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Edelweiss Financial services 🎯 STOCK TO WATCH WEEKLY R4 BREAKOUT SETUP EDELWEISS FINANCIAL SERVICES LTD — NSE: EDELWEISS ₹139 → ₹286 → ₹303 → ₹570 📌 TRADE LEVELS 🟢 Buy Zone: ₹139 🚀 Breakout Zone: ₹139 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹92 🎯 Target 1: ₹286 🎯 Target 2: ₹303 🎯 Target 3: ₹570 🏦 BUSINESS OVERVIEW Diversified financial-services group. Businesses include asset management, asset reconstruction, insurance and credit/financial solutions. Alternative Asset Management and Asset Reconstruction are important profit contributors. The group continues to operate across multiple financial-services segments. 🔥 WHY IT CAUGHT MY ATTENTION ✅ ₹139 is the key breakout reference ✅ Q1 FY27 revenue from operations ₹2,328.5 Cr ✅ Q1 FY27 PAT attributable to owners ₹122.2 Cr, +83% YoY ✅ Alternative Asset Management fee-paying AUM reached ₹48,623 Cr, +27% YoY ✅ MSME loan disbursements increased to ₹353 Cr, 3× YoY 📊 COMPANY SNAPSHOT Industry: Diversified Financial Services Q1 FY27 Revenue: ₹2,328.5 Cr Q1 FY27 PAT: ₹122.2 Cr Alternatives Fee-Paying AUM: ₹48,623 Cr Risk Defined. Reward Visible. ⚠️ IMPORTANT High-risk momentum setup. The Capital business remained loss-making in Q1 FY27, while Insurance also remained loss-making. PAT growth should be assessed alongside the underlying performance of individual businesses and earnings quality. Follow strict stop-loss discipline. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. © 20K Microcap Investing | R4 Momentum Desk #Edelweiss #EDELWEISS #FinancialServices #AssetManagement #NBFC #MomentumStocks #BreakoutStocks #IndianStocks #R4Momentum #StockToWatch 
NSE:EDELWEISSLong
by Microcap_Investor
Oracle: You're Entering A World Of Pain!Primary Scenario In our primary scenario, we see ORCL in the final major phase of a long-term correction. The completion of a corrective upward move still appears imminent, after which we expect sell-offs down into our regular blue Long-Term Entry Range (coordinates: $73.98–$39.07). Alternative Scenario ADJUSTMENTS: In the alternative scenario, ORCL would already turn higher within our alternative blue Long-Term Entry Range (coordinates: $136.88–$124.08) (probability: 30%). Long-Term Outlook The daily chart supports our view that ORCL is in a long-term correction, with primary expectations for a decline into our regular blue Long-Term Entry Range (coordinates: $73.98–$39.07). From there, the stock is expected to see significant advances and break through resistance at $250.25 and $345.72. The chart also highlights the potential impact of our alternative scenario: in this case, price would rise above resistance at $250.25 without setting new lows in the regular blue entry range, forming another higher corrective top (still below the $345.72 level) before further sell-offs could be expected (probability: 30%).
NYSE:ORCLShort
by HKCM_Global
BlackRock: Corrective Upward MoveWe currently see BLK in a larger corrective upward move, which should only complete within our red Target Zone ($1,262.20–$1,333.93). After that top, the ongoing long-term correction is likely to continue, with further declines expected down into our green Target Zone ($787.89–$654.42). There, price should find a sustainable bottom and turn higher again. In our alternative scenario, the stock could take a detour to the downside and initially form a new low below support at $917.43 (probability: 39%). In this case, the anticipated upward moves would be further delayed.
