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My View on HUL — Daily Chart1. Key Observation
HUL has shown a strong bullish reaction from the ₹2,107–₹2,126 support zone. The latest green candle indicates renewed buying interest, while the FMCG Index is also showing strength for the coming weeks.
2. My View
HUL has good potential for the July contract. If price holds above the support zone and sustains above ₹2,160, bullish momentum can strengthen further.
3. Invalidation
The bullish study becomes invalid if HUL gives a daily close below ₹2,106.80.
4. Risk-Reward
Entry near ₹2,126, SL below ₹2,107, and target near ₹2,282 gives an approximate 1:8 risk-reward ratio.
5. Target Point / Range
TG1: ₹2,160
TG2: ₹2,240
TG3: ₹2,282.50
6. Why It’s Good for Long
HUL is taking support near the lower demand zone, buyer activity is visible, and strength in the FMCG Index can support a larger upside move.
7. Time Period
This view is mainly for the July options contract and the coming few weeks.
#HUL #HindustanUnilever #CNXFMCG #NiftyFMCG #FMCGStocks #VPA #VolumeProfile #PriceAction #OptionsTrading #JulyContract #IndianStockMarket 
Long
ASML’s Ai Gold Rush Continues But Wall Street Has One ConcernASML delivered a strong second quarter, with revenue climbing 21% year over year to €9.3 billion, beating expectations by €400 million. GAAP EPS increased 29% to €7.59, coming in €0.60 above estimates. Gross margin reached 54%, helped by strong sales from its high margin Installed Base Management business. The company generated €1.3 billion in free cash flow and bought back €1.1 billion worth of shares. ASML stock is now up nearly 70% this year
The biggest takeaway was ASML raising its 2026 outlook for the second time this year while outlining major capacity expansion plans. The company now expects 2026 revenue of €43 billion to €45 billion, up from its previous forecast of €36 billion to €40 billion and above the market estimate of around €39 billion
It also raised its gross margin target to 54% to 56% from 51% to 53%, while third quarter revenue guidance was increased to €11 billion to €12 billion
ASML is preparing for continued demand growth driven by AI infrastructure spending. The company expects LowNA EUV capacity to increase by around 30% in 2027 to approximately 85 systems, followed by another 30% increase in 2028 to around 110 systems. DUV immersion capacity is also expected to grow by roughly 30% annually over the next two years
The AI boom continues to benefit ASML as chipmakers expand production of advanced nodes. Advanced logic revenue is expected to grow about 25% this year, while memory revenue could jump around 75%. Customers are increasing capacity across 5nm, 4nm, 3nm, and 2nm processes, while already preparing for future 1.4nm technology
Intel Foundry has started production of its Intel 18A process using ASML’s most advanced High NA EUV equipment. Meanwhile, TSMC has indicated it plans to delay High NA adoption until 2029. ASML CFO Roger Dassen also suggested the company may have more pricing power for LowNA tools due to current market conditions, highlighting ongoing discussions with major customers like TSMC.. China’s contribution to system sales continued to decline, falling to 14% from 19% in Q1, putting it below ASML’s full year expectation of around 20%
ASML will provide a broader long term update during its Capital Markets Day on June 10, 2027. Investors will be watching whether the company can turn strong AI driven demand into higher equipment prices and expanding margins, or whether customer pushback, particularly from TSMC, limits how much of this growth reaches ASML’s bottom line
We’re already up 77% since our last analysis, so now the real question is.. do you take the money and run or sit tight and DCA like a true AI believer waiting for the next d ip?
