to hedge existing equity exposure, speculate on index moves, or simply diversify their trading strategies without taking on overly large positions.
For retail investors, the ability to size positions more precisely can be especially valuable. Larger futures contracts can be difficult to fit into a smaller portfolio because a single contract may represent more exposure than the investor wants. Nano Futures reduce that problem by offering a smaller building block. Investors can then scale into positions more gradually, adjust exposure as market conditions change, and tailor strategies to their individual risk preferences.
Availability
CME Nano Futures are expected to be available to eligible Webull customers in mid-September. Once live, they will add to Webull’s growing suite of futures products and provide another example of how the platform is trying to meet the evolving needs of individual investors. For Webull, the launch is both a product expansion and a signal that it intends to remain competitive in the retail derivatives space by offering flexible, customer-focused trading tools.
IREN | WeeklyNASDAQ:IREN — HIEQ Model
Quan Analysis | Where Are We on the TS Map?
IREN is holding stable along the origin zone of the S up T rend E-line Δ within the projected Primary Trend Ray Δχ .
HIEQ-Structure Δ , with its three parallel Sup Rays, has well bridged the Primary Trend from the Flat Correction of Wave ⓸ into the Wave ⓹ advance, initiated through its Minor Waves 1 and 2.
The HIEQ-Structure Δ remains consistently positioned to generate the impulsive energy for the extending Intermediate Wave (3), as projected, emerging into the widest infrastructural space of the defined Trend Ray Δχ toward the HPQ Target ➤ $144.4 🎯 | Mid-Late October .
#StrategicAnalysis #TrendAnalysis #QuantumEntanglement
#MarketInfrastructures #FutureVision #TimeSpaceMap
Worth trading on the iPhone Duo?Short answer: probably no, and It has to do more with reporting periods than the new lineup.
Apple's FQ4 2026 closes Sat 26 Sep. The 18 Pro hits shelves Fri 18 Sep, 9 selling days inside the quarter, about 10% of it.
Last year was also 9 days (17 series, 19 Sep, quarter closed 27 Sep).
The lineup's real revenue event is the December quarter, reported late January.
Apple guided FQ4 to +9–11% on a $102.5bn base → $111.7–113.8bn, midpoint ~$112.8bn. That growth comes from the installed base, carry-over models and Services not from the 18 Pro.
iPhone specifically was guided to mid-teens growth, against Q3's +22% ($54.3bn).
Three things that matter more than the phones:
Margin is the real story. Guidance is 47–48% vs Q3's 50.1%. Strip the tariff refunds from both and underlying compresses ~1–2pp.
Cook was blunt about why: "We reluctantly raised prices because we're in what I would characterise as a 100-year flood on the memory pricing."
Parekh said memory explained more than 100% of the 120bp sequential decline in Q3. So the $100 price rise is cost pass-through, not margin expansion,
Thus, revenue up, profitability down.
Cook: "It's not a regular supply issue. It's a demand forecast issue, to be candid"
Demand exceeds what they can build which truncates the revenue beat regardless of how good the lineup is.
The foldable is entirely out of this report.
The iPhone Duo was announced 9 Sep but ships in October, all of it lands in FQ1 2027. The iPhone X precedent mirrored exactly.
We should expect a solid but unspectacular FQ4 . I would estimate revenue roughly in line at ~$112bn, iPhone mid-teens, margin down.
The best next question is, how will the new line up substantially reprice in the new year.
Sources:
Apple iPhone 18 Pro debut Q3 memory, supply, margin
Preorder/release dates
Broadcom - This chart just remains bullish!💎Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is again testing its major support:
🔎Analysis summary:
For over five years, Broadcom has been trading in a very clear bullish rising channel. And with the recent correction of about -30%, Broadcom is once again retesting the major support trendline. If Broadcom creates confirmation, it will eventually create new highs.
📝Levels to watch:
$330
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
Alphabet - Giving us another perfect swingtrade!💻Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) is deeply testing clear support:
🔎Analysis summary:
It sounds absolutely incredible but literally every move on Alphabet since 2015 was expected. And while Alphabet offered multiple textbook swingtrades, another one is emerging right now. We just need bullish confirmation around this major support level.
📝Levels to watch:
$330 and $290
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
SpaceX - Breaking the only real resistance!🚀SpaceX ( NASDAQ:SPCX ) is starting a massive rally:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since the IPO in June, SpaceX has always nicely been respecting structure. And right now, SpaceX is about to break above its only clear resistance area. If the breakout is confirmed, SpaceX could soon create a rally of about +40% to the previous all time highs.
📝Levels to watch:
$150
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
CPNG | Bearish Until the Protected High BreaksBy analyzing the #CPNG (Coupang, Inc.) chart on the Daily timeframe, we can see a year-long bearish structure that has just broken down again, with three untouched pools of sell-side liquidity beneath and one level that decides whether any of it reverses.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
DAILY TIMEFRAME
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
The turn came in November with the MSS — the August swing low broke and the bullish structure ended. Three separate BMS events have printed since: through $22.25 in December, near $17.00 in February, and through $15.00 in September. Each one came after a consolidation that looked like a base and was not one.
Price now sits at $14.40 , directly beneath the latest break and at the low of the visible range.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
THE LIQUIDITY BELOW
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
SSL 1 — $12.61
SSL 2 — $10.46
SSL 3 — $8.97
Nothing has traded into them. A low that has never been defended isn't support, it's a target.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
THE LEVEL THAT DECIDES
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Protected High — $19.58
The high the sellers defended in July. Below it the bearish structure is intact. Above it on a daily close, it breaks for the first time since November.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
SCENARIO A — THE BASE CASE
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Price works through the sell-side pools in sequence — $12.61 , then $10.46 , then $8.97 . This stays the higher-probability path for as long as price trades under $19.58 .