NYSE:BLK
by HKCM_Global
Kamdhenu 🎯 STOCK TO WATCH WEEKLY R4 BREAKOUT SETUP KAMDHENU LTD — NSE: KAMDHENU ₹42 → ₹67 → ₹97 → ₹162 📌 TRADE LEVELS 🟢 Buy Zone: ₹42 🚀 Breakout Zone: ₹42 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹27 🎯 Target 1: ₹67 🎯 Target 2: ₹97 🎯 Target 3: ₹162 🏗️ BUSINESS OVERVIEW Branded TMT steel products company. Operates through a large franchise and distribution network. FY26 brand sales turnover was about ₹23,000 Cr, with 100+ franchise manufacturing units and 12,500+ dealers. The company reported a 20% market share in India's organised retail TMT segment in its investor commentary. 🔥 WHY IT CAUGHT MY ATTENTION ✅ ₹42 is the key breakout reference ✅ Q1 FY27 revenue from operations ₹213.35 Cr, +9.0% YoY ✅ Q1 FY27 PAT ₹28.69 Cr, +33.9% YoY ✅ Q1 FY27 recorded the company's highest-ever PBT and PAT ✅ Strong branded TMT franchise ecosystem 📊 COMPANY SNAPSHOT Industry: Steel / TMT Products FY26 Revenue: ₹763.4 Cr FY26 PAT: ₹78.4 Cr FY26 ROE: 22% FY26 Debt: Zero Risk Defined. Reward Visible. ⚠️ IMPORTANT High-risk momentum setup. Q1 other income included ₹15.91 Cr of realised/unrealised investment valuation gains, so not all of the PAT growth came from core operations. Steel prices, construction demand and franchise volumes remain important variables. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. © 20K Microcap Investing | R4 Momentum Desk #Kamdhenu #KAMDHENU #SteelStocks #TMT #InfrastructureStocks #MomentumStocks #BreakoutStocks #IndianStocks #R4Momentum #StockToWatch 
NSE:KAMDHENULong
by Microcap_Investor
SMCI GEX – Testing the Consolidation Ceiling at 42SMCI is tightening inside a sideways consolidation and is now testing the upper boundary of that range near 42. The current October 16 cumulative GEX profile places the dominant call wall at exactly the same level. Strength across sector peers provides a supportive tape backdrop, but 42 remains the structural decision point. Price is near 40.95, above the 39 call-cluster boundary and well above the 36.5 HVL. A clear break and hold above 42 would move SMCI into the positive extension zone, opening gamma squeeze potential toward 43 and then 45. Another rejection would keep the range intact and bring 39.5–39 back into focus. 🔶 Regime Context 🔶 SMCI remains above HVL in a positive GEX regime and is trading inside the call cluster between 39 and 42. GEX History shows the 0, W1, M1, M2, and ALL rows aligned in positive gamma. This can support a more controlled volatility environment, but acceptance above 42 still requires price momentum. 🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶 👉 42 – C1 and consolidation ceiling Confluence at 42: C1 — dominant call wall Ab1 — largest absolute gamma COI / nCOI — strongest cumulative call open-interest concentration AbOI — largest cumulative absolute open interest CV / nCV — cumulative call-volume peak This makes 42 a major multi-metric reaction zone in the October 16 cumulative profile, not simply a technical range boundary. 👉 43 – C3 , the next overhead call wall after a confirmed breakout 👉 45 – secondary positive NETGEX reference 🔶 Downside Structure 🔶 👉 39.5 – C2 , the first level to watch after a failed breakout 👉 39 – cTrans , the lower boundary of the call cluster 👉 36.5 – HVL / pTrans , the main regime pivot 👉 35 – P1 , the dominant put wall 🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶 CALL$ 93% at 60 DTE means equidistant call options are priced 93% higher than the corresponding puts. This reflects elevated call pricing skew, not a directional guarantee. The Options Oscillator’s green histogram remains below its recent peak, suggesting that call pricing skew has been broadly fading despite staying elevated. IVRank 24.2 IVx 74.2 (60 DTE) CALL$ 93% (60 DTE) — call pricing skew Implied move ±6.17% (±2.5) 🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶 42 — C1, multi-metric confluence and range ceiling 43–45 — first extension references after acceptance 39.5–39 — first support area after a failed breakout 36.5 — HVL and regime pivot For now, SMCI is building pressure beneath its dominant call wall while sector strength remains supportive. The key question is whether price can accept above 42 and enter extension—or reject once again into the established range.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by TanukiTrade