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GTWL: Deep Pullback Could Create the Next High-Reward Setup📊 GTWL: Deep Pullback Could Create the Next High-Reward Setup 🎯
🏛️ Fundamental Review:
📊 Business Quality:
GTWL is one of Egypt's leading premium textile manufacturers, specializing in worsted wool fabrics and high-quality formal apparel with a growing export footprint. 🏭
☪️ Sharia Compliance:
GTWL is NOT Sharia-compliant according to the EGX33 Shariah screening methodology due to its elevated leverage, despite operating in a permissible business activity. ❌
✅ Strengths & Catalysts:
Its specialized manufacturing capabilities and export exposure provide a natural hedge against local currency weakness. 🌍
Management continues to benefit from strong pricing power in premium textile products. 💪
⚠️ Risks:
The company carries relatively high financial leverage, making it more sensitive to elevated interest rates. ⚠️
Raw material prices remain exposed to fluctuations in global wool and commodity markets. 🌐
💰 Valuation:
GTWL trades around my estimated fair value, while the current technical structure remains weak after the recent correction. I prefer waiting for stronger technical confirmation before considering larger positions. ⚖️
🔍 The Pulse:
Although GTWL is not Sharia-compliant, it remains on my watchlist because daily liquidity expanded dramatically to nearly 250M EGP, far above its historical average. 👀
The recent surge in liquidity was accompanied by aggressive selling pressure, suggesting institutions are distributing positions rather than accumulating. 📉
The stock has entered a corrective phase and is currently trading around my calculated fair value without any confirmed bullish technical signals. ⚠️
I expect one of two attractive scenarios before considering an entry. 🎯
The first scenario is a healthy pullback toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement around 82.00 EGP, where buyers may step in. 📍
The second, and stronger, scenario would be a deeper decline toward the unmitigated Fair Value Gap around 70.00 EGP, where I expect a stronger technical reaction. 🚀
Until one of these areas is tested and buyers regain control, I prefer to stay patient. 🤝
🧱 The Key Structural Boundaries
📍 First Entry Zone, 82.00 EGP.
The 50% Fibonacci retracement could provide the first attractive swing-trading opportunity.
📍 Second Entry Zone, 70.00 EGP.
The unmitigated Fair Value Gap represents the stronger high-probability accumulation area.
🛑 Stop Loss, 67.00 EGP.
A confirmed close below the Fair Value Gap invalidates the current trading setup.
🎯 The Verdict:
GTWL remains a fundamentally solid industrial exporter, but it is currently not Sharia-compliant. ❌
The recent liquidity spike appears to reflect distribution rather than accumulation, making patience the better strategy. ⏳
I prefer waiting for a technical reaction from either the 82.00 EGP Fibonacci support or the 70.00 EGP Fair Value Gap before considering a small speculative position. 📊
Risk should remain tightly controlled with a stop below 67.00 EGP. 🛡️
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Ezdan Holding, Qatar : Accumulation Zone or Breakdown Risk?ERES (1W): Testing Key Macro Trendline Support – Accumulation Zone or Breakdown Risk?
Market Overview
Ticker: Ezdan Holding Group (ERES / QSE)
Timeframe: 1-Week (1W)
Current Price: 0.847 QAR
Sentiment: Neutral / Accumulation at Key Structural Support
Technical Analysis
1. Major Multi-Year Ascending Trendline
On the weekly frame, Ezdan Holding Group is trading right against a critical, long-term ascending support trendline (marked by the solid red line) extending back from the major 2020 macro bottom. Price action has recently experienced a cooling-off period from its late-2025 swing high and is now consolidating tightly just above this primary dynamic floor (0.800 - 0.830 QAR).
2. Overhead Structural Resistance
The Dynamic Ceiling: A secondary, gently ascending blue resistance line tracks the peaks from mid-2023 and late-2025, currently capping the upside around the 1.300 QAR area.
The Macro Pivot Baseline: A long-term horizontal dashed orange line cuts right through the multi-year chart at approximately 1.330 QAR, marking a major historical inflection zone.
3. Technical Indicators
Volume : Volume has stabilized significantly during this consolidation phase, indicating that selling pressure is beginning to dry up as price meets major trendline support.
RSI (14): Currently flattening out at 39.61, sitting right beside its yellow signal line (39.43). The indicator is stabilizing just above oversold territory, reflecting a neutral momentum regime that often precedes an accumulation bounce.
MACD (12, 26, 9): Both the MACD line ( -0.039) and the Signal line (-0.045) remain below the zero mark following the recent correction. However, the lines are beginning to flatten out and converge, while the bearish histogram is rapidly diminishing toward zero. A bullish crossover here would confirm the structural bottom.