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
SCENARIO B — THE STRUCTURE BREAKS
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
A daily close above the Protected High at $19.58 is the first bullish break in ten months, and above it the buy-side liquidity is stacked with nothing in between:
BSL 1 — $22.25
BSL 2 — $25.34
BSL 3 — $28.47
BSL 4 — $32.35
Four highs, none revisited since they formed. That is the size of the move a confirmed break opens — which is why it requires the close, not the approach.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
INVALIDATION
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
A daily close above $19.58 . The bearish case ends there, not before.
And the rule that governs all of it: a break is a candle close, not a wick. The Protected High has been untouched for two months, which means it holds every stop from every short taken since July — and that is precisely the fuel a false break runs on.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Q2 2026 swung from a $32 million profit to a $570 million loss , driven by $410 million in Korean regulatory fines . Adjusted EBITDA fell to $163 million from $428 million , and the Developing Offerings segment is guided to lose $950 million to $1 billion this year. The stock is at its 52-week low with market cap down 56.2% .
The other side: the business is still growing. Constant-currency revenue rose 10% , active customers reached 24.7 million , and retained customers are spending roughly 16% more year over year.
The fines are one-time; the customer loss and the FX drag are not, and the market is pricing the recovery as a 2027 story. Which is why the structure hasn't turned. The fundamentals give a reason for $19.58 to eventually break — not a reason to buy before it does.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves.
Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳
9/16/26 - $sbet - status check 1 2 1 2 9/16/26 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SBET
status check 1 2 1 2
- Kubuki day in the land of Oz
- the reality is that the bottom of the K is reKt the top is Klowin'
- where does that put markets? probably chop or modest risk off as rates slightly higher, but step back
- the USD remains v strong, US markets v strong, oil is the blood of their gawd etc. etc. and ultimately AI DGAF about rates when the banker DCF says mid teens return is easy money and it provides >100% of growth in a dead economy
- but honestly not great for consumer disc. still rekt. NKE is going to continue the drowning man syndrome and it means being v selective on shoe or consumer generally
- high rates r not good for bottom of K. great for top of K. oil higher helps... nobody. beware.
- lots more to say on this topic, but b/c you know i'm an ETH bull and like SBET i figured i'd rant here on that first, we can get into SBET and my portfolio update, long overdue.
SBET
- 85% below spot. *smacks lips*
- so is $2k eth a bargain in rising rate environment if/does BTC re-test low $60k's and most people don't understand they are dramatically different assets? .... well in the ST... beware, but LT $2k is great
- so while i'd been trimming highs... i started adding back today
- I went from >60% position to about 25% into this week
- and now... i'm back at high 30s.
- comment below if you wanna chat ETH.
- SBET now my largest position.
Others
- 35% SBET
- 20% NU
- 15% VST (w/ ATM covered calls)
- 12.5% NXT (w/ 5% OTM covered calls)
- 7% UBER (w/ 2-3% ITM covered calls)
- 5% DECK (w/ 5% OTM covered calls)
- 2.5% GRAB
- 2.5% WIFI (w/ ATM covered calls)
- 2% XPEL (which i've not written up ;) ... more to come)
- closed a lot of my ST NASDAQ:CRWD short today into announcement, remain w/ some $250P, $240P through next few weeks about 5% gross.
- a few of the positions are leveraged (two in fact, SBET is 1.5x, NU is about 1.8x), so that leaves me w/ about 15% cash buffer.
I swapped some NU (which coming into the day was my largest position) into SBET calls. Reality is, it's just a kelly exercise. I think both have 30-40% drawdown potential in the 3-6mo timeframe, but I don't see NU doing a 3-5x in the coming 1.5-2Y (where as my realistic target for ETH this cycle is $8k with $5k at the low-end). So just framing the opportunity according to up/downside to keep it simple.
we'll talk more on tax loss harvesting season (which this year will be particularly gnarly). building watchlist on that now. i prefer to have fewer positions, hedged positions (for income i.e. the covered call strategy on names I know well which > cash) and a little cash buffer.
happy to respond to comments. remember keep that head screwed on, emotions play no part in our process. neither do made up price targets that come to you in dreams. play the long game. we got this :)
V
$DE- FED PRESSURE MEETS A WEAKENING CHART Deere traded well earlier in the session, but the tone changed during Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s press conference.
The 25-basis-point increase was already widely expected. The more important message was that inflation remains too high, another hike may be needed, and Warsh would be “hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive.”
That matters for Deere because agricultural and construction equipment frequently depends on financing. Higher-for-longer rates can raise equipment payments, pressure farm liquidity and delay large machinery purchases.
THE TECHNICAL PICTURE
NYSE:DE recently pushed above $700 but could not hold the breakout. Price subsequently formed a lower high around the $690 area and rolled over again.
On the one-hour chart:
Price has fallen below the Bollinger band midpoint at approximately 680
The price 680 area now becomes the first resistance level
Price is testing the lower Bollinger band around 667.50
RSI has fallen to approximately 38 and remains below its signal average near 47
Momentum is bearish, but RSI is not yet deeply oversold
the recent structure is beginning to show lower highs and lower lows
The lower Bollinger Band is not automatically a buy signal. In a strong bearish move, price can continue walking the lower band while momentum remains weak.
For now, sellers have the short-term advantage below $680. Watch $667 for confirmation of another move lower.
Educational analysis only- not financial advice
Google LongsNASDAQ:GOOGL
Supported 335/ broke out of bearish trend,
Today we retested trendline + 4H gap, I'm confident in this playing out so I'm trying calls here.
I think this is a decent long position and am not expecting a stronger pullback, if we're bullish this 4hr should hold pretty well.
If we test mid-point/ red line i might add more if we react strongly






