Ashiana Housing🎯 STOCK TO WATCH WEEKLY R4 BREAKOUT SETUP ASHIANA HOUSING LTD — NSE: ASHIANA ₹380–400 → ₹628 📌 TRADE LEVELS 🟢 Buy Zone: ₹380–400 🚀 Breakout Zone: ₹369 🛑 Stop Loss: ₹329 🎯 Target: ₹628 🏠 BUSINESS OVERVIEW Residential real-estate developer with 44+ years of operating history. Focus areas include Comfort Homes, Senior Living and Kid-Centric Homes. More than 28 million sq. ft. delivered across five states. About 73 lakh sq. ft. under development. 🔥 WHY IT CAUGHT MY ATTENTION ✅ ₹369 is the key breakout reference ✅ FY26 value of area booked reached a record ₹2,421 Cr, +25% YoY ✅ FY26 customer collections reached a record ₹1,762 Cr ✅ Senior Living bookings reached a record ₹570 Cr ✅ New projects across Gurugram, Bhiwadi, Pune, Chennai, Jaipur and Jamshedpur provide development visibility. 📊 COMPANY SNAPSHOT Industry: Residential Real Estate FY26 Area Booked: 26.73 lakh sq. ft. FY26 Sales & Other Income: ₹1,187 Cr FY26 PAT: ₹117.89 Cr FY26 Pre-tax Operating Cash Flow: ₹576.58 Cr Risk Defined. Reward Visible. ⚠️ IMPORTANT High-risk momentum setup. Real-estate businesses are sensitive to demand, interest rates and execution. Project delivery and conversion of bookings into collections remain important. Follow strict stop-loss discipline. Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. © 20K Microcap Investing | R4 Momentum Desk #AshianaHousing #ASHIANA #RealEstateStocks #HousingStocks #SeniorLiving #MomentumStocks #BreakoutStocks #IndianStocks #R4Momentum #StockToWatch 
NSE:ASHIANALong
by Microcap_Investor
SpaceX 4H: the mark came after the lowThe mark on this chart printed thirty percent above the low. Most tools would call that late. This one is not trying to be early. This is SpaceX on the four-hour with our accumulation layer on it. From a high near 226 in June the stock lost roughly half its value in seven weeks, bottoming near 105 in the first days of August. The layer printed one mark in that entire decline, and it printed it in the second week of August, around 138 - after the low, not at it. What the mark means. Accumulate does not mark a bottom. It describes a zone: the area where a structural low is being built - and that zone is everything under the reference line, not one bar of it. The shaded region is that zone made visible. It opens in late July around 152, runs through the August low, and stays open while price grinds along the reference through most of August. All of it is accumulation territory. The mark is one point inside that window, not the window's edge. Why "late" is the wrong word. A structural low is not a price. It is a process - weeks of price stopping going down, in pieces, at more than one level. The low near 105 was a moment. The base that formed between 132 and 145 over the following three weeks was the structure. The layer marked the structure. That is a different job from catching the moment, and the tools that promise to catch the moment are the ones that need to be quietly re-sold after every miss. The cross. At the end of August price crossed back above the reference and stayed there. In this layer's logic that is the exit: accumulation is complete, and what follows is a new trend leg. Since the cross the stock has traded up to 157, about ten percent above the line, and the panel reads NO ACCUMULATION - 51 bars. That silence is not the layer missing the move. It is the layer saying the zone is done and the trend is running - which is everything it will say about the trend. Not how far, not how long. The reference itself sits just under 143, flat and rising slightly. What it does not tell you. How far the leg goes, or when it ends. Whether 143 matters on the way back down, if there is a way back down - a return below the line would reopen the zone, and the panel would say so without being asked. Relative volume reads low; that is worth knowing and is not a signal of anything by itself. One caveat, always. This is a chart where the zone was followed by a bounce. We show it because the shape of the window is unusually legible on a young, volatile stock - not because that outcome is typical. Zones are followed by more falling, or by nothing at all, often enough that any single chart proves the mechanism and nothing else. Educational market commentary - not financial advice.
NASDAQ:SPCX
by StructuraMarkets
1
Aviat Networks (AVNW): North American RecoveryAviat Networks (AVNW): North American Recovery Supports Further Upside. Aviat Networks (NASDAQ: AVNW) provides networking equipment and solutions to telecom operators and enterprises. Current share price: $20.46 12-month price target: $27.00 Potential upside: ~32% The investment case is supported by a recovery in North American demand, a growing order backlog, and higher shipments to broadband networks. Key growth drivers include continued private-network deployments and initiatives aimed at connecting multi-family residential buildings. Management’s FY2027 revenue and EBITDA guidance also came in ahead of expectations, supporting the outlook for improved growth and profitability. In the near term, margins are likely to remain under some pressure, particularly in the first fiscal quarter, due to component shortages and higher input costs. The principal risks are supply-chain disruptions, revenue seasonality, and customer concentration. Overall, the thesis is centered on stronger North American demand, backlog conversion, and continued broadband and private-network investment. At around $20.46 per share, our $27 12-month price target implies approximately 32% upside.