Trading Setup & Scenario Planning
The Accumulation Long Setup (Trendline Bounce)
Entry Zone: 0.830 – 0.850 QAR (Excellent risk-to-reward ratio given the proximity to a multi-year macro floor).
Target 1 (Mid-Term): 1.050 QAR (Psychological round number and recent minor consolidation peak).
Target 2 (Long-Term): 1.250 – 1.300 QAR (Retest of the long-term blue ascending trendline and structural horizontal resistance).
Stop Loss: A definitive weekly candle close below 0.790 QAR invalidates this macro bullish defense thesis.
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This multi-year trendline has protected the downside for over six years. Will the buyers step up once again to trigger a major recovery rally, or is the macro structure under threat? Let me know your setup in the comments! 
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Aztec Land & Cattle : Overview on Weekly Time-frameAZLCZ (1W): Parabolic Run Testing Channel Extremes – Overextended or Just Getting Started
Market Overview
Ticker: Aztec Land & Cattle Co., Ltd. (AZLCZ)
Timeframe: 1-Week (1W)
Current Price: 2,360.00
Sentiment: Exceptionally Bullish (With High Risk of Momentum Exhaustion)
Technical Analysis
1. Parabolic Channel Mechanics
AZLCZ has experienced an aggressive, high-momentum advance on the weekly frame. Price action is currently riding the absolute upper limit of an steep ascending channel (marked by the solid blue line). This steep trajectory reflects intense buying pressure, but it also places the asset into deep overextended territory relative to its historical baselines.
2. Key Support Structural Levels
Should the current multi-week rally pause or face a corrective pullback, multiple solid support baselines are mapped out below:
Immediate Channel Support: The short-term rising support line (magenta) currently flags an structural cushion near 2,060.
Major Historical Pivot Floor: The primary long-term ascending trendline (red) intersects with historical congestion points around 1,172 and the previous macro swing low near 995.
3. Technical Indicators & Volume Profile
Volume : Crucially, the volume bars accompanying the recent push up toward 2,360 are extremely thin (noted at a Vol of 54). This severe volume-price divergence signals that the asset is highly illiquid on the OTC market, meaning very small order flow can cause drastic price swings.
RSI (14): Currently printing at 71.56, hovering inside overbought territory but slightly ticking down from its yellow moving average line (73.17). This indicates a subtle loss of immediate velocity despite the high price print.
MACD (12, 26, 9): Both the MACD line (179.03) and the Signal line (183.00) remain highly elevated above the zero line, confirming a strong macro-bullish regime. However, the histogram has compressed to near-neutral (-3.97), flashing a potential bearish crossover if consolidation turns into a sell-off.
Trading Strategy & Risk Management
The Aggressive Long/Hold Plan
Strategy : Given the illiquid nature and parabolic structure, entering fresh longs at the absolute top of the channel presents an unfavorable risk-to-reward ratio. Existing positions can trail stops tightly.
Upside Target : If momentum can cleanly break out above the blue line, psychological extensions push toward 2,500+ .
Trailing Stop Area : A weekly close below 2,060 serves as the initial warning sign to lock in profits, risking a deeper slide back toward the macro trendlines.
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This is a text-book definition of a low-volume macro squeeze. Are you holding out for a blow-off top past 2,500, or is it time to take chips off the table at the top of the channel? Let me know your game plan in the comments below! MARUTI | Bullish Trend Intact — Liquidity Grab Before The Run! By analyzing the 🇮🇳 #MARUTI (Maruti Suzuki) chart on the 4H timeframe, we can see that the broader trend remains firmly bullish. Price has been printing bullish BOS along the way, and the current corrective structure looks like it's building the fuel for the next major leg higher.
📊 4H Timeframe
On the 4H, the uptrend is intact — price is still trading well above the Protected Low at ₹10,733.70 , the structural line for the entire bullish thesis. After the last impulsive push, price dropped in a sharp, violent corrective move — in my read, that's most likely wave A of a larger correction. Since then, price has been grinding higher in a rising corrective channel, and that channel is simultaneously building a pool of liquidity at its lows — the classic footprint of a wave B.