NASDAQ:AVNWLong
by FreedomHolding
SNDK: Don’t Chase the TriangleNASDAQ:SNDK has pulled back toward $1,770 after failing to hold the early push toward $1,830. After last week’s explosive rally, price is now forming a short-term triangle , with momentum cooling while the market waits for the next catalyst. For me, the key is not to chase the move around $1,770. My preferred setup: 🟢 LONG: $1,735–$1,750 SL: $1,705 TP1: $1,790 TP2: $1,810 TP3: $1,830+ This is the area where I’d look for buyers to defend the lower side of the structure. The second setup is a confirmed breakout: 🟢 LONG above $1,810 Wait for a breakout and retest of $1,795–$1,805 before entering. Targets: $1,830 → $1,870 → $1,900 If SNDK breaks below $1,705, I would cancel the bullish setup. That would suggest the triangle is resolving lower and a deeper retracement is becoming more likely. The recent S&P 100 inclusion provides an additional catalyst, but after such a strong rally, I’d rather trade the structure than chase the headline. If you can’t catch the setup during regular market hours, tokenized stock exposure can offer another way to follow the underlying move outside the traditional trading session. $1,735–$1,750 is my dip-buy zone. $1,810 is my breakout trigger. $1,705 is the line in the sand. I’ll be watching which side of the triangle breaks first.
NASDAQ:SNDKLong
by LostPigeon
TESLA IS WAKING UP AGAIN. IS $500 BACK ON THE TABLE?Tesla has caught my attention again. Looking at the chart, the bigger bullish structure is still intact. The long-term rising support that has been developing since 2024 was tested again around the $300 area, and buyers stepped in strongly. Since then, TSLA has recovered back toward $377, and momentum is starting to improve. What I like technically: The long-term ascending support held again RSI has recovered back above 50 MACD has turned higher from deeply negative levels The histogram has moved positive again Price is starting to build momentum after the recent correction For me, the important level now is $400. A clean break and hold above that area would make the chart considerably more interesting. Levels I’m watching 📍 Current area: ~$377 🎯 $450 This is the first major upside zone and an area where Tesla previously faced selling pressure. 🎯 $500 This brings us back toward the major highs on the chart. I expect this area to be a much more important test. 🎯 $590 This is my longer-term extension scenario. I would only start taking this level seriously if Tesla can first reclaim the previous highs and maintain the larger bullish structure. The technical setup is only one part of the story. October could also be an important month for Tesla. Tesla’s new Roadster is scheduled to be unveiled on October 1, giving the company another opportunity to put its technology and engineering story back in the spotlight. Q3 deliveries and quarterly earnings are also approaching. The delivery numbers could be particularly interesting because expectations are unusually divided. Goldman Sachs: ~435,000 Q3 deliveries Barclays: ~475,000 Q3 deliveries That is a 40,000 vehicle difference between two major Wall Street estimates, so the actual number could create some serious volatility in the shares. Another part of the Tesla story that I think is sometimes overlooked is Shanghai. According to Barclays analyst Dan Levy, Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory now accounts for more than half of the company’s global automotive output. The factory remains important not only for vehicle production, but also for the efficiency and cash generation needed to support Tesla’s much larger ambitions. And that brings us to what I think is the biggest question around Tesla today. The market is increasingly looking beyond just car deliveries and focusing on FSD, Robotaxi, AI and Optimus. That also means Tesla can remain extremely volatile because investors are trying to value businesses that are still developing. My view I like what I’m seeing on the chart, but $400 is the first level Tesla needs to prove itself above. Above that, I’ll be watching $450, followed by the much more important $500 zone. If Tesla eventually breaks the previous highs while the long-term trend remains intact, then the larger move toward $550-$590 becomes much more interesting. For now, I’m watching the structure develop rather than chasing the price. Would you buy the breakout above $400, or wait for another pullback? Educational analysis only. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by FBMRTrading