Here's the key nuance: for price to launch a genuinely powerful move higher, it likely first needs to sweep all that liquidity resting at the channel lows and dip down into the Flip Zone ( ₹11,034 – ₹12,062 ) — the high-quality demand area where I'd expect buyers to reload. That flush would complete the corrective structure and set the stage for the real impulsive leg.
🎯 The Bias
My base case is bullish continuation, but with patience. The trend stays up as long as price holds above the Protected Low (₹10,733.70). Ideally, I want to see price sweep the channel-low liquidity and tap the Flip Zone (₹11,034 – ₹12,062) before the strong rally — a liquidity grab into demand is the cleaner setup than chasing here. From that zone, the draw is toward the buy-side liquidity (BSL) resting overhead at ₹15,469.40 and then ₹17,375.25 . The one thing that invalidates this: a decisive break below the Protected Low (₹10,733.70) — that would flip the structure bearish and put the bullish idea on hold.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop
The technical setup lines up with a genuinely pivotal fundamental moment. Maruti Suzuki — India's largest passenger-vehicle maker, with Suzuki Motor Corporation holding a 56.21% stake — has confirmed its board will meet on July 31, 2026 to approve Q1 FY27 results, making that the next major catalyst. Early estimates point to a mixed print: strong double-digit revenue growth on the back of solid sales volumes, but profitability could come under pressure — with some estimates flagging a potential ~10% profit decline due to higher raw-material costs. Investors will be watching management commentary on domestic demand, export growth, price hikes and commodity prices very closely. On the shareholder-return front, the company has declared an FY26 final dividend of ₹140 per share, with a record date of August 7, 2026 — a near-term positive for holders. The move comes as India Inc.'s June-quarter earnings season gathers pace, with TCS, HCLTech, Avenue Supermarts and L&T Technology Services already having reported. Net-net: the fundamental engine (volume-driven revenue, market leadership, dividend) supports the bullish structure, but the margin pressure and the July 31 print are the risks to respect before the next leg.
This analysis will be updated as the market evolves. If this breakdown added value, drop a like 👍 and a comment 💬 to support the work — and share where you see Maruti heading next! Best Regards, BigBeluga 🐳 NIO Weekly: Crucial Support Retest at $4.88Here is the complete, professional description tailored for your NIO weekly setup, formatted perfectly to match your selected title and ready to paste into the "Publish Idea" box:
Market Overview & Structure
Macro Context: NYSE:NIO has been locked in a long-term corrective phase, but the downward momentum is beginning to flatten out on the macro timeline, indicating a potential structural accumulation base.
Current Action: Price is currently fighting to hold right at $4.88, wedged tightly in a critical decision zone.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Support ($4.81–$4.89): This is the immediate local floor where bulls are attempting to establish stabilization.
Critical Liquidity Floor ($4.15–$4.26): If the immediate cluster fails to hold, watch for a quick liquidity sweep down to the $4.15 support floor before a clean macro reversal structure can form.
Overhead Resistance ($5.01 & $6.27): The first point of validation for bulls is reclaiming $5.01. A sustained breakout above this level shifts focus to the major swing high cluster at $6.27.
Macro Target: The Auto Pattern Detector highlights a major structural upside target at $12.94 over the coming months if the foundational base holds.
Indicators & Momentum
The Machine Learning RSI on the weekly timeframe is tracking at 43.56, sitting just below its baseline of 46.57. This compressed, neutral reading indicates that aggressive selling pressure has cooled off, which is typical for an asset in an early accumulation phase before a trend shift.
Volume Profile: The 30-day average volume remains healthy at 26.95M, showing steady institutional interest at these multi-year lows.
Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario: Look for a weekly candle close or validation patterns around the current $4.81–$4.89 floor to confirm the base and target initial relief back toward $5.01 and $6.27.
Bearish Scenario: A clean weekly close below $4.80 opens the door for a final flush down to the $4.15 "deep value" zone, which would act as a highly attractive long-term entry point.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Trading financial markets involves a high degree of risk. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk before entering any positions. 
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